Articles | Volume 16, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7357-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7357-2023
Model evaluation paper
 | 
19 Dec 2023
Model evaluation paper |  | 19 Dec 2023

Getting the leaves right matters for estimating temperature extremes

Gregory Duveiller, Mark Pickering, Joaquin Muñoz-Sabater, Luca Caporaso, Souhail Boussetta, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Alessandro Cescatti

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Latest update: 14 Jul 2024
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Short summary
Some of our best tools to describe the state of the land system, including the intensity of heat waves, have a problem. The model currently assumes that the number of leaves in ecosystems always follows the same cycle. By using satellite observations of when leaves are present, we show that capturing the yearly changes in this cycle is important to avoid errors in estimating surface temperature. We show that this has strong implications for our capacity to describe heat waves across Europe.