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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">GMDD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Geoscientific Model Development Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">GMDD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1991-962X</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/gmd-2021-337</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Weaknesses in dust emission modelling hidden by tuning to dust in the atmosphere</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chappell</surname>
<given-names>Adrian</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0694-7348</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Webb</surname>
<given-names>Nicholas</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hennen</surname>
<given-names>Mark</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9627-6404</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zender</surname>
<given-names>Charles</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0129-8024</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ciais</surname>
<given-names>Philippe</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8560-4943</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schepanski</surname>
<given-names>Kerstin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1027-6786</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Edwards</surname>
<given-names>Brandon</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ziegler</surname>
<given-names>Nancy</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jones</surname>
<given-names>Sandra</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Balkanski</surname>
<given-names>Yves</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8241-2858</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tong</surname>
<given-names>Daniel</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4255-4568</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Leys</surname>
<given-names>John</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Heidenreich</surname>
<given-names>Stephan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hynes</surname>
<given-names>Robert</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fuchs</surname>
<given-names>David</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8943-2149</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zeng</surname>
<given-names>Zhenzhong</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ekström</surname>
<given-names>Marie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Baddock</surname>
<given-names>Matthew</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1490-7511</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>Jeffrey</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kandakji</surname>
<given-names>Tarek</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF10 3XQ, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range, Las Cruces, NM 88003, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA CNRS UPSACLAY, Gif-sur-Yvette, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Climate and Atmosphere Research Center (CARE-C), The Cyprus Institute, 20 Konstantinou Kavafi Street, 2121 Nicosia, Cyprus</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Meteorology, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory (CRREL), 72 Lyme Rd, Hanover, NH 03755-1290, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Department of Planning, Industry and Environment, NSW, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>The Fenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>School of Environmental Science and Engineering, South University of Science and Technology of China, Shenzhen 518055, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Geography and Environment, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geosciences, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff14">
<label>14</label>
<addr-line>Yale Center for Earth Observation, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>04</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2021</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>30</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2021 Adrian Chappell et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2021-337/">This article is available from https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2021-337/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2021-337/gmd-2021-337.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2021-337/gmd-2021-337.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>&lt;p&gt;Dust emissions influence global climate while simultaneously reducing the productive potential and resilience of landscapes to climate stressors, together impacting food security and human health. Vegetation is a major control on dust emission because it extracts momentum from the wind and shelters the soil surface, protecting dry and loose material from erosion by winds. Many of the current dust emission models (TEM) assume that the Earth&amp;rsquo;s land surface is constantly devoid of vegetation, then adjust the dust emission using a vegetation cover reciprocal, and finally calibrate to dust in the atmosphere. We compare this approach with an albedo-based dust emission model (AEM) which calibrates Earth&amp;rsquo;s land surface shadow to shelter depending on wind speed, to represent aerodynamic roughness spatio-temporal variation. We also compare these dust emission models with estimates of dust in the atmosphere using dust optical depth frequency (DOD). Using existing datasets of satellite observed dust emission from dust point sources (DPS), we show that during the same period, DOD frequency exceeds DPS frequency by up to two orders of magnitude (RMSE&lt;sub&gt;DOD&lt;/sub&gt;&amp;thinsp;=&amp;thinsp;67 days). Relative to DPS frequency, both models over-estimated dust emission frequency by up to one order of magnitude (RMSE&lt;sub&gt;TEM&lt;/sub&gt;&amp;thinsp;=&amp;thinsp;6 days; RMSE&lt;sub&gt;AEM&lt;/sub&gt;&amp;thinsp;=&amp;thinsp;4 days) but showed strong relations with DPS frequency suitable for calibrating models to observed dust emission. Theoretically, the TEM is incomplete in its formulation, which despite the pragmatic adjustment using the vegetation cover reciprocal, causes dust emission to be highly dependent on wind speed and over-estimates large (&amp;gt;&amp;thinsp;0.1&amp;thinsp;kg&amp;thinsp;m&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;2&lt;/sup&gt;&amp;thinsp;a&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;1&lt;/sup&gt;) dust emission over vast vegetated areas. Consequently, the TEM produces considerable falsely positive change in dust emission, relative to the AEM. Since the main difference between the dust emission models is the treatment of aerodynamic roughness we conclude that its crude representation in the TEM has caused large, previously unknown, uncertainty in Earth System Models (ESMs). Our results indicate that tuning dust emission models to dust in the atmosphere has hidden for more than two decades, these TEM modelling weaknesses and its poor performance. The AEM overcomes these weaknesses and improves performance without tuning. In ESMs the AEM can be driven by available prognostic albedo to represent the fidelity of drag partition physics to reduce uncertainty of aerosol effects on, and responses to, contemporary and future environmental change.&lt;/p&gt;</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="30"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Natural Environment Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>EAR-1853853</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Directorate for Engineering</funding-source>
<award-id>EAR-1853853</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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