Articles | Volume 11, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3159-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3159-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The multi-assumption architecture and testbed (MAAT v1.0): R code for generating ensembles with dynamic model structure and analysis of epistemic uncertainty from multiple sources
Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA
Ming Ye
Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Dan Lu
Computational Sciences and Engineering Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee,
USA
Martin G. De Kauwe
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Lianhong Gu
Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA
Belinda E. Medlyn
Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University. Locked Bag 1797 Penrith, New South Wales, Australia
Alistair Rogers
Environmental and Climate Sciences Department, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York, USA
Shawn P. Serbin
Environmental and Climate Sciences Department, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York, USA
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Cited
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Integrating the evidence for a terrestrial carbon sink caused by increasing atmospheric CO2 A. Walker et al. 10.1111/nph.16866
- Sensitivity analysis and estimation using a hierarchical Bayesian method for the parameters of the FvCB biochemical photosynthetic model T. Han et al. 10.1007/s11120-019-00684-z
- A Computationally Efficient Method for Estimating Multi‐Model Process Sensitivity Index H. Dai et al. 10.1029/2022WR033263
- Linking big models to big data: efficient ecosystem model calibration through Bayesian model emulation I. Fer et al. 10.5194/bg-15-5801-2018
- Guidelines for Publicly Archiving Terrestrial Model Data to Enhance Usability, Intercomparison, and Synthesis M. Simmonds et al. 10.5334/dsj-2022-003
- Quantifying and Reducing Uncertainty in Global Carbon Cycle Predictions: Lessons and Perspectives From 15 Years of Data Assimilation Studies With the ORCHIDEE Terrestrial Biosphere Model N. MacBean et al. 10.1029/2021GB007177
- The Community Land Model Version 5: Description of New Features, Benchmarking, and Impact of Forcing Uncertainty D. Lawrence et al. 10.1029/2018MS001583
- Process Interactions Can Change Process Ranking in a Coupled Complex System Under Process Model and Parametric Uncertainty J. Yang et al. 10.1029/2021WR029812
- Parameter sensitivity analysis for a biochemically-based photosynthesis model T. Han et al. 10.1016/j.rcar.2023.04.005
- Advancing global change biology through experimental manipulations: Where have we been and where might we go? P. Hanson & A. Walker 10.1111/gcb.14894
- Structural differences across hydrological models affect certainty of predictions of nature-based solution benefits A. Rebelo et al. 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110940
- Biological mechanisms may contribute to soil carbon saturation patterns M. Craig et al. 10.1111/gcb.15584
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Integrating the evidence for a terrestrial carbon sink caused by increasing atmospheric CO2 A. Walker et al. 10.1111/nph.16866
- Sensitivity analysis and estimation using a hierarchical Bayesian method for the parameters of the FvCB biochemical photosynthetic model T. Han et al. 10.1007/s11120-019-00684-z
- A Computationally Efficient Method for Estimating Multi‐Model Process Sensitivity Index H. Dai et al. 10.1029/2022WR033263
- Linking big models to big data: efficient ecosystem model calibration through Bayesian model emulation I. Fer et al. 10.5194/bg-15-5801-2018
- Guidelines for Publicly Archiving Terrestrial Model Data to Enhance Usability, Intercomparison, and Synthesis M. Simmonds et al. 10.5334/dsj-2022-003
- Quantifying and Reducing Uncertainty in Global Carbon Cycle Predictions: Lessons and Perspectives From 15 Years of Data Assimilation Studies With the ORCHIDEE Terrestrial Biosphere Model N. MacBean et al. 10.1029/2021GB007177
- The Community Land Model Version 5: Description of New Features, Benchmarking, and Impact of Forcing Uncertainty D. Lawrence et al. 10.1029/2018MS001583
- Process Interactions Can Change Process Ranking in a Coupled Complex System Under Process Model and Parametric Uncertainty J. Yang et al. 10.1029/2021WR029812
- Parameter sensitivity analysis for a biochemically-based photosynthesis model T. Han et al. 10.1016/j.rcar.2023.04.005
- Advancing global change biology through experimental manipulations: Where have we been and where might we go? P. Hanson & A. Walker 10.1111/gcb.14894
- Structural differences across hydrological models affect certainty of predictions of nature-based solution benefits A. Rebelo et al. 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110940
- Biological mechanisms may contribute to soil carbon saturation patterns M. Craig et al. 10.1111/gcb.15584
Latest update: 21 Feb 2025
Short summary
Large uncertainty is inherent in model predictions due to imperfect knowledge of how to describe the processes that a model is intended to represent. Yet methods to quantify and evaluate this model hypothesis uncertainty are limited. To address this, the multi-assumption architecture and testbed (MAAT) automates the generation of all possible models by combining multiple representations of multiple processes. MAAT provides a formal framework for quantification of model hypothesis uncertainty.
Large uncertainty is inherent in model predictions due to imperfect knowledge of how to describe...