Articles | Volume 15, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5073-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5073-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model experiment description paper
| 
04 Jul 2022
Model experiment description paper |
| 04 Jul 2022
| 04 Jul 2022
Stratospheric Nudging And Predictable Surface Impacts (SNAPSI): a protocol for investigating the role of stratospheric polar vortex disturbances in subseasonal to seasonal forecasts
Dept. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA
Amy Butler
NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA
Andrew Charlton-Perez
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Chaim I. Garfinkel
Fredy and Nadine Herrmann Institute of Earth Sciences, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel
Tim Stockdale
European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
James Anstey
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada
Dann Mitchell
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Daniela I. V. Domeisen
Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland
Tongwen Wu
Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
Yixiong Lu
Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
Daniele Mastrangelo
CNR-ISAC, Bologna, Italy
Piero Malguzzi
CNR-ISAC, Bologna, Italy
Recherche en prévision numérique atmosphérique, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada
Ryan Muncaster
Recherche en prévision numérique atmosphérique, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada
Bill Merryfield
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada
Michael Sigmond
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada
Baoqiang Xiang
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA, Princeton, NJ, USA
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Liwei Jia
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA, Princeton, NJ, USA
Yu-Kyung Hyun
National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Korea Meteorological Administration, Jeju, South Korea
Jiyoung Oh
School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea
Damien Specq
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Isla R. Simpson
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Jadwiga H. Richter
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Cory Barton
Space Science Division, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, USA
Jeff Knight
Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, UK
Eun-Pa Lim
Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Harry Hendon
Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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Cited
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Identifying Perturbations That Tipped the Stratosphere Into a Sudden Warming During January 2013 C. Kent et al. 10.1029/2023GL106288
- Opposite spectral properties of Rossby waves during weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events M. Schutte et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-733-2024
- Improvements in the Canadian Earth System Model (CanESM) through systematic model analysis: CanESM5.0 and CanESM5.1 M. Sigmond et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-6553-2023
- How Do Stratospheric Perturbations Influence North American Weather Regime Predictions? S. Lee et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0413.1
- Increased vertical resolution in the stratosphere reveals role of gravity waves after sudden stratospheric warmings W. Wicker et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-81-2023
- Advancing Our Understanding of Eddy-driven Jet Stream Responses to Climate Change – A Roadmap A. Ossó et al. 10.1007/s40641-024-00199-3
- Response to Limited surface impacts of the January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming J. Cohen et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38772-3
- Role of Stratospheric Processes in Climate Change: Advances and Challenges W. Tian et al. 10.1007/s00376-023-2341-1
- Connection between Winter East Asia Flow Patterns and Stratospheric Polar Vortex Anomalies M. Taguchi 10.3390/atmos15070844
- A revisit of the linearity in the combined effect of ENSO and QBO on the stratosphere: model evidence from CMIP5/6 H. Wang et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07430-9
- Tropospheric links to uncertainty in stratospheric subseasonal predictions R. Wu et al. 10.5194/acp-24-12259-2024
- The “Polar Vortex” Winter of 2013/2014 J. Cohen et al. 10.1029/2022JD036493
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Identifying Perturbations That Tipped the Stratosphere Into a Sudden Warming During January 2013 C. Kent et al. 10.1029/2023GL106288
- Opposite spectral properties of Rossby waves during weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events M. Schutte et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-733-2024
- Improvements in the Canadian Earth System Model (CanESM) through systematic model analysis: CanESM5.0 and CanESM5.1 M. Sigmond et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-6553-2023
- How Do Stratospheric Perturbations Influence North American Weather Regime Predictions? S. Lee et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0413.1
- Increased vertical resolution in the stratosphere reveals role of gravity waves after sudden stratospheric warmings W. Wicker et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-81-2023
- Advancing Our Understanding of Eddy-driven Jet Stream Responses to Climate Change – A Roadmap A. Ossó et al. 10.1007/s40641-024-00199-3
- Response to Limited surface impacts of the January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming J. Cohen et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38772-3
- Role of Stratospheric Processes in Climate Change: Advances and Challenges W. Tian et al. 10.1007/s00376-023-2341-1
- Connection between Winter East Asia Flow Patterns and Stratospheric Polar Vortex Anomalies M. Taguchi 10.3390/atmos15070844
- A revisit of the linearity in the combined effect of ENSO and QBO on the stratosphere: model evidence from CMIP5/6 H. Wang et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07430-9
- Tropospheric links to uncertainty in stratospheric subseasonal predictions R. Wu et al. 10.5194/acp-24-12259-2024
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
Short summary
This paper describes an experimental protocol focused on sudden stratospheric warmings to be carried out by subseasonal forecast modeling centers. These will allow for inter-model comparisons of these major disruptions to the stratospheric polar vortex and their impacts on the near-surface flow. The protocol will lead to new insights into the contribution of the stratosphere to subseasonal forecast skill and new approaches to the dynamical attribution of extreme events.
This paper describes an experimental protocol focused on sudden stratospheric warmings to be...
