Articles | Volume 15, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-771-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-771-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Representation of the autoconversion from cloud to rain using a weighted ensemble approach: a case study using WRF v4.1.3
Jinfang Yin
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather (LaSW), Chinese Academy of
Meteorological Sciences (CAMS), Beijing 100081, China
Xudong Liang
State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather (LaSW), Chinese Academy of
Meteorological Sciences (CAMS), Beijing 100081, China
Hong Wang
Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, China
Meteorological Administration (CMA), Guangzhou 510080, China
Haile Xue
State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather (LaSW), Chinese Academy of
Meteorological Sciences (CAMS), Beijing 100081, China
Related authors
Jinfang Yin, Feng Li, Mingxin Li, Rudi Xia, Xinghua Bao, Jisong Sun, and Xudong Liang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-145, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-145, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS
Short summary
Short summary
A persistent severe rainfall event occurred over North China in July 2023, which was regarded as one of the precipitation extremes of 2023 globally. The extreme rainfall was significant underestimated by forecasters at that time. Flooding from this event affected 1.3 million people, causing severe human casualties and significant economic losses. In this study, we examined the convective initiation and subsequent persistent heavy rainfall over North China based on simulations with the WRF model.
Jinfang Yin, Feng Li, Mingxin Li, Rudi Xia, Xinghua Bao, Jisong Sun, and Xudong Liang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-145, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-145, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS
Short summary
Short summary
A persistent severe rainfall event occurred over North China in July 2023, which was regarded as one of the precipitation extremes of 2023 globally. The extreme rainfall was significant underestimated by forecasters at that time. Flooding from this event affected 1.3 million people, causing severe human casualties and significant economic losses. In this study, we examined the convective initiation and subsequent persistent heavy rainfall over North China based on simulations with the WRF model.
Jinfang Yin, Xudong Liang, Yanxin Xie, Feng Li, Kaixi Hu, Lijuan Cao, Feng Chen, Haibo Zou, Feng Zhu, Xin Sun, Jianjun Xu, Geli Wang, Ying Zhao, and Juanjuan Liu
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 15, 2329–2346, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2329-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2329-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
A collection of regional reanalysis datasets has been produced. However, little attention has been paid to East Asia, and there are no long-term, physically consistent regional reanalysis data available. The East Asia Reanalysis System was developed using the WRF model and GSI data assimilation system. A 39-year (1980–2018) reanalysis dataset is available for the East Asia region, at a high temporal (of 3 h) and spatial resolution (of 12 km), for mesoscale weather and regional climate studies.
Related subject area
Atmospheric sciences
FLEXPART version 11: improved accuracy, efficiency, and flexibility
Challenges of high-fidelity air quality modeling in urban environments – PALM sensitivity study during stable conditions
Air quality modeling intercomparison and multiscale ensemble chain for Latin America
Recommended coupling to global meteorological fields for long-term tracer simulations with WRF-GHG
Selecting CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) for Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) dynamical downscaling over Southeast Asia using a standardised benchmarking framework
Improved definition of prior uncertainties in CO2 and CO fossil fuel fluxes and its impact on multi-species inversion with GEOS-Chem (v12.5)
RASCAL v1.0: an open-source tool for climatological time series reconstruction and extension
Introducing graupel density prediction in Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) double-moment 6-class (WDM6) microphysics and evaluation of the modified scheme during the ICE-POP field campaign
Enabling high-performance cloud computing for the Community Multiscale Air Quality Model (CMAQ) version 5.3.3: performance evaluation and benefits for the user community
Atmospheric-river-induced precipitation in California as simulated by the regionally refined Simple Convective Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) Version 0
Recent improvements and maximum covariance analysis of aerosol and cloud properties in the EC-Earth3-AerChem model
GPU-HADVPPM4HIP V1.0: using the heterogeneous-compute interface for portability (HIP) to speed up the piecewise parabolic method in the CAMx (v6.10) air quality model on China's domestic GPU-like accelerator
Preliminary evaluation of the effect of electro-coalescence with conducting sphere approximation on the formation of warm cumulus clouds using SCALE-SDM version 0.2.5–2.3.0
Exploring the footprint representation of microwave radiance observations in an Arctic limited-area data assimilation system
Analysis of model error in forecast errors of extended atmospheric Lorenz 05 systems and the ECMWF system
Description and validation of Vehicular Emissions from Road Traffic (VERT) 1.0, an R-based framework for estimating road transport emissions from traffic flows
AeroMix v1.0.1: a Python package for modeling aerosol optical properties and mixing states
Impact of ITCZ width on global climate: ITCZ-MIP
Deep-learning-driven simulations of boundary layer clouds over the Southern Great Plains
Mixed-precision computing in the GRIST dynamical core for weather and climate modelling
A conservative immersed boundary method for the multi-physics urban large-eddy simulation model uDALES v2.0
RCEMIP-II: mock-Walker simulations as phase II of the radiative–convective equilibrium model intercomparison project
Objective identification of meteorological fronts and climatologies from ERA-Interim and ERA5
TAMS: a tracking, classifying, and variable-assigning algorithm for mesoscale convective systems in simulated and satellite-derived datasets
Development of the adjoint of the unified tropospheric–stratospheric chemistry extension (UCX) in GEOS-Chem adjoint v36
New explicit formulae for the settling speed of prolate spheroids in the atmosphere: theoretical background and implementation in AerSett v2.0.2
ZJU-AERO V0.5: an Accurate and Efficient Radar Operator designed for CMA-GFS/MESO with the capability to simulate non-spherical hydrometeors
The Year of Polar Prediction site Model Intercomparison Project (YOPPsiteMIP) phase 1: project overview and Arctic winter forecast evaluation
Evaluating CHASER V4.0 global formaldehyde (HCHO) simulations using satellite, aircraft, and ground-based remote-sensing observations
Global variable-resolution simulations of extreme precipitation over Henan, China, in 2021 with MPAS-Atmosphere v7.3
The CHIMERE chemistry-transport model v2023r1
tobac v1.5: introducing fast 3D tracking, splits and mergers, and other enhancements for identifying and analysing meteorological phenomena
Merged Observatory Data Files (MODFs): an integrated observational data product supporting process-oriented investigations and diagnostics
Simulation of marine stratocumulus using the super-droplet method: numerical convergence and comparison to a double-moment bulk scheme using SCALE-SDM 5.2.6-2.3.1
Modeling of PAHs From Global to Regional Scales: Model Development and Investigation of Health Risks from 2013 to 2018 in China
WRF-Comfort: simulating microscale variability in outdoor heat stress at the city scale with a mesoscale model
Representing effects of surface heterogeneity in a multi-plume eddy diffusivity mass flux boundary layer parameterization
Can TROPOMI NO2 satellite data be used to track the drop in and resurgence of NOx emissions in Germany between 2019–2021 using the multi-source plume method (MSPM)?
An updated aerosol simulation in the Community Earth System Model (v2.1.3): dust and marine aerosol emissions and secondary organic aerosol formation
A spatiotemporally separated framework for reconstructing the sources of atmospheric radionuclide releases
A parameterization scheme for the floating wind farm in a coupled atmosphere–wave model (COAWST v3.7)
RoadSurf 1.1: open-source road weather model library
Calibrating and validating the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) urban cooling model: case studies in France and the United States
The ddeq Python library for point source quantification from remote sensing images (version 1.0)
LIMA (v2.0): A full two-moment cloud microphysical scheme for the mesoscale non-hydrostatic model Meso-NH v5-6
Incorporating Oxygen Isotopes of Oxidized Reactive Nitrogen in the Regional Atmospheric Chemistry Mechanism, version 2 (ICOIN-RACM2)
Development of the MPAS-CMAQ Coupled System (V1.0) for Multiscale Global Air Quality Modeling
A general comprehensive evaluation method for cross-scale precipitation forecasts
Implementation of a Simple Actuator Disk for Large-Eddy Simulation in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF-SADLES v1.2) for wind turbine wake simulation
WRF-PDAF v1.0: implementation and application of an online localized ensemble data assimilation framework
Lucie Bakels, Daria Tatsii, Anne Tipka, Rona Thompson, Marina Dütsch, Michael Blaschek, Petra Seibert, Katharina Baier, Silvia Bucci, Massimo Cassiani, Sabine Eckhardt, Christine Groot Zwaaftink, Stephan Henne, Pirmin Kaufmann, Vincent Lechner, Christian Maurer, Marie D. Mulder, Ignacio Pisso, Andreas Plach, Rakesh Subramanian, Martin Vojta, and Andreas Stohl
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7595–7627, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7595-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7595-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Computer models are essential for improving our understanding of how gases and particles move in the atmosphere. We present an update of the atmospheric transport model FLEXPART. FLEXPART 11 is more accurate due to a reduced number of interpolations and a new scheme for wet deposition. It can simulate non-spherical aerosols and includes linear chemical reactions. It is parallelised using OpenMP and includes new user options. A new user manual details how to use FLEXPART 11.
Jaroslav Resler, Petra Bauerová, Michal Belda, Martin Bureš, Kryštof Eben, Vladimír Fuka, Jan Geletič, Radek Jareš, Jan Karel, Josef Keder, Pavel Krč, William Patiño, Jelena Radović, Hynek Řezníček, Matthias Sühring, Adriana Šindelářová, and Ondřej Vlček
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7513–7537, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7513-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7513-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Detailed modeling of urban air quality in stable conditions is a challenge. We show the unprecedented sensitivity of a large eddy simulation (LES) model to meteorological boundary conditions and model parameters in an urban environment under stable conditions. We demonstrate the crucial role of boundary conditions for the comparability of results with observations. The study reveals a strong sensitivity of the results to model parameters and model numerical instabilities during such conditions.
Jorge E. Pachón, Mariel A. Opazo, Pablo Lichtig, Nicolas Huneeus, Idir Bouarar, Guy Brasseur, Cathy W. Y. Li, Johannes Flemming, Laurent Menut, Camilo Menares, Laura Gallardo, Michael Gauss, Mikhail Sofiev, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Julia Palamarchuk, Andreas Uppstu, Laura Dawidowski, Nestor Y. Rojas, María de Fátima Andrade, Mario E. Gavidia-Calderón, Alejandro H. Delgado Peralta, and Daniel Schuch
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7467–7512, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Latin America (LAC) has some of the most populated urban areas in the world, with high levels of air pollution. Air quality management in LAC has been traditionally focused on surveillance and building emission inventories. This study performed the first intercomparison and model evaluation in LAC, with interesting and insightful findings for the region. A multiscale modeling ensemble chain was assembled as a first step towards an air quality forecasting system.
David Ho, Michał Gałkowski, Friedemann Reum, Santiago Botía, Julia Marshall, Kai Uwe Totsche, and Christoph Gerbig
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7401–7422, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7401-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7401-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Atmospheric model users often overlook the impact of the land–atmosphere interaction. This study accessed various setups of WRF-GHG simulations that ensure consistency between the model and driving reanalysis fields. We found that a combination of nudging and frequent re-initialization allows certain improvement by constraining the soil moisture fields and, through its impact on atmospheric mixing, improves atmospheric transport.
Phuong Loan Nguyen, Lisa V. Alexander, Marcus J. Thatcher, Son C. H. Truong, Rachael N. Isphording, and John L. McGregor
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7285–7315, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7285-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7285-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We use a comprehensive approach to select a subset of CMIP6 models for dynamical downscaling over Southeast Asia, taking into account model performance, model independence, data availability and the range of future climate projections. The standardised benchmarking framework is applied to assess model performance through both statistical and process-based metrics. Ultimately, we identify two independent model groups that are suitable for dynamical downscaling in the Southeast Asian region.
Ingrid Super, Tia Scarpelli, Arjan Droste, and Paul I. Palmer
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7263–7284, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7263-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7263-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Monitoring greenhouse gas emission reductions requires a combination of models and observations, as well as an initial emission estimate. Each component provides information with a certain level of certainty and is weighted to yield the most reliable estimate of actual emissions. We describe efforts for estimating the uncertainty in the initial emission estimate, which significantly impacts the outcome. Hence, a good uncertainty estimate is key for obtaining reliable information on emissions.
Álvaro González-Cervera and Luis Durán
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7245–7261, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7245-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7245-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
RASCAL is an open-source Python tool designed for reconstructing daily climate observations, especially in regions with complex local phenomena. It merges large-scale weather patterns with local weather using the analog method. Evaluations in central Spain show that RASCAL outperforms ERA20C reanalysis in reconstructing precipitation and temperature. RASCAL offers opportunities for broad scientific applications, from short-term forecasts to local-scale climate change scenarios.
Sun-Young Park, Kyo-Sun Sunny Lim, Kwonil Kim, Gyuwon Lee, and Jason A. Milbrandt
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7199–7218, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7199-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7199-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We enhance the WDM6 scheme by incorporating predicted graupel density. The modification affects graupel characteristics, including fall velocity–diameter and mass–diameter relationships. Simulations highlight changes in graupel distribution and precipitation patterns, potentially influencing surface snow amounts. The study underscores the significance of integrating predicted graupel density for a more realistic portrayal of microphysical properties in weather models.
Christos I. Efstathiou, Elizabeth Adams, Carlie J. Coats, Robert Zelt, Mark Reed, John McGee, Kristen M. Foley, Fahim I. Sidi, David C. Wong, Steven Fine, and Saravanan Arunachalam
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7001–7027, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7001-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7001-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We present a summary of enabling high-performance computing of the Community Multiscale Air Quality Model (CMAQ) – a state-of-the-science community multiscale air quality model – on two cloud computing platforms through documenting the technologies, model performance, scaling and relative merits. This may be a new paradigm for computationally intense future model applications. We initiated this work due to a need to leverage cloud computing advances and to ease the learning curve for new users.
Peter A. Bogenschutz, Jishi Zhang, Qi Tang, and Philip Cameron-Smith
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7029–7050, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7029-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7029-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Using high-resolution and state-of-the-art modeling techniques we simulate five atmospheric river events for California to test the capability to represent precipitation for these events. We find that our model is able to capture the distribution of precipitation very well but suffers from overestimating the precipitation amounts over high elevation. Increasing the resolution further has no impact on reducing this bias, while increasing the domain size does have modest impacts.
Manu Anna Thomas, Klaus Wyser, Shiyu Wang, Marios Chatziparaschos, Paraskevi Georgakaki, Montserrat Costa-Surós, Maria Gonçalves Ageitos, Maria Kanakidou, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Athanasios Nenes, Twan van Noije, Philippe Le Sager, and Abhay Devasthale
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6903–6927, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6903-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6903-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Aerosol–cloud interactions occur at a range of spatio-temporal scales. While evaluating recent developments in EC-Earth3-AerChem, this study aims to understand the extent to which the Twomey effect manifests itself at larger scales. We find a reduction in the warm bias over the Southern Ocean due to model improvements. While we see footprints of the Twomey effect at larger scales, the negative relationship between cloud droplet number and liquid water drives the shortwave radiative effect.
Kai Cao, Qizhong Wu, Lingling Wang, Hengliang Guo, Nan Wang, Huaqiong Cheng, Xiao Tang, Dongxing Li, Lina Liu, Dongqing Li, Hao Wu, and Lanning Wang
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6887–6901, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6887-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6887-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
AMD’s heterogeneous-compute interface for portability was implemented to port the piecewise parabolic method solver from NVIDIA GPUs to China's GPU-like accelerators. The results show that the larger the model scale, the more acceleration effect on the GPU-like accelerator, up to 28.9 times. The multi-level parallelism achieves a speedup of 32.7 times on the heterogeneous cluster. By comparing the results, the GPU-like accelerators have more accuracy for the geoscience numerical models.
Ruyi Zhang, Limin Zhou, Shin-ichiro Shima, and Huawei Yang
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6761–6774, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6761-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6761-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Solar activity weakly ionises Earth's atmosphere, charging cloud droplets. Electro-coalescence is when oppositely charged droplets stick together. We introduce an analytical expression of electro-coalescence probability and use it in a warm-cumulus-cloud simulation. Results show that charge cases increase rain and droplet size, with the new method outperforming older ones. The new method requires longer computation time, but its impact on rain justifies inclusion in meteorology models.
Máté Mile, Stephanie Guedj, and Roger Randriamampianina
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6571–6587, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6571-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6571-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Satellite observations provide crucial information about atmospheric constituents in a global distribution that helps to better predict the weather over sparsely observed regions like the Arctic. However, the use of satellite data is usually conservative and imperfect. In this study, a better spatial representation of satellite observations is discussed and explored by a so-called footprint function or operator, highlighting its added value through a case study and diagnostics.
Hynek Bednář and Holger Kantz
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6489–6511, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6489-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6489-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The forecast error growth of atmospheric phenomena is caused by initial and model errors. When studying the initial error growth, it may turn out that small-scale phenomena, which contribute little to the forecast product, significantly affect the ability to predict this product. With a negative result, we investigate in the extended Lorenz (2005) system whether omitting these phenomena will improve predictability. A theory explaining and describing this behavior is developed.
Giorgio Veratti, Alessandro Bigi, Sergio Teggi, and Grazia Ghermandi
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6465–6487, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6465-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6465-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, we present VERT (Vehicular Emissions from Road Traffic), an R package designed to estimate transport emissions using traffic estimates and vehicle fleet composition data. Compared to other tools available in the literature, VERT stands out for its user-friendly configuration and flexibility of user input. Case studies demonstrate its accuracy in both urban and regional contexts, making it a valuable tool for air quality management and transport scenario planning.
Sam P. Raj, Puna Ram Sinha, Rohit Srivastava, Srinivas Bikkina, and Damu Bala Subrahamanyam
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6379–6399, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6379-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6379-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
A Python successor to the aerosol module of the OPAC model, named AeroMix, has been developed, with enhanced capabilities to better represent real atmospheric aerosol mixing scenarios. AeroMix’s performance in modeling aerosol mixing states has been evaluated against field measurements, substantiating its potential as a versatile aerosol optical model framework for next-generation algorithms to infer aerosol mixing states and chemical composition.
Angeline G. Pendergrass, Michael P. Byrne, Oliver Watt-Meyer, Penelope Maher, and Mark J. Webb
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6365–6378, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6365-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6365-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The width of the tropical rain belt affects many aspects of our climate, yet we do not understand what controls it. To better understand it, we present a method to change it in numerical model experiments. We show that the method works well in four different models. The behavior of the width is unexpectedly simple in some ways, such as how strong the winds are as it changes, but in other ways, it is more complicated, especially how temperature increases with carbon dioxide.
Tianning Su and Yunyan Zhang
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6319–6336, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6319-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6319-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Using 2 decades of field observations over the Southern Great Plains, this study developed a deep-learning model to simulate the complex dynamics of boundary layer clouds. The deep-learning model can serve as the cloud parameterization within reanalysis frameworks, offering insights into improving the simulation of low clouds. By quantifying biases due to various meteorological factors and parameterizations, this deep-learning-driven approach helps bridge the observation–modeling divide.
Siyuan Chen, Yi Zhang, Yiming Wang, Zhuang Liu, Xiaohan Li, and Wei Xue
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6301–6318, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6301-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6301-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study explores strategies and techniques for implementing mixed-precision code optimization within an atmosphere model dynamical core. The coded equation terms in the governing equations that are sensitive (or insensitive) to the precision level have been identified. The performance of mixed-precision computing in weather and climate simulations was analyzed.
Sam O. Owens, Dipanjan Majumdar, Chris E. Wilson, Paul Bartholomew, and Maarten van Reeuwijk
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6277–6300, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6277-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6277-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Designing cities that are resilient, sustainable, and beneficial to health requires an understanding of urban climate and air quality. This article presents an upgrade to the multi-physics numerical model uDALES, which can simulate microscale airflow, heat transfer, and pollutant dispersion in urban environments. This upgrade enables it to resolve realistic urban geometries more accurately and to take advantage of the resources available on current and future high-performance computing systems.
Allison A. Wing, Levi G. Silvers, and Kevin A. Reed
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6195–6225, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6195-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6195-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents the experimental design for a model intercomparison project to study tropical clouds and climate. It is a follow-up from a prior project that used a simplified framework for tropical climate. The new project adds one new component – a specified pattern of sea surface temperatures as the lower boundary condition. We provide example results from one cloud-resolving model and one global climate model and test the sensitivity to the experimental parameters.
Philip G. Sansom and Jennifer L. Catto
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6137–6151, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6137-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6137-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Weather fronts bring a lot of rain and strong winds to many regions of the mid-latitudes. We have developed an updated method of identifying these fronts in gridded data that can be used on new datasets with small grid spacing. The method can be easily applied to different datasets due to the use of open-source software for its development and shows improvements over similar previous methods. We present an updated estimate of the average frequency of fronts over the past 40 years.
Kelly M. Núñez Ocasio and Zachary L. Moon
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6035–6049, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6035-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6035-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
TAMS is an open-source Python-based package for tracking and classifying mesoscale convective systems that can be used to study observed and simulated systems. Each step of the algorithm is described in this paper with examples showing how to make use of visualization and post-processing tools within the package. A unique and valuable feature of this tracker is its support for unstructured grids in the identification stage and grid-independent tracking.
Irene C. Dedoussi, Daven K. Henze, Sebastian D. Eastham, Raymond L. Speth, and Steven R. H. Barrett
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5689–5703, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5689-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5689-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Atmospheric model gradients provide a meaningful tool for better understanding the underlying atmospheric processes. Adjoint modeling enables computationally efficient gradient calculations. We present the adjoint of the GEOS-Chem unified chemistry extension (UCX). With this development, the GEOS-Chem adjoint model can capture stratospheric ozone and other processes jointly with tropospheric processes. We apply it to characterize the Antarctic ozone depletion potential of active halogen species.
Sylvain Mailler, Sotirios Mallios, Arineh Cholakian, Vassilis Amiridis, Laurent Menut, and Romain Pennel
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5641–5655, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5641-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5641-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We propose two explicit expressions to calculate the settling speed of solid atmospheric particles with prolate spheroidal shapes. The first formulation is based on theoretical arguments only, while the second one is based on computational fluid dynamics calculations. We show that the first method is suitable for virtually all atmospheric aerosols, provided their shape can be adequately described as a prolate spheroid, and we provide an implementation of the first method in AerSett v2.0.2.
Hejun Xie, Lei Bi, and Wei Han
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5657–5688, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5657-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5657-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
A radar operator plays a crucial role in utilizing radar observations to enhance numerical weather forecasts. However, developing an advanced radar operator is challenging due to various complexities associated with the wave scattering by non-spherical hydrometeors, radar beam propagation, and multiple platforms. In this study, we introduce a novel radar operator named the Accurate and Efficient Radar Operator developed by ZheJiang University (ZJU-AERO) which boasts several unique features.
Jonathan J. Day, Gunilla Svensson, Barbara Casati, Taneil Uttal, Siri-Jodha Khalsa, Eric Bazile, Elena Akish, Niramson Azouz, Lara Ferrighi, Helmut Frank, Michael Gallagher, Øystein Godøy, Leslie M. Hartten, Laura X. Huang, Jareth Holt, Massimo Di Stefano, Irene Suomi, Zen Mariani, Sara Morris, Ewan O'Connor, Roberta Pirazzini, Teresa Remes, Rostislav Fadeev, Amy Solomon, Johanna Tjernström, and Mikhail Tolstykh
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5511–5543, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5511-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5511-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The YOPP site Model Intercomparison Project (YOPPsiteMIP), which was designed to facilitate enhanced weather forecast evaluation in polar regions, is discussed here, focussing on describing the archive of forecast data and presenting a multi-model evaluation at Arctic supersites during February and March 2018. The study highlights an underestimation in boundary layer temperature variance that is common across models and a related inability to forecast cold extremes at several of the sites.
Hossain Mohammed Syedul Hoque, Kengo Sudo, Hitoshi Irie, Yanfeng He, and Md Firoz Khan
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5545–5571, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5545-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5545-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Using multi-platform observations, we validated global formaldehyde (HCHO) simulations from a chemistry transport model. HCHO is a crucial intermediate in the chemical catalytic cycle that governs the ozone formation in the troposphere. The model was capable of replicating the observed spatiotemporal variability in HCHO. In a few cases, the model's capability was limited. This is attributed to the uncertainties in the observations and the model parameters.
Zijun Liu, Li Dong, Zongxu Qiu, Xingrong Li, Huiling Yuan, Dongmei Meng, Xiaobin Qiu, Dingyuan Liang, and Yafei Wang
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5477–5496, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5477-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5477-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, we completed a series of simulations with MPAS-Atmosphere (version 7.3) to study the extreme precipitation event of Henan, China, during 20–22 July 2021. We found the different performance of two built-in parameterization scheme suites (mesoscale and convection-permitting suites) with global quasi-uniform and variable-resolution meshes. This study holds significant implications for advancing the understanding of the scale-aware capability of MPAS-Atmosphere.
Laurent Menut, Arineh Cholakian, Romain Pennel, Guillaume Siour, Sylvain Mailler, Myrto Valari, Lya Lugon, and Yann Meurdesoif
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5431–5457, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5431-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5431-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
A new version of the CHIMERE model is presented. This version contains both computational and physico-chemical changes. The computational changes make it easy to choose the variables to be extracted as a result, including values of maximum sub-hourly concentrations. Performance tests show that the model is 1.5 to 2 times faster than the previous version for the same setup. Processes such as turbulence, transport schemes and dry deposition have been modified and updated.
G. Alexander Sokolowsky, Sean W. Freeman, William K. Jones, Julia Kukulies, Fabian Senf, Peter J. Marinescu, Max Heikenfeld, Kelcy N. Brunner, Eric C. Bruning, Scott M. Collis, Robert C. Jackson, Gabrielle R. Leung, Nils Pfeifer, Bhupendra A. Raut, Stephen M. Saleeby, Philip Stier, and Susan C. van den Heever
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5309–5330, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5309-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5309-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Building on previous analysis tools developed for atmospheric science, the original release of the Tracking and Object-Based Analysis (tobac) Python package, v1.2, was open-source, modular, and insensitive to the type of gridded input data. Here, we present the latest version of tobac, v1.5, which substantially improves scientific capabilities and computational efficiency from the previous version. These enhancements permit new uses for tobac in atmospheric science and potentially other fields.
Taneil Uttal, Leslie M. Hartten, Siri Jodha Khalsa, Barbara Casati, Gunilla Svensson, Jonathan Day, Jareth Holt, Elena Akish, Sara Morris, Ewan O'Connor, Roberta Pirazzini, Laura X. Huang, Robert Crawford, Zen Mariani, Øystein Godøy, Johanna A. K. Tjernström, Giri Prakash, Nicki Hickmon, Marion Maturilli, and Christopher J. Cox
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5225–5247, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5225-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5225-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
A Merged Observatory Data File (MODF) format to systematically collate complex atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial data sets collected by multiple instruments during field campaigns is presented. The MODF format is also designed to be applied to model output data, yielding format-matching Merged Model Data Files (MMDFs). MODFs plus MMDFs will augment and accelerate the synergistic use of model results with observational data to increase understanding and predictive skill.
Chongzhi Yin, Shin-ichiro Shima, Lulin Xue, and Chunsong Lu
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5167–5189, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5167-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5167-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We investigate numerical convergence properties of a particle-based numerical cloud microphysics model (SDM) and a double-moment bulk scheme for simulating a marine stratocumulus case, compare their results with model intercomparison project results, and present possible explanations for the different results of the SDM and the bulk scheme. Aerosol processes can be accurately simulated using SDM, and this may be an important factor affecting the behavior and morphology of marine stratocumulus.
Zichen Wu, Xueshun Chen, Zifa Wang, Huansheng Chen, Zhe Wang, Qing Mu, Lin Wu, Wending Wang, Xiao Tang, Jie Li, Ying Li, Qizhong Wu, Yang Wang, Zhiyin Zou, and Zijian Jiang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1437, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1437, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We developed a model to simulate polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) from global to regional scales. The model can well reproduce the distribution of PAHs. The concentration of BaP (indicator species for PAHs) could exceed the target values of 1 ng m-3 over some areas (e.g., in central Europe, India, and eastern China). The change of BaP is less than PM2.5 from 2013 to 2018. China still faces significant potential health risks posed by BaP although "the Action Plan" has been implemented.
Alberto Martilli, Negin Nazarian, E. Scott Krayenhoff, Jacob Lachapelle, Jiachen Lu, Esther Rivas, Alejandro Rodriguez-Sanchez, Beatriz Sanchez, and José Luis Santiago
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5023–5039, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5023-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5023-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Here, we present a model that quantifies the thermal stress and its microscale variability at a city scale with a mesoscale model. This tool can have multiple applications, from early warnings of extreme heat to the vulnerable population to the evaluation of the effectiveness of heat mitigation strategies. It is the first model that includes information on microscale variability in a mesoscale model, something that is essential for fully evaluating heat stress.
Nathan P. Arnold
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 5041–5056, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5041-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5041-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Earth system models often represent the land surface at smaller scales than the atmosphere, but surface–atmosphere coupling uses only aggregated surface properties. This study presents a method to allow heterogeneous surface properties to modify boundary layer updrafts. The method is tested in single column experiments. Updraft properties are found to reasonably covary with surface conditions, and simulated boundary layer variability is enhanced over more heterogeneous land surfaces.
Enrico Dammers, Janot Tokaya, Christian Mielke, Kevin Hausmann, Debora Griffin, Chris McLinden, Henk Eskes, and Renske Timmermans
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4983–5007, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4983-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4983-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Nitrogen dioxide (NOx) is produced by sources such as industry and traffic and is directly linked to negative impacts on health and the environment. The current construction of emission inventories to keep track of NOx emissions is slow and time-consuming. Satellite measurements provide a way to quickly and independently estimate emissions. In this study, we apply a consistent methodology to derive NOx emissions over Germany and illustrate the value of having such a method for fast projections.
Yujuan Wang, Peng Zhang, Jie Li, Yaman Liu, Yanxu Zhang, Jiawei Li, and Zhiwei Han
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-109, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-109, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for GMD
Short summary
Short summary
This study updates CESM's aerosol schemes, focusing on dust, marine aerosol emissions, and secondary organic aerosols (SOA) formation. Dust emission modifications make deflation areas more continuous, improving results in North America and the subarctic. Humidity correction to sea-salt emissions has a minor effect. Introducing marine organic aerosol emissions, coupled with ocean biogeochemical processes, and adding aqueous reactions for SOA formation, advance CESM's aerosol modelling results.
Yuhan Xu, Sheng Fang, Xinwen Dong, and Shuhan Zhuang
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4961–4982, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4961-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4961-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Recent atmospheric radionuclide leakages from unknown sources have posed a new challenge in nuclear emergency assessment. Reconstruction via environmental observations is the only feasible way to identify sources, but simultaneous reconstruction of the source location and release rate yields high uncertainties. We propose a spatiotemporally separated reconstruction strategy that avoids these uncertainties and outperforms state-of-the-art methods with respect to accuracy and uncertainty ranges.
Shaokun Deng, Shengmu Yang, Shengli Chen, Daoyi Chen, Xuefeng Yang, and Shanshan Cui
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4891–4909, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4891-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4891-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Global offshore wind power development is moving from offshore to deeper waters, where floating offshore wind turbines have an advantage over bottom-fixed turbines. However, current wind farm parameterization schemes in mesoscale models are not applicable to floating turbines. We propose a floating wind farm parameterization scheme that accounts for the attenuation of the significant wave height by floating turbines. The results indicate that it has a significant effect on the power output.
Virve Eveliina Karsisto
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4837–4853, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4837-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4837-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
RoadSurf is an open-source library that contains functions from the Finnish Meteorological Institute’s road weather model. The evaluation of the library shows that it is well suited for making road surface temperature forecasts. The evaluation was done by making forecasts for about 400 road weather stations in Finland with the library. Accurate forecasts help road authorities perform salting and plowing operations at the right time and keep roads safe for drivers.
Perrine Hamel, Martí Bosch, Léa Tardieu, Aude Lemonsu, Cécile de Munck, Chris Nootenboom, Vincent Viguié, Eric Lonsdorf, James A. Douglass, and Richard P. Sharp
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4755–4771, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4755-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4755-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The InVEST Urban Cooling model estimates the cooling effect of vegetation in cities. We further developed an algorithm to facilitate model calibration and evaluation. Applying the algorithm to case studies in France and in the United States, we found that nighttime air temperature estimates compare well with reference datasets. Estimated change in temperature from a land cover scenario compares well with an alternative model estimate, supporting the use of the model for urban planning decisions.
Gerrit Kuhlmann, Erik Koene, Sandro Meier, Diego Santaren, Grégoire Broquet, Frédéric Chevallier, Janne Hakkarainen, Janne Nurmela, Laia Amorós, Johanna Tamminen, and Dominik Brunner
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4773–4789, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4773-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4773-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We present a Python software library for data-driven emission quantification (ddeq). It can be used to determine the emissions of hot spots (cities, power plants and industry) from remote sensing images using different methods. ddeq can be extended for new datasets and methods, providing a powerful community tool for users and developers. The application of the methods is shown using Jupyter notebooks included in the library.
Marie Taufour, Jean-Pierre Pinty, Christelle Barthe, Benoît Vié, and Chien Wang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-946, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-946, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We have developed a complete 2-moment version of the LIMA microphysics scheme. We have focused on collection processes, where the hydrometeor number transfer is often estimated in proportion to the mass transfer. The impact of these parameterisations on a convective system and the prospects for more realistic estimates of secondary parameters (reflectivity, hydrometeor size) are shown in a first test on an idealised case.
Wendell W. Walters, Masayuki Takeuchi, Nga L. Ng, and Meredith G. Hastings
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4673–4687, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4673-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4673-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The study introduces a novel chemical mechanism for explicitly tracking oxygen isotope transfer in oxidized reactive nitrogen and odd oxygen using the Regional Atmospheric Chemistry Mechanism, version 2. This model enhances our ability to simulate and compare oxygen isotope compositions of reactive nitrogen, revealing insights into oxidation chemistry. The approach shows promise for improving atmospheric chemistry models and tropospheric oxidation capacity predictions.
David C. Wong, Jeff Willison, Jonathan E. Pleim, Golam Sarwar, James Beidler, Russ Bullock, Jerold A. Herwehe, Rob Gilliam, Daiwen Kang, Christian Hogrefe, George Pouliot, and Hosein Foroutan
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-52, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-52, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for GMD
Short summary
Short summary
This work describe how we linked meteorological Model for Prediction Across Scales – Atmosphere (MPAS-A) with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) air quality model to form a coupled modelling system. This could be used to study air quality or climate and air quality interaction in a global scale. This new model scales well on high performance computing environment and performs well with respect to ground surface networks in terms of ozone and PM2.5.
Bing Zhang, Mingjian Zeng, Anning Huang, Zhengkun Qin, Couhua Liu, Wenru Shi, Xin Li, Kefeng Zhu, Chunlei Gu, and Jialing Zhou
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4579–4601, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4579-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4579-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
By directly analyzing the proximity of precipitation forecasts and observations, a precipitation accuracy score (PAS) method was constructed. This method does not utilize a traditional contingency-table-based classification verification; however, it can replace the threat score (TS), equitable threat score (ETS), and other skill score methods, and it can be used to calculate the accuracy of numerical models or quantitative precipitation forecasts.
Hai Bui, Mostafa Bakhoday-Paskyabi, and Mohammadreza Mohammadpour-Penchah
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4447–4465, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4447-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4447-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We developed a new wind turbine wake model, the Simple Actuator Disc for Large Eddy Simulation (SADLES), integrated with the widely used Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. WRF-SADLES accurately simulates wind turbine wakes at resolutions of a few dozen meters, aligning well with idealized simulations and observational measurements. This makes WRF-SADLES a promising tool for wind energy research, offering a balance between accuracy, computational efficiency, and ease of implementation.
Changliang Shao and Lars Nerger
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 4433–4445, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4433-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4433-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This paper introduces and evaluates WRF-PDAF, a fully online-coupled ensemble data assimilation (DA) system. A key advantage of the WRF-PDAF configuration is its ability to concurrently integrate all ensemble states, eliminating the need for time-consuming distribution and collection of ensembles during the coupling communication. The extra time required for DA amounts to only 20.6 % per cycle. Twin experiment results underscore the effectiveness of the WRF-PDAF system.
Cited articles
Bao, X., Wu, L., Zhang, S., Li, Q., Lin, L., Zhao, B., Wu, D., Xia, W., and
Xu, B.: Distinct Raindrop Size Distributions of Convective Inner- and
Outer-Rainband Rain in Typhoon Maria (2018), J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 125,
e2020JD032482, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032482, 2020.
Beheng, K. D.: A parameterization of warm cloud microphysical conversion
processes, Atmos. Res., 33, 193–206,
https://doi.org/10.1016/0169-8095(94)90020-5, 1994.
Berry, E. X.: Modification of the warm rain process, Preprints, First
National Conference on Weather Modification, Albany, NY, USA, 28 April–1 May, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 81–88, http://merlin.lib.umsystem.edu/record=b1539470~S1 (last access: January 2022), 1968.
Berry, E. X. and Reinhardt, R. L.: An Analysis of Cloud Drop Growth by
Collection Part II. Single Initial Distributions, J. Atmos. Sci., 31,
1825–1831, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1974)031<1825:aaocdg>2.0.co;2, 1974.
Caro, D., Wobrock, W., Flossmann, A. I., and Chaumerliac, N.: A two-moment
parameterization of aerosol nucleation and impaction scavenging for a warm
cloud microphysics: description and results from a two-dimensional
simulation, Atmos. Res., 70, 171–208, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2004.01.002, 2004.
Chandrakar, K. K., Cantrell, W., and Shaw, R. A.: Influence of Turbulent
Fluctuations on Cloud Droplet Size Dispersion and Aerosol Indirect Effects,
J. Atmos. Sci., 75, 3191–3209, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0006.1,
2018.
Chen, S.-H. and Sun, W.-Y.: A One-dimensional Time Dependent Cloud Model, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 80, 99–118, https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.80.99, 2002.
Cotton, W. R.: Numerical Simulation of Precipitation Development in
Supercooled Cumuli – Part I, Mon. Weather Rev., 100, 757–763,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1972)100<0757:NSOPDI>2.3.CO;2, 1972.
Doswell, C. A.: Severe Convective Storms – An Overview, Meteor.
Mon., 50, 1–26, https://doi.org/10.1175/0065-9401-28.50.1, 2001.
Dudhia, J.: Numerical Study of Convection Observed during the Winter Monsoon
Experiment Using a Mesoscale Two-Dimensional Model, J. Atmos. Sci., 46,
3077–3107, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1989)046<3077:NSOCOD>2.0.CO;2, 1989.
Falk, N. M., Igel, A. L., and Igel, M. R.: The relative impact of ice fall
speeds and microphysics parameterization complexity on supercell evolution,
Mon. Weather Rev., 147, 2403–2415, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0417.1,
2019.
Flatøy, F.: Comparison of two parameterization schemes for cloud and
precipitation processes, Tellus A, 44, 41–53,
https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v44i1.14942, 1992.
Franklin, C. N.: A Warm Rain Microphysics Parameterization that Includes the
Effect of Turbulence, J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 1795–1816,
https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JAS2556.1, 2008.
Franklin, C. N., Holland, G. J., and May, P. T.: Sensitivity of Tropical
Cyclone Rainbands to Ice-Phase Microphysics, Mon. Weather Rev., 133, 2473–2493,
https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR2989.1, 2005.
Freeman, S. W., Igel, A. L., and van den Heever, S. C.: Relative
sensitivities of simulated rainfall to fixed shape parameters and collection
efficiencies, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 145, 2181–2201,
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3550, 2019.
Fu, H. and Lin, Y.: A Kinematic Model for Understanding Rain Formation
Efficiency of a Convective Cell, J. Adv. Model. Earth Sy., 11, 4395–4422,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001707, 2019.
Ghosh, S. and Jonas, P. R.: On the application of the classic Kessler and
Berry schemes in Large Eddy Simulation models with a particular emphasis on
cloud autoconversion, the onset time of precipitation and droplet
evaporation, Ann. Geophys., 16, 628–637,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00585-998-0628-2, 1999.
Gilmore, M. S. and Straka, J. M.: The Berry and Reinhardt Autoconversion
Parameterization: A Digest, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 47, 375–396,
https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JAMC1573.1, 2008.
Gilmore, M. S., Straka, J. M., and Rasmussen, E. N.: Precipitation
uncertainty due to variations in precipitation particle parameters within a
simple microphysics scheme, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 2610–2627,
https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR2810.1, 2004.
Grabowski, W. W.: Extracting Microphysical Impacts in Large-Eddy Simulations
of Shallow Convection, J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 4493–4499,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0231.1, 2014.
Grabowski, W. W., Wu, X., and Moncrieff, M. W.: Cloud Resolving Modeling of
Tropical Cloud Systems during Phase III of GATE. Part III: Effects of Cloud
Microphysics, J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2384–2402,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1999)056<2384:CRMOTC>2.0.CO;2, 1999.
Grabowski, W. W., Morrison, H., Shima, S.-I., Abade, G. C., Dziekan, P., and
Pawlowska, H.: Modeling of Cloud Microphysics: Can We Do Better?, B.
Am. Meteorol. Soc., 100, 655–672, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0005.1,
2019.
Griffin, B. M. and Larson, V. E.: Analytic upscaling of a local microphysics
scheme. Part II: Simulations, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 139, 58–69,
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.1966, 2013.
Hong, S.-Y., Noh, Y., and Dudhia, J.: A new vertical diffusion package with
an explicit treatment of entrainment processes, Mon. Weather Rev., 134,
2318–2341, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR3199.1, 2006.
Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y. H., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K., and Johnson, C. A. (Eds.): Climate Change 2001: The
Scientific Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 49 pp., 052-1014956, 2001.
Hsieh, W. C., Jonsson, H., Wang, L. P., Buzorius, G., Flagan, R. C.,
Seinfeld, J. H., and Nenes, A.: On the representation of droplet coalescence
and autoconversion: Evaluation using ambient cloud droplet size
distributions, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 114, D07201, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD010502, 2009.
Iacobellis, S. F. and Somerville, R. C. J.: Evaluating parameterizations of
the autoconversion process using a single-column model and Atmospheric
Radiation Measurement Program measurements, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 111,
D02203, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005jd006296, 2006.
Janjić, Z. I.: The step-mountain eta coordinate model: further
developments of the convection, viscous sublayer, and turbulence closure
schemes, Mon. Weather Rev., 122, 927–945,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<0927:TSMECM>2.0.CO;2, 1994.
Jing, X., Suzuki, K., and Michibata, T.: The Key Role of Warm Rain
Parameterization in Determining the Aerosol Indirect Effect in a Global
Climate Model, J. Climate, 32, 4409–4430,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0789.1, 2019.
Kain, J. S.: The Kain–Fritsch Convective Parameterization: An Update, J.
Appl. Meteorol., 43, 170–181,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(2004)043<0170:TKCPAU>2.0.CO;2, 2004.
Kessler, E.: On the Distribution and Continuity of Water Substance in
Atmospheric Circulations, Meteor. Mon., 10, American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, USA, ISBN 978-1-935704-36-2, 1969.
Khain, A. P., Beheng, K. D., Heymsfield, A., Korolev, A., Krichak, S. O.,
Levin, Z., Pinsky, M., Phillips, V., Prabhakaran, T., Teller, A., van den
Heever, S. C., and Yano, J. I.: Representation of microphysical processes in
cloud-resolving models: Spectral (bin) microphysics versus bulk
parameterization, Rev. Geophys., 53, 2014RG000468,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000468, 2015.
Khairoutdinov, M. and Kogan, Y.: A New Cloud Physics Parameterization in a
Large-Eddy Simulation Model of Marine Stratocumulus, Mon. Weather Rev., 128,
229–243, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2000)128<0229:ANCPPI>2.0.CO;2, 2000.
Kogan, Y. and Ovchinnikov, M.: Formulation of Autoconversion and Drop
Spectra Shape in Shallow Cumulus Clouds, J. Atmos. Sci., 77, 711–722,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0134.1, 2019.
Kong, F. and Yau, M. K.: An explicit approach to microphysics in MC2,
Atmos. Ocean, 35, 257–291, https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.1997.9649594,
1997.
Krueger, S. K., Fu, Q., Liou, K. N., and Chin, H.-N. S.: Improvements of an
Ice-Phase Microphysics Parameterization for Use in Numerical Simulations of
Tropical Convection, J. Appl. Meteorol., 34, 281–287,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450-34.1.281, 1995.
Lee, H. and Baik, J.-J.: A physically based autoconversion parameterization,
J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 1599–1616, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-16-0207.1,
2017.
Lei, H., Guo, J., Chen, D., and Yang, J.: Systematic Bias in the Prediction
of Warm-Rain Hydrometeors in the WDM6 Microphysics Scheme and Modifications,
J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 125, e2019JD030756,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030756, 2020.
Lewis, J. M.: Roots of Ensemble Forecasting, Mon. Weather Rev., 133, 1865–1885,
https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR2949.1, 2005.
Li, M., Luo, Y., Zhang, D.-L., Chen, M., Wu, C., Yin, J., and Ma, R.:
Analysis of a record-breaking rainfall event associated with a monsoon
coastal megacity of south China using multi-source data, IEEE T. Geosci.
Remote, 59, 6404–6414, https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2020.3029831, 2020.
Li, X.-Y., Brandenburg, A., Svensson, G., Haugen, N. E. L., Mehlig, B., and
Rogachevskii, I.: Condensational and Collisional Growth of Cloud Droplets in
a Turbulent Environment, J. Atmos. Sci., 77, 337–353,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0107.1, 2019.
Lin, B., Zhang, J., and Lohmann, U.: A New Statistically based
Autoconversion rate Parameterization for use in Large-Scale Models, J.
Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 107, 4750, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001JD001484, 2002.
Liu, Y. and Daum, P. H.: Parameterization of the Autoconversion Process. Part
I: Analytical Formulation of the Kessler-Type Parameterizations, J. Atmos.
Sci., 61, 1539–1548, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2004)061<1539:POTAPI>2.0.CO;2, 2004.
Liu, Y., Daum, P. H., McGraw, R., and Wood, R.: Parameterization of the
Autoconversion Process. Part II: Generalization of Sundqvist-Type
Parameterizations, J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 1103–1109,
https://doi.org/10.1175/jas3675.1, 2006.
Manton, M. J. and Cotton, W. R.: Parameterization of the Atmospheric Surface
Layer, J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 331–334,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1977)034<0331:POTASL>2.0.CO;2, 1977a.
Manton, M. J. and Cotton, W. R.: Formulation of Approximate Equations for
Modeling Moist Deep Convection on the Mesoscale, Atmospheric Science Paper
266, Colorado State University, 62 pp., 1977b.
McCumber, M., Tao, W.-K., Simpson, J., Penc, R., and Soong, S.-T.:
Comparison of Ice-Phase Microphysical Parameterization Schemes Using
Numerical Simulations of Tropical Convection, J. Appl. Meteorol., 30,
985–1004, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450-30.7.985, 1991.
Michibata, T. and Takemura, T.: Evaluation of autoconversion schemes in a
single model framework with satellite observations, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 120, 9570–9590, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD023818, 2015.
Mlawer, E. J., Taubman, S. J., Brown, P. D., Iacono, M. J., and Clough, S.
A.: Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated
correlated-k model for the longwave, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 102,
16663–16682, https://doi.org/10.1029/97JD00237, 1997.
Morrison, H., Thompson, G., and Tatarskii, V.: Impact of Cloud Microphysics
on the Development of Trailing Stratiform Precipitation in a Simulated
Squall Line: Comparison of One-and Two-Moment Schemes, Mon. Weather Rev., 137, 991–1007, https://doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2556.1, 2009.
Morrison, H., van Lier-Walqui, M., Fridlind, A. M., Grabowski, W. W.,
Harrington, J. Y., Hoose, C., Korolev, A., Kumjian, M. R., Milbrandt, J. A.,
Pawlowska, H., Posselt, D. J., Prat, O. P., Reimel, K. J., Shima, S.-I., van
Diedenhoven, B., and Xue, L.: Confronting the Challenge of Modeling Cloud
and Precipitation Microphysics, J. Adv. Model. Earth Sy., 12, e2019MS001689,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001689, 2020.
Naeger, A. R., Colle, B. A., Zhou, N., and Molthan, A.: Evaluating Warm and
Cold Rain Processes in Cloud Microphysical Schemes Using OLYMPEX Field
Measurements, Mon. Weather Rev., 148, 2163–2190,
https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0092.1, 2020.
National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Weather Service/NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce: NCEP FNL Operational Model Global Tropospheric Analyses, continuing from July 1999, Research Data Archive at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Computational and Information Systems Laboratory [data set], https://doi.org/10.5065/D65Q4T4Z, 2015.
Niu, G.-Y., Yang, Z.-L., Mitchell, K. E., Chen, F., Ek, M. B., Barlage, M.,
Kumar, A., Manning, K., Niyogi, D., Rosero, E., Tewari, M., and Xia, Y.: The
community Noah land surface model with multiparameterization options
(Noah-MP): 1. Model description and evaluation with local-scale
measurements, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 116, D12109,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015139, 2011.
Onishi, R., Matsuda, K., and Takahashi, K.: Lagrangian Tracking Simulation
of Droplet Growth in Turbulence–Turbulence Enhancement of Autoconversion
Rate, J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 2591–2607,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0292.1, 2015.
Pawlowska, H. and Brenguier, J. L.: A study of the microphysical structure of stratocumulus clouds, Proc. 12th International Commission on Clouds and Precipitation, Zurich, Switzerland, 19–23 August 1996, edited by: Jones, P. R., Page Bros., Norwich, U.K., 123–126, 1996.
Posselt, D. J., He, F., Bukowski, J., and Reid, J. S.: On the Relative
Sensitivity of a Tropical Deep Convective Storm to Changes in Environment
and Cloud Microphysical Parameters, J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 1163–1185,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0181.1, 2019.
Randall, D. A., Bitz, C. M., Danabasoglu, G., Denning, A. S., Gent, P. R.,
Gettelman, A., Griffies, S. M., Lynch, P., Morrison, H., Pincus, R., and
Thuburn, J.: 100 Years of Earth System Model Development, Meteor. Mon.,
59, 12.11–12.66, https://doi.org/10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-18-0018.1, 2019.
Reen, B.: A brief guide to observation nudging in WRF, available at:
https://www2.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/docs/ObsNudgingGuide.pdf (last access: January 2022), 2016.
Reisner, J., Rasmussen, R. M., and Bruintjes, R. T.: Explicit forecasting of
supercooled liquid water in winter storms using the MM5 mesoscale model,
Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 124, 1071–1107,
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712454804, 1998.
Rutledge, S. A. and Hobbs, P. V.: The Mesoscale and Microscale Structure and
Organization of Clouds and Precipitation in Midlatitude Cyclones. XII: A
Diagnostic Modeling Study of Precipitation Development in Narrow
Cold-Frontal Rainbands, J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 2949–2972,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1984)041<2949:TMAMSA>2.0.CO;2, 1984.
Schultz, P.: An Explicit Cloud Physics Parameterization for Operational
Numerical Weather Prediction, Mon. Weather Rev., 123, 3331–3343,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1995)123<3331:AECPPF>2.0.CO;2, 1995.
Seifert, A. and Beheng, K. D.: A double-moment parameterization for
simulating autoconversion, accretion and selfcollection, Atmos. Res., 59–60,
265–281, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-8095(01)00126-0, 2001.
Seifert, A., Nuijens, L., and Stevens, B.: Turbulence effects on warm-rain
autoconversion in precipitating shallow convection, Q. J. Roy. Meteor.
Soc., 136, 1753–1762, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.684, 2010.
Silverman, B. A. and Glass, M.: A Numerical Simulation of Warm Cumulus
Clouds: Part I. Parameterized vs Non-Parameterized Microphysics, J. Atmos.
Sci., 30, 1620–1637, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1973)030<1620:ANSOWC>2.0.CO;2, 1973.
Simpson, J. and Wiggert, V.: Models of precipitating cumulus towers, Mon.
Weather Rev., 97, 471–489, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1969)097<0471:MOPCT>2.3.CO;2, 1969.
Skamarock, W. C., Klemp, J. B., Duda, M. G., Fowler, L. D., Park, S.-H., and
Ringler, T. D.: A Multiscale Nonhydrostatic Atmospheric Model Using
Centroidal Voronoi Tesselations and C-Grid Staggering, Mon. Weather Rev., 140, 3090–3105, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00215.1, 2012.
Skamarock, W. C., Klemp, J. B., Dudhia, J., Gill, D. O., Liu, Z., Berner,
J., Wang, W., Powers, J. G., Duda, M. G., Barker, D. M., and Huang, X.-Y.: A
Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 4, NCAR Tech. Note
NCAR/TN-556+STR, 145 pp., https://doi.org/10.5065/1dfh-6p97, 2019 (data available at: https://doi.org/10.5065/D6MK6B4K).
Sundqvist, H., Berge, E., and Kristjánsson, J. E.: Condensation and
Cloud Parameterization Studies with a Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction
Model, Mon. Weather Rev., 117, 1641–1657,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1989)117<1641:cacpsw>2.0.co;2, 1989.
Tao, W.-K. and Simpson, J.: Goddard Cumulus Ensemble Model. Part I: Model
Description, Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci., 4, 35–72,
https://doi.org/10.3319/TAO.1993.4.1.35(A), 1993.
Tapiador, F. J., Sánchez, J.-L., and García-Ortega, E.: Empirical
values and assumptions in the microphysics of numerical models, Atmos. Res.,
215, 214–238, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.09.010, 2019.
Thompson, G., Rasmussen, R. M., and Manning, K.: Explicit Forecasts of
Winter Precipitation Using an Improved Bulk Microphysics Scheme. Part I:
Description and Sensitivity Analysis, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 519–542,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<0519:EFOWPU>2.0.CO;2, 2004.
Thompson, G., Field, P. R., Rasmussen, R. M., and Hall, W. D.: Explicit
Forecasts of Winter Precipitation Using an Improved Bulk Microphysics
Scheme. Part II: Implementation of a New Snow Parameterization, Mon. Weather
Rev., 136, 5095–5115, https://doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2387.1, 2008.
Wellmann, C., Barrett, A. I., Johnson, J. S., Kunz, M., Vogel, B., Carslaw, K. S., and Hoose, C.: Comparing the impact of environmental conditions and microphysics on the forecast uncertainty of deep convective clouds and hail, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 2201–2219, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-2201-2020, 2020.
White, B., Gryspeerdt, E., Stier, P., Morrison, H., Thompson, G., and Kipling, Z.: Uncertainty from the choice of microphysics scheme in convection-permitting models significantly exceeds aerosol effects, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 12145–12175, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-12145-2017, 2017.
Wood, R.: Drizzle in Stratiform Boundary Layer Clouds. Part II:
Microphysical Aspects, J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 3034–3050,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3530.1, 2005.
Wood, R. and Blossey, P. N.: Comments on “Parameterization of the
Autoconversion Process. Part I: Analytical Formulation of the Kessler-Type
Parameterizations”, J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 3003–3006,
https://doi.org/10.1175/jas3524.1, 2005.
Wood, R., Field, P. R., and Cotton, W. R.: Autoconversion rate bias in
stratiform boundary layer cloud parameterizations, Atmos. Res., 65, 109–128,
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-8095(02)00071-6, 2002.
Xiao, H., Yin, Y., Zhao, P., Wan, Q., and Liu, X.: Effect of Aerosol
Particles on Orographic Clouds: Sensitivity to Autoconversion Schemes,
Adv. Atmos. Sci., 37, 229–238,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-019-9037-6, 2020.
Yin, J., Wang, D., and Zhai, G.: An attempt to improve Kessler-type
parameterization of warm cloud microphysical conversion processes using
CloudSat observations, J. Meteorol. Res., 29, 82–92,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-015-4091-1, 2015.
Yin, J., Zhang, D.-L., Luo, Y., and Ma, R.: On the Extreme Rainfall Event of
7 May 2017 Over the Coastal City of Guangzhou. Part I: Impacts of
Urbanization and Orography, Mon. Weather Rev., 148, 955–979,
https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0212.1, 2020.
Yin, J., Liang, X., Wang, H., and Xue, H.: Representation of the Autoconversion from Cloud to Rain, Zenodo [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5052639, 2021.
Yin, J.-F., Wang, D.-H., Liang, Z.-M., Liu, C.-J., Zhai, G.-Q., and Wang,
H.: Numerical Study of the Role of Microphysical Latent Heating and Surface
Heat Fluxes in a Severe Precipitation Event in the Warm Sector over Southern
China, Asia-Pac. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 77–90,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-017-0061-0, 2018.
Yuter, S. E. and Houze, R. A.: Three-Dimensional Kinematic and Microphysical
Evolution of Florida Cumulonimbus. Part II: Frequency Distributions of
Vertical Velocity, Reflectivity, and Differential Reflectivity, Mon. Weather
Rev., 123, 1941–1963, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1995)123<1941:TDKAME>2.0.CO;2, 1995.
Zhang, Y., Li, J., Yu, R., Zhang, S., Liu, Z., Huang, J., and Zhou, Y.: A
Layer-Averaged Nonhydrostatic Dynamical Framework on an Unstructured Mesh
for Global and Regional Atmospheric Modeling: Model Description, Baseline
Evaluation, and Sensitivity Exploration, J. Adv. Model. Earth Sy., 11,
1685–1714, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001539, 2019.
Short summary
An ensemble (EN) approach was designed to improve autoconversion (ATC) from cloud water to rainwater in cloud microphysics schemes. One unique feature of the EN approach is that the ATC rate is a mean value based on the calculations from several widely used ATC schemes. The ensemble approach proposed herein appears to help improve the representation of cloud and precipitation processes in weather and climate models.
An ensemble (EN) approach was designed to improve autoconversion (ATC) from cloud water to...