Northern Hemisphere storminess in the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM1-M)

Knudsen, Erlend M.; Walsh, John E.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-2335-2016

Articles | Volume 9, issue 7

https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-2335-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

The Norwegian Earth System Model: NorESM; basic development,...

https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-2335-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 9, issue 7

Development and technical paper

|

07 Jul 2016

Development and technical paper |

| 07 Jul 2016

Northern Hemisphere storminess in the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM1-M)

Erlend M. Knudsen and John E. Walsh

Data sets

ERA Interim, Monthly Means of Daily Means European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts http://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/interim-full-moda/levtype=sfc/

CMIP5 – Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 – Overview World Climate Research Programme's Working Group on Coupled Modelling http://cmip-pcmdi.llnl.gov/cmip5/

Short summary

In this paper, two global climate models (NorESM1-M and CCSM4) are compared to an observational-based data set (ERA-Interim) for their ability to simulate historical Arctic storminess in autumn. With this in hand, the models are run through the 21st century. We find an overall significant increase in precipitation expected, with generally fewer and weaker storms in midlatitudes and partly more and stronger storms in high-latitudes. The tendencies are strongest in areas of Arctic sea ice retreat.