Articles | Volume 16, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6029-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6029-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
A standardized methodology for the validation of air quality forecast applications (F-MQO): lessons learnt from its application across Europe
Lina Vitali
National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Department for Sustainability, Bologna, Italy
Kees Cuvelier
European Commission – Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy
retired
Antonio Piersanti
National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Department for Sustainability, Bologna, Italy
Alexandra Monteiro
CESAM, Department of Environment, University of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal
Mario Adani
National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Department for Sustainability, Bologna, Italy
Roberta Amorati
Regional Agency for Prevention, Environment and Energy (ARPAE) of the Emilia-Romagna region, Bologna, Italy
Agnieszka Bartocha
ATMOTERM, Opole, Poland
Alessandro D'Ausilio
Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), Mol, Belgium
Paweł Durka
Institute of Environmental Protection (IEP) – National Research Institute, Warsaw, Poland
Carla Gama
CESAM, Department of Environment, University of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal
Giulia Giovannini
Regional Agency for Prevention, Environment and Energy (ARPAE) of the Emilia-Romagna region, Bologna, Italy
Stijn Janssen
Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), Mol, Belgium
Tomasz Przybyła
ATMOTERM, Opole, Poland
Michele Stortini
Regional Agency for Prevention, Environment and Energy (ARPAE) of the Emilia-Romagna region, Bologna, Italy
Stijn Vranckx
Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), Mol, Belgium
Philippe Thunis
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
European Commission – Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy
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- PM2.5 wintertime sensitivity to changes in NOx, SO2, and NH3 emissions in Lombardy Region L. Colombo et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11869-024-01519-0
- Quantifying the impacts of Canadian wildfires on regional air pollution networks T. McCracken et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172461
- Measurement report: Source attribution and estimation of black carbon levels in an urban hotspot of the central Po Valley – an integrated approach combining high-resolution dispersion modelling and micro-aethalometers G. Veratti et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-10475-2024
- Assessing exposure to outdoor urban air pollution throughout pregnancy (NELA birth cohort study) with the AIRNELA modelling system P. Jiménez-Guerrero et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2026.100458
- Numerical Simulations and Assessment of the Effect of Low-Emission Zones in Sofia, Bulgaria R. Dimitrova et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9100402
- Multi-objective evolutionary feature selection for ensemble learning with random forests in time series forecasting R. Espinosa et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.swevo.2025.102211
7 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Participant privacy protection and air quality prediction based on FCM, PFI, LSTM, and DBN Y. Feng https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2025.105496
- PM2.5 wintertime sensitivity to changes in NOx, SO2, and NH3 emissions in Lombardy Region L. Colombo et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11869-024-01519-0
- Quantifying the impacts of Canadian wildfires on regional air pollution networks T. McCracken et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172461
- Measurement report: Source attribution and estimation of black carbon levels in an urban hotspot of the central Po Valley – an integrated approach combining high-resolution dispersion modelling and micro-aethalometers G. Veratti et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-10475-2024
- Assessing exposure to outdoor urban air pollution throughout pregnancy (NELA birth cohort study) with the AIRNELA modelling system P. Jiménez-Guerrero et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2026.100458
- Numerical Simulations and Assessment of the Effect of Low-Emission Zones in Sofia, Bulgaria R. Dimitrova et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9100402
- Multi-objective evolutionary feature selection for ensemble learning with random forests in time series forecasting R. Espinosa et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.swevo.2025.102211
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 15 Jun 2026
Short summary
Air quality forecasting models play a key role in fostering short-term measures aimed at reducing human exposure to air pollution. Together with this role comes the need for a thorough assessment of the model performances to build confidence in models’ capabilities, in particular when model applications support policymaking. In this paper, we propose an evaluation methodology and test it on several domains across Europe, highlighting its strengths and room for improvement.
Air quality forecasting models play a key role in fostering short-term measures aimed at...