Articles | Volume 18, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6095-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6095-2025
Model experiment description paper
 | 
17 Sep 2025
Model experiment description paper |  | 17 Sep 2025

Impact of spatial resolution on multi-scenario WRF-ARW simulations driven by the CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR global model: a focus on precipitation distribution over Italy

Maria Vittoria Struglia, Alessandro Anav, Marta Antonelli, Sandro Calmanti, Franco Catalano, Alessandro Dell'Aquila, Emanuela Pichelli, and Giovanna Pisacane

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Cited articles

Anav, A., Antonelli, M., Calmanti, S., Carillo, A., Catalano, F., Dell'Aquila, A., Iacono, R., Marullo, S., Napolitano, E., Palma, M., Pisacane, G., Sannino, G., and Struglia, M. V.: Dynamical downscaling of CMIP6 scenarios with ENEA-REG: an impact-oriented application for the Med-CORDEX region, Clim. Dynam., 62, 3261–3287, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07064-3, 2024. 
Arrighi, C. and Domeneghetti, A.: Brief communication: On the environmental impacts of the 2023 floods in Emilia-Romagna (Italy), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 673–679, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-673-2024, 2024. 
Ban, N., Schmidli, J., and Schär, C.: Evaluation of the new convective-resolving regional climate modelling approach in decade-long simulations, J. Geophys. Res-Atmos., 119, 7889–7907, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD021478, 2014. 
Belušić Vozila, A., Belušić c, D., Prtenjak, M. T., Güttler, I., Bastin, S., Brisson,E., Demory, M.-E., Dobler, A., Feldmann, H., Hodnebrog, Ø., Kartsios, S., Keuler, K., Lorenz, T., Milovac, J., Pichelli, E., Raffa, M., Soares, P. M. M., Tolle, M. H., Truhetz, H., de Vries, M. H., and Warrach-Sagi, K.: Evaluation of the near-surface wind field over the Adriatic region: local wind characteristics in the convection-permitting model ensemble, Clim. Dynam., 62, 4617–4634, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06703-z, 2023. 
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Short summary
We present the results of downscaling global climate projections for the Mediterranean and Italian regions aiming to produce high-resolution climate information for the assessment of climate change signals, focusing on extreme events. A general warming is foreseen by the end of century, with a mean precipitation reduction accompanied, over the Italian Peninsula, by a strong increase in the intensity of extreme precipitation events, particularly relevant for the high emissions scenario during autumn.
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