Articles | Volume 16, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model description paper
| Highlight paper
| 
21 Dec 2023
Model description paper | Highlight paper |
| 21 Dec 2023
| 21 Dec 2023
The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Rutgers Climate and Energy Institute, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
Gregory G. Garner
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Rutgers Climate and Energy Institute, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
current address: Gro Intelligence, New York, NY, USA
Tim H. J. Hermans
Department of Estuarine & Delta Systems, NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, the Netherlands
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht (IMAU), Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Shantenu Jha
Rutgers Climate and Energy Institute, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Computational Science Initiative, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY, USA
Praveen Kumar
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Rutgers Climate and Energy Institute, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
Alexander Reedy
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Rutgers Climate and Energy Institute, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Aimée B. A. Slangen
Department of Estuarine & Delta Systems, NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, the Netherlands
Matteo Turilli
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Computational Science Initiative, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY, USA
Tamsin L. Edwards
Department of Geography, King's College London, London, UK
Jonathan M. Gregory
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading, UK
George Koubbe
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Anders Levermann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
Physics Institute, Potsdam University, Potsdam, Germany
Andre Merzky
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
Sophie Nowicki
Department of Geology, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
Matthew D. Palmer
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
School of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Chris Smith
Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds, UK
Energy, Climate and Environment Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
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Cited
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Derivation of Coastal Erosion Susceptibility and Socio-Economic Vulnerability Models for Sustainable Coastal Management in Senegal C. Cissé et al. 10.3390/su16177422
- Past and Future Impacts of the Relative Sea Level Rise on the Seafront of Ancient Delos (Cyclades, Greece) and Flooding Scenarios by 2150 N. Mourtzas & E. Kolaiti 10.3390/jmse12060870
- Regional variations in relative sea-level changes influenced by nonlinear vertical land motion J. Oelsmann et al. 10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2
- Climate Change May Increase the Impact of Coastal Flooding on Carbon Storage in China’s Coastal Terrestrial Ecosystems S. Yang et al. 10.3390/land13111871
- Processes explaining increased ocean dynamic sea level in the North Sea in CMIP6 F. Jesse et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad33d4
- Unveiling the role of storm surges as a driver of flooding on the western Mediterranean: a case study of the Ebro Delta R. Romero-Martín et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06984-5
- Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change G. Li et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-45487-6
- A framework for physically consistent storylines of UK future mean sea level rise M. Palmer et al. 10.1007/s10584-024-03734-1
- A Methodology for Identifying Coastal Cultural Heritage Assets Exposed to Future Sea Level Rise Scenarios S. Chalkidou et al. 10.3390/app14167210
- Amplification factors for extreme sea level frequency have problematic features as a metric of coastal hazard T. Hall 10.1088/2515-7620/ad431e
- Substantial reduction in population exposure to sea level changes along the Chinese mainland coast through emission mitigation H. Jin et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad801d
- Salinity increases under sea level rise strengthens the chemical protection of SOC in subtropical tidal marshes H. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176512
- Anomalous Meltwater From Ice Sheets and Ice Shelves Is a Historical Forcing G. Schmidt et al. 10.1029/2023GL106530
- Melting ice and rising seas – connecting projected change in Antarctica’s ice sheets to communities in Aotearoa New Zealand R. Levy et al. 10.1080/03036758.2023.2232743
- DSCIM-Coastal v1.1: an open-source modeling platform for global impacts of sea level rise N. Depsky et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4331-2023
- Sea-Level Rise in Pakistan: Recommendations for Strengthening Evidence-Based Coastal Decision-Making J. Weeks et al. 10.3390/hydrology10110205
- Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise? J. Anderson et al. 10.1029/2023EF003676
- Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR6 V. Völz & J. Hinkel 10.1029/2023EF003662
- Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users R. Kopp et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01691-8
- Urban Planning of Coastal Adaptation under Sea-Level Rise: An Agent-Based Model in the VIABLE Framework S. Sengupta et al. 10.3390/urbansci7030079
- Sea level rise projections up to 2150 in the northern Mediterranean coasts A. Vecchio et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad127e
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Derivation of Coastal Erosion Susceptibility and Socio-Economic Vulnerability Models for Sustainable Coastal Management in Senegal C. Cissé et al. 10.3390/su16177422
- Past and Future Impacts of the Relative Sea Level Rise on the Seafront of Ancient Delos (Cyclades, Greece) and Flooding Scenarios by 2150 N. Mourtzas & E. Kolaiti 10.3390/jmse12060870
- Regional variations in relative sea-level changes influenced by nonlinear vertical land motion J. Oelsmann et al. 10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2
- Climate Change May Increase the Impact of Coastal Flooding on Carbon Storage in China’s Coastal Terrestrial Ecosystems S. Yang et al. 10.3390/land13111871
- Processes explaining increased ocean dynamic sea level in the North Sea in CMIP6 F. Jesse et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad33d4
- Unveiling the role of storm surges as a driver of flooding on the western Mediterranean: a case study of the Ebro Delta R. Romero-Martín et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06984-5
- Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change G. Li et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-45487-6
- A framework for physically consistent storylines of UK future mean sea level rise M. Palmer et al. 10.1007/s10584-024-03734-1
- A Methodology for Identifying Coastal Cultural Heritage Assets Exposed to Future Sea Level Rise Scenarios S. Chalkidou et al. 10.3390/app14167210
- Amplification factors for extreme sea level frequency have problematic features as a metric of coastal hazard T. Hall 10.1088/2515-7620/ad431e
- Substantial reduction in population exposure to sea level changes along the Chinese mainland coast through emission mitigation H. Jin et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad801d
- Salinity increases under sea level rise strengthens the chemical protection of SOC in subtropical tidal marshes H. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176512
9 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Anomalous Meltwater From Ice Sheets and Ice Shelves Is a Historical Forcing G. Schmidt et al. 10.1029/2023GL106530
- Melting ice and rising seas – connecting projected change in Antarctica’s ice sheets to communities in Aotearoa New Zealand R. Levy et al. 10.1080/03036758.2023.2232743
- DSCIM-Coastal v1.1: an open-source modeling platform for global impacts of sea level rise N. Depsky et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4331-2023
- Sea-Level Rise in Pakistan: Recommendations for Strengthening Evidence-Based Coastal Decision-Making J. Weeks et al. 10.3390/hydrology10110205
- Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise? J. Anderson et al. 10.1029/2023EF003676
- Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR6 V. Völz & J. Hinkel 10.1029/2023EF003662
- Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users R. Kopp et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01691-8
- Urban Planning of Coastal Adaptation under Sea-Level Rise: An Agent-Based Model in the VIABLE Framework S. Sengupta et al. 10.3390/urbansci7030079
- Sea level rise projections up to 2150 in the northern Mediterranean coasts A. Vecchio et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad127e
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Executive editor
This manuscript provides a novel and comprehensive assessment of uncertainty associated with sea level rise. The model description is thorough and it is applied to a number of possible scenarios. The conclusions are important for framing future discussions on sea level rise.
This manuscript provides a novel and comprehensive assessment of uncertainty associated with sea...
Short summary
Future sea-level rise projections exhibit multiple forms of uncertainty, all of which must be considered by scientific assessments intended to inform decision-making. The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) is a new software package intended to support assessments of global mean, regional, and extreme sea-level rise. An early version of FACTS supported the development of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report sea-level projections.
Future sea-level rise projections exhibit multiple forms of uncertainty, all of which must be...
