Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 13, issue 3
Articles | Volume 13, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 13, issue 3
Model evaluation paper
 | 
04 Mar 2020
Model evaluation paper |  | 04 Mar 2020

Uncertainties in climate change projections covered by the ISIMIP and CORDEX model subsets from CMIP5

Rui Ito, Hideo Shiogama, Tosiyuki Nakaegawa, and Izuru Takayabu

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Short summary
The model performance and the coverage of the uncertainty in the climate changes were investigated for the ensembles of CMIP5 models used in ISIMIP2b and CORDEX programs. We found both programs selected models that acceptably reproduced the historical climate. Also, the global common ensemble (ISIMIP2b) has difficulty in capturing the uncertainty in two variables at the regional scale, whereas the region-specific ensemble (CORDEX) overcomes the difficulty by applying a properly large ensemble.
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