the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
AMOC-emulator M-AMOC1.0 for uncertainty assessment of future projections
Abstract. State-of-the-science global climate models show that global warming is likely to weaken the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). While such models are arguably the best tools to perform AMOC projections, they do not allow a comprehensive uncertainty assessment because of limited computational resources. Here we present an AMOC-emulator, a box model with a number of free parameters that can be tuned to mimic the sensitivity of the AMOC to climate change of a specific global climate model. The AMOC-emulator (M-AMOC1.0) is applied to simulations of global warming and melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet, performed with an intermediate complexity model. Predictive power of the AMOC-emulator is shown by comparison with a number of additional warming and Greenland Ice Sheet melt scenario that have not been used in the tuning of the AMOC-emulator, highlighting the potential of the AMOC-emulator to assess the uncertainty in AMOC projections.
- Preprint
(4514 KB) - Metadata XML
-
Supplement
(2000 KB) - BibTeX
- EndNote
-
SC1: 'Review of Bakker and Schmitttner papers on their AMOC-emulator', Paul G. Myers, 09 Jun 2016
- AC1: 'Response to general comment by P. G. Myers', Pepijn Bakker, 18 Aug 2016
-
RC1: 'Review of GMD-2016-79 “AMOC-emulator M-AMOC1.0 for uncertainty assessment of future projections” by Pepijn Bakker and Andreas Schmittner', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Jun 2016
- AC2: 'Response to reviewer 1', Pepijn Bakker, 18 Aug 2016
-
RC2: 'Interactive comment on “AMOC-emulator M-AMOC1.0 for uncertainty assessment of future projections” by Pepijn Bakker and Andreas Schmittner', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Jun 2016
- AC3: 'Response to reviewer 2', Pepijn Bakker, 18 Aug 2016
-
RC3: 'A review of ``AMOC-emulator M-AMOC1.0 for uncertainty assessment of future projections''', Anonymous Referee #3, 21 Jun 2016
- AC4: 'Response to reviewer 3', Pepijn Bakker, 18 Aug 2016
- EC1: 'A brief remark', Andrew Yool, 13 Jul 2016
-
EC2: 'Clarification required', Andrew Yool, 26 Aug 2016
- AC5: 'Clarification and updated responses to reviewers', Pepijn Bakker, 29 Aug 2016
-
SC1: 'Review of Bakker and Schmitttner papers on their AMOC-emulator', Paul G. Myers, 09 Jun 2016
- AC1: 'Response to general comment by P. G. Myers', Pepijn Bakker, 18 Aug 2016
-
RC1: 'Review of GMD-2016-79 “AMOC-emulator M-AMOC1.0 for uncertainty assessment of future projections” by Pepijn Bakker and Andreas Schmittner', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Jun 2016
- AC2: 'Response to reviewer 1', Pepijn Bakker, 18 Aug 2016
-
RC2: 'Interactive comment on “AMOC-emulator M-AMOC1.0 for uncertainty assessment of future projections” by Pepijn Bakker and Andreas Schmittner', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Jun 2016
- AC3: 'Response to reviewer 2', Pepijn Bakker, 18 Aug 2016
-
RC3: 'A review of ``AMOC-emulator M-AMOC1.0 for uncertainty assessment of future projections''', Anonymous Referee #3, 21 Jun 2016
- AC4: 'Response to reviewer 3', Pepijn Bakker, 18 Aug 2016
- EC1: 'A brief remark', Andrew Yool, 13 Jul 2016
-
EC2: 'Clarification required', Andrew Yool, 26 Aug 2016
- AC5: 'Clarification and updated responses to reviewers', Pepijn Bakker, 29 Aug 2016
Viewed
HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1,167 | 456 | 128 | 1,751 | 130 | 117 | 137 |
- HTML: 1,167
- PDF: 456
- XML: 128
- Total: 1,751
- Supplement: 130
- BibTeX: 117
- EndNote: 137