Articles | Volume 13, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model evaluation paper
| 
04 Mar 2020
Model evaluation paper |
| 04 Mar 2020
| 04 Mar 2020
Uncertainties in climate change projections covered by the ISIMIP and CORDEX model subsets from CMIP5
Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency,
Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan
Hideo Shiogama
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, 305-0053, Japan
Tosiyuki Nakaegawa
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency,
Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan
Izuru Takayabu
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency,
Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan
Viewed
Total article views: 3,086 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 28 Jun 2019)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,164 | 843 | 79 | 3,086 | 305 | 78 | 83 |
- HTML: 2,164
- PDF: 843
- XML: 79
- Total: 3,086
- Supplement: 305
- BibTeX: 78
- EndNote: 83
Total article views: 2,521 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 04 Mar 2020)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,872 | 576 | 73 | 2,521 | 179 | 68 | 72 |
- HTML: 1,872
- PDF: 576
- XML: 73
- Total: 2,521
- Supplement: 179
- BibTeX: 68
- EndNote: 72
Total article views: 565 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 28 Jun 2019)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292 | 267 | 6 | 565 | 126 | 10 | 11 |
- HTML: 292
- PDF: 267
- XML: 6
- Total: 565
- Supplement: 126
- BibTeX: 10
- EndNote: 11
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 3,086 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 2,773 with geography defined
and 313 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 2,521 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 2,323 with geography defined
and 198 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 565 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 450 with geography defined
and 115 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
33 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Projections of wildfire weather danger in the Canary Islands J. Carrillo et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-12132-5
- Global evaluation of model agreement and uncertainty in terrestrial water storage simulations from ISIMIP 2b framework J. Ju et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129137
- CMIP5 model performance of significant wave heights over the Indian Ocean using COWCLIP datasets A. Krishnan et al. 10.1007/s00704-021-03642-9
- Inequality of Global Thermal Comfort Conditions Changes in a Warmer World J. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2022EF003109
- Precipitation climatology and spatiotemporal trends over the Arabian Peninsula N. Alsaaran & A. Alghamdi 10.1007/s00704-021-03878-5
- Comparison of regional characteristics of land precipitation climatology projected by an MRI-AGCM multi-cumulus scheme and multi-SST ensemble with CMIP5 multi-model ensemble projections R. Ito et al. 10.1186/s40645-020-00394-4
- Assessing the skills of inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project climate models for precipitation simulation in the Gongola Basin of Nigeria A. Salaudeen et al. 10.1016/j.sciaf.2021.e00921
- A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change T. Carter et al. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307
- Projected Future Temporal Trends of Two Different Urban Heat Islands in Athens (Greece) under Three Climate Change Scenarios: A Statistical Approach T. van der Schriek et al. 10.3390/atmos11060637
- Selecting CMIP6-Based Future Climate Scenarios for Impact and Adaptation Studies H. Shiogama et al. 10.2151/sola.2021-009
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- Multi-Model Assessment of Streamflow Simulations under Climate and Anthropogenic Changes Exemplified in Two Indian River Basins A. Somisetty et al. 10.3390/w14020194
- Scenario Dependence of Future Precipitation Changes across Japan in CMIP6 M. Hayashi et al. 10.2151/sola.2024-028
- Uncertainty in projections of future lake thermal dynamics is differentially driven by lake and global climate models J. Wynne et al. 10.7717/peerj.15445
- Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards C. Denamiel et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863
- CHESS-SCAPE: high-resolution future projections of multiple climate scenarios for the United Kingdom derived from downscaled United Kingdom Climate Projections 2018 regional climate model output E. Robinson et al. 10.5194/essd-15-5371-2023
- Ensemble warming projections in Germany's largest drinking water reservoir and potential adaptation strategies C. Mi et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366
- Modelling of climate change impact on flow conditions in the lowland anastomosing river P. Marcinkowski & D. Mirosław-Świątek 10.7717/peerj.9275
- Climate projections at a convection-permitting scale of extreme temperature indices for an archipelago with a complex microclimate structure J. Pérez et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100459
- Differing spatial patterns of the urban heat exposure of elderly populations in two megacities identifies alternate adaptation strategies C. Park et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146455
- Simulation and prediction of precipitation and temperature under RCP scenarios X. Chengcheng et al. 10.2166/ws.2024.101
- Projected impacts of sowing date and cultivar choice on the timing of heat and drought stress in spring barley grown along a European transect M. Appiah et al. 10.1016/j.fcr.2022.108768
- Runoff for Russia (RFR v1.0): The Large-Sample Dataset of Simulated Runoff and Its Characteristics G. Ayzel 10.3390/data8020031
- Beyond the ordinary metrics on the evaluation of historical Euro-CORDEX simulations over Türkiye: the mutual information approach S. Vazifehkhah et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04492-3
- Assessment of CMIP6-Based Future Climate Projections Selected for Impact Studies in Japan M. Hayashi & H. Shiogama 10.2151/sola.2022-016
- Delivering the latest global water resource simulation results to the public J. Boulange et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100386
- Future climate change for major agricultural zones in China as projected by CORDEX-EA-II, CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles E. Yu et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106731
- Near-Future Projection of Sea Surface Winds in Northwest Pacific Ocean Based on a CMIP6 Multi-Model Ensemble A. Bayhaqi et al. 10.3390/atmos15030386
- Assessing development and climate variability impacts on water resources in the Zambezi River basin. Simulating future scenarios of climate and development D. Hughes & F. Farinosi 10.1016/j.ejrh.2020.100763
- Changes in precipitation climatology for the Eastern Mediterranean using CORDEX RCMs, NHRCM and MRI-AGCM B. Mesta et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106140
- A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: a source of disagreement in future drought assessments Y. Satoh et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2348
- Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe T. Palmer et al. 10.5194/esd-14-457-2023
- Selecting Future Climate Projections of Surface Solar Radiation in Japan H. Shiogama et al. 10.2151/sola.2020-013
32 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Projections of wildfire weather danger in the Canary Islands J. Carrillo et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-12132-5
- Global evaluation of model agreement and uncertainty in terrestrial water storage simulations from ISIMIP 2b framework J. Ju et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129137
- CMIP5 model performance of significant wave heights over the Indian Ocean using COWCLIP datasets A. Krishnan et al. 10.1007/s00704-021-03642-9
- Inequality of Global Thermal Comfort Conditions Changes in a Warmer World J. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2022EF003109
- Precipitation climatology and spatiotemporal trends over the Arabian Peninsula N. Alsaaran & A. Alghamdi 10.1007/s00704-021-03878-5
- Comparison of regional characteristics of land precipitation climatology projected by an MRI-AGCM multi-cumulus scheme and multi-SST ensemble with CMIP5 multi-model ensemble projections R. Ito et al. 10.1186/s40645-020-00394-4
- Assessing the skills of inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project climate models for precipitation simulation in the Gongola Basin of Nigeria A. Salaudeen et al. 10.1016/j.sciaf.2021.e00921
- A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change T. Carter et al. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307
- Projected Future Temporal Trends of Two Different Urban Heat Islands in Athens (Greece) under Three Climate Change Scenarios: A Statistical Approach T. van der Schriek et al. 10.3390/atmos11060637
- Selecting CMIP6-Based Future Climate Scenarios for Impact and Adaptation Studies H. Shiogama et al. 10.2151/sola.2021-009
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- Multi-Model Assessment of Streamflow Simulations under Climate and Anthropogenic Changes Exemplified in Two Indian River Basins A. Somisetty et al. 10.3390/w14020194
- Scenario Dependence of Future Precipitation Changes across Japan in CMIP6 M. Hayashi et al. 10.2151/sola.2024-028
- Uncertainty in projections of future lake thermal dynamics is differentially driven by lake and global climate models J. Wynne et al. 10.7717/peerj.15445
- Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards C. Denamiel et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863
- CHESS-SCAPE: high-resolution future projections of multiple climate scenarios for the United Kingdom derived from downscaled United Kingdom Climate Projections 2018 regional climate model output E. Robinson et al. 10.5194/essd-15-5371-2023
- Ensemble warming projections in Germany's largest drinking water reservoir and potential adaptation strategies C. Mi et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366
- Modelling of climate change impact on flow conditions in the lowland anastomosing river P. Marcinkowski & D. Mirosław-Świątek 10.7717/peerj.9275
- Climate projections at a convection-permitting scale of extreme temperature indices for an archipelago with a complex microclimate structure J. Pérez et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100459
- Differing spatial patterns of the urban heat exposure of elderly populations in two megacities identifies alternate adaptation strategies C. Park et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146455
- Simulation and prediction of precipitation and temperature under RCP scenarios X. Chengcheng et al. 10.2166/ws.2024.101
- Projected impacts of sowing date and cultivar choice on the timing of heat and drought stress in spring barley grown along a European transect M. Appiah et al. 10.1016/j.fcr.2022.108768
- Runoff for Russia (RFR v1.0): The Large-Sample Dataset of Simulated Runoff and Its Characteristics G. Ayzel 10.3390/data8020031
- Beyond the ordinary metrics on the evaluation of historical Euro-CORDEX simulations over Türkiye: the mutual information approach S. Vazifehkhah et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04492-3
- Assessment of CMIP6-Based Future Climate Projections Selected for Impact Studies in Japan M. Hayashi & H. Shiogama 10.2151/sola.2022-016
- Delivering the latest global water resource simulation results to the public J. Boulange et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100386
- Future climate change for major agricultural zones in China as projected by CORDEX-EA-II, CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles E. Yu et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106731
- Near-Future Projection of Sea Surface Winds in Northwest Pacific Ocean Based on a CMIP6 Multi-Model Ensemble A. Bayhaqi et al. 10.3390/atmos15030386
- Assessing development and climate variability impacts on water resources in the Zambezi River basin. Simulating future scenarios of climate and development D. Hughes & F. Farinosi 10.1016/j.ejrh.2020.100763
- Changes in precipitation climatology for the Eastern Mediterranean using CORDEX RCMs, NHRCM and MRI-AGCM B. Mesta et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106140
- A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: a source of disagreement in future drought assessments Y. Satoh et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2348
- Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe T. Palmer et al. 10.5194/esd-14-457-2023
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 22 Nov 2024
Short summary
The model performance and the coverage of the uncertainty in the climate changes were investigated for the ensembles of CMIP5 models used in ISIMIP2b and CORDEX programs. We found both programs selected models that acceptably reproduced the historical climate. Also, the global common ensemble (ISIMIP2b) has difficulty in capturing the uncertainty in two variables at the regional scale, whereas the region-specific ensemble (CORDEX) overcomes the difficulty by applying a properly large ensemble.
The model performance and the coverage of the uncertainty in the climate changes were...
