the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Development of common socio-economic scenarios for climate change impact assessments in Japan
Abstract. Climate change is one of the greatest long-term challenges faced by humanity. In the projection of climate change impacts, scenarios based on assumptions regarding future conditions are commonly used. Shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) are widely employed as socio-economic scenarios for global-scale predictions. The SSPs provide future projections of population and gross domestic products. However, SSPs are not suitable for detailed assessments for a country such as Japan, as they include only global regional data. The S-18 project aims at a nationally unified projection of climate change impacts across multiple sectors in Japan. In contribution to this, based on the previous study for Japan SSPs, we established common socio-economic scenarios designated as Japan SSP1, Japan SSP5, and status quo. Japan SSP1 and Japan SSP5 are based on qualitative links to global SSPs. Japan SSP1 foresees sustainable society with low-carbon emission, while Japan SSP5 envisions a society dependent on fossil fuels, emitting large amounts of greenhouse gases. The status-quo scenario assumes no future change based on the current conditions in Japan. Moreover, we provided a common dataset of population and land-use under these scenarios. Population data were obtained from existing population projections, and land-use data were estimated according to population changes and current land-use classifications. Here, the dataset prepared for the S-18 project is detailed and possibilities for its improvement discussed.
- Preprint
(1408 KB) - Metadata XML
- BibTeX
- EndNote
Status: closed
-
RC1: 'Comment on gmd-2022-169', Anonymous Referee #1, 21 Oct 2022
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Sayaka Yoshikawa, 13 Jan 2023
-
RC2: 'Comment on gmd-2022-169', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Dec 2022
The authors of this manuscript are trying to develop common socioeconomic scenarios with some details (qualitative and quantitative) for Japan. However, as I read the manuscript, most of the information and data were taken from literature and what the authors did was estimation of LULC (and the methodology is taken from the literature (some updates but not sure about the improvement). Therefore, no scientific contributions were found.
In addition, the authors focused too much on their project, which is unnecessary information for scientific papers (except for the acknowledgment). Therefore, the authors must delete such information.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2022-169-RC2 - AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Sayaka Yoshikawa, 13 Jan 2023
Status: closed
-
RC1: 'Comment on gmd-2022-169', Anonymous Referee #1, 21 Oct 2022
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Sayaka Yoshikawa, 13 Jan 2023
-
RC2: 'Comment on gmd-2022-169', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Dec 2022
The authors of this manuscript are trying to develop common socioeconomic scenarios with some details (qualitative and quantitative) for Japan. However, as I read the manuscript, most of the information and data were taken from literature and what the authors did was estimation of LULC (and the methodology is taken from the literature (some updates but not sure about the improvement). Therefore, no scientific contributions were found.
In addition, the authors focused too much on their project, which is unnecessary information for scientific papers (except for the acknowledgment). Therefore, the authors must delete such information.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2022-169-RC2 - AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Sayaka Yoshikawa, 13 Jan 2023
Data sets
Data and code of Land use scenario for 'Development of common socio-economic scenarios for climate change impact assessments in Japan' Sayaka Yoshikawa, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Wenchao Wu, Keisuke Matsuhashi, and Nobuo Mimura https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7090670
Viewed
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
939 | 374 | 44 | 1,357 | 36 | 40 |
- HTML: 939
- PDF: 374
- XML: 44
- Total: 1,357
- BibTeX: 36
- EndNote: 40
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
Cited
2 citations as recorded by crossref.
- EVALUATION OF 1.5 DEGREES CELSIUS INCREASE DUE TO GLOBAL WARMING AND SEVERAL ADAPTION MEASURES FOR FLOOD AND EROSION RISKS IN RIVERS IN TOYAMA PREFECTURE, JAPAN R. FUJISHITA & S. KURE 10.2208/jscejj.23-27034
- Assessing the effectiveness of adaptation against sea level rise in Japanese coastal areas: protection or relocation? M. Tamura et al. 10.1007/s10668-023-03612-3