Articles | Volume 18, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-5781-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-5781-2025
Model evaluation paper
 | 
08 Sep 2025
Model evaluation paper |  | 08 Sep 2025

An extension of WeatherBench 2 to binary hydroclimatic forecasts

Tongtiegang Zhao, Qiang Li, Tongbi Tu, and Xiaohong Chen

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Cited articles

Agrawal, N., Nelson, P. V., and Low, R. D.: A Novel Approach for Predicting Large Wildfires Using Machine Learning towards Environmental Justice via Environmental Remote Sensing and Atmospheric Reanalysis Data across the United States, Remote Sens., 15, 5501, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15235501, 2023. 
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Bauer, P., Thorpe, A., and Brunet, G.: The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction, Nature, 525, 47–55, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14956, 2015. 
Ben Bouallègue, Z. and the AIFS team: Accuracy versus activity, ECMWF, https://doi.org/10.21957/8b50609a0f, 2024. 
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Short summary
The recent WeatherBench 2 provides a versatile framework for the verification of deterministic and ensemble forecasts. In this paper, we present an explicit extension to binary forecasts of hydroclimatic extremes. Seventeen verification metrics for binary forecasts are employed, and scorecards are generated to showcase the predictive performance. The extension facilitates more comprehensive comparisons of hydroclimatic forecasts and provides useful information for forecast applications.
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