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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">GMD</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Geoscientific Model Development</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">GMD</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Geosci. Model Dev.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1991-9603</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/gmd-14-719-2021</article-id><title-group><article-title>Using radar observations to evaluate 3-D radar echo structure simulated by the
Energy Exascale Earth System Model<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> (E3SM) version 1</article-title><alt-title>Using radar observations to evaluate 3-D radar echo simulation</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Using radar observations to evaluate 3-D radar echo simulation}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{J. Wang et~al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Wang</surname><given-names>Jingyu</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4841-0872</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Fan</surname><given-names>Jiwen</given-names></name>
          <email>jiwen.fan@pnnl.gov</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5280-4391</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Houze Jr.</surname><given-names>Robert A.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Brodzik</surname><given-names>Stella R.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4660-5000</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Zhang</surname><given-names>Kai</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0457-6368</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3">
          <name><surname>Zhang</surname><given-names>Guang J.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Ma</surname><given-names>Po-Lun</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3109-5316</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99354, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Jiwen Fan (jiwen.fan@pnnl.gov)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>3</day><month>February</month><year>2021</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>14</volume>
      <issue>2</issue>
      <fpage>719</fpage><lpage>734</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>7</day><month>April</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>11</day><month>December</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>6</day><month>December</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>25</day><month>May</month><year>2020</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2021 Jingyu Wang et al.</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021.html">This article is available from https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e150">The Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) developed
by the Department of Energy has a goal of addressing challenges in
understanding the global water cycle. Success depends on correct simulation
of cloud and precipitation elements. However, lack of appropriate evaluation
metrics has hindered the accurate representation of these elements in
general circulation models. We derive metrics from the three-dimensional
data of the ground-based Next-Generation Radar (NEXRAD) network over the
US to evaluate both horizontal and vertical structures of precipitation
elements. We coarsened the resolution of the radar observations to be
consistent with the model resolution and improved the coupling of the Cloud
Feedback Model Intercomparison Project Observation Simulator Package (COSP)
and E3SM Atmospheric Model Version 1 (EAMv1) to obtain the best possible
model output for comparison with the observations. Three warm seasons
(2014–2016) of EAMv1 simulations of 3-D radar reflectivity features at an
hourly scale are evaluated. A general agreement in domain-mean radar
reflectivity intensity is found between EAMv1 and NEXRAD below 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
altitude; however, the model underestimates reflectivity over the central
US, which suggests that the model does not capture the mesoscale
convective systems that produce much of the precipitation in that region. The
shape of the model-estimated histogram of subgrid-scale reflectivity is
improved by correcting the microphysical assumptions in COSP. Different from
previous studies that evaluated modeled cloud top height, we find the model
severely underestimates radar reflectivity at upper levels – the simulated
echo top height is about 5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> lower than in observations – and this result
is not changed by tuning any single physics parameter. For more accurate
model evaluation, a higher-order consistency between the COSP and the host
model is warranted in future studies.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

      <?xmltex \hack{\allowdisplaybreaks}?>
<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <?pagebreak page720?><p id="d1e180">Clouds and precipitation play a major role in Earth's budgets of energy,
water, and momentum. However, the correct simulation of 3-D structures of
clouds and precipitation has been challenging in general circulation models
(GCMs) (Trenberth et al., 2007; Randall et al., 2007),
partially because model grid spacings generally do not adequately
resolve the cloud-structure details important to these budgets. In addition,
the lack of appropriate evaluation metrics also hinders the evaluation of
GCMs. Over the contiguous US (CONUS), the detailed 3-D radar reflectivity
field (indicating the 3-D distribution of precipitation particles) is
observed by the ground-based Next-Generation Radar (NEXRAD) network of
S-band weather radars (3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; Zhang et al., 2011, 2016).
In this study,
we use the mosaic of NEXRAD observations called Gridded Radar Data (GridRad)
developed by Homeyer and Bowman (2017), which have a horizontal resolution
of 0.02<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (regridded to 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in this study), vertical resolution of
1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (24 levels), and an update cycle of 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. In order to compare these
data appropriately with output of the global model used here, we further
coarsen the horizontal resolution, as described in Sect. 2.
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
The Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) is an ongoing effort of the
Department of Energy (DOE) to advance the next generation of climate
modeling Version 1 of E3SM Atmosphere Model (EAMv1) is
a descendent of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
Community Atmosphere Model version 5.3 (CAM5.3; Neale et al., 2012).
However, it has evolved substantially in coding, performance, resolution,
physical processes, testing, and development procedures (Rasch et al., 2019).
Previous model evaluation has focused on the long-term climatological
properties of certain cloud fields, surface precipitation, and water
conservation on the global scale (e.g., Qian et al., 2018; Xie et al., 2018;
K. Zhang et al., 2018;
Lin et al., 2019). Evaluations of the vertical
structures of cloud and precipitation elements have used vertically pointing
radar observations obtained during field campaigns (Y. Zhang et al., 2018;
Zhang et al., 2019). However, these tests lacked evaluation of fully 3-D
cloud and precipitation structure over large regions of the globe and over
long time periods.</p>
      <p id="d1e226">For this study, we have built data processing techniques to evaluate EAMv1
simulation of the 3-D radar reflectivity field at its default setting of
1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> grid spacing and 72 vertical layers at an hourly timescale.
Our goal is to provide a comprehensive evaluation of both horizontal pattern
and vertical structure of cloud and precipitation. We use radar observations
obtained from the NEXRAD over the CONUS for the 3 years 2014–2016. In
order to directly compare the model results with NEXRAD, we have improved
the Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project (CFMIP)
Observation Simulator Package (COSP) (Bodas-Salcedo, et al., 2011) and implemented it into
EAMv1. We restrict the evaluation to the warm season (i.e., April to
September). Over the CONUS, warm-season precipitation is dominated by
convective processes, which are very different from the more widespread
frontal cloud systems of cold-season precipitation. As discussed by Iguchi
et al. (2018), precipitating ice particles have large variation in habits
and scattering properties, and the effect of non-Rayleigh scattering and
multiple scattering by large precipitating ice particles could introduce
large uncertainty into simulating the radar reflectivity field. To reduce
uncertainty due to these factors, we examine only the warm season of the
3 years from 2014 to 2016.</p>
      <p id="d1e238">This paper is organized as follows: Sect. 2 describes the model, the
GridRad dataset, the COSP simulator, and the step-by-step methodology of
data processing to account for differences between the modeled and observed
datasets, specifically (1) horizontal and vertical resolutions of EAMv1
(1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>,  72 vertical levels) and NEXRAD (4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> horizontally, 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
vertically) and (2) minimum detectable limits between the model and NEXRAD.
Section 3 presents the model evaluation results and tests of the sensitivity
to physics parameters. Section 4 provides synthesis and conclusions.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Methodology</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>EAMv1 description and configuration</title>
      <p id="d1e281">EAMv1's dynamics core and physics parameterizations are described in detail
by Rasch et al. (2019). The continuous Galerkin spectral finite-element
method solves the primitive equations on a cubed-sphere grid (Dennis et al.,
2012; Taylor and Fournier, 2010). Tracer transport on the cubed sphere is
handled using a variant of the semi-Lagrangian vertical coordinate system of
Lin (2004). The method locally conserves air mass, trace constituent mass,
and moist total energy (Taylor, 2011). Turbulence, shallow cumulus clouds,
and cloud macrophysics are parameterized with the Cloud Layers Unified By
Binormals (CLUBB) parameterization (Golaz et al., 2002; Larson, 2017). Deep
convection is based upon the formulation originally described in Zhang and
McFarlane (1995, hereafter ZM), with modifications by Neale et al. (2008)
and Richter and Rasch (2008). Stratiform clouds are represented with the
“Morrison and Gettelman version 2” (MG2) two-moment bulk microphysics
parameterization (Gettelman and Morrison, 2015). Aerosol microphysics and
interactions with stratiform clouds are treated with an updated and improved
version of the four-mode version of the Modal Aerosol Module (MAM4; Liu et al., 2016). Regarding the stratiform–convection partition, the MG2
stratiform cloud microphysics and CLUBB higher-order turbulence
parameterization explicitly provide values for condensate mass and number,
as well as an estimate of stratiform cloud fraction, whereas the convective
cloud fraction is not parameterized in the mass-flux-based ZM scheme (assumed to
be <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≪</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for typical GCM resolutions such as at 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
grid spacing or coarser) and is diagnosed from cloud mass flux for cloud
radiation calculation, which is treated as a tunable parameter.</p>
      <p id="d1e303">The EAMv1 used in this study has 30 spectral elements (ne30), which
corresponds to approximately 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> horizontal grid spacing, and the
total number of grid columns is 48 602. Vertically, there are 72 layers
using a traditional hybridized sigma pressure coordinate. The simulation is
run for the time period from 1 January 2014 to 1 October 2016. We use a
dynamic time step of 5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and a cloud microphysics time step of 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The
large-scale circulation in the simulation is constrained using the nudging
technique (Zhang et al., 2014; Ma et al., 2014;
Lin et al., 2016), so that
the model simulations can be constrained by realistic large-scale forcing.
Specifically, horizontal winds (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mi>U</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> components) are nudged towards the
Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2
(MERRA2), reanalysis data (Gelaro, et al., 2017) with a relaxation timescale
of 6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Nudging is applied to all grid boxes at each time step, with the
nudging tendency calculated using the model state and the
linearly interpolated MERRA2 data (Sun et al., 2019).</p>
      <p id="d1e354">To facilitate the comparison with observations, model outputs are regridded
to the geographic coordinate system with a horizontal grid spacing of 100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and the vertical coordinate<?pagebreak page721?> is converted to the above mean surface level
height in meters. By default, all the regridding processes in this study are
based on the Earth System Modeling Framework Python Regridding
Interface
(<uri>https://earthsystemmodeling.org/esmpy/</uri>, last access: 10 April 2019) using bilinear
interpolation.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>COSP radar simulator</title>
      <p id="d1e376">The retrieved spaceborne satellite and ground-based radar products such as
cloud water content and effective particle size (e.g., Randel et al., 1996;
Wang et al., 2015; Tian et al., 2016; Um et al., 2018) are often treated as
the ground truth for model evaluation (e.g., Fan et al., 2017; Han et al.,
2019). However, the retrieved products often have large uncertainty
(Stephens and Kummerow, 2007). To allow the comparison of model results with
direct measurements from 3-D scanning radars (ground-based or
satellite-borne), the COSP was
developed for use in GCMs (Bodas-Salcedo et al., 2011). Instead of using
retrieved products to evaluate the model simulation, COSP converts model
output into pseudo-observations using forward calculations (Bodas-Salcedo et al., 2011; Swales et al., 2018; Zhang et al., 2010).</p>
      <p id="d1e379">The COSP consists of three steps, as detailed in Zhang et al. (2010). The
first step is to generate a subgrid-scale distribution of cloud and
precipitation, which is done by using the Subgrid Cloud Overlap Profile
Sampler (SCOPS; Klein and Jakob, 1999; Webb et al., 2001) and SCOPS for
precipitation (SCOPS_PREC), respectively. Each GCM grid box
is divided into 50 subcolumns in this study. Detailed description of SCOPS
and SCOPS_PREC can be found in Zhang et al. (2010). Then, the
radar signals are calculated by the QuickBeam code (Haynes and Stephens,
2007) using the column distribution of cloud and precipitation. Thus, COSP
calculates the reflectivity for the combined cloud properties using its own
subgrid assumption, and it does not distinguish convective and stratiform
cloud contributions to reflectivity. Finally, the grid box mean radar
reflectivity is calculated through the method of linear averaging (i.e., the
reflectivity values [in dBZ] are converted to the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values [<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">mm</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>] to calculate the mean <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and then mean <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is converted back into
dBZ). In addition to averaging, all the processing of radar reflectivity
data from model and NEXRAD in this study utilizes the linearized <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values,
including horizontal averaging, vertical interpolation, calculation and
comparison of mean values, etc.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Table}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e433">Modification of the hydrometeor assumptions used in COSP.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.85}[.85]?><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Hydrometeor type<inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col3" align="center" colsep="1">Distribution type </oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col4" nameend="col5" align="center" colsep="1">Density (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">kg</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col6" nameend="col7" align="center" colsep="1">Particle mean diameter (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col8" nameend="col9" align="center" colsep="1">Distribution width<inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">b</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (unitless) </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Default</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Modified</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Default</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Modified</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Default</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Modified</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Default</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Modified</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">LSL</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Lognormal</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Gamma</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">524</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">12</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CVL</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Lognormal</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Gamma</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">524</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">12</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">LSI</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Gamma</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">110.8</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.91</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">500</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CVI</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Gamma</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">110.8</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.91</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">500</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">LSS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Exponential</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">100</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">250</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">n/a</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">n/a</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">CVS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Exponential</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">100</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">250</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">n/a</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">n/a</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.85}[.85]?><table-wrap-foot><p id="d1e436"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> LS: large-scale; CV: convective; L: cloud liquid; I: cloud ice; S:
snow.
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">b</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Distribution width: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ν</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ν</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is a shape parameter in gamma distribution describing the
dispersion of the distribution.
n/a – not applicable</p></table-wrap-foot><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e873">The COSP version 1.4 used in this study has no scientific difference from
version 2.0 (Song et al., 2018, Swales et al., 2018). Following the general
usage of COSP, we modified the microphysics assumptions used for the radar
reflectivity calculation regarding hydrometeor density, size distribution,
etc., making those assumptions consistent with those used in the MG2 cloud
microphysics scheme that is used in E3SM. The detailed documentation of
those changes is in Table 1. Note that, although we tried to make the COSP
use the same hydrometeor size distribution functions as MG2, the three
parameters (slope, intercept, and shape parameters) are still separately
defined in COSP. We use horizontally homogeneous cloud condensate
distribution within the model grid element and the maximum–random overlapping
scheme for cloud occurrence (Marchand et al., 2009; Hillman et al., 2018).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>NEXRAD observations</title>
      <p id="d1e884">The NEXRAD network consists of 159 S-band (3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) Doppler radars, which form
a dense observational network nearly covering the CONUS. We use the GridRad
mosaic product of Homeyer and Bowman (2017), which combines all NEXRAD radar
data covering the region 25–49<inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, 155–69<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. To compare the GridRad data to the E3SM model fields,
the radar frequency in the COSP was set to 13.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, consistent with the
Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Ku-band radar, since we originally
aimed at evaluating the E3SM simulation with GPM data. However, due to the
high detectable threshold of 13 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, low sampling frequency (four to seven overpasses
over CONUS per day), and the narrow swath width (245 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) for each overpass,
GPM data within the 3-year period (2014–2016) have a significant
under-sampling issue. That is, the GPM sample sizes over 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> model
grid boxes are generally too small to robustly represent the grid element
mean value. Therefore, we decided not to use GPM data in this study. As GPM
operates over the whole earth and is anticipated to run for a long time
period, it will likely be a very useful dataset for evaluating the
coarse-resolution global model in the future.</p>
      <p id="d1e955">The GPM radar frequency is higher than that of NEXRAD (13.6 vs. 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).
Previous studies have shown conversions from Ku (13.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) to S band (3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
are necessary when using GPM Ku-band radar to calibrate the ground-based
radars (Warren et al., 2018). Based on our previous study that
quantitatively evaluated the coincident observations from NEXRAD and GPM
over the CONUS, we found the 3-D radar reflectivity fields obtained from the
two independent platforms are highly consistent with each other after proper
smoothing of GPM data in the vertical (Wang et al., 2019b). We performed a
series of offline tests of COSP simulation using the frequency of 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(NEXRAD), 13.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (GPM Ku band), and 94 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (the cloud profiling radar
on board the CloudSat satellite). Their corresponding reflectivities are
compared in Fig. 1. As shown, the reflectivity values with 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are very
similar to those with 13.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, indicating the Rayleigh scattering is
satisfied for both frequencies in this application. To examine if the COSP
can correctly handle the Mie scattering calculation, the frequency of 94 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
used by the CloudSat is also tested, whose products have been widely used
for the evaluation of coarse-resolution models (Zhang et al., 2010). As
shown in Fig. 1, the reflectivities simulated with 94 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> significantly
deviate from those simulated with 3 and 13.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> when reflectivities <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which reveals that the COSP simulator is capable of
handling both Rayleigh<?pagebreak page722?> and Mie scattering calculations. However, there is no
difference using Ku band or S band in the COSP simulator in this study,
because the simulated condensates are not large enough to lead to
non-Rayleigh scattering, which is typically observed at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">40</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the Ku band (Matrosov, 1992).</p>
      <p id="d1e1086">An attenuation correction has been applied in case of existence of any large
particles, although they are extremely unlikely to occur in this application.
Since the COSP mimics the satellite view from space to the ground, the layer
below 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude is most vulnerable to the possible attenuation caused by
large precipitation particles, which has been excluded from the comparison.
In this study, biases caused by the temporal mismatch are minimal at the
horizontal resolution of 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>); we
nevertheless perform Gaussian smoothing of GridRad data to match the model
time step (30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) in the comparison.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e1135">Scatterplots of radar reflectivity values simulated by the
COSP simulator at 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis) vs. those simulated at 13.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (left
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis) and 94 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">GHz</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (right <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1192">Examples of <bold>(a)</bold> original GridRad observation, <bold>(b)</bold> GridRad mapped
over the E3SM model grid, and <bold>(c)</bold> the concurrent model simulation on
11 May 2016, 07:00 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">UTC</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, at the 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4">
  <label>2.4</label><title>Mapping the radar observations to the model grid</title>
      <p id="d1e1236">As shown in previous studies (e.g., Wang et al., 2015, 2016, 2018; Feng et al., 2012, 2019), the minimum reflectivity of the 3-D mosaic NEXRAD dataset
is 0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 2a). However, the model grid-mean reflectivity can be as low
as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Because our focus is on significantly precipitating clouds, the
minimum threshold of reflectivity at 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> grid scale is set to be 8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (corresponding to rain rate <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">mm</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). We also tested
with a threshold of 0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and report later on how it only has minor effects
on our conclusions. For our main results, after coarsening the 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> GridRad
data to a model grid element, only the grid elements with a mean value
larger than 8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are taken into account in both observations (Fig. 2b) and
in the simulation (Fig. 2c). In the vertical direction, the EAMv1-simulated
radar reflectivity field (72 vertical levels, hybrid coordinate) is
interpolated to the levels of GridRad (vertical resolution of 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The
simulation data are saved hourly, consistent with the hourly GridRad data.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1341">Comparison of radar reflectivity subgrid distribution between
NEXRAD observations (red bars) and the simulations (blue bars) at the
vertical levels of 2, 4, 8, and 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Simulation results in the
left and right columns are from the default microphysics assumptions in COSP
and modified COSP microphysics assumptions, respectively.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=441.017717pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e1360">Scatter density plot of radar reflectivity values from the
simulation with the modified microphysics assumptions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis) vs. those
with the default microphysics assumptions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis). The data shown are for
April 2014. The dots are color-labeled with their frequency of occurrence.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Results</title>
      <p id="d1e1392">After the horizontal averaging, vertical interpolation, and truncation at
the identified minimum threshold of 8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the 3-D radar reflectivity fields
obtained from GridRad and the model simulation become comparable. The
EAMv1-simulated reflectivity is evaluated from the perspectives of subgrid
distribution, horizontal pattern, and vertical distribution.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Comparison of subgrid distribution of reflectivity</title>
      <p id="d1e1410">The horizontal resolution difference between GCMs (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and NEXRAD
observations (4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) presents a challenge for testing the model-simulated
radar reflectivity. To mimic the observations, COSP divides the grid-mean
cloud and precipitation properties into subcolumns (Pincus et al., 2006)
that statistically downscale the data in a way that should be consistent
with observations. The way this is done in COSP is discussed by Zhang et al. (2010) and Hillman et al. (2018). In this section we examine whether<?pagebreak page723?> the
subgrid reflectivity distribution generated by COSP is consistent with the
observed subgrid reflectivity distribution shown by the NEXRAD observations.</p>
      <p id="d1e1439">In EAMv1, 50 subcolumns are used for calculating the mean radar reflectivity
for a model grid box. There are 625 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">pixels</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> inside each 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> grid for
NEXRAD data to provide a probability density function (PDF) of observed
reflectivity within the box. After averaging the NEXRAD pixels at subgrid
scale to 50 samples to match the COSP's subcolumns, Fig. 3 compares the
simulated subgrid reflectivity PDF to the NEXRAD PDF based on all the
GridRad samples combined for the 3-year period at each individual level,
where the interval of reflectivity bins is 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The results for the
default microphysics assumptions in COSP, which are for a single-moment
scheme, produce a bimodal distribution at and below 8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitudes (blue
histograms in the left-hand column of Fig. 3). The bimodality is
significantly different from the observed PDF, which forms a smooth gamma
distribution. Song et al. (2018) also found bimodal distributions when the
COSP was implemented in the CAM with the original microphysics assumptions,
which are clearly unlike real observed radar reflectivity distributions.</p>
      <p id="d1e1475">Our modification of the microphysical assumptions in COSP (right-hand column
of Fig. 3) greatly reduces the bimodality. In addition, the modified
microphysical assumptions produce higher values of reflectivity, in better
agreement with observations, and the grid-mean radar reflectivities increase
by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 4) mainly for values less than 25 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The
improvement in the subgrid distribution and grid-mean reflectivity brought
by the change of microphysics assumptions indicates the necessity of
microphysical consistency between the COSP and the host model. It should be
noted that the simulated radar reflectivity and its subgrid distribution are
sensitive to the overlap assumption and the distribution function of
condensates that are set in COSP (Hillman et al., 2018). Our results are
from the default setup of these aspects of COSP. It is not the purpose of
this study to test those assumptions.</p>
      <p id="d1e1504">Although the simulated subgrid reflectivity distribution is improved by
setting the microphysics assumptions used in COSP consistent with the MG2,
the model is still significantly biased. In addition to the intrinsic
model–observation differences in the number concentrations and mixing ratios
of hydrometeors, there are other possible error sources related to the
reflectivity calculation as mentioned in Sect. 2.2. For example, (1) the
mixing ratios of hydrometeor types from different types of clouds are not
directly passed from the host model to COSP but rather are lumped
together and equally divided among all the precipitating subcolumns, (2) the
spectral parameters for defining a gamma distribution are not consistent with those
from MG2, and (3) the assumptions of subgrid distribution and hydrometeor
vertical overlap are simple and not consistent with other parts of the host
model. In addition, the subgrid distribution results from COSP are
calculated based on the assumption about the distribution of cloud and
precipitation among the 50 subcolumns, which is independent of what E3SM
uses. Therefore, a higher-order consistency between the COSP and the host
model is warranted in future studies.</p>
      <p id="d1e1508">In this following analysis, we focus on the evaluation of the simulated 3-D
radar reflectivity field at the model's native grid, which is 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>,
since the subgrid information from COSP does not directly reflect how E3SM
does it. Also, the convective cloud fraction is not parameterized in the
mass-flux-based ZM scheme and is diagnosed from cloud mass flux for cloud
radiation calculation, which is treated as a tunable parameter, whose
evaluation is not very meaningful unless it<?pagebreak page724?> becomes an independent variable,
for instance, for grey-zone resolutions.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Table}?><label>Table 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1523">The statistical comparison of radar reflectivity between NEXRAD and
EAMv1.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Altitude</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col4" align="center">NEXRAD </oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col6" nameend="col8" align="center">EAMv1 </oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col9"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Mean</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Standard deviation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">95th percentile</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Sample</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Mean</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Standard deviation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">95th percentile</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Sample</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Numbers</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Numbers</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">25.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">7.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">32.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.7</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">28.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">7.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">35.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">24.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">7.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">31.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">24.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">6.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">30.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">19.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">5.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">24.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7.9</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">15.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">3.9</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">21.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">16.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">21.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">9.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">12.9</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e1951">Plan view of radar reflectivity averaged from NEXRAD observations
<bold>(a, d, g, j)</bold>; EAMv1 simulation with the modified microphysics assumptions in
COSP <bold>(b, e, h, k)</bold>; and their absolute differences <bold>(c, f, i, l)</bold> at the
level of 2, 4, 8, and 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude. The NEXRAD data are spatially
averaged from native resolution to the model grid over the
April–September period during 2014–2016, and the simulations are vertically interpolated to
the NEXRAD levels.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=469.470472pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e1979">Comparison of radar reflectivity histograms at 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> scale
between NEXRAD observations (red bars) and the simulations (blue bars) at
the vertical levels of 2, 4, 8, and 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Comparison of horizontal patterns</title>
      <p id="d1e2013">Now we compare the temporal mean reflectivity through the entire study
period between the NEXRAD observation (Fig. 5a, d, g, and j) and EAMv1
simulation (Fig. 5b, e, h, and k) with the consistent microphysical
assumptions between COSP and the host model at the vertical levels of 2, 4,
8, and 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The mean, standard deviation, 95th-percentile values, and
valid sample numbers between the model and NEXRAD are compared in Table 2.
At 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude, the EAMv1 estimates higher reflectivity than the NEXRAD
observations (Fig. 5a–b) except over the central US. The overall
mean value is 28.7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for EAMv1 and 25.1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for NEXRAD. The negative bias
for the model is in the region between the Rocky Mountains and Mississippi
Basin (Fig. 5c), where precipitation is heavily contributed by mesoscale
convective systems (MCSs). Those MCSs propagate eastward from their
initiation over or just east of the Rocky Mountains, go through upscale
growth, and finally dissipate in the eastern part of the Mississippi Basin
(Yang et al., 2017; Feng et al., 2018, 2019). The standard deviations of the
two individual datasets are quite similar, and EAMv1 generates a higher
95th-percentile value than the observation, indicating the model overestimates
the extremely high values in the lower troposphere. In addition, those simulated
extreme values are evenly distributed across the entire domain, which fail
to mimic the spatial footprint of MCSs as depicted by the NEXRAD data.</p>
      <p id="d1e2048">At 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude (Fig. 5d–e), the model's underestimation over the central US
becomes larger compared to 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude, and the overestimation at the
foothills of Rocky Mountains also becomes larger. The model also
overestimates reflectivity in the east region of the domain. These<?pagebreak page725?> results
indicate that the E3SM simulation fails to capture the observed spatial
variability. The domain mean value between the model and observations is the
same (24.0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) as a consequence of the offset between the negative and
positive biases in different areas. The standard deviation and
95th-percentile values are comparable with the observations as well. At 8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
underestimation of the reflectivity by the model occurs over almost the
entire domain (Fig. 5i), with a domain mean of 15.0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, much lower than
19.2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the NEXRAD data. Meanwhile, the modeled standard deviation and
the extreme values are smaller, indicating the model has difficulty
capturing the observed variability.</p>
      <p id="d1e2100">At 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude, the EAMv1 severely underestimates the reflectivity values
compared to NEXRAD (Fig. 5j–k), with a mean value of 9.8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for EAMv1
and 16.6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for NEXRAD. The negative bias is generally more than 7.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
in the central US (Fig. 5l), and the model severely
underestimates the standard deviation and extreme reflectivity. Moreover,
EAMv1's sample size is 50 times lower than that of NEXRAD, indicating the
lower occurrence of reflectivity values <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
Clearly, above 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the model's negative biases increase with height as
shown in Fig. 5f, i, and l, manifested in the central US.
There is no valid reflectivity value simulated by EAMv1 above 12 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
altitude, where NEXRAD still shows reflectivity values up to 15.7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
indicating that the simulated deep convection in the warm season is not deep
enough, a problem that is further examined in the following section.</p>
      <p id="d1e2180">In addition to the mean values, the histograms of observed and simulated
radar reflectivities are compared for different altitudes, where the
interval of reflectivity bins is 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 6). By comparing the occurrence
of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> between model and observations, the model apparently has
a narrower distribution than the observations, and the model–observation
deviation in maximum values increases with height. At 8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and below, the
model generally overestimates the sample sizes of smaller reflectivity
values but lacks extremely high reflectivity values. However, at 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
altitude, the model greatly underestimates the sample sizes of the entire
reflectivity spectrum compared to the observation, causing the severe
underestimation in the mean value.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <label>3.3</label><title>Comparison of vertical distribution of radar reflectivity</title>
      <p id="d1e2235">To quantitatively examine the simulated vertical distribution of radar
reflectivity, contoured-frequency-by-altitude diagrams (CFADs; Yuter and
Houze 1995) are generated from NEXRAD and EAMv1 and compared in Fig. 7. The
CFADs represent the frequency of occurrence of reflectivity in a coordinate
system having reflectivity bins (interval of 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis and
altitude bins (interval of 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis. The frequency within each
bin box is calculated as the number of valid samples it contains divided by
the total sample number of all reflectivity bins at all levels, meaning that
the integrated value of all frequencies in each plot is 100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <?pagebreak page726?><p id="d1e2276">Figure 7 shows the CFADs for both NEXRAD observations (Fig. 7a, d, g, j, m,
and p) and the EAMv1 simulation (Fig. 7b, e, h, k, n, and q) for each month
from April to September combined over 2014–2016. The most distinct
difference between the model and observations is the simulated echo top
height. The echo top height in the simulation generally is at 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, at
least 5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> lower than the 16 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> top seen in the observations. At levels
below 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the NEXRAD data show a high-frequency zone  (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) concentrated between 8–25 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, whereas the simulated high-frequency
zone is at 13–28 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. For reflectivity <inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">35</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the simulation
has a higher probability of occurrence than the NEXRAD observations.</p>
      <p id="d1e2364">Regarding the overall shape of CFADs, the model follows the well-known
pattern where the reflectivity value range of the high-frequency zone
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) increases from cloud top to the freezing level and
then slowly decreases or remains constant below the freezing level. The
cores of maximum frequency  (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) are located in the centres
of the<?pagebreak page727?> high-frequency zones. However, these characteristics are not
presented in the observations, whose high-frequency zones are greatly skewed
to the lower reflectivity values. The characteristics of NEXRAD's CFADs
could be due to averaging from fine resolution (4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) to coarse resolution
(1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) , as well as averaging of convective and stratiform
components because the two components produce significantly different
reflectivity profiles and magnitudes.</p>
      <p id="d1e2421">The box-and-whisker plots (Fig. 7c, f, i, l, o, and r) represent the same
results in a different way, where the normalization is conducted at each
level rather than against the entire dataset at all levels. Below 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the
percentile values are consistent between the model and observations except
for the 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude, where the model overestimates the reflectivity. The
simulated 25–75th percentiles are located at the reflectivity values of
15–27 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude, which is higher than the NEXRAD observation (12–28 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). As noted in the discussion of Fig. 5, the consistency at
low levels (e.g., 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) between the model and observations is mainly due to
the offset of negative and positive biases in different regions of the
domain. Moreover, EAMv1 underestimates the frequency of echoes <inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">15</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
and overestimates it for echoes between 15 and 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which causes the
higher median values in the model. From 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> upward, the model–observation
differences become much larger than at low levels, consistent with the
result shown in Fig. 5. The underestimation of 95th-percentile value
increases from 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at 7 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to more than 20 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Above 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the
model fails to generate average reflectivity above 8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and the typical
reflectivity value is between 0 and 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at 12 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p id="d1e2574">From Fig. 7 it is clear that the model severely underestimates the echo top
height by at least 5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. To look at how this result is sensitive to the
threshold reflectivity, we reprocessed the results with the 0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> threshold.
By lowering the threshold to 0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, an increment of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in
the vertical extension of the CFADs is found in the model, but the echo top
height of the observations is not changed much. As a result, the choice of
threshold does not change the conclusion of severe model underestimation in
echo top height.</p>
      <p id="d1e2619">The CFADs of NEXRAD observations vary from month to month. For example, the
echo top height is at 15 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in April, which increases to 16 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in May, then
reaches 17 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in June and July, and finally decreases to 15 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in September.
Similarly, the 0.6–0.8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> contour level in the observations stops at
9 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude in April but extends to 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in May and reaches 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in
June. It increases to the highest level at 11.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in July and August, and then
decreases to 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in September. This seasonality follows the seasonal
variation of intensity of convection (Wang et al., 2019a), which is not
captured in the EAMv1 simulation (Fig. 7b, e, h, k, n, and q).</p>
      <p id="d1e2703">The severe underestimation of the echo top height by EAMv1 has been reported
for simulation of tropical convection with CAM5 in a recent study (Wang and Zhang, 2018).
Although EAMv1 is
different from CAM5 in many aspects, such as vertical resolution and
dynamical core, they share the same ZM cumulus
parameterization (Zhang and McFarlane, 1995) for representing deep
convection. Wang and Zhang (2019) found the cloud top height of tropical
convection is underestimated by more than 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which can be alleviated by
the adjustment of the ZM scheme. We have performed a series of sensitivity
tests by changing physical parameters in ZM and cloud microphysics schemes
to explore the possibility of model improvement in echo top height. These
tests are detailed in Sect. 3.4.</p>
      <p id="d1e2714">As evaluated in Zheng et al. (2019), E3SM v1 failed to simulate the diurnal
variation of precipitation over the central US, where the
observed nocturnal peak is greatly underestimated. Xie et al. (2019)
improved the diurnal cycle of convection in E3SM v1 recently by modifying the
convective trigger function in the ZM scheme. It will be interesting to see
if the 3-D radar reflectivity fields can be better simulated using the
updated ZM scheme.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e2719">Contoured-frequency-by-altitude diagrams (CFADs) normalized by the
total number of samples at all altitude levels for NEXRAD <bold>(a, d, g, j, m, p)</bold>
and EAMv1 simulation with the modified microphysics assumptions in COSP <bold>(b, e, h, k, n, q)</bold> for the months from April to September averaged over the
2014–2016 period. The box-and-whisker plots <bold>(c, f, i, l, o, r)</bold> for NEXRAD (red)
and EAMv1(blue) are calculated using normalization at each individual level,
where the center of the box represents the 50th-percentile value, and the
25th and 75th percentiles are represented by the left and right boundary of
the box, respectively. Whiskers correspond to the 5 and 95 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">%</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=441.017717pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Table}?><label>Table 3</label><caption><p id="d1e2749">Changes of the tunable parameters in the sensitivity tests for echo
top height.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="6">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="justify" colwidth="25mm"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="justify" colwidth="30mm"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Parameter</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Physics meaning</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Default</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Changed values</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Impact</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Cumulus<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>parameterization</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">NBL restriction</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">The upper limit level of the integral of the mass flux, moist static energy, etc. in ZM</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Calculated NBL</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">200, 70 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">zmconv_dmpdz</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">ZM entrainment rate in CAPE calculation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.7</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.0</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.0</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Yes</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">zmconv_tau</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Convection adjustment timescale</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">15 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, 6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">zmconv_c0_lnd</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Coefficient of autoconversion rate in ZM</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.007</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.01, 0.002</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">zmconv_cape_cin</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Number of layers allowed for negative CAPE</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">5, 10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">clubb_ice_deep</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Assumed ice condensate radius detrained from ZM</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">32</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">cldfrc_dp1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Convective fraction</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.045</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.01, 0.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Microphysics parameterization</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">prc_coef1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Coefficient of autoconversion rate in MG2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">30500</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">10 000, 675</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">berg_eff_factor</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Efficiency factor for the Wegener–Bergeron–Findeisen process</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.2, 0.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">thres_ice_snow</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Autoconversion size threshold from cloud ice to snow</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Temperature dependent</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Maximize at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">175</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">No</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e3166">Comparison of contoured-frequency-by-altitude diagrams (CFADs) for
the warm seasons over 2014–2016 between <bold>(a)</bold> NEXRAD, <bold>(b)</bold> EAMv1 simulation,
and <bold>(c)</bold> the EAMv1-test simulation with reduced convective entrainment rate.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/719/2021/gmd-14-719-2021-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<?pagebreak page728?><sec id="Ch1.S3.SS4">
  <label>3.4</label><title>Sensitivity of simulated echo top height to tunable parameters of the global model</title>
      <p id="d1e3193">Differently from the model evaluation of cloud top height and high cloud
fraction (e.g., Xie et al., 2018), where EAMv1 has shown good agreement
with satellite observations over the CONUS, evaluation of radar echo top
height indicates whether the processes internal to the cloud are producing
precipitation correctly. To examine if any model parameters in the ZM
cumulus parameterization scheme and/or MG2 microphysics parameterization
scheme can significantly influence the echo top height, we conducted a
series of sensitivity tests for the tunable parameters as listed in Table 3.
In each test a single parameter is changed, and all other parameters retain
their default values.</p>
      <p id="d1e3196">Wang and Zhang (2018) suggested that the restriction of neutral buoyancy
level (NBL) from the dilute convective available potential energy (CAPE) calculation (Neale et al., 2008) can limit
the depth of deep convection in ZM. When the convective plume reaches the
NBL, all mass flux is detrained even if the updraft is still positively
buoyant from the cloud model calculation (Zhang, 2009). To allow deep
convection to grow deeper, we performed a sensitivity test following Wang
and Zhang (2018), where the NBL<?pagebreak page729?> determined in the dilute CAPE calculation is
removed, and the upper limit of the integrals of mass flux, moist static
energy, and other cloud properties is set to be very high (70 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in this
study). After the modification, the convective cloud top height increases as
shown in Wang and Zhang (2018); however there is no change in the radar echo
top height, i.e., the maximum altitude at which precipitation-sized
particles occur. A possible reason for the limited effect on echo top height
is that the cloud ice content is too low in midlatitude continental
convection without convective microphysics parameterization (Song et al.,
2012),
which cannot be improved by merely increasing the NBL.</p>
      <p id="d1e3207">Other parameters that we tested in the ZM cumulus parameterization with the
dilute CAPE calculation include convective entrainment rate
(zmconv_dmpdz), the convection adjustment timescale
(zmconv_tau), the coefficient of autoconversion rate
(zmconv_c0_lnd), ice particle size
(clubb_ice_deep), convective fraction
(cldfrc_dp), and number of layers allowed for negative CAPE
(zmconv_cape_cin). The overall conclusion is
that separately tuning any of these parameters does not improve the
simulation of echo top height. For the convective entrainment rate
(zmconv_dmpdz), we decreased its value from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.7</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.0</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which means that the entrainment in
convection is almost turned off, similar to the undiluted CAPE assumption.
Results show the simulated echo top height is increased by 500–800 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the
EAMv1-test simulation, and the reflectivity span in the lower troposphere is
narrowed by 1–2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">dBZ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is closer to the observations (Fig. 8). This
result is consistent with the previous studies that tested the<?pagebreak page730?> undiluted
CAPE assumption as well (Neale et al., 2008; Hannah and Maloney, 2014).
However, that assumption is unrealistic given the fact that the undiluted
CAPE-based closure strongly deviated from observations (Zhang, 2009). In
summary, changing any of our selected parameters individually in the ZM
scheme does not improve the simulation of echo top height.</p>
      <p id="d1e3266">The MG2 cloud microphysics parameterization in E3SM determines only
large-scale cloud and precipitation (i.e., those resolved by the model).
Changes in the MG2 cloud microphysics parameterization could affect the
parameterized cumulus cloud and precipitation by changing the large-scale
forcing which feeds into the cumulus cloud calculations. By decreasing the
MG2 autoconversion rate (prc_coef1), ideally the depletion of
moisture within the atmospheric column is slowed down and more water vapor
can be supplied to cumulus convection. Results show, however, that the echo
top height is not affected by changing the MG2 assumptions. Attempts at
accelerating the Wegener–Bergeron–Findeisen process in MG2 to increase the
conversion of liquid to snow or ice, as well as using a lower size threshold for
the ice-to-snow conversion, have also proven to be unimportant to the
simulation of echo top height.</p>
      <p id="d1e3270">Thus, echo top height proves to be insensitive to the available tunable
parameters. Setting the value of the convective entrainment rate to be
unrealistically low only gains a 500–800 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M216" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> increment in echo top height.
Given that the model underestimation is more than 5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M217" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the increment is
insufficient to solve the discrepancy. Note that each individual tunable
parameter was changed without retuning the model to keep the
top-of-atmosphere radiative energy budget balanced and the model performance
optimized. Thus, some expected improvement in echo top height can be
subsequently offset by other untuned processes. Instead of providing
quantification of how the model responds to the changes of parameters, we
emphasize the trend of change in echo top height, in which the simulation of
the echo top height cannot be significantly improved by tuning only one of
those physical parameters. Further investigation of combinations of two and
more parameters is a topic for a future study.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>4</label><title>Conclusions and discussion</title>
      <p id="d1e3299">We have evaluated the model performance of E3SM EAMv1 in simulating the
warm-season 3-D radar reflectivity at an hourly scale over the North American
sector of the globe by comparing the model results to the 3-D distribution of
radar reflectivity observed by NEXRAD radars over the CONUS during
April–September of 2014–2016. The evaluation is achieved by improving the
COSP radar simulator and employing special data processing techniques to
ensure fair comparison between model and observations that are different in
sampling frequency, horizontal–vertical resolutions, and minimum detection
limit. Our findings are as follows:<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e3306">With the default microphysics assumptions in COSP, the simulated subgrid
reflectivity PDF is bimodal, in disagreement with radar observations which
show that the subgrid reflectivity follows a gamma distribution. When
the microphysics assumptions in COSP are changed to be consistent with the MG2
microphysics parameterization used in E3SM, the bimodality of the subgrid
distribution is nearly eliminated. It is therefore important to maintain
consistency of microphysics assumptions between the host model and
radar echo simulator attached to the model as advocated by the COSP
community (Swales et al., 2018). For more accurate model evaluation, a
higher-order consistency between the COSP and the host model is warranted in
future studies.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e3310">Below 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M218" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude, the simulated domain-mean reflectivities by EAMv1
agree with NEXRAD observations in magnitude, but the simulation fails to
capture the spatial variability. The model underestimates the reflectivity
in the central US between the Rocky Mountains and Mississippi River. This
pattern suggests that the model is not adequately representing the mesoscale
convective systems that dominate warm-season rainfall in that region. The
model overestimates the reflectivity outside this region.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e3322">Above 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M219" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> altitude, EAMv1 shows a severe underestimation of the domain-mean
reflectivity, and the negative bias increases with altitude up to 11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M220" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
above which the model fails to simulate any valid reflectivity at all, whereas
NEXRAD observations show strong radar echoes up to 16 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M221" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e3350">EAMv1 is able to simulate the variability and extreme value of reflectivity
at the lower troposphere but significantly underestimates them at high
levels.</p></list-item></list></p>
      <p id="d1e3353">The NEXRAD observations used in this study reveal that EAMv1 fails to
simulate the occurrence of large ice-phase particles at high levels in deep
convective clouds. In addition, the conclusion that “simulated deep
convection is not deep enough” also echoes the dry bias seen in GCMs as
manifested in underestimations of total precipitation and individually large
rain rates over the CONUS (e.g., Zheng et al., 2019). We have now shown that
this model deficiency cannot be significantly improved by tuning a single
value of the physical parameters in the ZM cumulus and MG2 cloud
microphysics schemes. Note the large-scale circulation is nudged towards
observations for the simulations in this study, so our results represent the
best-case model performance. Compared to the nudged simulations, free
running of EAMv1 has shown nonnegligible biases in the regional circulation
(Sun et al., 2019). With the nudged simulations, the large biases in
circulation can be excluded so that the performances of physics
parameterizations in simulating convective systems can be more insightfully
understood.</p>
      <?pagebreak page731?><p id="d1e3356">The data processing techniques and metrics we have developed in this study
can be used globally for model evaluation when satellite-based radars
provide global 3-D radar observations. The GPM radar observations will
eventually be able to provide global radar echo coverage (Houze et al.,
2019), whose data have been proven consistent with NEXRAD (Wang et al.,
2019b). However, as discussed in Sect. 2, the sampling by GPM at
1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M222" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> model grid elements for only 3 years of GPM data is
insufficient for obtaining robust grid-mean values to compare with the EAMv1
simulation. In addition to the restriction in the availability of
observational data, the high computation cost with the incorporation of the COSP
simulator in simulation and the demand of large data space (14 000 core
hours and 1.2 TB of data per simulation month at hourly output frequency) have
hindered the modeling for an extended period. When GPM has run for a much
longer time period and more powerful computational resources become
available, it will be a very useful study for evaluating the long-term model
simulations at the global scale. In addition, the results of this study can
provide metrics for evaluating the cumulus parameterizations or provide
insights on how to further improve the cumulus parameterizations like Labbouz et al. (2018),
which could be a follow-on work. Future studies can also focus on
separately evaluating properties in convective and stratiform regions, since
the thermodynamic and reflectivity profiles are fundamentally different
between the two regions.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="codeavailability"><title>Code availability</title>

      <p id="d1e3372">The source code in this study is based on the Department of Energy (DOE)
Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Project version 1 at revision
9a86ab9, whose code can be acquired from the E3SM repository
(<uri>https://github.com/E3SM-Project/E3SM/tree/kaizhangpnl/atm/cm20170220</uri>) and Zenodo <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4459514" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5281/zenodo.4459514</ext-link> (Wang, 2021).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e3384">The observational data are available through the National Center for Atmospheric Research  Data Archive (available at: <uri>https://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds841.0/</uri>, last access: 20 May 2019) (Bowman and Homeyer, 2017). Model results are available from <uri>https://portal.nersc.gov/archive/home/w/wang406/www/Publication/Wang2020GMDTS15</uri> (last access: 5 August 2020) (Wang, 2020).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e3396">JW performed the simulations and conducted the analyses. JF
and RAH developed the idea of this research. KZ helped
in the model configuration, and P-LM implemented the radar simulator.
GJZ provided feedback and helped shape the research. All authors
discussed the results and contributed to the final manuscript.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e3402">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e3408">We acknowledge the support of the Climate Model Development and Validation
(CMDV) project at PNNL. The effort of Jingyu Wang, Jiwen Fan, Kai Zhang, and Po-Lun
Ma was supported by CMDV. Robert A. Houze Jr. was supported by NASA Award
NNX16AD75G and by master agreement 243766 between the University of
Washington and PNNL. Stella R. Brodzik was supported by NASA Award
NNX16AD75G and subcontracts from the CMDV and Water Cycle and Climate
Extreme Modeling (WACCEM) projects of PNNL. Guang J. Zhang was supported by
the DOE Biological and Environmental Research Program (BER) Award
DE-SC0019373. PNNL is operated for the US Department of Energy (DOE) by
the Battelle Memorial Institute under contract DE-AC05-76RL01830. This research
used resources of the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center
(NERSC), a US Department of Energy Office of Science user facility
operated under contract DE-AC02-05CH11231.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e3413">This research has been supported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science projects of Climate Model Development and Validation and Water Cycle and Climate Extreme Modeling under the Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830 with the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, as well as the project DE-SC0019373 and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (grant no. NNX16AD75G). .</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e3419">This paper was edited by Christina McCluskey and reviewed by Alain Protat, Peter May, and two anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Using radar observations to evaluate 3-D radar echo structure simulated by the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) version 1</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>The Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) developed
by the Department of Energy has a goal of addressing challenges in
understanding the global water cycle. Success depends on correct simulation
of cloud and precipitation elements. However, lack of appropriate evaluation
metrics has hindered the accurate representation of these elements in
general circulation models. We derive metrics from the three-dimensional
data of the ground-based Next-Generation Radar (NEXRAD) network over the
US to evaluate both horizontal and vertical structures of precipitation
elements. We coarsened the resolution of the radar observations to be
consistent with the model resolution and improved the coupling of the Cloud
Feedback Model Intercomparison Project Observation Simulator Package (COSP)
and E3SM Atmospheric Model Version 1 (EAMv1) to obtain the best possible
model output for comparison with the observations. Three warm seasons
(2014–2016) of EAMv1 simulations of 3-D radar reflectivity features at an
hourly scale are evaluated. A general agreement in domain-mean radar
reflectivity intensity is found between EAMv1 and NEXRAD below 4&thinsp;km
altitude; however, the model underestimates reflectivity over the central
US, which suggests that the model does not capture the mesoscale
convective systems that produce much of the precipitation in that region. The
shape of the model-estimated histogram of subgrid-scale reflectivity is
improved by correcting the microphysical assumptions in COSP. Different from
previous studies that evaluated modeled cloud top height, we find the model
severely underestimates radar reflectivity at upper levels – the simulated
echo top height is about 5&thinsp;km lower than in observations – and this result
is not changed by tuning any single physics parameter. For more accurate
model evaluation, a higher-order consistency between the COSP and the host
model is warranted in future studies.</p></abstract-html>
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