the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Development of aerosol optical properties for improving the MESSy photolysis module in the GEM-MACH v2.4 air quality model and application for calculating photolysis rates in a biomass burning plume
Mahtab Majdzadeh
Craig A. Stroud
Christopher Sioris
Paul A. Makar
Ayodeji Akingunola
Chris McLinden
Xiaoyi Zhao
Michael D. Moran
Ihab Abboud
Jack Chen
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- Final revised paper (published on 12 Jan 2022)
- Preprint (discussion started on 08 Jul 2021)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
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RC1: 'Comment on gmd-2021-172', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Aug 2021
The manuscript shows the development an evaluation of aerosol effects on photolysis rates on the GEM-MACH air quality model, and how the inclusion of aerosol feedbacks in meteorology play a role in photolysis rates as well. The manuscript is very well written, is within the scope of GMD, and represents an excellent contribution to the field. I think the paper needs a bit more work before it’s ready for publication based on the comments below.
My main comments are the following.
• The manuscript is very thorough in terms of their methods and results, but I believe is missing more discussion of the results. I highlighted many missed opportunities to do this in the comments by line below
• It would be nice to expand this analysis all the way to the trace gases (O3 and NO2) assessing the impact of the changes into air quality. This is done for the fire case study, but it would also be nice to see it over cities during high AOD events.
• The aerosol and optical properties treatment shown in this manuscript is very detailed, more detailed than what’s in many other air quality models. Thus, I think there is a missed opportunity to evaluate aerosol optical properties other than AOD. For instance, the authors do a detailed treatment of BC mixing state, so evaluating absorption (e.g., AERONET provides SSA retrievals) would be of interest. This model has a detailed treatment of aerosols size, so evaluating Angstrom exponent (a proxy for aerosol size) would also be of interest.
• The fire analyzed shows model peak PM2.5 concentration ~50 ug/m3 which is a relatively weak smoke plume. I think a more extreme fire (i.e., PM2.5 concentrations > 1000 ug/m3) should be analyzed in which case I think the effects of the photolysis rates updates will play a more important role. The NSF WE-CAN and NOAA-NASA FIREX-AQ field campaigns measured some of these extreme fires, including a full suite of trace gas measurements and photolysis rates which would allow for a more thorough evaluation of the updated photolysis module. I would encourage the authors to take advantage of those datasets
• While the title suggests the work is mostly about aerosol feedbacks on photolysis rates, a good portion of the study describes the new treatment of aerosol optical properties including considerable evaluation of it. Thus, I suggest to somehow reflect this into the title for consistencyComments by line:
265. It would if the authors could list the refractive indexes used for all species at dry conditions at mid-visible wavelength for comparison to other studies.
310. It would be desirable if the authors list the aerosol densities used for the mass to volume conversion
345-346. I would also expect a dependence on the refractive index of the shell. What is assumed here?
355. In this treatment you are still computing the optical properties independently for each aerosol type and then adding up, so it’s not fully representing an internal mixture. My understanding of computing aerosol properties for internal mixture is that a volume-weighted average refractive index is first computed and then this goes to Mie theory. I understand that the use of table look ups might limit the application of this approach, but at least there should be some sensitivity analysis to show how the current approach compares to fully internal mixture and fully external mixture treatments for a range of mixtures.
Table 3. What does “AOD Calculations” mean in Table 3? How are aerosol feedbacks included when there are no AOD calculations (S2 and W2)? Are the aerosol optical properties computations consistent between the photolisys and aerosol feedback modules when columns 3 and 4 are set to “yes”?
Section 3.1. There is no discussion of these results. The reader is left wondering what generates such a large range of values in the base model
497-499. Any insights on why would the model underpredict the maximum values? Perhaps a bit of analysis could provide paths for future improvements. For instance, one thing I would look for is if RH at the location of the aerosols was high for these days. Is the model representing RH/water vapor for these days? You could look into nearby sounding, AERONET also has a precipitable water product. Also what type of aerosol types were prevalent those days. Was surface aerosol elevated on those days as well (could look into PM2.5 observations)?
515. More discussion is needed here. Is this larger observed variability linked to the underprediction of the peaks mentioned earlier?
530. Additional analysis could be added. What is the hotspot shown by MERRA2 in Alberta during winter not shown by GEM-MACH?
550. There some “hotspots” in the JNO2 differences (Fig 10f), specially in some regions of the US. It would be nice if you could provide an interpretation. Are these due to aerosols only? Are clouds playing a role?
554-559. These results are a bit puzzling, it would be good to gain better understanding on what’s going on. On Fig 10 you show negligible changes of including or not AOD on photolisys rates (f). So a +/-30% in AOD is likely not responsible for the +/-40% change in J values in Fig 11. I would add a panel showing the changes in cloud properties to see if that explains the the J value differences. Differences of dry aerosol column would also help explain the AOD changes.
595 The MODIS level 3 data is pretty coarse, so a higher resolution datasets would be better. MODIS level 3 is an aggregation of MODIS level 2, which is ~10km but it will have the tendency of screen dense smoke plume out as clouds (you can check this on NASA worldview). Products that consider a smoke detection algorithm are generally recommended for these comparisons. These include NOAA enterprise VIIRS AOD product and the MODIS MAIAC retrievals.
599-605. MERRA has coarser resolution that GEM-MACH simulations so resolution is likely not an issue. MERRA tends to use a relatively flat diurnal cycle of emissions which can sometimes overpredict emissions outside of the peak fire hours. So one issue could be that that plume corresponds to the same fire earlier in the day, but that is not really there. Using better AOD retrievals could help corroborate this
621. Might be worth mentioning that (based on the spatial plot) the injected plume seems to transported more towards the northeast, which is probably why it doesn’t show up in the crossection away from the fire
634-635. Looking at Fig. 16 I’m seeing much larger deviations than stated in the text, please double-check. Also, looks like differences are enhanced away from the surface (but still in the PBL) where it can still affect trace gases after chemistry and transport, which I also think is worth discussing.
637-640. Since BC is changing and you don’t expect significant BC changes due to photoliysys changes, then is worth to mention here that this is likely related to the aerosol feedbacks
Minor Edits
Throughout the text there were places where it looks like spaces between words were missing, not sure if this is actually happening or it was some artifact of the text editor or pdf printer. Please double check
48. on “whereas an “externally mixed” population of particles consists of only one chemical species” I think you meant something like “whereas an “externally mixed” population of particles consists of each particle being of only one chemical species”
55. Instead of “Black carbon can exist in different mixing states:” I would say “Black carbon is generally modeled using different assumptions on its mixing state:” as these correspond to modeling aproximations
109. I think you should remove the parenthesis from “(revised)”
203: there is a “(“ that’s not closed
Fig 10. Using blue for the lake boundaries and as a shade for the differences make it confusing. I would recommend changing the lake boundary color to one not used in the difference color-scale.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2021-172-RC1 -
AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mahtab Majdzadeh, 30 Sep 2021
We thank the reviewers for their time and effort to provide us with their feedback and to make valuable improvements to our manuscript.
Our responses to reviewer 1:
My main comments are the following.
- The manuscript is very thorough in terms of their methods and results, but I believe is missing more discussion of the results. I highlighted many missed opportunities to do this in the comments by line below
- It would be nice to expand this analysis all the way to the trace gases (O3 and NO2) assessing the impact of the changes into air quality. This is done for the fire case study, but it would also be nice to see it over cities during high AOD events.
Authors response: We have looked at the impact on photolysis rates and trace gases over urban areas in our domain and the impacts are minor for the period of simulation considered.
- The aerosol and optical properties treatment shown in this manuscript is very detailed, more detailed than what’s in many other air quality models. Thus, I think there is a missed opportunity to evaluate aerosol optical properties other than AOD. For instance, the authors do a detailed treatment of BC mixing state, so evaluating absorption (e.g., AERONET provides SSA retrievals) would be of interest. This model has a detailed treatment of aerosols size, so evaluating Angstrom exponent (a proxy for aerosol size) would also be of interest.
Authors response: This is an excellent suggestion and is inline with the outline of our next manuscript of further investigating the effects of the improved photolysis module with a nested configuration of GEM-MACH 10-km domain to a 2.5 km Athabasca Oil Sands domain. In addition, in the new study, we will perform a more detailed comparisons of model output with observations (e.g. black carbon mass concentrations and particle absorption coefficients) under the Oil Sands Monitoring Program, 2018 aircraft campaign.
- The fire analyzed shows model peak PM2.5 concentration ~50 ug/m3 which is a relatively weak smoke plume. I think a more extreme fire (i.e., PM2.5 concentrations > 1000 ug/m3) should be analyzed in which case I think the effects of the photolysis rates updates will play a more important role. The NSF WE-CAN and NOAA-NASA FIREX-AQ field campaigns measured some of these extreme fires, including a full suite of trace gas measurements and photolysis rates which would allow for a more thorough evaluation of the updated photolysis module. I would encourage the authors to take advantage of those datasets
Authors response: This is a good recommendation. In this work, our funding was through the Joint Oil Sands Monitoring program and this required us to focus on the period of Oil Sands intensive measurements; other fires are indeed available in other datasets, and we will pursue this in future work
- While the title suggests the work is mostly about aerosol feedbacks on photolysis rates, a good portion of the study describes the new treatment of aerosol optical properties including considerable evaluation of it. Thus, I suggest to somehow reflect this into the title for consistency.
Authors response: Thanks for your comment. We changed the title to address your suggestion: “Development of Aerosol Optical Properties for Improving the MESSY Photolysis Module in the GEM-MACH v2.4 Air Quality Model and Application for Calculating Photolysis Rates in a Biomass Burning Plume”.
Comments by line:
- It would if the authors could list the refractive indexes used for all species at dry conditions at mid-visible wavelength for comparison to other studies.
Authors response: We added the refractive indices of all aerosol types in the new Table 2 (can be found in the supplement file).
- It would be desirable if the authors list the aerosol densities used for the mass to volume conversion
Authors response: We added the densities of all aerosol types in the new Table 2 (can be found in the supplement file).
- 345-346. I would also expect a dependence on the refractive index of the shell. What is assumed here?
Authors response: The core-shell parameterizations used in our study (Bond et al., 2006) is for a range of realistic particle sizes containing black carbon (core) surrounded by a concentric shell of weakly absorbing material. Bond and Bergstrom (2006), pointed out that scattering and absorption depend on the physical form of the particles and that the light absorption of carbonaceous particles depends strongly on the size of the bonded structure. According to Bond and Bergstrom (2006), since the absorptive properties of light-absorbing carbon are not very variable, a narrow range of refractive indices for strongly-absorbing carbon particles was recommended, of which the highest is 1.95 - 0.79i.
Bond et al. (2006), provided amplification factors on the basis of core and shell size, which are not very sensitive to assumed refractive index of light absorbing carbon (LAC). According to Bond et al. (2006) the volume-weighted mixing approximations produce unjustified overestimates of absorption. In order to examine the sensitivity of the absorption amplification to different refractive indices, they performed some sensitivity tests and calculated the error to the fitted amplification factors with three different refractive indices (base: 1.85 + 0.71i, Low m: 1.55 + 0.55i, High m: 2.0 + 1i, and Less Absorbing: 1.96 + 0.66i). They found that the predicted amplifications are not very sensitive to the assumed refractive index of LAC (within ~15% for those three refractive indices).
We listed the refractive indices of the (shell) aerosols in the new Table 2 (in the supplement file).
- 355. In this treatment you are still computing the optical properties independently for each aerosol type and then adding up, so it’s not fully representing an internal mixture. My understanding of computing aerosol properties for internal mixture is that a volume-weighted average refractive index is first computed and then this goes to Mie theory. I understand that the use of table look ups might limit the application of this approach, but at least there should be some sensitivity analysis to show how the current approach compares to fully internal mixture and fully external mixture treatments for a range of mixtures.
Authors response: We used the terms “internal particle components” and “volume-averaged homogeneous mixture of ammonium sulfate, ammonium nitrate, primary and secondary organics” to describe the soluble surrounding species in the core-shell treatment. The most common assumptions for aerosol mixing states in the literature are the external mixture and internal mixture. The term internal mixture can also be applied to the core-shell mixing state. In the ‘external mixture’, extinction, scattering and absorption efficiencies are calculated separately for each chemical species, and the total optical efficiencies are calculated by adding the efficiencies of the components in each size bin (Péré et al., 2009; Lesins et al., 2002). In most studies, the refractive index of an ‘internally mixed’ particle is calculated by volume-weighting of all the refractive indices of pure species (Péré et al., 2009; Jacobson, 2001).
The internally mixed assumption using the volume-weighted refractive indices has its limitations, e.g. Bond and Bergstrom (2006), refers to this method as the most common, but one of the poorest ones. The calculations of the scattering and absorption with the assumption of a single value for the refractive index of the internally mixed aerosols would strongly depend on the underlying model assumptions (Bond et al., 2006). According to Jacobson (2000) the internally well-mixed method for elemental carbon is physically unreal, and the core treatment for elemental carbon is more representative compared to the externally mixed treatment.
In the case of internal mixture in our study, we used the computationally-efficient method of calculating the optical properties of each individual aerosol type using the offline Mie code and created a lookup table for aerosol optical properties to be used by the model. The resulting Mie lookup table and the volume average of the mixed particles was used to calculate the scattering and absorption coefficients and asymmetry factor of mixed particles. On the other hand, the term ‘external mixture’ would not be applicable in our case, in that an external mixture was not maintained in the model code.
Table S1 (in the supplement file) shows an example of different treatments of the soluble species surrounding the black carbon core: ammonium sulfate, organics and water. We calculated the optical properties of these species using two different methods: 1) volume averaging the refractive indices and calculating the extinction, scattering and absorption efficiency of the mixture, 2) using the optical properties of pure components and volume-weighting the pure optical properties, the latter being the approach we adopted in the model. We used an on-line Mie calculator (https://omlc.org/calc/mie_calc.html) and the optical properties of ammonium sulfate, organics and water at 0.5 µm (Jacobson, 2005) for particle diameter of 0.2 µm to carry out these calculations. We calculated a maximum difference of -2.7% for four different combinations of aerosol concentrations. The narrow range of the real part of the refractive indices in the soluble species in the fine mode particle mixture yields a low level of uncertainty in the two different particle mixture treatments. This level of uncertainty is much less than the error in the vertical profile of PM2.5 mass concentration and humidity calculated by GEM-MACH model.
- Table 3. What does “AOD Calculations” mean in Table 3? How are aerosol feedbacks included when there are no AOD calculations (S2 and W2)? Are the aerosol optical properties computations consistent between the photolysis and aerosol feedback modules when columns 3 and 4 are set to “yes”?
Authors response: Having no AOD means that in the photolysis module we set the total AOD, scattering and absorption optical depth at each grid point to zero, meaning that in the simulations without AOD there is no direct aerosol optical effect on the photolysis rate calculations. The aerosol feedbacks on meteorology code was developed in a previous study for the GEM radiative transfer scheme. GEM uses the particle mass size distribution predicted internally by MACH at each time step, but assumes a constant chemical speciation profile for gas species (typical of an aged polluted air mass) when calculating optical properties. This is largely due to the computation cost of Mie calculations in the GEM model. Our next step is to modify the GEM radiation code to include the particle chemical composition on-line and our hybrid particle mixing state assumptions.
We have included the following text in the revised paper:
Note that in the “no-feedback” simulations, aerosol optical (and cloud condensation nucleation) properties in GEM come from default climatological properties used in the GEM weather forecast model (Makar et al, 2015a, b). That is, our “no-feedback” simulation is not a “no aerosol” simulation – rather, the “no-feedback” simulation makes use of spatially invariant, “typical” optical properties of our weather forecast model. Having “no AOD” in this case means that model aerosol AOD had not been calculated since it is not used in the feedback code. Further, the aerosol feedback on meteorology code developed in a previous study for the GEM radiative transfer scheme (Makar et al, 2015a, b). In the feedback mode, GEM-MACH uses a separate Mie calculation generating a lookup-table online, using the particle mass size distribution predicted internally by MACH at each time step, but with a single typical complex refractive index. In contrast, our photolysis rate calculations and the AODs we calculate in the current work are decoupled from this feedback portion of the model. Our next step in this work is to further modify the GEM radiation code to include the particle chemical composition on-line, and our hybrid particle mixing state assumptions, as an alternative to the existing AOD calculation within the feedback portion of the code.
- Section 3.1. There is no discussion of these results. The reader is left wondering what generates such a large range of values in the base model
Authors response: We added the following text to the manuscript following figure 5:
The base MESSY module uses a climatology for aerosol number density with one fixed vertical profile for grid cells over-land and another fixed vertical profile over water (see Table 1). The uniformity of the fixed profiles does not account for the real atmospheric variability resulting in the larger differences between model and observed aerosol optical depths for the base MESSY version.
- 497-499. Any insights on why would the model underpredict the maximum values? Perhaps a bit of analysis could provide paths for future improvements. For instance, one thing I would look for is if RH at the location of the aerosols was high for these days. Is the model representing RH/water vapor for these days? You could look into nearby sounding, AERONET also has a precipitable water product. Also what type of aerosol types were prevalent those days. Was surface aerosol elevated on those days as well (could look into PM2.5 observations)?
Authors response: Thank you for your recommendation.
We compared the AOD time series of Fort MacKay and Toronto with humidity and PM2.5 concentrations for both seasons. The high values of AOD correspond to the increase in the concentration of PM2.5, and the difference in the maximum values are linked to the underestimation of PM2.5 by GEM-MACH that needs improvement, and will be investigated in the upcoming project.
- 515. More discussion is needed here. Is this larger observed variability linked to the underprediction of the peaks mentioned earlier?
Authors response: Yes, there is more variability in the observed time series than model and this is shown in time series in Figure 6 and in the standard deviation vertical bars in Figure 8.
- 530. Additional analysis could be added. What is the hotspot shown by MERRA2 in Alberta during winter not shown by GEM-MACH?
Authors response: Thank you for your recommendation. We added the following text to the manuscript:
The location of the hotspot in central Alberta in winter season in the MERRA product is coincident with the location of coal-fired power plants and oil refinery emissions of SO2. This could be the result of different SO2 emissions used in MERRA and GEM-MACH models or an over-prediction error when sulfate aerosol is retrieved over a snow covered surface.
- 550. There some “hotspots” in the JNO2 differences (Fig 10f), specially in some regions of the US. It would be nice if you could provide an interpretation. Are these due to aerosols only? Are clouds playing a role?
Authors response: Figures 10(e) and (f) are the % difference in J(O1D) and J(NO2), respectively, for the direct effect of aerosols on photolysis rates, and the locations of greatest impact are different for J(O1D) and J(NO2). The difference between JNO2 and JO1D hotspots in south-east US likely reflect the wavelength dependence of the scatter of solar radiation and the high humidity and more aerosol water in that area.
We added the following text to the manuscript:
The hotspots of greatest difference in Fig. 10(f) reflect the direct effects on aerosol with no weather feedback in these simulations.
- 554-559. These results are a bit puzzling, it would be good to gain better understanding on what’s going on. On Fig 10 you show negligible changes of including or not AOD on photolisys rates (f). So a +/-30% in AOD is likely not responsible for the +/-40% change in J values in Fig 11. I would add a panel showing the changes in cloud properties to see if that explains the the J value differences. Differences of dry aerosol column would also help explain the AOD changes.
Authors response: The moist marine air masses have the greatest JNO2 change likely due to changes in low clouds. The vertical profiles in Figure S1 in the supplement file show the percentage difference in (a) JNO2, (b) number mixing ratio of clouds (droplets) and (c) specific humidity over an area with high values of JNO2 difference. Note that 0.988 hybrid level corresponds to ~820 hPa or ~1750 meters above seal level. These vertical profiles support the importance of low clouds. The areas impacted are mostly over the ocean or along ocean boundaries (northeast US/Canada, Northwest Territories, north Pacific). Over land, in convective air masses, there is less impact on JNO2 averaged over a region. These changes in humidity impact low clouds which, in turn, impact the radiative transfer and photolysis rates.
We added the following text along with the new Fig. 11 to the manuscript (the new Fig. 11 can be found in the supplement file):
As we can see in Fig. 11, the moist marine air masses have the greatest impact on J-values change likely due to changes in low clouds. The areas impacted are mostly over the ocean or along ocean boundaries (northeast US/Canada, Northwest Territories, north Pacific). Over land, in convective air masses, there is less impact on J-values averaged over a region. These changes in humidity impact low clouds which, in turn, impact the radiative transfer and photolysis rates.
- 595 The MODIS level 3 data is pretty coarse, so a higher resolution datasets would be better. MODIS level 3 is an aggregation of MODIS level 2, which is ~10km but it will have the tendency of screen dense smoke plume out as clouds (you can check this on NASA worldview). Products that consider a smoke detection algorithm are generally recommended for these comparisons. These include NOAA enterprise VIIRS AOD product and the MODIS MAIAC retrievals.
Authors response: We thank the reviewer for this information. We replaced MODIS and MERRA-2 plots in figure 14 with MAIAC and VIIRS plots (the new Fig. 14 can be found in the supplement file).
- 599-605. MERRA has coarser resolution that GEM-MACH simulations so resolution is likely not an issue. MERRA tends to use a relatively flat diurnal cycle of emissions which can sometimes overpredict emissions outside of the peak fire hours. So one issue could be that that plume corresponds to the same fire earlier in the day, but that is not really there. Using better AOD retrievals could help corroborate this
Authors response: We replaced MODIS and MERRA-2 (hourly) plots in Figure 14 with MAIAC and VIIRS plots, with the following text appearing in the revised manuscript (the new Fig. 14 can be found in the supplement file):
Measurement data from MAIAC (“Multi-Angle Implementation of Atmospheric Correction (Lyapustin et al., 2018)”), VIIRS (“Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (Hillger et al., 2013)”), the MERRA-2 re-analysis (Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications - Version 2, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, 2015) and AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network) ground-based measurements, were used in this study to to evaluate the modifications in the photolysis module in GEM-MACH.
MAIAC is an advanced algorithm which produces global AOD from MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) Terra and Aqua satellite data. NASA’s Terra and Aqua satellite are in polar orbits. The MODIS instruments have a global coverage of one to two days in 36 spectral bands between 0.405 to 14.385 µm. For the purpose of this study, we used MAIAC gridded daily average AOD data at 550 nm, with 1 km spatial resolution (obtained from: https://e4ftl01.cr.usgs.gov/MOTA/MCD19A2.006/). VIIRS is one of the Earth observing instruments aboard the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (Suomi NPP) satellite. Level 2 VIIRS AOD data at 550 nm with a spatial resolution of 6 km at nadir were used in this study (obtained from https://www.avl.class.noaa.gov/saa/products/welcome).
Figure 14(a) shows the daily AOD at 550 nm from the MAIAC, Fig. 14(b) is the daily AOD at 550 nm from the VIIRS, and Fig. 14(c) is GEM-MACH AOD at 580 nm over La Loche area at 23:00 UTC on June 25, 2018. Both MAIAC and VIIRS plots (Fig. 14(b) and 14 (c)) show two areas of maxima; one is directly over the forest fire plume, similar to the hotspot on GEM-MACH plot (Fig. 14(c)), and a weaker hotspot over the north-east of the major forest fire plume, which is more intensified compared to the GEM-MACH secondary hotspot. The aging of the major fire plume downwind is evident in all three plots. The maximum GEM-MACH AOD (0.625) is underestimated compared to the MAIAC (maximum of 3) and VIIRS (maximum of 1.7). One possible explanation for this underestimation could be the potential deficiencies in the CFFEPS forest fire emissions or aerosol processes in this simulation. Curci et al (2015) suggest that AOD underpredictions may be a common problem for current air-quality models.
- Might be worth mentioning that (based on the spatial plot) the injected plume seems to transported more towards the northeast, which is probably why it doesn’t show up in the crossection away from the fire
Authors response: The following sentences have been added to the text:
There are multiple injected fire plumes and they move off in different directions as a result of different plumes reaching different heights in the atmosphere as well as variation over time. The model captures the branch moving toward Fort MacKay but not the branches that move farther north. Only the branch traveling to Fort MacKay is shown in the vertical cross section. While this aged plume still has character originating from the forest fire, it does not originate from all the fire emissions near Lac La Loche.
- 634-635. Looking at Fig. 16 I’m seeing much larger deviations than stated in the text, please double-check. Also, looks like differences are enhanced away from the surface (but still in the PBL) where it can still affect trace gases after chemistry and transport, which I also think is worth discussing.
Authors response: We have changed the text to reflect the corrected numbers and included them as a range corresponding to the values at the surface up to the mid-boundary layer:
Figure 16(a) shows the reduction of O3 in the fresh fire plume below the PBL due to the decrease in J(O1D), reaching a difference close to 1% to 6% from the surface up to the mid-boundary layer. The OH radical concentration difference (Fig. 16(b)) responds to the O3 change and decreases by 10% to 20% from the surface up to the boundary level, due to the AOD feedback on the photolysis rates.
As shown, differences can affect chemistry not just at the surface but also in the mid-boundary layer. Even larger differences are observed at the upper boundary of the mixed layer. These are more likely due to changes in mixing height when the feedback on meteorology version of the model is turned on. We have less confidence in the reproducibility of these changes near the upper boundary layer because of their more irregular nature.
- 637-640. Since BC is changing and you don’t expect significant BC changes due to photoliysys changes, then is worth to mention here that this is likely related to the aerosol feedbacks
Authors response: Yes, the changes in black carbon concentration (±10%) in Figure 16d at the surface up to the mid-boundary layer are mostly due to aerosol feedbacks on meteorology. We have added this sentence to the discussion of Figure 16.
The changes in black carbon concentration (±5%) in Fig. 16(d) at the surface up to the mid-boundary layer are mostly due to aerosol feedbacks on meteorology.
Minor Edits
- Throughout the text there were places where it looks like spaces between words were missing, not sure if this is actually happening or it was some artifact of the text editor or pdf printer. Please double check
Authors response: We made the correction when creating the pdf file.
- on “whereas an “externally mixed” population of particles consists of only one chemical species” I think you meant something like “whereas an “externally mixed” population of particles consists of each particle being of only one chemical species”
Authors response: Yes, thank you. We made the correction as follows:
When all the species are homogeneously mixed within an aerosol particle, the population is known to be “internally mixed”, whereas an “externally mixed” population of particles consists of each particle being of only one chemical species.
- Instead of “Black carbon can exist in different mixing states:” I would say “Black carbon is generally modeled using different assumptions on its mixing state:” as these correspond to modeling aproximations
Authors response: We made the improvement as follows:
Black carbon is generally modeled using different assumptions on its mixing state:
- I think you should remove the parenthesis from “(revised)”
Authors response: We made the minor change.
- 203: there is a “(“ that’s not closed
Authors response: Thank you for the correction.
- Fig 10. Using blue for the lake boundaries and as a shade for the differences make it confusing. I would recommend changing the lake boundary color to one not used in the difference color-scale.
Authors response: We have changed the lake boundary colour to black.
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Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) (2015), MERRA-2 tavgM_2d_aer_Nx: 2d, Monthly mean, Time-averaged, Single-Level, Assimilation, Aerosol Diagnostics V5.12.4, Greenbelt, MD, USA, Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), Accessed: October 06, 2020, 10.5067/FH9A0MLJPC7N, Access 1 November 2020.
Hillger, D., Kopp, T., Lee, T., Lindsey, D., Seaman, C., Miller, S., Solbrig, J., Kidder, S., Bachmeier, S., Jasmin, T., and Rink, T.: First-light imagery from Suomi NPP VIIRS, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 94, 1019–1029, 2013.
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Lyapustin, A., Wang, Y., Korkin, S., and Huang, D.: MODIS Collection 6 MAIAC algorithm, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 11, 5741–5765, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-11-5741-2018, 2018.
Makar, P.A., Gong, W., Milbrandt, J., Hogrefe, C., Zhang, Y., Curci, G., Zabkar, R., Im, U., Balzarini, A., Baro, R., Bianconi, R., Cheung, P., Forkel, R., Gravel, S., Hirtl, H., Honzak, L., Hou, A., Jimenz-Guerrero, P., Langer, M., Moran, M.D., Pabla, B., Perez, J.L., Pirovano,G., San Jose,R., Tuccella, P., Werhahn, J., Zhang, J., Galmarini, S., Feedbacks between air pollution and weather, part 1: Effects on weather. Atmospheric Environment, 115, 442-469, 2015a.
Makar, P. A., Gong, W., Hogrefe, C., Zhang, Y., Curci, G., Zabkar, R., Milbrandt, J., Im, U., Balzarini, A., Baro, R., Bianconi, R., Cheung, P., Forkel, R., Gravel, S., Hirtl, H., Honzak, L., Hou, A., Jimenz-Guerrero, P., Langer, M., Moran, M. D., Pabla, B., Perez, J. L., Pirovano, G., San Jose, R., Tuccella, P., Werhahn, J., Zhang, J., and Galmarini S.: Feedbacks between air pollution and weather, part 2: Effects on chemistry, Atmos. Environ., 15, 499–526, 2015b.
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mahtab Majdzadeh, 30 Sep 2021
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RC2: 'Comment on gmd-2021-172', Anonymous Referee #2, 23 Aug 2021
General comments
This paper presents updates made in the aerosol feedbacks and photolysis rates implemented in the GEM-MACH model. The document is well explained, easy to read and the research is in the scope of GMD. These improvements in the code are very clever and represent a state-of-the-art model that is a great contribution to the field. The results are good; however, I would recommend adding more explanations and discussion to the figures and explaining why the model shows some biases in certain cases. Please, read my comments below where I note them.
Specific comments
Is there any particular reason the simulation periods were chosen to be January and June 2018? I believe a more useful study would have been conducting simulations during July-August 2019, since NASA’s FIREX-AQ field campaign compiled data that would have been useful for assessing the model, specially the photolysis developments.
Section 2.1: You say that you created an initial lookup table using the refractive indices of 6 aerosols, however in the introduction, you mention that GEM-MACH considers 8 aerosols. What are these 6 aerosols you considered for creating the lookup table? What happens with the other 2 components that you do not have data for?
Section 2.4: You used CFFEPS biomass burning emissions. Does this inventory include fire emissions outside Canada? If not, did you account for fires in the US?
Section 3.1: Figure 4 shows many AERONET sites that fall within the domain of the simulations. Why do you use just focus in 4 of them? I think an explanation is needed somewhere in this section or the section before. Also, I think more discussion should be added to this figure since it is just mentioned in section 3.2.1.
Figure 6 shows that some high AOD values from AERONET in Toronto are not well represented by the model. Could this be because of long-range transport of smoke plumes that are not well simulated by the model? I think you can add more discussion about these particular days.
Figure 9: I am surprised that GEM-MACH underestimates the AODs in the whole domain for both seasons since the comparison with the AERONET stations is good. What can be happening? Perhaps you could include a (c) panel showing the AOD from MODIS.
Figure 14: MODIS L3 data is too coarse (I think 1 degree resolution). For your case I think using AOD from MODIS MAIAC (3 km) would be more appropriate to compare against your simulations.
In line comments
Line 202: Consider rewording the sentence that begins with “Using the hygroscopic…”. It is long and difficult to understand.
Line 203: the parentheses in “(Section 2.2” never closes.
Line 220: it seems there is an extra “(“.
Lines 489-499: You can mix this paragraph with the following one since you are describing and discussing Fig. 6. E.g.: “were used to plot these time series. The sample size for Toronto…”. Also, I suggest sticking to the nomenclature shown in Table 3 for each simulation instead of saying “GEM-MACH AOD” since this can cause misunderstandings.
Lines 507-508: “There is a higher correlation for Toronto compared to FortMcKay for both seasons.” But why?
Lines 602-604: I do not think the resolution of GEM-MACH is the problem here. MERRA-2 and the MODIS data you used are much coarser than 10km. Also, the second maxima shown in MERRA-2 does not appear well in the MODIS data. I see some gray shades in that place that would mean that is a grid point not available from MODIS. I think maybe CFFEPS is underestimating the fire emissions, and that could also explain the discrepancies shown in Fig. 9.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2021-172-RC2 -
AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mahtab Majdzadeh, 30 Sep 2021
We thank the reviewers for their time and effort to provide us with their feedback and to make valuable improvements to our manuscript.
Our responses to Reviewer 2:
General comments
This paper presents updates made in the aerosol feedbacks and photolysis rates implemented in the GEM-MACH model. The document is well explained, easy to read and the research is in the scope of GMD. These improvements in the code are very clever and represent a state-of-the-art model that is a great contribution to the field. The results are good; however, I would recommend adding more explanations and discussion to the figures and explaining why the model shows some biases in certain cases. Please, read my comments below where I note them.
Specific comments
- Is there any particular reason the simulation periods were chosen to be January and June 2018? I believe a more useful study would have been conducting simulations during July-August 2019, since NASA’s FIREX-AQ field campaign compiled data that would have been useful for assessing the model, specially the photolysis developments.
Authors response: This is a good recommendation. We were funded by the Joint Oil Sands Monitoring program and this required us to focus on the period of Oil Sands intensive measurements. Some of us were involved in a separate publication examining the effects of feedbacks just prior to the FIREX-AQ period (Makar et al, 2021)
- Section 2.1: You say that you created an initial lookup table using the refractive indices of 6 aerosols, however in the introduction, you mention that GEM-MACH considers 8 aerosols. What are these 6 aerosols you considered for creating the lookup table? What happens with the other 2 components that you do not have data for?
Authors response: The initial version of the new lookup table (before the interpolation of size parameters into GEM MACH’s) contains the optical properties of seven aerosol types (originally didn’t mention pure water in the text): sea-salt, black carbon, dust, ammonium sulfate, ammonium nitrate, pure water and organic carbon.
The final version of the lookup table contains the optical properties of 7 aerosol types: black carbon, sea-salt, dust, primary organics, secondary organics, ammonium sulfate, ammonium nitrate. For primary organics, we used the optical properties of secondary organics and pure water droplets and the hygroscopic growth factor of primary organics (the equations used in these calculations can be found in the supplement file):
The new algorithm uses the eight dry chemical components of GEM-MACH aerosol (sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, primary organic matter, secondary organic matter, black carbon, dust and sea-salt). We used the predicted mass concentration of nitrate in GEM-MACH, and the molecular weight of ammonium nitrate to calculate the mass concentration of ammonium nitrate. The remaining mass of ammonium and the mass concentration of sulfate were used to calculate the mass concentration of ammonium sulfate.
We addressed your comment and added pure water to the list of aerosols in the manuscript as follows:
In order to update the aerosol effects in the MESSy photolysis module in GEM-MACH, we calculated a new lookup table using the Mie scattering code within the VECTOR model (McLinden et al., 2002) for extinction efficiency, single scatter albedo and asymmetry factor for seven aerosol types, which within the lookup table are treated as pure-composition particles of sea-salt, black carbon, dust, ammonium sulfate, ammonium nitrate, organic carbon, and pure water.
- Section 2.4: You used CFFEPS biomass burning emissions. Does this inventory include fire emissions outside Canada? If not, did you account for fires in the US?
Authors response: CFFEPS include emissions in North America, inside the FireWork domain (including US):
see https://weather.gc.ca/firework/firework_anim_e.html?type=em&utc=00.
Details on the CFFEPS version used in these simulations, and other CFFEPS references and documentation, may be found in Makar et al (2021), referenced in the revised paper. We also used a projected 2017 US anthropogenic emissions inventory obtained from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) 2011 Air Emissions Modelling Version 6.3 Platform (https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/2011-version-63-platform; Eyth et al., 2013) and the 2008 Mexican inventory obtained from the EPA’s 2011 Air Emission Modelling Version 6.2 Platform (https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/2011-version-62-platform).
- Section 3.1: Figure 4 shows many AERONET sites that fall within the domain of the simulations. Why do you use just focus in 4 of them? I think an explanation is needed somewhere in this section or the section before. Also, I think more discussion should be added to this figure since it is just mentioned in section 3.2.1.
Authors response: Thanks for your comment. Our project was funded by the Joint Oil Sands Monitoring program, with the focus on the Canadian domain, including the Oil Sands area. We chose four Canadian AERONET sites, covering urban and industrial sites with reasonable number of observation data for the period of our simulations.
- Figure 6 shows that some high AOD values from AERONET in Toronto are not well represented by the model. Could this be because of long-range transport of smoke plumes that are not well simulated by the model? I think you can add more discussion about these particular days.
Authors response: The pollutant rates in urban areas are expected to have strong spatial variations due to different emission sources. The model resolution of 10 km should also be taken into consideration; the Toronto AERONET station is located 16 km away from Pearson International airport and only 4 km from Downsview airport. There was no evidence of the impact of forest fire on Toronto using ECCC’s FireWork model output. The other possible reason could be linked to the underestimation of PM2.5 by GEM-MACH that needs improvement, and will be investigated in the upcoming project. That is, this seems to be a local effect more linked to Toronto urban model performance than long-range transport.
- Figure 9: I am surprised that GEM-MACH underestimates the AODs in the whole domain for both seasons since the comparison with the AERONET stations is good. What can be happening? Perhaps you could include a (c) panel showing the AOD from MODIS.
Authors response: As shown in the manuscript, the monthly average plots show four major forest fires in the domain, and the AOD pattern follows the MERRA-2 AOD. Having said that, there are lots of factors involved in the uncertainties in the monthly average values, including the monthly map biased by a few large forest fires.
We replaced the MODIS plots with MAIAC and VIIRS plots in the revised version of the manuscript, but we note that our simulated AOD is biased low with respect to MODIS, MERRA-2, MAIAC and VIIRS AOD, while the bias is less noticeable for AERONET comparisons. The difference may also be due to systematic differences between AERONET observations (derived from surface-based observations) and satellite AOD: Fu et al (2018) shows comparisons between MODIS and AERONET AOD observations in China, with the slope of the MODIS to AERONET best fit line varying between 1.25 and 1.02 – that is, MODIS AOD observations are biased high relative to AERONET, suggesting that at least some of our positive biases have been seen in comparisons between these two AOD observation methodologies. Past comparisons between several different methods of calculating AOD within models and satellite-derived AOD suggest a general negative bias with respect to satellite AOD values (Curci et al., 2015).
- Figure 14: MODIS L3 data is too coarse (I think 1 degree resolution). For your case I think using AOD from MODIS MAIAC (3 km) would be more appropriate to compare against your simulations.
Authors response: We replaced MODIS and MERRA-2 (hourly) plots in Figure 14 with MAIAC and VIIRS plots and changed the text as follows (Fig. 14 can be found in the supplement file):
Measurement data from MAIAC (“Multi-Angle Implementation of Atmospheric Correction (Lyapustin et al., 2018)”), VIIRS (“Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (Hillger et al., 2013)”), the MERRA-2 re-analysis (Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications - Version 2, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, 2015) and AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network) ground-based measurements, were used in this study to to evaluate the modifications in the photolysis module in GEM-MACH.
MAIAC is an advanced algorithm which produces global AOD from MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) Terra and Aqua satellite data. NASA’s Terra and Aqua satellite are in polar orbits. The MODIS instruments have a global coverage of one to two days in 36 spectral bands between 0.405 to 14.385 µm. For the purpose of this study, we used MAIAC gridded daily average AOD data at 550 nm, with 1 km spatial resolution (obtained from: https://e4ftl01.cr.usgs.gov/MOTA/MCD19A2.006/). VIIRS is one of the Earth observing instruments aboard the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (Suomi NPP) satellite. Level 2 VIIRS AOD data at 550 nm with a spatial resolution of 6 km at nadir were used in this study (obtained from https://www.avl.class.noaa.gov/saa/products/welcome).
Figure 14(a) shows the daily AOD at 550 nm from the MAIAC, Fig. 14(b) is the daily AOD at 550 nm from the VIIRS, and Fig. 14(c) is GEM-MACH AOD at 580 nm over La Loche area at 23:00 UTC on June 25, 2018. Both MAIAC and VIIRS plots (Fig. 14(b) and 14 (c)) show two areas of maxima; one is directly over the forest fire plume, similar to the hotspot on GEM-MACH plot (Fig. 14(c)), and a weaker hotspot over the north-east of the major forest fire plume, which is more intensified compared to the GEM-MACH secondary hotspot. The aging of the major fire plume downwind is evident in all three plots. The maximum GEM-MACH AOD (0.625) is underestimated compared to the MAIAC (maximum of 3) and VIIRS (maximum of 1.7). One possible explanation for this underestimation could be the potential deficiencies in the CFFEPS forest fire emissions or aerosol processes in this simulation.
In line comments
- Line 202: Consider rewording the sentence that begins with “Using the hygroscopic…”. It is long and difficult to understand.
Authors response: We changed the text as follows:
Using the hygroscopic growth factor of each aerosol type, we calculated the dry size parameter (Section 2.2, equation1) of the initial lookup table, which was then interpolated into GEM-MACH dry size parameter. The final lookup table which was implemented into GEM-MACH is a function of GEM-MACH dry size parameters and wavelengths.
- Line 203: the parentheses in “(Section 2.2” never closes.
Authors response: Thank you for the correction.
- Line 220: it seems there is an extra “(“.
Authors response: Thank you for the correction.
- Lines 489-499: You can mix this paragraph with the following one since you are describing and discussing Fig. 6. E.g.: “were used to plot these time series. The sample size for Toronto…”. Also, I suggest sticking to the nomenclature shown in Table 3 for each simulation instead of saying “GEM-MACH AOD” since this can cause misunderstandings.
Authors response: Thank you for your suggestion. We changed the text as follows:
For example, the maximum AERONET AOD for the month of June in Fort McKay and Toronto were measured ⁓0.27 and ⁓0.42 respectively, whereas the GEM-MACH AOD (simulations S1 and W1) were ⁓0.19 and ⁓0.29 for those sites.
- Lines 507-508: “There is a higher correlation for Toronto compared to FortMcKay for both seasons.” But why?
Authors response: In an urban area, the vehicle emissions are a large source of pollution and this source has a consistent diurnal profile which is captured well in modelled emissions. While in the oil sands region, the industries emit with less diurnal change and the pollution predicted at a location is dependent on the model predicting the wind direction quite well. Industrial pollution plumes can also be quite narrow.
- Lines 602-604: I do not think the resolution of GEM-MACH is the problem here. MERRA-2 and the MODIS data you used are much coarser than 10km. Also, the second maxima shown in MERRA-2 does not appear well in the MODIS data. I see some gray shades in that place that would mean that is a grid point not available from MODIS. I think maybe CFFEPS is underestimating the fire emissions, and that could also explain the discrepancies shown in Fig. 9.
Authors response: We replaced MODIS and MERRA-2 (hourly) plots in Figure 14 with MAIAC and VIIRS plots.
References:
Curci, G., Hogrefe,C., Bianconi, R., Im, U., Balzarini, A., Baró, R., Brunner, D., Forkel, R., Giordano, L., Hirtl, M., Honzak, L., Jiménez-Guerrero, P., Knote, C., Langer, M., Makar, P.A., Pirovano, G., Pérez, J.L., San José, R., Syrakov, D., Tuccella, P., Werhahn, J., Wolke, R., Zabkar, R., Zhang, J., Galmarini, S., Uncertainties of simulated aerosol optical properties induced by assumptions on aerosol physical and chemical properties: An AQMEII-2 perspective, Atmospheric Environment, 115, 541-552, 2015.
Eyth, A., Mason, R., and Zubrow, A.: Development and Status of EPA’s 2011 Modeling Platform, 12th CMAS Conference, 28–30 October, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, available at: https://www.cmascenter.org/conference//2013/slides/eyth_ development_status_2013.pptx, 2013.
Fu, D., Xia, X., Wang, J., Zhang, X., Li, X., and Liu, J.: Synergy of AERONET and MODIS AOD products in the estimation of PM 2.5 concentrations in Beijing. Scientific Reports, 8(1), 10174, 2018.
Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) (2015), MERRA-2 instM_2d_gas_Nx: 2d, Monthly mean, Instantaneous, Single-Level, Assimilation, Aerosol Optical Depth Analysis V5.12.4, Greenbelt, MD, USA, Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), Accessed: October 06, 2020, 10.5067/XOGNBQEPLUC5, Access 1 November 2020.
Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) (2015), MERRA-2 tavgM_2d_aer_Nx: 2d, Monthly mean, Time-averaged, Single-Level, Assimilation, Aerosol Diagnostics V5.12.4, Greenbelt, MD, USA, Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), Accessed: October 06, 2020, 10.5067/FH9A0MLJPC7N, Access 1 November 2020.
Hillger, D., Kopp, T., Lee, T., Lindsey, D., Seaman, C., Miller, S., Solbrig, J., Kidder, S., Bachmeier, S., Jasmin, T., and Rink, T.: First-light imagery from Suomi NPP VIIRS, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 94, 1019–1029, 2013.
Lyapustin, A., Wang, Y., Korkin, S., and Huang, D.: MODIS Collection 6 MAIAC algorithm, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 11, 5741–5765, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-11-5741-2018, 2018.
Makar, P.A., Akingunola, A., Chen, J., Pabla, B, Gong, W., Stroud, C., Sioris, C., Anderson, K., Cheung, P., Zhang, J., and Milbrandt, J., Forest-fire aerosol-weather feedbacks over western North America using a high-resolution, online coupled air-quality model, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21, 10557-10587, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-10557-2021, 2021.
McLinden, C. A., McConnell, J. C., Griffioen, E., and McElroy, C. T.: A vector radiative-transfer model for the Odin/OSIRIS project, Can. J. Phys., 80, 375–393, 2002.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) 2011 Air Emissions Modelling Version 6.3 Platform, https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/2011-version-63-platform, last access 1 December 2020.
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AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mahtab Majdzadeh, 30 Sep 2021