Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-206
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2024-206
Submitted as: development and technical paper
 | 
23 Jan 2025
Submitted as: development and technical paper |  | 23 Jan 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal GMD.

Representing high-latitude deep carbon in the pre-industrial state of the ORCHIDEE-MICT land surface model (r8704)

Yi Xi, Philippe Ciais, Dan Zhu, Chunjing Qiu, Yuan Zhang, Shushi Peng, Gustaf Hugelius, Simon P. K. Bowring, Daniel S. Goll, and Ying-Ping Wang

Abstract. Field measurements, after extrapolation, suggest that deep Yedoma deposits (formed during the Pleistocene) and peatlands (formed during the Holocene) account for over 700 Pg C of soil carbon storage. Incorporating this old, deep, cold carbon into land surface models (LSMs) is crucial for accurately quantifying soil carbon responses to future warming. However, it remains underrepresented or absent in current LSMs, which typically include a passive soil carbon pool to represent all 'old carbon' and lack the vertical accumulation processes that deposited deep carbon in the soil layers of peat and Yedoma. In this study, we propose a new, more realistic protocol for simulating deep and cold carbon accumulation in the high latitudes, using the ORCHIDEE-MICT model. This is achieved by 1) integrating deep carbon from Yedoma deposits whose formation is calculated using Last Glacial Maximum climate conditions, and 2) prescribing the inception time and location of northern peatlands during the Holocene using spatially explicit data on peat age. Our results show an additional 157 Pg C in present-day Yedoma deposits, as well as a shallower peat carbon depth (by 1–5 m) and 35 Pg C (43 %) less passive soil carbon in northern peatlands, compared to the old protocol that ignored Yedoma deposits and applied a uniform, long-duration (13,500 years) peat carbon accumulation across all peatlands. As a result, the total organic carbon stock across the Northern Hemisphere (> 30° N) simulated by the new protocol is 2,028 Pg C, which is 226 Pg C higher than the previous estimate. Despite the significant challenge in simulating deep carbon with ORCHIDEE-MICT, the improvements in the representation of carbon accumulation from this study provide a model version to predict deep carbon evolution during the last glacial-deglacial transition and its response to future warming. The methodology implemented for deep carbon initialization in permafrost and cold regions in ORCHIDEE-MICT is also applicable to other LSMs.

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Yi Xi, Philippe Ciais, Dan Zhu, Chunjing Qiu, Yuan Zhang, Shushi Peng, Gustaf Hugelius, Simon P. K. Bowring, Daniel S. Goll, and Ying-Ping Wang

Status: open (until 20 Mar 2025)

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Yi Xi, Philippe Ciais, Dan Zhu, Chunjing Qiu, Yuan Zhang, Shushi Peng, Gustaf Hugelius, Simon P. K. Bowring, Daniel S. Goll, and Ying-Ping Wang
Yi Xi, Philippe Ciais, Dan Zhu, Chunjing Qiu, Yuan Zhang, Shushi Peng, Gustaf Hugelius, Simon P. K. Bowring, Daniel S. Goll, and Ying-Ping Wang
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Latest update: 23 Jan 2025
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Short summary
Including high-latitude deep carbon is critical for projecting future soil carbon emissions, yet it’s absent in most land surface models. Here we propose a new carbon accumulation protocol by integrating deep carbon from Yedoma deposits and representing the observed history of peat carbon formation in ORCHIDEE-MICT. Our results show an additional 157 PgC in present-day Yedoma deposits and a 1–5 m shallower peat depth, 43 % less passive soil carbon in peatlands against the convention protocol.