Articles | Volume 16, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4501-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4501-2023
Development and technical paper
 | 
10 Aug 2023
Development and technical paper |  | 10 Aug 2023

Using probabilistic machine learning to better model temporal patterns in parameterizations: a case study with the Lorenz 96 model

Raghul Parthipan, Hannah M. Christensen, J. Scott Hosking, and Damon J. Wischik

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

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Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Raghul Parthipan on behalf of the Authors (25 Apr 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (04 May 2023) by Travis O'Brien
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (22 May 2023)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (16 Jun 2023) by Travis O'Brien
AR by Raghul Parthipan on behalf of the Authors (20 Jun 2023)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
How can we create better climate models? We tackle this by proposing a data-driven successor to the existing approach for capturing key temporal trends in climate models. We combine probability, allowing us to represent uncertainty, with machine learning, a technique to learn relationships from data which are undiscoverable to humans. Our model is often superior to existing baselines when tested in a simple atmospheric simulation.