Articles | Volume 12, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model experiment description paper
| 
15 Oct 2019
Model experiment description paper |
| 15 Oct 2019
| 15 Oct 2019
The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions
Chris D. Jones
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Thomas L. Frölicher
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of
Bern, Bern, 3012, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, 3012, Switzerland
Charles Koven
Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
Andrew H. MacDougall
St. Francis Xavier University, Antigonish, B2G 2W5, Canada
H. Damon Matthews
Concordia University, Montreal, Quebec, H3G 1M8, Canada
Kirsten Zickfeld
Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, V5A 1S6,
Canada
Joeri Rogelj
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), 2361
Laxenburg, Austria
Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment, Imperial
College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
Katarzyna B. Tokarska
School of Geosciences, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9 3FF, UK
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich,
Switzerland
Nathan P. Gillett
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada
Tatiana Ilyina
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraße 53, 20146
Hamburg, Germany
Malte Meinshausen
Climate & Energy College, School of Earth Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville 3010, Victoria, Australia
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegrafenberg, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Nadine Mengis
Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, V5A 1S6,
Canada
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR), Düsternbrooker Weg 20, 24105 Kiel, Germany
Roland Séférian
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM),
Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Michael Eby
School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria,
Victoria, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada
Friedrich A. Burger
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of
Bern, Bern, 3012, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, 3012, Switzerland
Viewed
Total article views: 8,670 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 28 Jun 2019)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,681 | 1,853 | 136 | 8,670 | 150 | 148 |
- HTML: 6,681
- PDF: 1,853
- XML: 136
- Total: 8,670
- BibTeX: 150
- EndNote: 148
Total article views: 7,574 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 15 Oct 2019)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,893 | 1,550 | 131 | 7,574 | 141 | 140 |
- HTML: 5,893
- PDF: 1,550
- XML: 131
- Total: 7,574
- BibTeX: 141
- EndNote: 140
Total article views: 1,096 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 28 Jun 2019)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 788 | 303 | 5 | 1,096 | 9 | 8 |
- HTML: 788
- PDF: 303
- XML: 5
- Total: 1,096
- BibTeX: 9
- EndNote: 8
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 8,670 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 7,880 with geography defined
and 790 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 7,574 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,918 with geography defined
and 656 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,096 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 962 with geography defined
and 134 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
62 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Southern Ocean as the climate's freight train – driving ongoing global warming under zero-emission scenarios with ACCESS-ESM1.5 M. Chamberlain et al. 10.5194/bg-21-3053-2024
- Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions J. Schwinger et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-28573-5
- Introduction to the special issue on Net-Zero Energy Systems I. Azevedo et al. 10.1016/j.egycc.2021.100066
- The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization S. Palazzo Corner et al. 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744
- The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty S. Baur et al. 10.5194/esd-14-367-2023
- Ongoing AMOC and related sea-level and temperature changes after achieving the Paris targets M. Sigmond et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0786-0
- Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO<sub>2</sub> A. MacDougall et al. 10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020
- Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled Z. Nicholls et al. 10.1029/2022GL099788
- The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7 B. Sanderson et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024
- SURFER v2.0: a flexible and simple model linking anthropogenic CO2 emissions and solar radiation modification to ocean acidification and sea level rise M. Martínez Montero et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8059-2022
- A comparative study of environmental information disclosure between banks in net-zero banking alliance and China X. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123324
- Modelling study on the source contribution to aerosol over the Tibetan Plateau M. Zhao et al. 10.1002/joc.7017
- AR6 scenarios database: an assessment of current practices and future recommendations G. Peters et al. 10.1038/s44168-023-00050-9
- Earth system responses to different levels of greenhouse gas emissions mitigation P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.3389/fclim.2024.1480208
- Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model N. Wunderling et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9
- Evaluation of earth system model and atmospheric inversion using total column CO2 observations from GOSAT and OCO-2 P. Patra et al. 10.1186/s40645-021-00420-z
- Quantifying process-level uncertainty contributions to TCRE and carbon budgets for meeting Paris Agreement climate targets C. Jones & P. Friedlingstein 10.1088/1748-9326/ab858a
- The Earth system model CLIMBER-X v1.0 – Part 2: The global carbon cycle M. Willeit et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-3501-2023
- The Australian Earth System Model: ACCESS-ESM1.5 T. Ziehn et al. 10.1071/ES19035
- Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM‐ESM2‐1: Role of Earth System Processes in Present‐Day and Future Climate R. Séférian et al. 10.1029/2019MS001791
- Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels A. King et al. 10.1038/s41558-021-01225-0
- Implications of non-linearities between cumulative CO2 emissions and CO2-induced warming for assessing the remaining carbon budget Z. Nicholls et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab83af
- Estimating the timing of geophysical commitment to 1.5 and 2.0 °C of global warming M. Dvorak et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01372-y
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson 10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
- Quantifying non-CO2 contributions to remaining carbon budgets S. Jenkins et al. 10.1038/s41612-021-00203-9
- Warming proportional to cumulative carbon emissions not explained by heat and carbon sharing mixing processes N. Gillett 10.1038/s41467-023-42111-x
- ACCESS datasets for CMIP6: methodology and idealised experiments C. Mackallah et al. 10.1071/ES21031
- The Multi‐Decadal Response to Net Zero CO2 Emissions and Implications for Emissions Policy S. Jenkins et al. 10.1029/2022GL101047
- Assessing the costs of historical inaction on climate change B. Sanderson & B. O’Neill 10.1038/s41598-020-66275-4
- Regional temperature extremes and vulnerability under net zero CO2 emissions L. Cassidy et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad114a
- Estimated effect of the permafrost carbon feedback on the zero emissions commitment to climate change A. MacDougall 10.5194/bg-18-4937-2021
- Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets R. Lamboll et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5
- Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0 Z. Nicholls et al. 10.1002/gdj3.113
- Can Global Mean Temperatures be Held to 1.5∘C or Less without Major Efforts in Carbon Removal/Geoengineering? D. Wuebbles 10.1142/S2972312423500017
- Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy C. Jones et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024
- More Frequent Abrupt Marine Environmental Changes Expected C. Heinze et al. 10.1029/2023GL106192
- CMIP6 simulations with the compact Earth system model OSCAR v3.1 Y. Quilcaille et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-1129-2023
- Millennium time-scale experiments on climate-carbon cycle with doubled CO2 concentration T. Hajima et al. 10.1186/s40645-020-00350-2
- Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep-ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3 F. Fabiano et al. 10.5194/esd-15-527-2024
- How much additional global warming should we expect from past CO2 emissions? H. Matthews 10.3389/fsci.2023.1327653
- Temperature overshoot responses to ambitious forestation in an Earth System Model Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-52508-x
- Preparing for a post-net-zero world A. King et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01446-x
- Minimal CMIP Emulator (MCE v1.2): a new simplified method for probabilistic climate projections J. Tsutsui 10.5194/gmd-15-951-2022
- Implications of temperature overshoot dynamics for climate and carbon dioxide removal policies in the DICE model W. Rickels & J. Schwinger 10.1088/1748-9326/ac22c0
- Much of zero emissions commitment occurs before reaching net zero emissions C. Koven et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acab1a
- Spatially Resolved Temperature Response Functions to CO2 Emissions L. Freese et al. 10.1029/2024GL108788
- A geophysical commitment to warming over 1.5 °C by 2029 after cessation of emissions 10.1038/s41558-022-01375-9
- Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations J. Schwinger et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022
- A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs) M. Meinshausen et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024
- Temperature Across Vegetation Canopy-Water-Soil Interfaces Is Modulated by Hydroperiod and Extreme Weather in Coastal Wetlands X. Zhao et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.852901
- Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks T. Möller et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-49863-0
- Estimated climate impact of replacing agriculture as the primary food production system A. MacDougall et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3aa5
- Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy H. Matthews et al. 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3
- The methane imperative D. Shindell et al. 10.3389/fsci.2024.1349770
- Long-term temperature and sea-level rise stabilization before and beyond 2100: Estimating the additional climate mitigation contribution from China’s recent 2060 carbon neutrality pledge J. Chen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0cac
- Effect of terrestrial nutrient limitation on the estimation of the remaining carbon budget M. De Sisto & A. MacDougall 10.5194/bg-21-4853-2024
- Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5 A. King et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024
- The Effects on Energy Markets of Achieving a 1.5 °C Scenario L. Lindholt & T. Wei 10.3390/ijerph20054341
- An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget H. Damon Matthews et al. 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9
- Carbon system state determines warming potential of emissions A. Winkler et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0306128
- Overconfidence in climate overshoot C. Schleussner et al. 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9
- Substantial regional climate change expected following cessation of CO2 emissions A. MacDougall et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9f59
61 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Southern Ocean as the climate's freight train – driving ongoing global warming under zero-emission scenarios with ACCESS-ESM1.5 M. Chamberlain et al. 10.5194/bg-21-3053-2024
- Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions J. Schwinger et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-28573-5
- Introduction to the special issue on Net-Zero Energy Systems I. Azevedo et al. 10.1016/j.egycc.2021.100066
- The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization S. Palazzo Corner et al. 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744
- The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty S. Baur et al. 10.5194/esd-14-367-2023
- Ongoing AMOC and related sea-level and temperature changes after achieving the Paris targets M. Sigmond et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0786-0
- Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO<sub>2</sub> A. MacDougall et al. 10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020
- Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled Z. Nicholls et al. 10.1029/2022GL099788
- The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7 B. Sanderson et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024
- SURFER v2.0: a flexible and simple model linking anthropogenic CO2 emissions and solar radiation modification to ocean acidification and sea level rise M. Martínez Montero et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8059-2022
- A comparative study of environmental information disclosure between banks in net-zero banking alliance and China X. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123324
- Modelling study on the source contribution to aerosol over the Tibetan Plateau M. Zhao et al. 10.1002/joc.7017
- AR6 scenarios database: an assessment of current practices and future recommendations G. Peters et al. 10.1038/s44168-023-00050-9
- Earth system responses to different levels of greenhouse gas emissions mitigation P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.3389/fclim.2024.1480208
- Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model N. Wunderling et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9
- Evaluation of earth system model and atmospheric inversion using total column CO2 observations from GOSAT and OCO-2 P. Patra et al. 10.1186/s40645-021-00420-z
- Quantifying process-level uncertainty contributions to TCRE and carbon budgets for meeting Paris Agreement climate targets C. Jones & P. Friedlingstein 10.1088/1748-9326/ab858a
- The Earth system model CLIMBER-X v1.0 – Part 2: The global carbon cycle M. Willeit et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-3501-2023
- The Australian Earth System Model: ACCESS-ESM1.5 T. Ziehn et al. 10.1071/ES19035
- Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM‐ESM2‐1: Role of Earth System Processes in Present‐Day and Future Climate R. Séférian et al. 10.1029/2019MS001791
- Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels A. King et al. 10.1038/s41558-021-01225-0
- Implications of non-linearities between cumulative CO2 emissions and CO2-induced warming for assessing the remaining carbon budget Z. Nicholls et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab83af
- Estimating the timing of geophysical commitment to 1.5 and 2.0 °C of global warming M. Dvorak et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01372-y
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson 10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
- Quantifying non-CO2 contributions to remaining carbon budgets S. Jenkins et al. 10.1038/s41612-021-00203-9
- Warming proportional to cumulative carbon emissions not explained by heat and carbon sharing mixing processes N. Gillett 10.1038/s41467-023-42111-x
- ACCESS datasets for CMIP6: methodology and idealised experiments C. Mackallah et al. 10.1071/ES21031
- The Multi‐Decadal Response to Net Zero CO2 Emissions and Implications for Emissions Policy S. Jenkins et al. 10.1029/2022GL101047
- Assessing the costs of historical inaction on climate change B. Sanderson & B. O’Neill 10.1038/s41598-020-66275-4
- Regional temperature extremes and vulnerability under net zero CO2 emissions L. Cassidy et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad114a
- Estimated effect of the permafrost carbon feedback on the zero emissions commitment to climate change A. MacDougall 10.5194/bg-18-4937-2021
- Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets R. Lamboll et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5
- Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0 Z. Nicholls et al. 10.1002/gdj3.113
- Can Global Mean Temperatures be Held to 1.5∘C or Less without Major Efforts in Carbon Removal/Geoengineering? D. Wuebbles 10.1142/S2972312423500017
- Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy C. Jones et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024
- More Frequent Abrupt Marine Environmental Changes Expected C. Heinze et al. 10.1029/2023GL106192
- CMIP6 simulations with the compact Earth system model OSCAR v3.1 Y. Quilcaille et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-1129-2023
- Millennium time-scale experiments on climate-carbon cycle with doubled CO2 concentration T. Hajima et al. 10.1186/s40645-020-00350-2
- Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep-ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3 F. Fabiano et al. 10.5194/esd-15-527-2024
- How much additional global warming should we expect from past CO2 emissions? H. Matthews 10.3389/fsci.2023.1327653
- Temperature overshoot responses to ambitious forestation in an Earth System Model Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-52508-x
- Preparing for a post-net-zero world A. King et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01446-x
- Minimal CMIP Emulator (MCE v1.2): a new simplified method for probabilistic climate projections J. Tsutsui 10.5194/gmd-15-951-2022
- Implications of temperature overshoot dynamics for climate and carbon dioxide removal policies in the DICE model W. Rickels & J. Schwinger 10.1088/1748-9326/ac22c0
- Much of zero emissions commitment occurs before reaching net zero emissions C. Koven et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acab1a
- Spatially Resolved Temperature Response Functions to CO2 Emissions L. Freese et al. 10.1029/2024GL108788
- A geophysical commitment to warming over 1.5 °C by 2029 after cessation of emissions 10.1038/s41558-022-01375-9
- Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations J. Schwinger et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022
- A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs) M. Meinshausen et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024
- Temperature Across Vegetation Canopy-Water-Soil Interfaces Is Modulated by Hydroperiod and Extreme Weather in Coastal Wetlands X. Zhao et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.852901
- Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks T. Möller et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-49863-0
- Estimated climate impact of replacing agriculture as the primary food production system A. MacDougall et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3aa5
- Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy H. Matthews et al. 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3
- The methane imperative D. Shindell et al. 10.3389/fsci.2024.1349770
- Long-term temperature and sea-level rise stabilization before and beyond 2100: Estimating the additional climate mitigation contribution from China’s recent 2060 carbon neutrality pledge J. Chen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0cac
- Effect of terrestrial nutrient limitation on the estimation of the remaining carbon budget M. De Sisto & A. MacDougall 10.5194/bg-21-4853-2024
- Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5 A. King et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024
- The Effects on Energy Markets of Achieving a 1.5 °C Scenario L. Lindholt & T. Wei 10.3390/ijerph20054341
- An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget H. Damon Matthews et al. 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9
- Carbon system state determines warming potential of emissions A. Winkler et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0306128
- Overconfidence in climate overshoot C. Schleussner et al. 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 14 Dec 2024
Download
The requested paper has a corresponding corrigendum published. Please read the corrigendum first before downloading the article.
- Article
(716 KB) - Full-text XML
Short summary
Global warming is simply related to the total emission of CO2 allowing us to define a carbon budget. However, information on the Zero Emissions Commitment is a key missing link to assess remaining carbon budgets to achieve the climate targets of the Paris Agreement. It was therefore decided that a small targeted MIP activity to fill this knowledge gap would be extremely valuable. This article formalises the experimental design alongside the other CMIP6 documentation papers.
Global warming is simply related to the total emission of CO2 allowing us to define a carbon...
