Articles | Volume 17, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Review and perspective paper
| 
19 Nov 2024
Review and perspective paper |
| 19 Nov 2024
| 19 Nov 2024
The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7
Benjamin M. Sanderson
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway
Ben B. B. Booth
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
John Dunne
NOAA/OAR Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States
Veronika Eyring
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
Rosie A. Fisher
Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway
Pierre Friedlingstein
Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Matthew J. Gidden
IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria
Geography Department, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany
Tomohiro Hajima
Japan Agency for Marine–Earth Science Technology, Yokohama, Japan
Chris D. Jones
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Colin G. Jones
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
Andrew King
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Charles D. Koven
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA
David M. Lawrence
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Jason Lowe
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
Nadine Mengis
GEOMAR, Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel, Germany
Glen P. Peters
Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway
Joeri Rogelj
IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria
Grantham Institute – Climate Change and Environment, Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Chris Smith
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
Abigail C. Snyder
Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI), College Park, MD, USA
Isla R. Simpson
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Abigail L. S. Swann
College of the Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
Claudia Tebaldi
Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI), College Park, MD, USA
Tatiana Ilyina
Universität Hamburg, Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Hamburg, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Geography Department, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany
Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany
Roland Séférian
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Bjørn H. Samset
Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway
Detlef van Vuuren
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, the Netherlands
Sönke Zaehle
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
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Cited
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization Y. Silvy et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024
- Advances in Permafrost Representation: Biophysical Processes in Earth System Models and the Role of Offline Models H. Matthes et al. 10.1002/ppp.2269
- Prediction and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Vegetation Index Based on Deep Learning and Environmental Factors in the Yangtze River Basin Y. Wang et al. 10.3390/f16030460
- Weakening AMOC reduces ocean carbon uptake and increases the social cost of carbon F. Schaumann & E. Alastrué de Asenjo 10.1073/pnas.2419543122
- A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs) M. Meinshausen et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024
- Representation of the terrestrial carbon cycle in CMIP6 B. Gier et al. 10.5194/bg-21-5321-2024
- Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy C. Jones et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024
- Evaluating the near- and long-term role of carbon dioxide removal in meeting global climate objectives G. Ganti et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01527-z
- Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5 A. King et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024
- Earth system responses to different levels of greenhouse gas emissions mitigation P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.3389/fclim.2024.1480208
- Global-scale future climate projections from ACCESS model contributions to CMIP6 S. Schroeter et al. 10.1071/ES23029
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization Y. Silvy et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1591-2024
- Advances in Permafrost Representation: Biophysical Processes in Earth System Models and the Role of Offline Models H. Matthes et al. 10.1002/ppp.2269
- Prediction and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Vegetation Index Based on Deep Learning and Environmental Factors in the Yangtze River Basin Y. Wang et al. 10.3390/f16030460
- Weakening AMOC reduces ocean carbon uptake and increases the social cost of carbon F. Schaumann & E. Alastrué de Asenjo 10.1073/pnas.2419543122
- A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs) M. Meinshausen et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024
- Representation of the terrestrial carbon cycle in CMIP6 B. Gier et al. 10.5194/bg-21-5321-2024
5 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy C. Jones et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024
- Evaluating the near- and long-term role of carbon dioxide removal in meeting global climate objectives G. Ganti et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01527-z
- Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5 A. King et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024
- Earth system responses to different levels of greenhouse gas emissions mitigation P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.3389/fclim.2024.1480208
- Global-scale future climate projections from ACCESS model contributions to CMIP6 S. Schroeter et al. 10.1071/ES23029
Latest update: 13 Mar 2025
Executive editor
This is an important topic and timely given that we are on the cusp of running CMIP7 simulations.
Short summary
We discuss how, in order to provide more relevant guidance for climate policy, coordinated climate experiments should adopt a greater focus on simulations where Earth system models are provided with carbon emissions from fossil fuels together with land use change instructions, rather than past approaches that have largely focused on experiments with prescribed atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. We discuss how these goals might be achieved in coordinated climate modeling experiments.
We discuss how, in order to provide more relevant guidance for climate policy, coordinated...
