the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
An offline framework for high-dimensional ensemble Kalman filters to reduce the time to solution
Yongjun Zheng
Clément Albergel
Simon Munier
Bertrand Bonan
Jean-Christophe Calvet
The high computational resources and the time-consuming IO (input/output) are major issues in offline ensemble-based high-dimensional data assimilation systems. Bearing these in mind, this study proposes a sophisticated dynamically running job scheme as well as an innovative parallel IO algorithm to reduce the time to solution of an offline framework for high-dimensional ensemble Kalman filters. The dynamically running job scheme runs as many tasks as possible within a single job to reduce the queuing time and minimize the overhead of starting and/or ending a job. The parallel IO algorithm reads or writes non-overlapping segments of multiple files with an identical structure to reduce the IO times by minimizing the IO competitions and maximizing the overlapping of the MPI (Message Passing Interface) communications with the IO operations. Results based on sensitive experiments show that the proposed parallel IO algorithm can significantly reduce the IO times and have a very good scalability, too. Based on these two advanced techniques, the offline and online modes of ensemble Kalman filters are built based on PDAF (Parallel Data Assimilation Framework) to comprehensively assess their efficiencies. It can be seen from the comparisons between the offline and online modes that the IO time only accounts for a small fraction of the total time with the proposed parallel IO algorithm. The queuing time might be less than the running time in a low-loaded supercomputer such as in an operational context, but the offline mode can be nearly as fast as, if not faster than, the online mode in terms of time to solution. However, the queuing time is dominant and several times larger than the running time in a high-loaded supercomputer. Thus, the offline mode is substantially faster than the online mode in terms of time to solution, especially for large-scale assimilation problems. From this point of view, results suggest that an offline ensemble Kalman filter with an efficient implementation and a high-performance parallel file system should be preferred over its online counterpart for intermittent data assimilation in many situations.
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Both the numerical model of a dynamical system and its initial condition are imperfect owing to the inaccuracy and incompleteness to represent the underlying dynamics and to measure its states. Thus, to improve the forecast of a numerical model, data assimilation (DA) methods combine the observations and the prior states of a system to estimate the posterior states (usually more accurate) of the system by taking into account their uncertainties. Two well-known DA methods are the variational technique and the ensemble-based technique. The hybrid methods combining the advantages of the variational technique and the ensemble-based technique have gained increasing interest in recent years. Bannister (2017) gives a comprehensive review of variational, ensemble-based, and hybrid DA methods used in operational contexts.
The ensemble-based methods not only estimate the posterior state using the flow-dependent covariance but also practically compute the uncertainty of the estimation. The Kalman filter is an unbiased optimal estimator for a linear system (Kalman, 1960). The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a generalization of the classic Kalman filter to a non-linear system. It uses the tangent linear models of the non-linear dynamical model and the non-linear observation operators to explicitly propagate the probability moments. For a high-dimensional system, the explicit propagation of the covariance is almost infeasible. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is an attractive alternative to the EKF. It implicitly propagates the covariance by the integration of an ensemble of the non-linear dynamical model that makes its implementation simple owing to the elimination of the tangent linear model. Since the introduction of the EnKF by Evensen (1994), many variants of the EnKF have been proposed to improve the analysis quality or the computational efficiency. For example, the stochastic ensemble Kalman filter perturbs the observation innovation to correct the premature reduction in the ensemble spread (Burgers et al., 1998; Houtekamer and Michell, 1998); the ensemble square room filter (EnSRF) introduced the square root formulation to avoid the perturbations of the observation innovation (Whitaker and Hamill, 2002; Sakov and Oke, 2008); the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF) explicitly transforms the ensemble to obtain the correct spread of the analysis ensemble (Bishop et al., 2001); the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) is widely adopted owing to its efficient parallelization (Hunt et al., 2007); and the error subspace transform Kalman filter (ESTKF, Nerger et al., 2012a) and its localized variant (LESTKF) combine the advantages of the ETKF and the singular evolutive interpolated Kalman filter (SEIK; Pham et al., 1998). For comprehensive reviews of the EnKF, we refer the readers to the ones by Vetra-Carvalho et al. (2018) and Houtekamer and Zhang (2016).
Many schemes have been proposed to reduce the computational cost of the EnKF, especially to reduce the computational cost of the large matrix inverse or factorization. Two-level methods are commonly used to parallelize the EnKF: one level for parallelizing the model member running and another level for parallelizing the analysis (Xu et al., 2013; Khairullah et al., 2013). In applications to weather, oceanology, and climatology, more advanced parallelizations are implemented owing to the large-scale nature of the problem. Keppenne (2000) used a domain decomposition to perform the analysis on distributed-memory architectures to avoid the large memory load required by the entire state vectors of all the ensemble members. The sequential method assimilates one observation at a time (Cohn and Parrish, 1991; Anderson, 2001) or multiple observations in each batch (Houtekamer and Mitchell, 2001). The LETKF decomposes the global analysis domain into local domains where the analysis is computed independently (Hunt et al., 2007). The LETKF is one of the best parallel EnKF implementations. A local implementation based on domain localization of EnKFs is very efficient and accurate for local observations, but has difficulties for non-local observations, especially for satellite measurements with long spatial correlations. For observations with long spatial correlations, the effective size of a local box would be significantly larger than the size of the ensemble; therefore, this implication of the ensemble being too small for the local box could lead to a poor local analysis. Localization methods are not only crucial to the analysis accuracy by suppressing spurious correlations but also have a great impact on the computational efficiency. For example, a parallel implementation of EnKF based on modified Cholesky decomposition (Nino-Ruiz and Sandu, 2015, 2017; Nino-Ruiz et al., 2018, 2019) demonstrates an improvement in the analysis accuracy as the influence radius increases, but the improved accuracy comes at the cost of increasing computation. On the other hand, the LETKF deteriorates the analysis accuracy as the influence radius increases. Godinez and Moulton (2012) derived a matrix-free algorithm for the EnKF and showed that it is more efficient than the singular value decomposition (SVD)-based algorithms. Houtekamer et al. (2014) gave a comprehensive description of the parallel implementation of the stochastic EnKF in operation at the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC) and pointed out the potential computational challenges. Anderson and Collins (2007) compared the low-latency and high-latency implementations of the EnKF and found that low-latency implementation can produce bitwise identical results. When the sequential technique associates with the localization, the analysis is suboptimal and dependent on the order of observations (Nerger, 2015; Bishop et al., 2015). Steward et al. (2017) assimilated all the observations simultaneously and directly solved the large eigenvalue problem using the Scalable Library for Eigenvalue Problem Computations (SLEPc, Hernandez et al., 2005).
As mentioned by Houtekamer et al. (2014), an EnKF system has to efficiently use the computer resources, such as disc space, processors, main computer memory, memory caches, job-queuing system, and archiving system, in both research and operational contexts to reduce the time to solution. To obtain a solution, the EnKF system has to perform a series of tasks including pre-processing observations, queuing jobs, running ensemble members, analysis, post-processing, archiving, and so on. Thus, the time to solution is the total time to obtain a solution; that is, the time from the beginning to the end of an experiment, such as one assimilation cycle in an operational context or 10-year reanalyses in a research context. Even with the efforts of the aforementioned literature, the time to solution of an EnKF system is still demanding. For instance, the global land data assimilation system LDAS-Monde (Albergel et al., 2017) uses an SEKF (Simplified Extended Kalman Filter; Mahfouf et al., 2009) or an EnKF scheme (Fairbairn et al., 2015) to assimilate satellite-derived terrestrial variables in the Interactions between Soil, Biosphere, and Atmosphere (ISBA) land surface model within the Surface Externalisée (SURFEX) modelling platform (Masson et al., 2013). By assimilating satellite-derived terrestrial variables, LDAS-Monde improves high spatio-temporal resolution analyses and simulations of land surface conditions to extend our capabilities for climate change adaption. But at a global scale or even at a regional scale with a high spatial resolution (1 km×1 km or finer), it becomes challenging in terms of time to solution. This is the motivation of the comprehensive evaluations of different implementations of an EnKF system to determine which technique should be adopted for an efficient and scalable framework for LDAS-Monde.
There are two modes to implement an EnKF: offline and online modes. The offline mode is the most extensively adopted strategy, especially in the operational context of numerical weather prediction (NWP) where the operational DA process is intermittent and consists of an alternating sequence of short-range forecasts and analyses. In offline mode, the dynamical model and the EnKF are totally independent; that is, these two components are two separate systems. An ensemble of the dynamical model runs until the end of the cycle, outputs the restart files, and stops; then the EnKF system reads the ensemble restart files and observations to produce the analysis ensemble which updates the restart files and also outputs the analysis mean (the optimal estimation of the states; see Fig. 1). Traditionally, the dynamical model and the DA system are developed separately. The offline mode keeps the independence of these two systems, which is highly desirable for each community. Thus, the implementation and maintenance of an offline mode is simple and flexible. One big disadvantage of an offline mode is its time-consuming IO (input/output) operations, especially for a high-dimensional system and a large number of ensemble members. Recently, several online modes have been proposed to avoid the expensive IO operations of the offline mode (Nerger and Hiller, 2013; Browne and Wilson, 2015). The online mode forms a coupled system of the dynamical model and the EnKF, which exchanges the prior and posterior states by Message Passing Interface (MPI) communications. When observations are available, the MPI tasks of dynamical models send their forecast ensemble members (prior states) to those of the EnKF; then the MPI tasks of the EnKF combine the observations and the received forecast ensemble members (prior states) to generate and send back the analysis ensemble members (posterior states); and then the MPI tasks of dynamical models resume their running. The development of a coupled system demands substantial time and effort. Another disadvantage of the online mode is the large job-queuing time, because running the ensemble simultaneously requires a large number of nodes when both the number of ensemble members and the number of nodes per member are large. With the consideration of possible prohibitive IO operations for an offline EnKF, the online frameworks proposed in the literature seem promising and were claimed to be efficient (Nerger and Hiller, 2013; Browne and Wilson, 2015). But, to our best knowledge, there have been no attempts to assess the time to solution of an offline EnKF against that of an online EnKF. In this context, our study tries to answer the following questions. Is an online EnKF really faster than an offline EnKF? Can an offline EnKF be as fast as, if not faster than, an online EnKF with a good framework and algorithms using advanced techniques of parallel IO?
An offline EnKF system simultaneously submits the jobs (usually one ensemble member per job) to the supercomputer. With high priority as in an operational context, all the jobs might get run immediately, and this is the most efficient way. But in a research context, each job usually needs to wait in the job queue for a period before it gets run. Sometimes, the job-queuing time is significantly larger than the actual running time in a high-loaded machine if the job requires a large number of computer nodes or a long-running time. In addition, the resource management and scheduling system of a supercomputer needs time to allocate the required nodes for a job and to start and stop the job; these overheads are not negligible. It is then desirable to minimize the impact of the job queuing and overheads. This is the first objective of this study: to reduce the time to solution of an offline EnKF.
Massive IO operations pose a great challenge in the implementation of an offline EnKF system for high-dimensional assimilation problems. Yashiro et al. (2016) presented a framework with a novel parallel IO scheme for the NICAM (Nonhydrostatic ICosahedral Atmospheric Model) LETKF system. This method uses the local disc of the computer node and only works for architectures with a local disc of large capacity in each computer node. Xiao et al. (2019) changed the workflow of the EnKF by exploiting the modern parallel file systems to overlap the reading and analysis to improve the parallel efficiency. Nowadays, most supercomputers have parallel file systems. With the progress of technology in high-performance computing (HPC), a state-of-the-art parallel file system has an increasingly high scalability, high performance, and high availability. Several parallel IO libraries based on PnetCDF (Parallel netCDF project, 2018) or netCDF (Unidata, 2018) with parallel HDF5 (The HDF Group, 2018) have been developed for NWP models and climate models. XIOS (ISPL, 2018) can read and write in parallel but cannot update variables in a netCDF file. CDI-PIO (DKRZ and MPI-M, 2018) and CFIO (Huang et al., 2014) can only write in parallel. PIO (Edwards et al., 2018) is very flexible but is not targeted for the offline EnKF system which synchronously reads then updates multiple files with an identical structure. Thus, with advanced parallel IO techniques and innovative algorithms, the second objective of our work to reduce the time to solution is to answer the following question. Can the IO time of an offline EnKF be a negligible fraction of the total time?
To address the aforementioned challenges of an offline EnKF, we propose a sophisticated dynamically running job scheme and an innovative parallel IO algorithm to reduce the time to solution, and we comprehensively compare the time to solutions of the offline and online EnKF implementations. This paper is organized as follows. The formulation of an EnKF, its parallel domain decomposition method, an offline EnKF, and an online EnKF are described in Sect. 2. The sophisticated dynamically running job scheme aiming to minimize the job queuing and overheads and the innovative parallel IO algorithm are detailed in Sect. 3. The experimental environments, designs, and the corresponding results are presented in Sect. 4. Finally, conclusions are drawn in Sect. 5.
In an EnKF, each member is a particular realization of the possible model trajectories. We assume that there are Ne ensemble members, , where the subscript denotes the member ID, is the state vector, and Nx is the dimension of state space. Let be the ensemble matrix. Thus, the ensemble mean is
the ensemble perturbation matrix is
and the ensemble covariance matrix is
Further, let be the innovation vector, where is the observation vector, is the non-linear observation operator which maps the state space to the observation space, and Ny is the dimension of observation space.
The Kalman update equation for the state is
and the Kalman update equation for the covariance is
where the Kalman gain is
Within the above equations, H is the linear observation operator of ℋ, and is the observation error covariance matrix. The superscripts f and a denote forecast and analysis, respectively, and the superscript T denotes a matrix transposition.
Using the covariance update Eq. (5) and the Kalman gain (Eq. 6), Eq. (3) can be written as
where , , and W is the square root of .
Thus, without explicit computation of the covariances Pf and Pa, the analysis ensemble can be computed as
where the analysis mean is
by combining the state update Eq. (4) with the Kalman gain (Eq. 6).
For most ensemble-based Kalman filters (Burgers et al., 1998; Pham et al., 1998; Houtekamer and Mitchell, 2001; Bishop et al., 2001; Anderson, 2001; Whitaker and Hamill, 2002; Evensen, 2003; Hunt et al., 2007; Livings et al., 2008; Sakov and Oke, 2008; Nerger et al., 2012a), the analysis update can be written as a linear transformation in Eq. (8). However, the different variants of ensemble-based Kalman filters use different ways to calculate the transformation matrix W, which is not necessary to be the square root as in Eq. (7). From the above derivation, it can be seen that the most computationally expensive part is the computation of the square root which involves the inverse of the matrix F. In general, the square root W can be obtained by a Cholesky decomposition or a singular value decomposition (SVD).
2.1 Domain decomposition for parallel EnKFs
For a high-dimensional system, the size of the state vector xk is large; therefore it is not practical to perform the EnKF analysis without parallelizations. The straightforward way to perform parallelizations is to decompose the state vector xk into approximately equal parts by Nmpi MPI tasks. Because all member state vectors have an identical structure, each member state vector is decomposed in an identical manner, and each member is one column of the ensemble matrix X. Thus, each MPI task computes at most consecutive rows of the ensemble matrix X. Figure 6 illustrates this decomposition. Each level of a three-dimensional variable is decomposed in the same way as if a horizontal domain decomposition was used. For multiple variables, the same decomposition is applied to each variable. This domain decomposition has the advantage of a good load balance. Without loss of generality, the descriptions in this study assume the state vector xk is a one-dimensional variable as a multidimensional variable can be viewed as linear in the memory. The domain decomposition is the foundation for the innovative parallel IO algorithm proposed in Sect. 3.2.2.
2.2 An offline EnKF system
An offline EnKF system is a sophisticated system consisting of many components. Figure 1 illustrates the typical workflow of an ensemble-based DA system with its essential components. In an operational context of NWP, a notable feature of an intermittent DA system is the alternating sequence of short-range forecasts and analyses. Each short-range forecast and analysis forms a cycle. At the beginning of each cycle, all the forecast members read in their corresponding analysis members from the last cycle and integrate independently for the period of the cycle, and this is called a forecast phase. Usually, each forecast member uses the same dynamical model but with a differently perturbed initial condition, a differently perturbed forcing, or a different set of parameters. Meanwhile, a deterministic forecast is usually integrated for a period longer than the cycle and outputs the history files more frequently. At the end of the cycle, all the forecast members output their restart files and stop. Then, the EnKF combines the observations and the forecast ensemble ( or its equivalence in Fig. 1) to produce the analysis ensemble ( or its equivalence in Fig. 1) and the analysis mean ( or its equivalence in Fig. 1), which updates the restart files of the ensemble forecasts and the deterministic forecast, respectively. This is called the analysis phase. This process is repeated for the next cycle.
There are several advantages to having an extra deterministic forecast. First of all, the deterministic forecast with the optimal initial condition is integrated over a much longer period than that of the cycle and outputs the history files more frequently, which are the user-end deterministic prediction products; this is essential in an operational NWP context. Secondly, the ensemble forecasts only output restart files at the end of the cycle, which significantly reduces the IO time and the required disc space. Thirdly, it is even possible to use the deterministic forecast as a member (Schraff et al., 2016).
A distinctive feature of an offline EnKF system is that each ensemble member run is completely independent of other runs, and the DA component runs only after all the members are run. Each member run has its own queuing time and overheads owing to the involvement of a job system. Because all the member runs have finished when the DA component begins to run, the practically possible way to exchange information between the model component and the DA component is via the intermediate restart files. Reading and writing many restart files, whose size is large, is time consuming and may counteract the simplicity and flexibility of the favourite offline EnKF system. It is very common that the DA system submits one member per job or even a fixed number of multiple members per job. The DA component reads or writes the ensemble restart files with one IO task or as many IO tasks as the ensemble members. This is not efficient, and both of these aspects will be addressed in Sect. 3 accordingly.
2.3 An online EnKF system
As already mentioned, there are several methods to build an online EnKF system. The method used in this paper is similar to one possible implementation suggested in the Parallel Data Assimilation Framework (PDAF, 2018). With the operational NWP in mind, the online EnKF system presented in this paper is also an intermittent DA system. In this system, the model component reads in the ensemble analyses from the last cycle and integrates simultaneously Ne ensemble members for the period of a cycle. Then it scatters the ensemble state Xf to the DA component which performs the analysis and outputs the ensemble analysis Xa and ensemble analysis mean xa. Finally, the system stops and only restarts in a proper further time for the next cycle. Thus, the main difference between this online EnKF and the offline EnKF described in Sect. 2.2 is that there are no intermediate outputs, which eliminate the ensemble-writing operations in the model component and the ensemble-reading operations in the DA component, between the forecast and the analysis phases. This effectively reduces the number of IO operations to half compared to the offline EnKF. However, being an intermittent DA system, for each cycle it still needs to read the analysis ensemble from the last cycle and write the analysis ensemble of the current cycle.
Figure 2 illustrates our implementation of the online EnKF system used in this study. In this example, the online EnKF system uses 18 MPI tasks to integrate simultaneously 6 ensemble members with 3 MPI tasks per member. The grid cells with the same background colour belong to one ensemble member. The numbers to the left of the model column (the tallest column) are the ranks of the MPI tasks in the global MPI communicator. The numbers with a yellow circle inside the model column are the ranks of the MPI tasks in its model MPI communicator of the corresponding member. As shown in the data assimilation column, the first three global MPI tasks also form a filter MPI communicator. This filter MPI communicator is used to perform the EnKF analysis. All the MPI tasks with the same rank (number with a yellow circle) in the model MPI communicators form a coupled MPI communicator to exchange data between ensemble members and the EnKF component. Thus, every model member has an identical domain decomposition and so does the DA component. This facilitates the data exchange between ensemble members and the EnKF component. As in Fig. 2, each member uses its own three MPI tasks to read in the corresponding initial condition and integrate the model to the end of the cycle; then the first MPI task of each member sends its corresponding segment of its states to the corresponding row and column of the ensemble matrix X in the first MPI task of the DA component which, in fact, is the first MPI task of the first member and so do the second and third MPI tasks. Finally, the DA component has all the data in the ensemble matrix X to perform the assimilation analysis and writes out the analysis ensemble as well as the analysis mean. This online EnKF has the disadvantage of wasting computational resources, because the MPI tasks starting from the second member are idle when the DA component is running. But it complicates the data exchange between the model members and the DA component if all the MPI tasks are used for the DA component. Also, it might not always help to have more MPI tasks for accelerating the assimilation analysis, because the scale of the problem determines the number of MPI tasks; sometimes more MPI tasks might undermine the efficiency of a problem owing to the expensive MPI communications.
This section lengthily presents the following two methods in this study to reduce the time to solution of an offline EnKF.
3.1 Dynamically running job scheme for minimizing the job queuing and overheads
Using the embarrassingly parallel strategy, the jobs of all the members are submitted simultaneously. On a high-loaded machine, each job needs to wait for a long time before running, especially when the job requires a large number of nodes. To reduce the job queuing and overheads, we propose a sophisticated running job scheme to dynamically run the ensemble members over multiple jobs, as illustrated by Fig. 3. First of all, the scheme generates a to-do list file with all the IDs (identities) of the ensemble members followed by the ID () of the DA component; then it simultaneously submits Nj jobs where can be fewer than the number of members. Because the ID of the DA component is at the end of the to-do list, the proposed scheme automatically guarantees that the successful completion of all the members is checked and confirmed before executing the DA component. When a job (e.g. job1 in Fig. 3) is dispatched to start its running, the job locks the to-do list file to obtain a member ID (e.g. member ① in Fig. 3), removes the member ID from the to-do list file, unlocks the to-do list file, and then starts the execution of that member. While the job is running (e.g. job1 in Fig. 3), another job (e.g. job2 in Fig. 3) gets the required nodes to start its run, obtains a member ID (e.g. member ② in Fig. 3), and then starts the execution of that member in the same manner. When a job (e.g. job1 in Fig. 3) finishes the execution of a member (e.g. member ① in Fig. 3), instead of being terminated the job continues to obtain another member ID (e.g. member ④ in Fig. 3) from the to-do list file and then starts the execution of that member. The process is repeated until the to-do list file is empty. The mechanism to lock and unlock the to-do list file is essential to prevent the same member from being executed by multiple jobs.
In most settings of resource management and scheduling systems, the shorter the run time requested by a job is, the shorter the queuing time is. The proposed scheme can specify a time limit of jobs to balance the queuing and the overheads. With a short time limit, which is not shorter than the execution of a member or the DA component, a job reaches its time limit and the executing member is interrupted. In this case, the ID of the interrupted member is inserted into the front of the to-do list so that the remaining running jobs can restart the execution of the interrupted member. By carefully tuning the time limit of jobs, interruptions can be minimized. With this sophisticated scheme which dynamically runs the members, sometimes the first few jobs have finished the executions of all the members and the DA component; the remaining jobs are still waiting in the queue and need to be cancelled (e.g. job5 in Fig. 3 will be automatically cancelled after the finish of the DA component in job3). Thus, this scheme substantially reduces the job queuing and overheads.
3.2 Parallel IO algorithm for improving the IO performance
3.2.1 Lustre parallel file system
The parallel file system is a crucial component in a current supercomputer. There are several parallel file systems. Lustre parallel file system (http://lustre.org, last access: 18 December 2018) is best known for powering many of the largest HPC clusters worldwide owing to its scalability and performance. The Lustre parallel file system consists of five key components (see Fig. 4). The metadata servers (MDSs) make metadata (such as filenames, directories, permission, and file layout) available to Lustre clients. The metadata targets (MDTs) store metadata and usually use solid-state discs (SSDs) to accelerate the metadata requests. The object storage servers (OSSs) provide file IO services and network requests. The object storage targets (OSTs) are the actual storage media where user file data are stored. The file data are divided into multiple objects which are stored on a separate OST. Lustre clients are computational, visualization, or desktop nodes that are running Lustre client software and mount the Lustre file system. The interactive users or MPI tasks make requests to open, close, read, or write files and the requests are forwarded via a HPC interconnect to the MDS or OSS which performs the actual operations.
The high performance of the Lustre file system is mainly attributed to its ability to stripe data across multiple OSTs in a round-robin fashion. Figure 5 illustrates how a file is striped across multiple OSTs. A file is divided into multiple segments of the same size (usually the last segment is incomplete). The size of each segment can be specified by the stripe size (denoted as “size” in Fig. 5) parameter when the file is created. Similarly, the stripe count (denoted as “count” in Fig. 5) parameter is the number of OSTs where the file is stored and can be specified when the file is created. The parameters have default values unless specified explicitly and cannot be changed after the creation of a file. In Fig. 5, the file is divided into 13 segments and the stripe count parameter is equal to 5. The first segment goes to the first OST and so on until the fifth segment goes to the fifth OST, which is the last OST of this file; then, the sixth segment goes to the first OST and so on. This pattern is repeated until the last segment. The optimal stripe parameters usually depend on the file size, the access pattern, and the underlying architecture of the Lustre file system. The stripe size parameter must be a multiple of the page size, and using a large stripe size can improve performance when accessing a very large file. Because of the maximum size that can be stored on the MDT, a file can only be striped over a finite number of OSTs. With a large stripe count, a file can be read from or written to multiple OSTs in parallel to achieve a high bandwidth and significantly improve the parallel IO performance.
3.2.2 Parallel IO algorithm for multiple files
A restart file of the numerical model of a dynamical system contains the instantaneous states of the system and other auxiliary variables. In general, a DA system assimilates the available observations which only update some state variables but not all the variables in a restart file. Hence, it is desirable to update old restart files rather than to create new restart files from scratch. This way avoids copying the untouched variables from old restart files to new restart files and will further reduce the IO operations. As mentioned in Sect. 1, several high-level libraries for parallel reading or writing a netCDF file are available currently, but only the flexible PIO (Edwards et al., 2018) supports update operations. One distinctive feature of the offline EnKF is that it needs to read Ne restart files before computations and update these restart files after computations. These restart files have an identical structure. With this feature in mind, we propose an innovative algorithm to read and update multiple files with an identical structure. Figure 6 illustrates the parallel reading of the state variables xk from multiple restart files with an identical structure; the writing or updating is in the same manner except that scatter operations are changed to gather operations.
The algorithm for reading Ne forecast ensemble files to the matrix X is such that each member file is read into its corresponding column of the matrix X. The rows of the matrix X are partitioned by Nmpi MPI tasks. The information of this partition is passed from the DA module to the IO module as arguments so that the IO module and DA module have the same domain decomposition of the state vectors. The Nmpi MPI tasks are partitioned by Nio IO tasks in the IO module. For writing the matrix X to Ne analysis ensemble files, the scatter operations are changed to gather operations.
There are two modes (the independent and collective mode) for all IO tasks to access a single shared file. With the independent mode, each IO task accesses the data directly from the file system without communicating or coordinating with the other IO tasks. This usually works best if the application is reading or writing large contiguous non-overlapping blocks of data in the file with one IO request, because the parallel file systems do very well with an access pattern like that. In our proposed algorithm, an IO task reads or writes only one non-overlapping block of data in a file each time, so the independent IO mode is adopted.
Another advantage of this algorithm is that the MPI communication can be overlapped with the IO operation. For example in Fig. 6, the IO task ① in a nonblocking way scatters the data read from file 1 to the MPI tasks 1, 2, and 3; it then shifts to read file 2 without waiting for the previous scatter operation to finish. When IO task ① finishes its reading of file 2, it checks (in most cases it does not need to wait) the finish of the previous scatter operation since the MPI communication time is usually significantly shorter than the IO time; it then in a nonblocking way scatters the data read from file 2 to the MPI tasks 1, 2, and 3; it then shifts to read the next file in the same manner until all the files are read. Other IO tasks are in the same manner. And a similar method is applied for the writing or updating operation. This almost eliminates the MPI communication time, which significantly improves the performance of these parallel IO operations.
All the experiments are performed on the research supercomputer Beaufix in Météo-France, which is a Linux cluster built by BULL company. The SLURM system is used for the cluster management and the job scheduling. And this machine is equipped with a highly scalable Lustre file system of 156 OSTs. The parallel IO algorithm developed by ourselves can use both PnetCDF and netCDF with parallel HDF5 as the back end. PnetCDF 1.10.0 is adopted for all the experiments in this study.
PDAF is an open-source parallel data assimilation framework that provides fully implemented data assimilation algorithms, in particular ensemble-based Kalman filters like LETKF and LESTKF. PDAF is optimized for large-scale applications run on big supercomputers in both research and operational contexts. We chose PDAF as the basis to implement the proposed offline and online EnKFs using the efficient methods described in Sect. 3, because it has interfaces for both offline and online modes. With this unified basis, the study comprehensively assesses the efficiency of the offline and online EnKFs in terms of the time to solution, job queuing time, and IO time. We refer the readers to the PDAF website (PDAF, 2018) for more detailed information.
4.1 Assessing the proposed parallel IO algorithm
4.1.1 Experiments for assessing the proposed parallel IO algorithm
The key advantage of the Lustre file system is that it has many parameters that can be tuned by the user to maximize the IO performance according to the characteristics of the files and the configuration of the file system. The most relevant parameters are the stripe size and the stripe count. The Lustre manual provides some guidelines on how to tune these parameters. It is interesting to see how the different combinations of the stripe size and the stripe count affect the performance of the proposed parallel IO algorithm with different numbers of IO tasks. Moreover, it is practical to determine the reasonable combination of these parameters by trial and error. Thus, a simple program using the proposed IO algorithm, which reads 40 files in parallel (each file is about 5 GB in size) into a matrix X as illustrated in Fig. 6 and then writes in parallel the matrix X back to the 40 files, is developed to record the IO times and the MPI communication times for each run. Each experiment is run with 1024 MPI tasks and takes a different combination of the stripe size, the stripe count, and the number of IO tasks. The stripe size can be 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, and 64 MB; the stripe count can be 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, and 128; and the number of IO tasks can be 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256, 512, and 1024. Thus, there are 616 experiments in total.
4.1.2 Performance of the proposed parallel IO algorithm
Figure 7 shows how the combination of the stripe count and size has an influence on the IO performance. An obvious feature in Fig. 7 is that the IO times are always large when the stripe count is small regardless of the stripe size (e.g. when the stripe count is 1 or 2). This is reasonable because the small stripe count means a small number of OSTs are used for storing the file; that is, it prevents high concurrent IO operations. But if the number of IO tasks for the file is significantly larger than the number of OSTs, the heavy competition of IO tasks for the same OST actually increase the IO times substantially. On the other hand, the IO time with a small stripe size but a large stripe count gradually decreases as the number of IO tasks increases (see the cases with the stripe size of 1 or 2 MB but with stripe count of 64 or 128 in Fig. 7). A small stripe size but a large stripe count means that there are many small blocks of the large file (about 5 GB in this case) distributed over many OSTs; that is, each IO task needs to perform IO operations over a large number of OSTs when the number of IO tasks is small; increasing the number of IO tasks reduces the number of OSTs on which each IO task operates, thus reduces the IO times. For the same reason, a large stripe count allows for high concurrent IO operations and less competition; a large stripe size further reduces the number of OSTs on which one IO task operates when the file is large; therefore, the combination of a large stripe count and a large stripe size with a large number of IO tasks generally reduces the IO time for a large file, as is evident in the four panels of Fig. 7 since all the IO times converge to the least with a stripe count of 128 and a stripe size of 64 MB. These imply that the combination of the large stripe count with the large stripe size usually produces a small IO time for a large file. These results suggest that it is important to have a consistent combination of the stripe count and the stripe size in line with the size of the file and the number of IO tasks for a better IO performance.
In Fig. 7, the best IO performance is obtained with a stripe count of 128 and a stripe size of 64 MB for the cases of 32, 64, 128, and 256 IO tasks. For other cases of different numbers of IO tasks, a similar pattern is obtained (figures not shown). Owing to the smaller size of files, the stripe count of 128 and the stripe size of 1 MB are chosen as the combination of these two parameters with 40 (160) IO tasks for the medium-scale (large-scale) experiments described in Sect. 4.2.1 to compare the offline and online EnKFs.
The IO throughput is the amount of data read or written per second. Fig. 8a shows that the IO time and the IO throughput vary as a function of the number of IO tasks. The IO time and the IO throughput are the averages of all the 616 experiments described in Sect. 4.1.1, and they are grouped by the number of IO tasks. The IO times (blue line in Fig. 8a) decrease quickly from about 1500 s to about 60 s as the increase in the number of IO tasks and then maintain nearly constant with a large number of IO tasks. The best IO performance is achieved with 1024 IO tasks; it takes about 60 s to read and write 40 restart files (each file has a size of about 5 GB). For the same reason (the smaller size of files), the number of IO tasks is set to 40 (160) for the medium-scale (large-scale) experiments described in Sect. 4.2.1 to compare the offline and online EnKFs. And the variance of the IO times is large with a large number of IO tasks. The IO throughput increases gradually as the number of IO tasks increases. The maximum IO throughput is more than 1500 MB s−1. Because the IO throughput is the average of different combinations of the stripe count and the stripe size, it can be beyond 2000 MB s−1 with the optimal combinations of these two stripe parameters (not shown). The variance of the IO throughput is proportional to the IO throughput. It is interesting to find that the proposed IO algorithm scales well since we do not see an apparently saturated IO time up to 1024 IO tasks.
In Fig. 8b, the IO time in Fig. 8a is decomposed into the time for opening and closing, the time for reading and writing, and the MPI communication time. The reading and writing time is dominant, and its pattern is similar to that of the IO time in Fig. 8a. It is at least 2 orders of magnitude larger than the other two terms. The opening and closing time is slightly oscillating around 3 s. This opening and closing time is somewhat larger than that in a local filesystem, because the Lustre clients need to communicate with the metadata servers. The MPI communication time decreases as the number of IO tasks increases, and it is larger (smaller) than the opening and closing time with a small (large) number of IO tasks. Even though the MPI communication is overlapped with the IO operations, there is a waiting time for the finish of the last reading or the first writing in our proposed algorithm. Thus, we believe that the major MPI communication time is dominated by this waiting time. Otherwise, the MPI communication time should be negligible if it is completely hidden behind the IO operations.
The impact of the stripe parameters on the IO performance depends on many factors such as the configuration and hardware of a Lustre system, the number and size of files to be read or written, and so on. So the exact value of the IO performance might vary with the situation of applications, but the statistics should give some meaningful insights into how these parameters affect the IO performance and what is the optimal combination for a situation.
4.2 Comparing the offline and online EnKFs
4.2.1 Experiments for comparing the offline and online EnKFs
The ultimate goal of this study is to develop an offline framework for high-dimensional ensemble Kalman filters which is at least as efficient as, if not faster than, its online counterpart in terms of the time to solution. Table 1 summarizes the experiments for comparing the offline and online EnKFs. The number of ensemble members is 40 for all experiments in Table 1. All the experiments use the same number of MPI tasks for each ensemble member regardless of the mode (offline or online) of the EnKF so that the model time and the analysis time are comparable. For the example in Table 1, the medium- and large-scale problems use one node per member and four nodes per member, respectively. Since each node of our supercomputer has 40 cores, the online EnKF requires 1600 (6400) MPI tasks for the medium-scale (large-scale) problem. But the number of MPI tasks for the offline EnKF dynamically ranges from 40 (160) to 800 (3200) for the medium-scale (large-scale) problem depending on the available nodes during its running processes. The large-scale problem requires a large number of computer nodes, which may imply a long queuing time for the simultaneous availability of such a large number of nodes, but it has a lower IO cost for the online mode. In contrast, our proposed offline framework does not require all the computer nodes for all the members to be available simultaneously, but the IO cost may be high because of the intermediate outputs between the forecast phase and the analysis phase. Thus, a medium-scale problem and a large-scale problem are designed to address the dependence of time to solution on the scale of the problem. The medium- and large-scale problems are land grid points of a global field with resolutions of 0.1 and 0.05∘, respectively. The size of the state vector for the medium- and large-scale problems are 2 127 104 and 8 498 681, respectively. Each of the experiments in Table 1 is repeated 15 times, which is equivalent to 15 assimilation cycles, to obtain robust statistics of measured times. As in real scenarios, other auxiliary variables besides the state variables, such as the location and patch fraction, are needed to be read for the full functionality of the model and DA. The corresponding restart files including the auxiliary variables are about 0.3 and 1.0 GB for the medium- and large-scale problems, respectively. Thus, both the offline and online EnKFs read and update all the variables in the restart files to assess their performances to a limit.
Both the background members and the observations are synthetic data in these experiments for both the offline and online EnKFs. These synthetic data are formed by the land grid points of the idealized global fields described in the following. The horizontal resolution of the global field is and , where nx and ny are the numbers of grid points in longitude and latitude, respectively. The value of nx (ny) is 3600 (1800) and 7200 (3600) for the medium- and large-scale problems, respectively. The ensemble members and observations are generated from the following hypothetical true state (see Fig. 9a):
The members (figures not shown) are generated by randomly shifting the true state in longitude:
where the superscript denotes the ID of a member, and are the longitude and latitude index of the grid point, respectively, and Δs is a shift drawn from a uniform distribution on . The observations (see Fig. 9d) are the true state values plus the observation errors at the grid points randomly picked from the total grid points. The number of observations is equal to 10 % of the number of the total grid points, and the observation errors are drawn from a normal distribution with a mean of zero and a variance of 0.252. Thus, the observation operator simply becomes ℋ(x)≡x. All these fields are written to the corresponding NetCDF files in advance so that the offline or online EnKFs can read them at the beginning of each cycle.
All the assimilation experiments use the LESTKF scheme with a localization radius of 50∘, and the localization scheme by Nerger et al. (2012b) which calculates the localization weights using a fifth-order polynomial (Gaspari and Cohn, 1999). Because localization weights decrease smoothly to zero as the influence radius increases to the specified threshold, this fact guarantees the continuity of the global analysis at boundaries of subdomains after the local analyses are mapped back onto the global domain. We refer readers to the paper by Nerger et al. (2012a) for a full description of the ESTKF and the paper by Nerger et al. (2006) for the domain and observation localizations using LESTKF. The multiplicative coefficient of covariance inflation is set to one to keep its computation, but it has no effect on the covariance matrix so that the total computational time includes a similar computational time of covariance inflation whether it takes effect or not. For the sake of experiments, the model simply reads its initial condition, sleeps one second, and writes its restart file for the offline mode or sends its states to the DA component for the online mode. In the offline mode, each model member reads its corresponding initial condition and writes the corresponding restart file. Then the DA component reads the restart files, performs the analysis, and writes the analysis ensemble files. In the online mode, each model member only reads its corresponding initial condition, and the DA component writes the analysis ensemble files. All these IO operations are done by the proposed parallel IO algorithm, which certainly can read or write one file or multiple files in parallel. This makes it possible to fairly compare their IO times. The jobs of the first assimilation cycle of the offline and online EnKFs for the medium-scale problem are submitted at the same time, and the jobs of the next cycle are submitted without any delays after the completion of the previous cycle; this repeats until the last cycle and so does the large-scale problem. This manner guarantees the fair comparison of the queuing times since the offline and online EnKFs are in the same loaded condition of the supercomputer.
4.2.2 Results of comparing the offline and online EnKFs
Figure 9b is the analysis mean obtained by the offline or online EnKF. Compared to the initial state (Fig. 9c), which is the ensemble mean before the assimilation, it can be seen that the analysis mean (Fig. 9b) is significantly close to the true state (Fig. 9a), especially over the northern Canada, Greenland, and north-western Africa. The only difference between the offline and online EnKFs is the coupling mode, which only affects the time to solution, so they produce identical analysis results. Therefore, the following evaluations focus on the differences in the times between the offline and online EnKFs. In a research context, the queuing time is largely dependent on the loaded condition of the supercomputer, so the time to solutions of all the experiments in Table 1 are assessed at times, such as at the weekend, when the supercomputer has a low load and at times, such as during the weekday, when the supercomputer has a high load.
In the offline mode for the assimilation cycle j, each model member whose ID is k records its running time (the actual executing time) , which includes its IO time , and the DA component records its running time , which includes its IO time . Thus, the running time and the IO time of the assimilation cycle j are
and
respectively. In the online mode, tj, running and tj, IO are explicitly recorded by the online EnKF owing to the online coupling of the model and the DA component.
Thus, the average running time and the average IO time of an assimilation cycle are calculated as
and
respectively. Similarly, the average queuing time of an assimilation cycle is
where tj, queuing is the queuing time of the first running job in the assimilation cycle j. Since this study is interested in the time to solution, the EnKF system records the elapsed time from the beginning to the end of 15 assimilation cycles as the time to solution, tsolution. Thus, the average of the total time of an assimilation cycle is . Except for the total time, the standard deviation can be calculated as
where x can be “queuing”, “running”, or “IO”. Thus, , , , and correspond to the columns of “total”, “queuing”, “running”, and “IO” in Table 2, respectively. Table 2 summarizes these average times of the offline and online EnKFs for both medium- and large-scale problems in both low- and high-loaded situations. Figure 10 shows the statistics of the total time, the queuing time, and the running time of 15 assimilation cycles for both medium- and large-scale problems in both low-loaded and high-loaded conditions. It can be seen from Fig. 10 that the running time of the offline EnKF is the same as that of the online EnKF for both medium- and large-scale problems regardless of the loading conditions of the supercomputer.
In the low-loaded condition (Fig. 10a, b), it is surprising that the IO time of the offline EnKF is about 29 % (37 %) longer than that of the online EnKF for the medium-scale (large-scale) problem. In principle, the former should be twice as large as the later. The possible explanation is that this IO time might be affected by the jitter of the supercomputer including the underlying networks and the Lustre file system. From Table 2, it can be shown that the IO time of the offline (online) EnKF only accounts for a fraction of about 6.6 % (2.8 %) and 2.4 % (1.3 %) of the total time for the medium- and large-scale problems, respectively. It is obvious that with the proposed IO algorithm, the IO time becomes a less severe problem as the scale of the problem increases since the analysis time becomes dominant. The queuing time is slightly less than the running time for the offline EnKF, but the queuing time is 2 to 4 times larger than the running time for the online EnKF. Even in such a low-loaded condition, it is evident that the offline mode has a shorter queuing time than the online mode, because the online mode simultaneously requires significantly more nodes than the offline mode. Thus, the offline EnKF is faster than the online EnKF in terms of the time to solution. In the limit of zero queuing time, the former is at least as fast as the later. Therefore, the dynamically running job scheme described in Sect. 3.1 does reduce the queuing time. In other words, it can be shown from Table 2 that the offline mode is nearly 45 % (26 %) faster than the online mode in terms of time to solution for the medium-scale (large-scale) problem.
In the high-loaded condition (Fig. 10c, d), the IO times increase a bit owing to the loaded condition of the underlying Lustre file system. Even the IO time for the medium-scale problem is larger than that for the large-scale problem; this implies that loading conditions also affect IO performances. But it can be shown from Table 2 that the IO time of the offline (online) EnKF is still as small as a fraction of about 8.8 % (2.8 %) and 1.4 % (0.4 %) of the total time for the medium- and large-scale problems, respectively. Except for the offline mode for the medium-scale problem, the queuing times (especially for the online mode) are substantially larger than the running time. For the medium-scale problem (Fig. 10c), the queuing time of the offline mode is even less than the running time, because it is common that there are some dispersed nodes available in a high-loaded supercomputer. The offline mode which requires few nodes can quickly obtain the available nodes to start its running. For the large-scale problem (Fig. 10d), the queuing time of the offline mode is a factor of around 1.7 (estimated from Table 2) larger than the running time. On the contrary, the queuing times of the online mode are a factor of around 6.0 and 10.1 (estimated from Table 2) larger than the running time for the medium- and large-scale problems, respectively. In such an occasion, the queuing time dominates the time to solution; thus, the offline mode is significantly faster than the online mode. Thus estimated from Table 2, the offline mode is about 55 % and 67 % faster than the online mode in the high-loaded condition.
Comparing the queuing times for the large-scale problem in Table 2, it can be seen that in a high-loaded condition they are several times larger than those in a low-loaded condition. The queuing time becomes dominant for a large-scale problem in a high-loaded supercomputer. The offline EnKF is significantly faster than the online EnKF in terms of time to solution. As the numerical model is of a higher and higher resolution, the offline EnKF might be a better option than the online EnKF for a high-dimensional system in terms of time to solution, at least in a research context.
From Fig. 10, it can be seen that the variances of both the running time and the IO time are negligible, but the variance of the queuing time is even larger than its average value except for the large-scale problem in the high-loaded condition. This means the instantaneously loaded condition of the supercomputer varies greatly even in the low-loaded condition. A careful examination of the recorded times highlights that the large variance comes from the extremely large queuing time of one or two cycles. Because of this varied high-loaded condition, the dynamically running job scheme has its place to play its strength.
To summarize, the offline mode is faster than the online mode in terms of time to solution for an intermittent data assimilation system, because the queuing time is dominant and the IO time only accounts for a small fraction of the total time with the proposed IO algorithm. Even in the situation where the queuing time is negligible, the offline mode can be at least as fast as the online mode with the proposed IO algorithm and the dynamically running job scheme. The queuing times as well as the total times vary with the loading conditions of a supercomputer, but these statistics shed some light on how the queuing time influences the time to solution of an EnKF system.
With the sophisticated dynamically running job scheme and the innovative parallel IO algorithm proposed in the study, a comprehensive assessment of the total time, the queuing time, the running time, and the IO time between the offline and online EnKFs for medium- and large-scale assimilation problems is presented for the first time. This study not only provides the detailed technical aspects for an efficient implementation of an offline EnKF but also presents the thorough comparisons between the offline and online EnKFs in terms of time to solution, which opens new possibilities to re-examine the applicable conditions of the offline and online EnKFs.
In summary, the proposed parallel IO algorithm can drastically reduce the IO time for reading or writing multiple files with an identical structure. The tuning parameters of a stripe count and a stripe size should be consistent, and high values of these two parameters usually allow for high concurrent IO operations and low competitions which significantly reduce the IO time. Using the proposed parallel IO algorithm, the running times of both offline and online EnKFs for high-dimensional problems are almost the same since the IO time only accounts for a small fraction, which further decreases as the scale of the problem increases. This implies that the proposed parallel IO algorithm is very scalable. On the contrary, in a low-loaded supercomputer, the queuing time might be equal to or less than the running time; thus, the offline EnKF is at least as fast as, if not faster than, the online EnKF in terms of the time to solution, because the offline mode requires less simultaneously available nodes and more easily and quickly obtains the requested nodes to reduce the queuing time than the online mode. But in a high-loaded supercomputer, the queuing time is usually several times larger than the running time, thus the offline EnKF is substantially faster than the online EnKF in terms of time to solution because the queuing time is dominant in such a circumstance. Therefore, the loaded condition of a supercomputer varies greatly, which justifies the dynamically running job scheme of an offline EnKF.
It is evident that the offline EnKF can be as fast as, if not faster than, the online EnKF. On average, the offline mode is significantly faster than the online mode in the research context. Even in the operational context where the queuing time can be negligible, the offline mode still has an advantage over the online mode. This is because the online mode never has a chance to run when the total nodes required are larger than the total nodes of a supercomputer if the number of members is so large. In general, the observations are only available at a regular time interval; that is, not every time step of the numerical model has observations for the assimilation. Thus, most DA systems are an intermittent system. Therefore, with a good implementation and a high-performance parallel file system, an offline mode is still preferred with the perspective of the techniques proposed in this study because of their easy implementations and promising efficiencies. In the climate modelling context, even the assimilation is intermittent and an online mode might be appropriate, because the model can run a very long time once it has started. The running time substantially outweighs the queuing time.
In terms of job management, other job scheduling systems are similar to the one (SLURM) used in this paper, so the dynamically running job scheme also works for these systems and can be adapted with minor changes. Other parallel file systems may be different from the Lustre parallel file system in many aspects. But, in principle, they all have a feature to distribute a file over multiple storage devices for supporting concurrent IO operations. And the proposed parallel IO algorithm does not rely on any specific characteristics of the Lustre parallel file system; that is, similar conclusions could be obtained for other parallel IO file systems. Thus, we believe that the techniques proposed in this paper can be generalized to other supercomputers and even to future supercomputer architectures.
For a high-dimensional system with a large number of ensemble members, the total size of the output files is extremely large. This poses a great burden to archive these files. Even though the archiving is not a critical component of an EnKF system, the time to solution can be further reduced if the archiving is implemented properly. We also implemented a very practical method to asynchronously archive the output files to a massive backup server with compressing and transferring on the fly. This method further reduces the time to solution of an EnKF system. The details of this method are beyond the scope of this paper. The techniques proposed in this paper are being incorporated into the offline framework of LDAS-Monde at Météo-France.
PDAF is publicly available at http://pdaf.awi.de (last access: 14 August 2020). The offline and online EnKFs built on top of PDAF for all experiments presented in this paper are available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.2703420 (Zheng, 2019).
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
YZ designed and implemented the dynamically running job scheme and the parallel IO algorithm with discussions from CA, SM, and BB. YZ implemented the offline and online EnKF systems. YZ designed and carried out the experiments. YZ prepared the paper with contributions from all co-authors.
The authors are grateful to the anonymous reviewers and the topical editor Adrian Sandu for comments that greatly improved our article.
The work of Yongjun Zheng was supported by ESA under the ESA framework contract no. 4000125156/18/I-NB of phase 3 of the ESA Climate Change Initiative Climate Modelling User Group.
This paper was edited by Adrian Sandu and reviewed by Elias D. Nino-Ruiz and two anonymous referees.
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