<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing with OASIS Tables v3.0 20080202//EN" "journalpub-oasis3.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" dtd-version="3.0"><?xmltex \makeatother\@nolinetrue\makeatletter?>
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">GMD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Geoscientific Model Development</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">GMD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Geosci. Model Dev.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1991-9603</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/gmd-8-3311-2015</article-id><title-group><article-title>Mapping of satellite Earth observations using <?xmltex \hack{\break}?>moving window block
kriging</article-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Mapping of satellite Earth observations}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{J.~M.~Tadi\'{c} et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Tadić</surname><given-names>J. M.</given-names></name>
          <email>jotadic@lycos.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Qiu</surname><given-names>X.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Yadav</surname><given-names>V.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Michalak</surname><given-names>A. M.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><institution>Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for
Science, Stanford, CA 94305, USA</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">J. M. Tadić (jotadic@lycos.com)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>20</day><month>October</month><year>2015</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>8</volume>
      <issue>10</issue>
      <fpage>3311</fpage><lpage>3319</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>24</day><month>July</month><year>2014</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>8</day><month>August</month><year>2014</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>2</day><month>July</month><year>2015</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>5</day><month>October</month><year>2015</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015.html">This article is available from https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015.pdf</self-uri>


      <abstract>
    <p>Global gridded maps (a.k.a. Level 3 products) of Earth
system properties observed by satellites are central to understanding the
spatiotemporal variability of these properties. They also typically serve
either as inputs into biogeochemical models  or as independent data for
evaluating such models. Spatial binning is a common method for generating
contiguous maps, but this approach results in a loss of information,
especially when the measurement noise is low relative to the degree of
spatiotemporal variability. Such “binned” fields typically also lack a
quantitative measure of uncertainty.</p>
    <p>Geostatistical mapping has previously been shown to make higher
spatiotemporal resolution maps possible, and also provides a measure
uncertainty associated with the gridded products. This study proposes a
flexible moving window block kriging method that can be used as a tool for
creating high spatiotemporal resolution maps from satellite data. It relies
only on the assumption that the observed physical quantity exhibits spatial
correlation that can be inferred from the observations. The method has
several innovations relative to previously applied methods: (1) it provides
flexibility in the spatial resolution of the contiguous maps, (2) it is
applicable for physical quantities with varying spatiotemporal coverage
(i.e., density of measurements) by utilizing a more general and versatile
data sampling approach, and (3) it provides rigorous assessments of the
uncertainty associated with the gridded products. The method is demonstrated
by creating Level 3 products from observations of column-integrated carbon
dioxide (XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the GOSAT (Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite) satellite, and solar induced fluorescence
(SIF) from the GOME-2 (Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2) instrument.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

      <?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>Satellite measurements of  Earth's surface and atmospheric quantities have
enormous benefits for Earth system science due to their global coverage and
near-real-time availability. They provide key constraints for developing
models representing our understanding of the functioning of the Earth
system. However, due to orbit geometries and geophysical limitations, a
uniform or contiguous global coverage of these observations in space and/or
time is not possible. This necessitates creation of contiguous maps for
obtaining measurements at unsampled times and locations for understanding
overall patterns, driving biogeochemical or physical models, and/or
validating model predictions. Due to their widespread utility, global
gridded maps are often part of the standard suite of satellite data
products  and are often termed “Level 3” data (e.g., NASA, 2014).</p>
      <p>In the case of column-integrated carbon dioxide (XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and solar
induced fluorescence (SIF) observations, the two illustrative applications
that will be used in this work, gridded products have been used, for
example, to evaluate the representation of water stress in models of
photosynthesis (Lee et al., 2013), to assess the performance of a terrestrial
biosphere model in representing global CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> distributions (Hammerling et
al., 2012b), and to constrain a model to assess the relative roles of
variations in atmospheric transport and carbon exchange in explaining
atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> variability over the Amazon (Parazoo et al., 2013). The
generation of Level 3 products is also often part of the standard processing
sequence of observations (e.g., GOSAT Project, 2014; CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> DAAD, 2014).</p>
      <p>Presently, “binning” is the most widespread method for creating such
contiguous maps of satellite data. Such binning typically involves computing
the mean of the observations that fall within a grid cell (a.k.a. “bin”) of
an appropriate geographic size and time window (for applications of binning
in the context of satellite retrievals of atmospheric concentration of
carbon dioxide see  Kulawik et al., 2010, and  Crevoisier et al., 2009).
However, this simplicity comes with some limitations such as  (1) the mean
being computed from a different number of measurements across grid-cells, (2) the
inability to take into account any redundancy among nearby observations in
computing the mean, and (3) the lack of gap filling properties for
grid cells that may contain no observations for a given time window.</p>
      <p>The methodological deficiencies of binning can be overcome by using kriging,
a geostatistical interpolation approach that takes into account the spatial
and/or temporal correlation in the observations. Kriging is a best linear
unbiased estimator, with the various implementations of ordinary kriging
relying on the assumption of intrinsic stationarity. More typically, a
covariance function is used to represent spatial correlation, and
second-order stationarity is assumed, i.e., that the mean is constant and the
covariance is only a function of the distance between observations (for
kriging see  Chiles and Delfiner, 2012). Because the mean and covariance of
Earth system observations vary substantially, the kriging tools need to be
modified to reflect this nonstationarity. One such method is moving window
kriging, in which kriging is performed locally and the covariance parameters
are determined locally within pre-specified spatial and/or temporal
subdomains (e.g., Haas, 1990). The ability of the moving window kriging to
reflect local uncertainty has been emphasized to be the most important
advantage over kriging methods relying on the global covariance models (e.g.,
Harris et al., 2010; Walter et al., 2001; Van Tooren and Haas, 1993). Due to
this advantage, the moving window kriging has been previously used for
creating contiguous maps of satellite remote sensing observations of
column-averaged CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (e.g., Hammerling et al., 2012a and b).</p>
      <p>This work proposes a further development of the moving window kriging method
for application with satellite observations of Earth system properties.
Whereas Hammerling et al. (2012a, b) used ordinary kriging as the basis for
obtaining estimates at the spatial support (i.e., resolution or spatial
footprint size) of observations, we propose a moving window block kriging
method that can yield estimates at any resolution equal to or greater than
that of the observations (for discussions on change of support in the context
of remote sensing see  Atkinson and Curran, 1995, Collins and Woodcock,
1999, and Braverman, 2011). The main advantages of the proposed tools are that
they make it possible to  (1) select the spatial support/resolution of the
mapped quantities, (2) handle large volumes of data by developing
subsampling techniques that can make moving window block kriging
computationally feasible for a large number of satellite measurements, and (3) provide
rigorous assessments of the uncertainty associated with the
contiguous maps.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Methods</title>
      <p>The proposed approach builds on the work of Hammerling et al. (2012a, b),
with the goal of increasing the applicability and the flexibility of the
nonstationary local kriging approach presented therein. The main innovations
are twofold. The first is to allow for flexibility in the spatial support of the
estimates (i.e., the spatial resolution at which the mapping is conducted).
The second is to provide a general approach for subsampling available
observations in a manner that (i) captures the local correlation structure
in the vicinity of each estimation grid cell and (ii) makes the statistical
mapping approach computationally feasible in the case of applications with a
very large number of observations.</p>
      <p>The mapping proceeds in three steps for each grid cell and each estimation
time on a regular grid, in order to create a contiguous map of the satellite
observations. These steps are outlined in the subsections below  and include
subsampling of the observations, characterization of the local spatial
covariance structure, and interpolation at the desired spatial resolution.
In Sect. 3, the new mapping approach is applied to two prototypical
examples of satellite observations, namely observations of column-integrated
concentration of atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> concentrations (XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
observations of surface solar induced fluorescence (SIF), measured by the
GOSAT (Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite) satellite, and by the GOME (Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment) instrument, respectively.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Subsampling of observations</title>
      <p>The goal of the subsampling strategy is to preferentially sample
observations in the vicinity of a given estimation grid cell, such that both
the characterization of the local spatial covariance structure  and the
ultimate mapped estimate and its associated uncertainty  are representative
of local variability. This is accomplished by selecting the total number of
observations to be used, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is selected to be large enough to yield a
representative sample but small enough to make mapping computationally
feasible on a given computational platform. For the applications presented
in Sect. 3, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 500 and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 1000 for the XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and SIF mapping,
respectively.</p>
      <p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> observations are selected for each estimation grid cell by assigning a
relative selection probability to each observation based on that
observation's separation distance from the centroid of the grid cell. This
selection probability could be application specific,  but for the
applications presented here we selected
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>∝</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the relative probability of a given observation being
selected, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the great circle distance between the location
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of an observation and the centroid <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of the estimation grid cell:
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><?xmltex \hack{\hbox\bgroup\fontsize{8.9}{8.9}\selectfont$\displaystyle}?><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cos</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>sin⁡</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>sin⁡</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>cos⁡</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>cos⁡</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>cos⁡</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><?xmltex \hack{$\egroup}?></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the radius of the Earth and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
are the latitude and longitude of location <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p>The form of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Eq. (1) ensures that a comparable number of
observations is selected within any equal-area concentric band around an
estimation grid cell, thereby also ensuring that observations that are at
close distances to one another are preferentially close to the estimation
location. This is a desirable feature because observations that are close to
one another define the shape of the variogram at short separation distances
(Sect. 2.2), and the variogram should reflect variability in the vicinity
of the estimation grid cell. Different forms of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> could also be used,
for example if more/fewer observations along a given direction were
desirable in order to better represent expected correlations along a given
direction.</p>
      <p>In previous work (Alkhaled et al., 2008; Hammerling et al., 2012a, b), a fixed
application-specific window size was instead defined within which all
available observations were used, together with a user-defined fraction of
observations outside of the window. The window size was based in part on
expected scales of variability in the satellite observations. The updated
approach presented here reduces the number of user-selected parameters and
explicitly provides a mechanism for ensuring the computational feasibility
of mapping in the case of very large data sets, such as the SIF example
examined here.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>Characterization of spatial covariance</title>
      <p>The characterization of the local covariance structure of the observations
around each estimation grid cell, based on the subsampled observations,
proceeds as described in Hammerling et al. (2012a, Sect. 2.1), except that
(1) all possible pairs of observations are included in the formulation of
the raw variogram  and the nugget-effect variance, representative of the
retrieval/measurement errors, is not spatially uniform. The reader is
referred to that earlier publication for additional details.</p>
      <p>Briefly, for each estimation grid cell, a raw variogram is calculated based
on the subsampled observations:
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mo>]</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the raw variogram value for a given pair of observations
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>(<underline><italic>x</italic></underline><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the great circle
distance between the locations <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of these
observations, as defined in Eq. (2).</p>
      <p>A parametric function, the theoretical variogram, is fitted to the raw
variogram using non-linear least squares. For the prototypical applications
presented here, an exponential variogram function with a nugget effect was
used, because it yields a valid covariance function on a sphere (Huang et
al., 2011), provided a good match to the known physical characteristics of
the observations, and fit the observed variability well:

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">γ</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="{" close=""><mml:mtable class="cases" rowspacing="0.2ex" columnspacing="1em" columnalign="left left" framespacing="0em"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>for</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>exp⁡</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nug</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>for</mml:mtext><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are the variance and correlation length of the
quantity being mapped, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">nug</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the nugget variance,
typically representative of measurement and retrieval errors in the case of
satellite observations. The nugget component can be either prescribed (as in
the XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> example in Sect. 3) or estimated (as in the SIF example in
Sect. 3), depending on the availability of information about measurement
and retrieval errors.</p>
      <p>The variogram parameters can be used to define a corresponding local spatial
covariance structure for the mapped quantity (XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> or SIF, in the
prototypical examples presented here). For the variogram function in Eq. (4)
this becomes
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">exp</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          The nugget effect is correspondingly used to define the covariance structure
of the measurement and retrieval errors:

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E6" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="{" close=""><mml:mtable class="cases" columnspacing="1em" rowspacing="0.2ex" columnalign="left left" framespacing="0em"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nug</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mtext>for</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="1em"/><mml:mtext>for</mml:mtext><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <title>Mapping using moving window block kriging</title>
      <p>Ordinary kriging, a minimum variance linear unbiased mapping method for
spatial data, was used in Hammerling et al. (2012a, b) to create contiguous
maps of XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. In this approach, the spatial support (i.e., footprint) of
the estimates corresponds to that of the observations. Although the mapping
can be performed at any spatial interval (e.g., once per 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> grid
cell), the estimates remain representative of the variability at the scale
of the observations.</p>
      <p>Here, we instead use block kriging (e.g., Webster, 2000), an approach that
yields estimates that represent an average within a specified area. This
makes it possible to disassociate the native footprint of the observations
from the resolution of the mapped product, thereby making it possible to
create contiguous maps at any desired spatial resolution equivalent to or
greater than the size of the observation footprints. As with moving window
ordinary kriging, block kriging provides an optimal estimate of the quantity
being mapped (XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and SIF, in the prototypical examples presented
here) for each estimation location, based on the subsampled observations
(Sect. 2.1) and the local covariance structure (Sect. 2.2), together
with a rigorous assessment of the uncertainty associated with the estimate.</p>
      <p>The linear system of equations that is solved to obtain the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> weights
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> assigned to the subsampled observations for a given
estimation grid cell is

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E7" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mtable class="array" columnalign="center center"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">Q</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">R</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mn mathvariant="bold-italic">1</mml:mn></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="bold-italic">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mtable class="array" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">λ</mml:mi></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ν</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="[" close="]"><mml:mtable class="array" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">q</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where <bold>Q</bold>
is a <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> covariance matrix among the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> observations with
individual entries as defined in Eq. (5), <bold>R</bold> is a  <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> diagonal
measurement and retrieval error covariance matrix among the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> observations as
defined in Eq. (6), <bold><italic>1</italic></bold> is a  <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 unity vector, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> denotes the vector
transpose operation, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">q</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is an <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 vector of the spatial
covariances between the estimation grid cell and the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> observation locations,
defined as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E8" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">q</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the covariance between the grid cell and observation <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>,
and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is defined as in Eq. (5) based on the distance
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> between observation <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> regularly spaced locations within the grid
cell. In general, the larger the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the better the representation of the area
(i.e., grid cell) to observation covariance. For practical purposes, in the
applications presented here, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is defined based on the relative footprint of
the observations compared to that of the estimation grid cells.</p>
      <p>The system in Eq. (7) is solved for <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and the Lagrange
multiplier <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ν</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. These parameters are then used to define the estimate (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula>)
and estimation uncertainty variance (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the
grid cell as

                <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E9"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">y</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E10"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>AA</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">q</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ν</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 vector of subsampled observations, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the variance of the mapped quantity (XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> or SIF, in the
prototypical examples presented here) at the resolution of the estimation
grid cell, defined as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E11" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is defined as in Eq. (5) based on the
distance <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> between any combination of the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> regularly spaced locations
within the grid cell defined previously.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Example applications</title>
      <p>The mapping approach described in Sect. 2 is demonstrated using two
prototypical examples of satellite observations: (1) observations of
column-integrated concentrations of atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from
the GOSAT satellite, and (2) observations of surface solar-induced
fluorescence (SIF) from the GOME-2 instrument. These applications differ in
the spatial footprint (i.e., support) of the observations (nadir footprint of
about 10.5 km diameter at sea level (Kuze et al., 2009)  and 40 km <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 80 km (Joiner et al., 2013), respectively), the volume of
available data (approximately 2 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and 2 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
observations per week, respectively), the timescales of variability, and
the degree of spatial variability and nonstationary in the observed
quantity.<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?></p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Global land XCO${}_{{2}}$ fields observed by GOSAT}?><title>Global land XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fields observed by GOSAT</title>
      <p>The Japanese  GOSAT  (e.g., Kuze et
al., 2009) was launched in 2009 and is the first satellite dedicated to
global greenhouse gas monitoring, including CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and CH<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. GOSAT
flies in a polar, sun-synchronous orbit with a 3-day repeat cycle and an
approximately 13:00 LT overpass time. GOSAT XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data are
being used to examine a number of questions in carbon cycle science,
including comparing observed and modeled XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> fields (Hammerling et
al., 2012b), quantifying sources and sinks of CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (e.g., Deng et al.,
2014; Basu et al., 2013, 2014; Chevallier et al., 2014; Takagi et al.,
2014), detecting perturbations in the carbon cycle (Guerlet et al., 2013),
and interpreting seasonal changes in the carbon balance (Parazoo et al.,
2013).</p>
      <p>Measurements of XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (a.k.a. “Level 2” data) are derived using a
number of retrieval algorithms, among them NASA's Atmospheric CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
Observations from Space (ACOS) algorithm (e.g., O'Dell et al., 2012; Crisp
et al., 2012). Filtered and bias-corrected data from the most up to date
version of this algorithm (ACOS v3.4 release 3) are used here to demonstrate
the mapping approach presented in Sect. 2. Approximately 900 successful
retrievals are available per 3-day repeat cycle, with the majority of
observations being over land. These data have substantial retrieval
uncertainties (e.g., O'Dell et al., 2012) and include large gaps (e.g.,
Fig. 1). These features prevent the application of simple spatial and
temporal binning techniques for generating XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> maps at spatiotemporal
scales that are directly useful for addressing existing uncertainties in
carbon cycle science.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><caption><p>ACOS v3.4 release 3 XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> Level 2 data
(“observations”) for 2–7 August 2009.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p>XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> Level 3 maps <bold>(a, c)</bold> and associated uncertainties
<bold>(b, d)</bold> based on ACOS 3.4 release-3 retrievals (“estimates”) for 2–7 August 2009 at <bold>(a, b)</bold> native resolution
and <bold>(c, d)</bold> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> resolution, obtained using the proposed mapping approach.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p>The approach described in Sect. 2 is used to create continuous maps,
a.k.a. Level 3 data, based on XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> observations obtained over two
repeat cycles, namely 2–7 August 2009 (Fig. 1). A 6-day period is used
to balance the competing goals of including as many observations as
possible, while avoiding time periods over which the XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> field itself
would change substantially (see discussion in Hammerling et al., 2012a). Maps
of XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and associated uncertainties are created at native (Fig. 2a, b) and 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 2c, d) resolutions, in
order to examine and demonstrate the impact of resolution on mapping
uncertainty. Targeting different resolutions is made possible by the use of
the moving window block kriging approach presented here. <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 500 subsampled
observations are used per estimation location. These maps can also be
compared to those presented for an equivalent period in Hammerling (2012b,
Auxiliary Figs. 2 and 3), with methodological differences as described in
Sect. 2  and representative of the estimated XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> at the native
resolution of sounding footprints (nadir footprint <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10.5 km
diameter) with estimates at 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.25<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
intervals.</p>
      <p>Results show that, because of the information content of the sparse
observations, the estimated fields (Fig. 2a, c) are similar at native and
1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> resolutions; however, estimating directly at the
coarser 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> resolution yields lower
uncertainties as observations become more informative for spatially averaged
quantities (Fig. 3).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p>Reduction in estimation uncertainties between the native
estimation resolution and the 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> estimation resolution for
XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> Level 3 maps based on ACOS 3.4 release-3 retrievals for 2–7 August 2009.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Global land solar-induced fluorescence fields observed by GOME-2</title>
      <p>A series of recent studies has demonstrated the potential use of satellite
observations of  SIF  for understanding and
quantifying photosynthetic CO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> uptake at large scales, using data from
the GOSAT satellite (e.g., Joiner et al., 2011; Frankenberg et al., 2011;
Guanter et al., 2012; Joiner et al., 2012; Lee et al., 2013; Frankenberg et
al., 2012), the SCIAMACHY (SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for
Atmospheric CHartographY) instrument on board Envisat (e.g., Joiner et al.,
2012), the GOME-2  instrument on
board MetOp-A (Meteorological operational satellite-A; e.g., Joiner et al., 2013), and the Orbiting Carbon
Observatory (OCO-2) (e.g., Frankenberg et al., 2014). Satellite measurements
of fluorescence can be used with land surface models to improve the
representation of GPP (gross primary production) and to understand the GPP response to environmental stress
(e.g., Lee et al., 2013). Among available data sets, GOME-2 provides the
highest spatial and temporal density of data.</p>
      <p>Until now, studies of SIF have relied on spatially and temporally binned
average observations at monthly or coarser timescales and 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> or coarser
spatial scales (e.g., Fig. 4). The coarse spatial and temporal scales were
used to overcome, through the use of simple averaging, spatial gaps in
observations and the relatively high uncertainties associated with
individual retrievals. One of the limitations of such an approach is that it
inherently discards information about SIF variability at fine spatial and
temporal scales, which is important for understanding the impact of
transient effects such as changes in phenology and water availability (Lee
et al., 2013), and developing biospheric models that can represent these
effects correctly. A second limitation is the lack of a direct and robust
quantification of the uncertainty associated with the mapped products,
complicating uncertainty analysis in subsequent applications using the data.</p>
      <p>As a second demonstration of the mapping approach proposed here, we
use SIF GOME-2 V.14 data (Joiner et al., 2013) with the approach
described in Sect. 2 to create contiguous maps of SIF at a single spatial
resolution (1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)  but at multiple temporal
resolutions. The examination of shorter time periods was selected in order
to more directly respond to scientific opportunities in the use of SIF data
and to complement the spatial-resolution-focused demonstration of Sect. 3.1. Maps of SIF and associated uncertainties are created at 1-, 6-, and
31-day temporal resolutions in August, 2009 (Fig. 5), where August 2009
was chosen for convenience to correspond with the XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> application
presented in Sect. 3.1. <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 1000 subsampled observations are used per
estimation location. The monthly map can also be compared to the monthly
binned map presented in Fig. 4.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><caption><p>Monthly averaged binned map of GOME-2 SIF data for 1–31 August 2009 (mW m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> sr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> nm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Results show that the proposed approach can leverage nearby observations to
create realistic contiguous maps even at 1-day resolution (Fig. 5a, b),
although, as expected, uncertainties are reduced (Fig. 5d) at coarse
temporal resolutions, just as was seen for coarser spatial resolutions in
the XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> application. In fact, the regions with little or no SIF data
for the 1-day application are clearly visible as high-uncertainty bands in
Fig. 5b, and a user could explicitly decide whether such uncertainties are
acceptable  or too high for a given scientific application. When maps are
intended to be used to drive and/or validate biogeochemical models,
having the ability to choose a desirable balance between temporal
resolution and mapping,  uncertainty presents a considerable advantage.</p>
      <p>Ideally, the temporal resolution at which maps are obtained is as fine as
possible so as to capture the dynamics of the observed physical quantity, in
this case SIF. The choice of optimal temporal resolution thus, in general,
defines a trade-off between having sufficient observations for adequate
spatial coverage while minimizing the impact of temporal variability in the
quantity being examined (Hammerling et al., 2012a). In Fig. 6 it is
apparent that the presented approach makes it possible to obtain maps at
temporal resolutions much higher than the monthly (or coarser) resolution of
current binned products. As expected, the more abundant observations
available at 6-day temporal resolution (Fig. 6d) lead to decreased
estimation uncertainty compared to those at 1-day resolution (Fig. 6b). However, at
monthly temporal resolutions (Fig. 6e, f) the temporal variability in SIF
over a 31-day period increases the discrepancy among (spatially) nearby
observations, leading to increased uncertainties at coarse timescales. This
effect is apparent in comparing Fig. 6d and f, as uncertainty increases
over, for example, eastern South America. A similar trade-off was also noted
in selecting mapping timescales for XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (Hammerling et al., 2012a)
and further speaks to the advantage of being able to select a mapping
timescale based on scientific need and uncertainty tolerance, as is possible
with the approach presented here.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5"><caption><p>Maps of global SIF (mW m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> sr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> nm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) <bold>(a, c, e)</bold> and
associated estimation uncertainties expressed as standard deviations
<bold>(b, d, f)</bold>, for 1 August 2009 <bold>(a, b)</bold>, 2–7 August 2009 <bold>(c, d)</bold> and 1–31 August 2009
<bold>(e, f)</bold> obtained using GOME-2 observations and the presented mapping
approach at 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> spatial resolution.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/3311/2015/gmd-8-3311-2015-f05.jpg"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\vspace{-3mm}}?>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Method evaluation</title>
      <p>Leave-one-out cross-validation is used to evaluate the performance of the
proposed method. In doing so, the goal is for the predicted values to be as
directly comparable as possible to the observation being held back. With
that goal in mind, the cross-validation analysis is performed for maps
generated at 1-day temporal resolution  and at the native spatial resolution
of the sounding footprints.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Cross-validation results of GOSAT XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and GOME-2 SIF
data sets, including mean absolute difference, root mean squared difference,
percent of observations lying outside of 1, 2, and 3 standard
deviations (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of the mapping uncertainty  and mean
difference.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">GOSAT XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">GOME-2 SIF</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="1">Estimates</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2">Mean absolute difference</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col3">0.85 ppm</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col4">0.47 mW m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> sr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> nm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Root mean squared difference</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1.15 ppm</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.61 mW m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> sr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> nm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="2">Uncertainties</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2">% observations falling outside 1<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> uncertainty</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col3">10.06 %</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col4">11.23 %</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">% observations falling outside 2<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> uncertainty</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.96 %</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.60 %</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">% observations falling outside 3<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> uncertainty</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.18 %</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.03 %</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Bias</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Mean difference</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.007 ppm</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.002 mW m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> sr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> nm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p>We apply this strategy for both SIF and XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> test cases. For SIF, for
each day in 1–7 August 2009, 10 % of available GOME-2 SIF data were
randomly selected for use in leave-one-out cross-validation and their
coordinates extracted. For XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, all GOSAT XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> observations for
each day in 2–7 August 2009  were used in leave-one-out cross-validation.
All three mapping steps (see Sect. 2.1–2.3) are repeated <italic>ab initio</italic> during
cross-validation. The performance of the mapping method is tested in terms
of the accuracy of the best estimates (the difference between estimates and
withheld observations)  and the accuracy of the uncertainty bounds (the
degree to which the reported uncertainties capture the difference between
estimates and withheld observations) and bias (the mean difference between
estimates and withheld observations).</p>
      <p>The accuracy of the maps at daily temporal resolution and native spatial
resolution is evaluated using the mean absolute difference (MAD) and the
root mean squared difference (RMSD) between the mapped estimates and
observations held back in leave-one-out cross-validation (Table 1). Although
an absolute target value for these accuracy metrics is not available, it is
interesting to note that the MAD and RMSD are comparable to the reported
measurement uncertainty in both satellite data sets (0.77 ppm for GOSAT
XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, 0.55 mW m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> sr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> nm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for GOME-2 SIF). We also compare the GOSAT
XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> values to those obtained from by applying the method developed in
Hammerling et al. (2012a), which yielded a MAD of 0.86 ppm and a RMSD of
1.20 ppm, demonstrating comparable performance, but with the additional
benefits provided by the new method as described in Sect. 2.</p>
      <p>Estimation uncertainties reflect the locations and number of observations
surrounding the estimation location, the degree of spatial variability in
the mapped field in the vicinity of the estimation location, and the
spatiotemporal support of the estimates. The accuracy of the uncertainties
obtained from the mapping method is evaluated by quantifying the reliability
with which the uncertainty bounds associated with the estimates capture the
values of the withheld observations. Specifically, we calculate the
percentage of estimation locations where the withheld observations fall
outside of the 1, 2, and 3 estimation standard deviation (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mi>z</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> uncertainty bounds. For independent, normally distributed data,
these percentages should be approximately 32, 5 and 0.3 %,
respectively. Although these assumptions do not hold here, these values
still provide a general indication of expected performance.</p>
      <p>For both applications, the percentage of observations falling outside of the
uncertainty bounds is lower than would be expected for normally distributed
data (Table 1), showing good mapping accuracy. These percentages are very
similar when the analysis is repeated using the method developed by
Hammerling et al. (2012a). The lower percentages are due to the fact that
observations are not normally distributed.</p>
      <p>Finally, the bias of the developed method is quantified using the mean
difference between estimates and the withheld observations in the
leave-one-out cross-validation. Theoretically, mean difference should
approach zero as the number of cross-validation points increases if the
method provides perfectly unbiased estimates. The mean difference for both
applications (Table 1) was several orders of magnitude lower than the
observed spatial gradients in the mapped quantities (e.g., Figs. 1 and 4)  and was not statistically significant (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &gt; &gt; 0.05:
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.86 for GOSAT XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>; <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.63 for GOME-2 SIF). The approach therefore
yields unbiased estimates.<?xmltex \hack{\vspace{-3mm}}?></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>In this study we propose a flexible moving window block kriging method that
can be used as a tool for creating high spatiotemporal resolution maps from
satellite data. The method can be applied in a stand-alone mode, or as a part
of broader satellite data processing package. The resulting maps can also be
incorporated into biogeochemical and physical models of the Earth system.
The approach relies only on the assumption that the observed physical
quantity exhibits spatial correlation that can be inferred from the
observations. The method has several advantages over previously applied
methods: (1) it allows for the creation of contiguous maps at varying
spatiotemporal resolution, (2) it can be applied for creating contiguous
maps for physical quantities with varying spatiotemporal coverage (a.k.a.
density of measurements), and (3) it provides assessments of the uncertainty of
interpolated values. The approach emphasizes the use of local covariance
structures in predictions by an arbitrary selection of the sampling
function, limiting the radius around estimation locations and adjusting the
number of sampled points to a fraction of available measurements. The
approach also limits the number of partially subjective ancillary parameters
required, making it applicable across a variety of applications.</p>
      <p>The method was demonstrated by creating Level 3 products from two data sets
with considerably different spatiotemporal properties. While the GOSAT
XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> observations were relatively sparse, the GOME-2 SIF data had a
much higher spatiotemporal density. In the case of GOSAT XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, the
effects of making predictions at different spatial supports (i.e.,
resolutions) were analyzed, showing that a decrease in the resolution
slightly affects estimates (“smoothing” effect) and more significantly
estimation uncertainties (reduced uncertainties at coarser resolution). In
the case of GOME-2 SIF, the focus was kept on the effect of different
aggregation time periods by creating maps at higher temporal resolutions.
This example demonstrated the importance of being able to select a mapping
timescale based on scientific need and uncertainty tolerance as optimal
temporal resolution results from a trade-off between having sufficient
observations for adequate spatial coverage, while minimizing the impact of
temporal variability in the quantity being examined. In this it was shown
that even daily Level 3 maps could be successfully created by the proposed
method. For both data sets, the method was shown to yield precise, accurate,
and unbiased estimates. The results clearly indicate that contiguous maps
can be created at different spatial resolutions for time periods shorter
than achievable by binning/averaging.</p>
      <p>The resulting maps can be used to support the development of improved models
of the Earth system, both by serving as driver data and validation data for
such models.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>This work was supported by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration
(NASA) through grant no. NNX08AJ92G, and the National Science Foundation
(NSF) through grant no. 1342076. The XCO<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> data were produced by the
ACOS/OCO-2 project at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of
Technology, and obtained from Christopher O'Dell (CSU, ACOS/OCO-2 Algorithms
Team; <uri>http://reef.atmos.colostate.edu/~odell/odell.html</uri>). We
thank NASA and the ACOS/OCO-2 project for providing the data, and the three
Japanese parties (NIES, JAXA, MOE) for making the GOSAT spectra available to
the scientific community. We also thank Joanna Joiner (NASA/GSFC) for
providing GOME-2 SIF data, and the NASA Carbon Cycle Science program
(NNH10DA001N) for funding the SIF research.
<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: A. Sandu</p></ack><ref-list>
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