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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">GMD</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Geoscientific Model Development</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">GMD</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Geosci. Model Dev.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1991-9603</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/gmd-13-1827-2020</article-id><title-group><article-title>TIER version 1.0: an open-source Topographically InformEd Regression (TIER) model to estimate spatial meteorological fields</article-title><alt-title>TIER version 1.0</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{TIER version 1.0}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{A.~J.~Newman and M.~P.~Clark}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Newman</surname><given-names>Andrew J.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8796-0861</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2 aff3">
          <name><surname>Clark</surname><given-names>Martyn P.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Research Applications Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric
Research, Boulder, CO 80307-3000, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>University of Saskatchewan Coldwater Lab, Canmore, Alberta T1W 3G1, Canada</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Centre for Hydrology,   University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan S7N 1K2, Canada</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Andrew Newman (anewman@ucar.edu)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>6</day><month>April</month><year>2020</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>13</volume>
      <issue>4</issue>
      <fpage>1827</fpage><lpage>1843</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>1</day><month>June</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>3</day><month>July</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>19</day><month>December</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>12</day><month>February</month><year>2020</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2020 Andrew J. Newman</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020.html">This article is available from https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e103">This paper introduces the  Topographically
InformEd  Regression (TIER) model, which uses
terrain attributes in a regression framework to distribute in situ observations of
precipitation and temperature to a grid. The framework enables our
understanding of complex atmospheric processes (e.g., orographic
precipitation) to be encoded into a statistical model in an easy-to-understand
manner. TIER is developed in a modular fashion with key model
parameters exposed to the user. This enables the user community to easily
explore the impacts of our methodological choices made to distribute sparse,
irregularly spaced observations to a grid in a systematic fashion. The
modular design allows incorporating new capabilities in TIER. Intermediate
processing variables are also output to provide a more complete
understanding of the algorithm and any algorithmic changes. The framework
also provides uncertainty estimates. This paper presents a brief model
evaluation and demonstrates that the TIER algorithm is functioning as
expected. Several variations in model parameters and changes in the
distributed variables are described. A key conclusion is that seemingly
small changes in a model parameter result in large changes to the final
distributed fields and their associated uncertainty estimates.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e115">Gridded near-surface meteorological products (specifically precipitation and
temperature) are a foundational product for many applications including
weather and climate model validation, hydrologic modeling, climate model
downscaling, among others (Day, 1985; Franklin, 1995; USBR, 2012; Pierce et al.,
2014; Liu et al., 2017). It is often challenging to develop realistic
estimates of these variables, particularly when complex terrain or large
spatial climate gradients are present in the domain of interest. Because of
their widespread usage and potential challenges generating products, a
plethora of methods have been developed ranging from nearest neighbors,
distance-weighted interpolation, Kriging, knowledge-based, climatologically
aided interpolation, Gaussian filters, multiple linear regression, and
others (Thiessen, 1911; Shepard, 1968, 1984; Chua and Bras, 1982; Daly et al.,
1994; Willmott and Roebson, 1995; Thornton et al., 1997; Banerjee et al., 2003;
Clark and Slater, 2006; Cressie and Wikle, 2011; Nychka et al., 2015; Cornes et al., 2018).</p>
      <p id="d1e118">Across the methods, nearest neighbor and distance-weighted interpolations
use spatial distance as the only predictor, a reasonable choice in areas
with high station densities but much less so in sparsely gauged regions.
The resultant field is also discontinuous between station areas of influence
for nearest neighbor, while distance-weighted interpolation will increase
precipitation occurrence unless explicit occurrence prediction is included
(Thornton et al., 1997; Newman et al., 2015, 2019). Climatologically aided
interpolation assumes the climatological field is better resolved by the
available observations and has a strong relationship with the field of
interest (e.g., daily precipitation) such that using the climatological field
in the final interpolation increases the output information content (Willmot
and Robeson, 1995). These assumptions are invalid when the climatological
field is poorly resolved, or has little correspondence to the field of
interest<?pagebreak page1828?> which happens when an event has a significantly different pattern
than climatology (e.g., Lundquist et al., 2015; Newman et al., 2019). Kriging
and linear regression frameworks may include multiple spatial predictors and
uncertainty estimates. However, these methods may also produce unrealistic
results with sparse station observations (Cornes et al., 2018). Finally,
knowledge-based systems impose a regularization on the input data through
knowledge-based rules (Sect. 2). This allows for physically plausible
interpolation fields in sparsely gauged regions but inflexibility similar
to climatologically aided interpolation. Finally, in sparsely observed
regions, we do not know the true error characteristics of any method.</p>
      <p id="d1e121">The currently available climate products that use these methods have complex
processing systems (Daly et al., 2008; Xia et al., 2012; Livneh et al., 2015;
Newman et al., 2015; Thornton et al., 2018). The product workflow typically
includes many processing steps, methodological choices, and model
parameters, all interacting to influence the characteristics of the final
product. Therefore, comparison studies of product performance (and even
single product evaluations) are often not able to attribute differences at
the final output level to specific methodological choices (Newman et al., 2019).
To help alleviate these difficulties and improve our understanding of
method performance across conditions, flexible modular software systems need
to be developed that expose model parameters to the users and allow for new
functionality to be easily added (Clark et al., 2011).</p>
      <p id="d1e124">This paper focuses on approaches that incorporate knowledge of atmospheric
physics into relatively simple underlying statistical models (e.g.,
orographic precipitation, temperature lapse rates into linear regression
models) to improve the accuracy of the gridded field (e.g., Daly et al., 1994;
Willmott and Matsuura, 1995). Daly et al. (1994), hereafter D94, develop a
complex knowledge-based system consisting of (1) terrain pre-processing;
(2) station selection; (3) development of a locally weighted meteorological
variable-elevation linear regression; and (4) post-processing. Omitted here
are the pre-processing steps to screen station data (including quality
control) and filling missing or suspicious data values. Following D94, many
studies have included new knowledge-based capabilities, new intermediate
processing steps, and increased granularity in a given step (Daly et al.,
2002, 2007, 2008). In recent papers, there are upwards of 15–20 model
parameters that have varying degrees of influence on the final product.</p>
      <p id="d1e128">The  Topographically  InformEd
Regression (TIER) model implements the knowledge-based approach
described in D94 and subsequent papers (Daly et al., 2000, 2002, 2007, 2008;
hereafter D00, D02, D07, and D08). Note that TIER is not designed to be an
exact replica, as it does not match any source code, nor does it implement
all features described in D94, D00, D02, D07, and D08. The paper is
organized as follows: we introduce the TIER conceptual model in Sect. 2.1,
the pre-processing algorithms in Sect. 2.2, the regression model in
Sect. 2.3, and post-processing routines in Sect. 2.4. Then, a brief model
evaluation is included in Sect. 3 to verify that the TIER model is
functioning as expected. Next, we explore model parameter variation
experiments for three simple test cases to highlight how model parameter
choices impact the final product in Sect. 3.1. Finally, a summary
discussion of TIER, lessons learned from the parameter experiments, and next
steps are discussed in Sect. 4, with code and data availability provided at the end of
the paper, respectively.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>TIER methodology</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>Conceptual model</title>
      <p id="d1e146">Precipitation and temperature are unevenly distributed around the globe for
myriad reasons including general circulation patterns and landscape effects.
Following D94, TIER assumes that large-scale gradients are resolved by the
input station data and incorporates direct knowledge of atmospheric physics
to account for landscape effects (e.g., orographic precipitation, mesoscale
circulations near the coast). Since the landscape influences the
distribution of precipitation and temperature, particularly their
climatology, many past studies have developed methods to use terrain
attributes to estimate meteorological fields (e.g., Spreen, 1947; Phillips et al., 1992).
For example, orography has a particularly strong influence on
precipitation by enhancing uplift of air (e.g., Schermerhorn, 1967; Smith and
Barstad, 2004).</p>
      <p id="d1e149">D94 develops a method to use a high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) to produce empirical
estimates of the precipitation–elevation relationship. They demonstrate that
using actual station elevations in the precipitation–elevation relationship
leads to a weak or nonexistent relationship, while using a coarse-resolution
DEM smooths out local variability and results in a stronger relationship
between precipitation and elevation. Such stronger relationships occur
because microscale terrain features have a much smaller impact on the
atmosphere than the larger-scale terrain features of the order of 2–15 km
(D94 and references therein). Of course, the optimal length scale varies
across atmospheric conditions and for each precipitation event, but in
general a coarse-resolution or smoothed high-resolution DEM provides a
strong basis for developing robust climatological precipitation–elevation
relationships. Additionally, the amount of precipitation varies according to
aspect (e.g., windward or lee slope), suggesting the need for different
relationships for different aspects (e.g., Alter, 1919; Houghton, 1979). D94
use the smoothed DEM and decompose the domain into directional “facets”
that all individually have a separate precipitation–elevation relationship.
Facets are defined as continuous areas with similar aspects (slope
orientation).</p>
      <p id="d1e152">Daly and his colleagues have introduced several methodological enhancements
since the seminal D94 paper. D00 expand on D94 to include maximum and
minimum temperature, while D02 fully describe the knowledge-based system<?pagebreak page1829?> and
the various physical processes included in it. Beyond elevation, the
influence of large bodies of water on precipitation and temperature are
incorporated by using coastal proximity or distance to the coastline.
Finally, cold-air drainage down slopes and subsequent pooling in valleys is
modeled as well. A conceptual two-layer atmosphere where layer 1 is the
boundary layer containing temperature inversions and layer 2 is the free
atmosphere is applied to the DEM. A simple two-layer atmospheric model for
temperature is necessary to capture near-surface temperature inversions.
This method identifies areas highly susceptible to inversions (e.g., valleys)
and allows for the model to have temperature lapse rate reversals from
increasing temperature with height below to decreasing above the inversion.
Grid points that are identified to be within the boundary layer (layer 1)
are allowed to have strong temperature inversions. These grid points are
identified using the topographic position concept, which essentially
computes the average nearby topographic relief to identify valleys and
ridges. D94, D02, and D08 provide extensive details on the underlying theory
of this knowledge-based approach.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>TIER terrain pre-processing</title>
      <p id="d1e163">The TIER pre-processing routines consist of the functions used to generate
the required terrain attributes for the regression model. Currently, this
consists of functions that perform NetCDF input/output (IO), process the DEM
into topographic facets, the distance to the coast, topographic position,
and estimate the idealized two-layer atmosphere. A parameter and control
file specifies model parameters, and IO directories and files; see Tables 1
and 2, respectively. A flowchart describing the general flow, order of
operations, and data requirements is given in Fig. 1.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e169">Terrain pre-processing model parameters.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Parameter</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Default value</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Brief description</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">demFilterName</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Daly</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Terrain filter type (Daly is the original Daly et al., 1994 filter)<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">demFilterPasses</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Number of passes to filter raw DEM</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">minGradient</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.003 m km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minimum gradient for a grid point to be considered sloped; otherwise, it is considered flat</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">smallFacet</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">500 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Area of smallest sloped facet allowed</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">smallFlat</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1000 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Area of smallest flat facet allowed</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">narrowFlatRatio</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Ratio of major/minor axes to merge flat regions (e.g., ridges)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">layerSearchLength</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">10 grid points</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Search length to determine local minima in elevation</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">inversionHeight</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">250 m</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Depth of atmospheric layer 1 (inversion layer)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p id="d1e172"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Only filter option currently implemented.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Table 2</label><caption><p id="d1e347">Terrain pre-processing control file.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Variable</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Value</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Brief description</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">rawGridName</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/input/raw/grid/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Raw domain DEM</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">outputGridName</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/output/processed/grid/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of output processed grid</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">stationPrecipPath</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/precipitation/station/data/directory</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Path to precipitation station data</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">stationPrecipListName</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/precipitation/metadata/output/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of generated precipitation station list file</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">stationTempPath</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/temperature/station/data/directory</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Path to temperature station data</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">stationTempListName</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/temperature/metadata/output/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of generated temperature station list file</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">preprocessParameterFile</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/TIER/preprocessing/parameter/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of TIER pre-processing parameter file</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e467">Flowchart describing the TIER pre-processing system. Processes
are shaded gray, input files are orange, topographic inputs and outputs are
shades of blue, and outputs are various shades of green.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS1">
  <label>2.2.1</label><title>Topographic facets</title>
      <p id="d1e483">The native resolution DEM is first smoothed using a user-defined filter
(Table 2). The “Daly” filter is defined as (D94)
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M6" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the smoothed elevation and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the
high-resolution elevation at grid point (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>). D94 computes multiple
smoothed DEMs to account for data density changes across the domain, while
TIERv1.0 only computes one smoothed DEM. Once the smoothed DEM is
calculated, the slope aspect (0–360<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) is computed and facets are
defined. There are five (5) facets in TIERv1.0: (1) north (aspect
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">315</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, aspect <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">45</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>); (2) east
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">45</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> aspect <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">135</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>); (3) south
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">135</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> aspect <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">225</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>); (4) west
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">225</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> aspect <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">315</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>); and (5) flat (D94).
Flat aspects are areas with terrain gradients (slopes) less than the
user-specified minGradient (m km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, Table 2). After the facets are defined,
small facets are merged together with neighboring facets using the minimum
size model parameters (Table 2). Flat regions that are very narrow are
considered ridges and behave like neighboring facets. These are merged into
the neighboring facets on the west or south slopes depending on their
orientation (D94).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS2">
  <label>2.2.2</label><title>Distance to the coast</title>
      <?pagebreak page1830?><p id="d1e795">The user defines a land–ocean mask field in the input grid file. This mask
defines which grid points are large bodies of water (ocean points) and are
used in the coastal proximity calculation. The distance to the coast is
computed using the great circle distance assuming a spherical earth for
every grid cell within a user-defined distance threshold.
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS3">
  <label>2.2.3</label><title>Topographic position</title>
      <p id="d1e807">To identify the atmospheric layer (Sect. 2.2.4) of a grid point, the local
topographic position of a grid point is computed first. The topographic
position calculation uses the high-resolution DEM. Following D02, for each
grid point, the following steps are taken.</p>
      <p id="d1e810">The minimum elevation within a user-defined local search radius (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, Table 2)
is found. D02 suggest a search radius of 40 km.
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><label>2</label><mml:math id="M23" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> denotes the DEM elevations within
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> grid points at valid land points in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> directions, and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the local minimum elevation.</p>
      <p id="d1e969">The topographic position is then estimated as
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><label>3</label><mml:math id="M29" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the number of land grid points within the search radius
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS4">
  <label>2.2.4</label><title>Two-layer atmosphere</title>
      <p id="d1e1090">Following the determination of the topographic position, each grid cell is
placed into the first (boundary or inversion layer) or second layer (free
atmosphere) of the idealized two-layer atmosphere. The height of the
inversion layer is defined by the user (Table 2) and added to the mean
elevation computed on the left-hand side of Eq. (3). This defines an
inversion height above sea level for all grid points. All grid points where
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is less than the inversion height are placed into layer 1, while all
other grid points are placed into layer 2 (D02).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS5">
  <label>2.2.5</label><title>Station metadata</title>
      <p id="d1e1117">After the input domain grid file has been processed, the pre-processing
routine generates station metadata files for all precipitation and
temperature stations that will be used in the regression model. Each station
is assigned the closest grid point value of the smoothed DEM, facet,
topographic position, atmospheric layer, and coastal distance.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>Interpolation model</title>
      <p id="d1e1129">The regression model is applied to each land-masked grid cell. It consists
of routines to compute the station weights, to estimate the
meteorological–terrain relationships, and to estimate the variable value at
each grid point. A parameter and control file specifies model parameters, and
IO directories and files; see Tables 3 and 4, respectively. A flowchart
describing the general flow, order of operations, and data requirements is
given in Fig. 2. Figures 3 and 4 provide more detailed flowcharts for the
specific processing flow for precipitation and temperature variables.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Table 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1135">TIER model parameters. Default values are given for precipitation
with values for temperature given in parentheses.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.9}[.9]?><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="justify" colwidth="341.433071pt"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Parameter</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Default value</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Brief description</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">nMaxNear</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum number of nearby stations to consider</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">nMinNear</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minimum number of nearby stations needed for slope regression</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">maxDist</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">250 km</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum distance to consider stations</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">minSlope</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.25 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> K km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minimum valid slope value (normalized for precipitation; physical units for temperature)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">maxInitialSlope</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">4.25</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum valid initial pass normalized slope for precipitation</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">maxFinalSlope</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum valid final adjusted normalized slope for precipitation</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">maxSlopeLower</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">20 K km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum valid slope for temperature in lower atmospheric layer (inversion layer; allows for strong inversions)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">maxSlopeUpper</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0 K km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum valid slope for temperature in upper layer (free atmosphere; up to isothermal allowed)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">defaultSlope</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.3 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> K km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Default slope value (normalized for precipitation; physical units for temperature)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">topoPosMinDiff</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">500 m</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minimum elevation difference used to adjust topographic position weights</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">topoPosMaxDiff</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">5000 m</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum elevation difference for stations to receive topographic position weighting</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">topoPosExp</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Exponent in topographic position weighting function</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">coastalExp</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.75</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Exponent in distance to coast weighting function</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">layerExp</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Exponent in atmospheric layer weighting function</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">distanceWeightScale</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">16 000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Scale parameter in Barnes (1964) distance weighting function</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">distanceWeightExp</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Exponent in Barnes (1964) distance weighting function</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">maxGrad</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum allowable normalized precipitation slope gradient between grid cells</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">bufferSlope</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.02</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Buffer parameter when computing precipitation slope feathering</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">minElev</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100 m</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minimum elevation considered when feathering precipitation</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">minElevDiff</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">500 m</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minimum elevation difference across precipitation considered for feathering precipitation</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">recomputeDefaultPrecipSlope</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">True</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Logical string to indicate re-estimation of the default slope using domain-specific information</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">recomputeDefaultTempSlope</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">True</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Logical string to indicate re-estimation of the default slope using domain-specific information</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">filterSize</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">15 grid points</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Size of low-pass filter used in computing updated slopes and uncertainty estimates</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">filterSpread</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">11</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Spread of low-pass filter power used in computing updated slopes and uncertainty estimates</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">covWindow</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">10 grid points</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Window for local covariance calculation for the SYMAP and slope uncertainty components; used in the final uncertainty estimation routine</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Table 4</label><caption><p id="d1e1540">TIER model control file.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="justify" colwidth="241.848425pt"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Variable</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Value</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Brief description</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">gridName</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/grid/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Domain file name</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">variableEstimated</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">precip (tmax, tmin)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of meteorological variable estimate</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">stationFileList</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/station/list/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of variable specific (e.g., precip or <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>/<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) file with list of input station files</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">stationDataPath</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/station/data/directory</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Path to station data</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">outputName</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/output/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of output file</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">parameterFile</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/TIER/parameter/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of TIER parameter file</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">defaultTempLapse</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">/path/to/default/temperature/lapse/rate/file</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Name of default temperature lapse rate file</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1682">Flowchart describing the TIER processing algorithm including
post-processing. Color shading is the same as that in Fig. 1.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1693">Flowchart describing the precipitation grid point estimate
algorithm. Color shading is the same as that in Fig. 1.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e1704">Flowchart describing the temperature grid point estimate
algorithm. Color shading is the same as that in Fig. 1.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=384.112205pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

<?pagebreak page1831?><sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSS1">
  <label>2.3.1</label><title>Station selection and weighting</title>
      <?pagebreak page1832?><p id="d1e1720">For each grid point, a set of stations is used to estimate the precipitation
and temperature values. First, all stations within the user-defined search
radius are found (nearby stations), up to the maximum number of stations
considered (Table 4). From that subset of stations, all stations on the same
facet as the current grid point are identified (facet stations). Then, a set
of distance-dependent weights and weights for each physical process
component described in Sect. 2.2.1–2.2.4 is generated for all nearby and
facet stations for each grid point. These component weights are then
combined to create the final station weight vector.<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><label>4</label><mml:math id="M41" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">f</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">l</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the final weight vector, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the distance-dependent
weights, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">f</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the facet weights, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">l</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the atmospheric layer
weights, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the topographic position weights, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the
coastal proximity weights. All component weights and the final weight vector
are normalized to sum to unity (D02). For precipitation, only <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">f</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are used to estimate <inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, while temperature uses all five
component weights in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>.
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSSx1" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Distance-dependent weighting</title>
      <p id="d1e1880">A station's relevance to the current grid point decreases as the station
distance increases (e.g., Shepard, 1968); thus, this component station
weighting decreases with increasing distance. Here, we generally follow the
synagraphic computer mapping (SYMAP) algorithm of Shepard (1968, 1984) and
develop inverse distance weights that are further modified by including
direction information. Direction information is used to downweigh stations
that are in a similar direction but further distance than other stations, as
their influence has been “shadowed” by the nearer station (Shepard, 1968).
The distance weighting function of Barnes (1964) is used:
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><label>5</label><mml:math id="M53" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">I</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">exp</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">I</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the inverse distance-dependent weights, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">d</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the station distance
vector, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are the user-defined Barnes exponent and scale factor,
respectively (Table 4). The angle-dependent weights are then computed as
(Shepard, 1984)
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E6" content-type="numbered"><label>6</label><mml:math id="M58" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>≠</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cos</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the station angle weight for station <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and subscripts <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> denote station subscripts for stations <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the maximum
number of stations considered for each grid point (Table 4). The final
distance-dependent weights are then computed as
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E7" content-type="numbered"><label>7</label><mml:math id="M65" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the number of stations considered at the current grid point.
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is then normalized to sum to unity.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSSx2" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Facet weighting</title>
      <p id="d1e2137">Stations on the same facet type as the current grid point receive an initial
facet weight of 1. D02 introduces a method to reduce the weight of stations
on the same facet type but with intervening facets of different types
between the station and grid point (D02 Eq. 5). This is not implemented
here, and all stations on the same facet type as the current grid point
receive the same weight. This could be a decision considered for exploration
in a future TIER release. The distance-dependent weights already account for
this implicitly, but the explicit inclusion of additional weight decreases
for stations on the same facet type will increase the localization of the
TIER station weighting even further. This would increase the small-scale
features of TIER.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSSx3" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Atmospheric layer</title>
      <p id="d1e2146">The atmospheric layer weight function is defined as
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E8" content-type="numbered"><label>8</label><mml:math id="M68" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced close="" open="{"><mml:mtable class="array" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the layer difference between the grid point and
station <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, the elevations are defined using the high-resolution DEM and
station elevation (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the user-defined layer weighting
exponent (Table 4). Following D02, stations in the same atmospheric layer as
the current grid point receive an initial weight of 1. D02 includes an
additional check to see if the station–grid elevation difference is
smaller than some threshold value for a station. If this is true, a station
in a different layer and grid cell may still receive a weight of 1. TIERv1.0
does not include the additional conditional statement and only stations in
the same atmospheric layer receive an initial weight of 1. The vertical
elevation difference is then used to weigh the remaining stations. The
atmospheric layer weighting is applied only to temperature variables in
TIERv1.0.</p>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page1833?><sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSSx4" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Topographic position</title>
      <p id="d1e2275">The topographic position weights are computed following D07:
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E9" content-type="numbered"><label>9</label><mml:math id="M73" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="{" close=""><mml:mtable class="array" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="0.33em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>z</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the topographic position difference between the
current grid cell and station <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the
user-defined minimum and maximum topographic position differences, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is
the topographic position weighting exponent (Table 4). The topographic
position weight enhances identification of stations that lie in similar
topographic areas (e.g., valleys) and is applied only to temperature
variables in TIERv1.0.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSSx5" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Coastal proximity</title>
      <p id="d1e2457">Using the computed distance to the coast, the coastal proximity weights are
computed as
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E10" content-type="numbered"><label>10</label><mml:math id="M79" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced close="" open="{"><mml:mtable class="array" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the absolute difference between the current grid
cell and station <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> distance to the coast values, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the user-defined
coastal proximity weighting exponent (Table 4). D02 computes coastal
proximity weights using the same inverse distance function but also
includes a threshold (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), which, if <inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
is set to zero. This weighting factor highlights stations with similar
coastal proximity to the current grid cell.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3.SSS2">
  <label>2.3.2</label><title>Grid point estimate</title>
      <?pagebreak page1834?><p id="d1e2607">Once nearby stations are selected and the final weight vector is computed
(Eq. 4), a base grid point estimate is developed using the weighted
average of all nearby stations:
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E11" content-type="numbered"><label>11</label><mml:math id="M85" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the grid point meteorological variable
estimate, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the observed station value and the
station weight for station <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively. The uncertainty of this value is
estimated as the standard deviation of the leave-one-out estimates, which is
all possible combinations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> stations, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which in this case are <inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> possible
combinations.
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E12" content-type="numbered"><label>12</label><mml:math id="M93" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the subset of stations that are both within the distance
threshold and on the same facet as the current grid cell, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the estimated standard deviation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the estimated value when the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>th station is withheld.</p>
      <?pagebreak page1835?><p id="d1e2903">Next, the variable-elevation linear regression coefficients are solved
for
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E13" content-type="numbered"><label>13</label><mml:math id="M99" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">A</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">WA</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">A</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">β</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the vector of linear regression coefficients
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">A</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> design matrix, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is
the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
diagonal weight matrix populated with the final weight vector <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the
vector of observed station values. In D94, D02, and D08, these coefficients
determine the grid point estimate as
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E14" content-type="numbered"><label>14</label><mml:math id="M108" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the user-defined minimum and
maximum valid regression slopes (Table 4). Note that slope here is in
physical units per distance (e.g., mm km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> or K km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), which is
also referred to as the lapse rate in atmospheric science. In TIERv1.0, we
have chosen to use the base grid point estimate, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, as the
intercept value in the variable-elevation regression equation. This is done
because when <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> falls outside of the bounds in Eq. (14), a
default slope value is used, but <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is not modified. Thus,
the base estimate of a variable for a grid cell is sometimes derived from an
equation the system considers invalid. Therefore, we fully disassociate the
intercept and slope estimates. Here, we provide an initial assessment of this
choice in Sect. 3, but this methodological choice should be examined in
more detail in future work. Subsequently, we then also modify the elevation
used in the regression equation to be the difference between the
high-resolution DEM elevation and the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> weighted station elevation using the
smoothed DEM station elevations. The switch to an elevation difference is
required as we are effectively correcting the base estimate to the DEM
elevation, and the base estimate has an intrinsic elevation associated with
it. Therefore, the TIERv1.0 grid point estimate is
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E15" content-type="numbered"><label>15</label><mml:math id="M117" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>E</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the difference between the smoothed DEM elevation and
the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> weighted station elevation using the smoothed DEM station elevations.
When <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is invalid, the default slope is used, and when the
initial <inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is valid, the uncertainty of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
estimated in a similar manner to that of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> using Eq. (12).
Note that for temperature variables only, the user can define a
spatially variable default lapse rate (Table 3, Fig. 4). The standard
deviation of all valid slope estimates from the leave-one-out estimates,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, is used as the uncertainty estimate
of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E16" content-type="numbered"><label>16</label><mml:math id="M126" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the estimated standard deviation of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the estimated value when the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>th station is withheld.</p>
      <p id="d1e3550">D02 define the method to adaptively adjust the station search radius until
the minimum number of needed stations is met. Here, we do not adjust the
search radius and instead attempt the regression and uncertainty estimation
when <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the user-specified minimum number of
stations required for the regression (Table 4). When <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the
regression is attempted for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and the default slope is used
when <inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Additionally, for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, Eq. (16) is never applied
and there is no direct uncertainty estimate of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for those
grid cells.</p>
      <p id="d1e3670">Finally, D94 found that normalizing the precipitation lapse rate (km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)
after performing the regression reduces the large spatial variability in
precipitation lapse rates due to the large spatial variability in the
underlying precipitation amounts. The normalization is done at each grid
cell as
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E17" content-type="numbered"><label>17</label><mml:math id="M139" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.Ex1"><mml:math id="M140" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> is the mean precipitation (mm) of all stations considered
for the regression for the current grid point, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the
estimated slope in physical units (mm km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the
station precipitation (mm) at station <inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. Accordingly, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E18" content-type="numbered"><label>18</label><mml:math id="M147" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            The normalization allows for the bounds in Eqs. (14)–(15) to be broadly
applicable for precipitation, as well as for a reasonable default lapse rate
to be applied to grid points where a valid regression slope cannot be found.
Temperature lapse rates are computed in physical units (K km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), as
there is little variability in temperature lapse rates.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4">
  <label>2.4</label><title>Post-processing</title>
      <p id="d1e3965">Several post-processing steps are undertaken to reach the final gridded
estimates after all grid points have an initial estimate, shown in Fig. 5.
These include updating estimated slope values, applying spatial filters, and
recomputing the final fields.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e3970">Flowcharts describing the <bold>(a)</bold> precipitation post-processing and
<bold>(b)</bold> temperature post-processing. Color shading is the same as that in Fig. 1.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4.SSS1">
  <label>2.4.1</label><title>Precipitation</title>
      <p id="d1e3995">The initial precipitation normalized slope estimates are used to recompute
the default slope if the user specifies (Table 4). In this case, all grid
points with valid regression slopes are used to compute the domain mean
normalized precipitation slope. This value is then substituted at all grid
points with default slope estimates. Next, a 2-D Gaussian filter is applied
to the normalized slopes to reduce noise and smooth the artificial numerical
boundaries in slope values and is taken as the final precipitation slope
estimate (Fig. 5a). The parameters of this spatial filter (size and spread)
are specified in the TIER model parameter file (Table 4).</p>
      <p id="d1e3998">After the slope estimates have been finalized, the precipitation is field is
recomputed using Eq. (15) and then a feathering process is applied to smooth
any remaining very large gradients (e.g., D94; Fig. 5a). The feathering
routine operates on the normalized precipitation slopes and searches for
grid cell–grid cell gradients in the normalized slope larger than a
user-specified value (Table 4). If a large gradient is found, the slope of the
grid cell with less precipitation is increased until the gradient falls
below the maximum allowable value. The feathering routine iterates over the
grid until there are no remaining large gradients and is an additional
smoothing step for precipitation in TIER. Also, the feathering routine only
runs for grid cells with larger elevation changes than a user-specified
minimum gradient (Table 4), which effectively ignores flat areas (D94), and
in TIERv1.0 the feathering routine only operates on grid cells above a user-specified minimum elevation.</p>
      <p id="d1e4001">Finally, uncertainty estimates are recomputed for the entire grid, first for
the base estimate and slope components, then for the total uncertainty of
Eq. (15) (Fig. 5a). For those grid points with no initial <inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
the nearest neighbor estimate is used. Then the
same Gaussian filter applied to the normalized precipitation slopes is
applied to the gridded <inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The final uncertainty contribution due to
uncertainty in the precipitation slope at a grid point in physical units
(mm) is then computed as
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E19" content-type="numbered"><label>19</label><mml:math id="M152" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">abs</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>E</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the final uncertainty (mm) due to
uncertainty in the precipitation slope, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the
final slope uncertainty (mm km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the final
precipitation estimate (mm). The filtered <inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> field is
used as the final base precipitation estimate, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The
total uncertainty is estimated as the combined standard deviation of the two
component estimates:
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E20" content-type="numbered"><label>20</label><mml:math id="M159" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cov</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            because the covariance between the two component uncertainties is sometimes
nonzero. The covariance is computed locally at each grid point using a
user-defined 2-D window of points (Table 4) around the current grid point.</p>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page1836?><sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4.SSS2">
  <label>2.4.2</label><title>Temperature</title>
      <p id="d1e4294">Post-processing for temperature is simpler than that for precipitation because
the temperature lapse rates are in physical units. The initial valid
temperature slope estimates are used to recompute the default lapse rate if
the user specifies (Table 4) when there is no spatially varying default
temperature lapse rate information provided (Table 3). Again, the mean of
all valid regression slope estimates is used as the updated default
temperature lapse rate for this case. As for precipitation, a 2-D Gaussian
filter is then applied to the slopes to reduce noise and smooth the
artificial numerical boundaries in slope values and is taken as the final
temperature slope estimate (Fig. 5b). Then, the final temperature estimate is
computed using these updated lapse rate values and Eq. (15).</p>
      <p id="d1e4297">As for precipitation, the component and total uncertainty estimates are then
finalized for temperature. The base temperature estimate uncertainty and
slope uncertainty are smoothed using the 2-D Gaussian filter to estimate the
final component uncertainties, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively. Then, the final temperature uncertainty
contribution due to temperature lapse rate uncertainty is computed using
Eq. (18), and Eq. (19) is used to compute the total uncertainty of the
temperature estimate, substituting subscript Ts for Ps in both.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Model evaluation and sensitivity experiments</title>
      <p id="d1e4347">An example use case over the western United States, focused primarily on the
Sierra Nevada mountains between roughly 35–43<inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N
and 118–125<inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W including precipitation, maximum
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and minimum (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) temperature data (Fig. 6), is used for
computing basic model evaluation statistics. This evaluation is to
simultaneously determine if the TIERv1.0 algorithm is performing as expected
numerically and to provide a brief baseline of performance. We calculate
bias and mean absolute error (MAE) statistics from the final gridded
meteorological variables using all available stations or a calibration
sample evaluation. Additional evaluation is considered outside the scope of
this initial presentation of the model.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e4392">The TIER test domain with <bold>(a)</bold> the temperature station distribution
and <bold>(b)</bold> the precipitation station distribution. Contours indicate the 0,
500, 1500, and 2500 m elevation contours moving from black to light
gray.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f06.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e4407">The gridded output fields are nearly unbiased for all three variables: 0.2 mm,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.22</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.21</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> K for precipitation, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
respectively. MAE values are 0.84 K for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 0.75 K for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
14.3 mm for precipitation (Table 5). Additionally, the gridded output values have nearly
zero conditional bias for temperature, as indicated in Fig. 7a–b, where the
fitted slope to the TIER–observation points is 0.93 and 0.96 for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>max⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively. There is an overestimation at smaller values
transitioning to an underestimation at larger values. Precipitation has the
same conditional bias structure as temperature (Fig. 7c); however, the slope
of the TIER–observation fitted linear regression is 0.88, indicating a
larger conditional bias as observed precipitation increases.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Table 5</label><caption><p id="d1e4501">Calibration sample evaluation statistics for TIER using the default
parameters with 90 % confidence intervals in parentheses.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Precipitation (mm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Maximum temperature (K)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Minimum temperature (K)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Bias</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.2 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 1.5)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.22</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.15</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>1 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.28</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.16</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MAE</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14.3 (13.3 to 15.3)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.84 (0.79 to 0.90)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.75 (0.71 to 0.79)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e4638">Calibration sample evaluation scatter plots (TIER versus observations)
for <bold>(a)</bold> maximum temperature (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C), <bold>(b)</bold> minimum temperature
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C), and <bold>(c)</bold> precipitation (mm).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f07.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e4674">Figure 8 highlights the methodological choice made in Sect. 2.3.2 to
disassociate the intercept parameter from the regression estimated slope in
Eq. (15) for precipitation. We compare estimates using <inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(PRISM-similar) in Eq. (15) versus <inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (TIERv1.0) and find
that in general precipitation estimates using <inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are larger
than those of TIERv1.0,<?pagebreak page1837?> particularly at higher elevations. TIERv1.0 has mean
precipitation for grid points below and above 2000 m of 83.2 and 88.6 mm,
respectively. The PRISM-similar method has average precipitation values
of 117.6 and 152.3 mm above and below 2000 m, which are 42 % and 72 %
increases over TIERv1.0. Comparison to in-sample station observations shows
that the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> estimation method results in higher biases and
MAE than TIERv1.0: 38.2 versus 0.2 mm bias and 51.9 versus 14.3 mm MAE for the two
methods, respectively.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e4739">Comparison of precipitation (mm) estimates using <inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Eq. (15) versus TIERv1.0 which uses <inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Eq. (15).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f08.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e4780">These differences could be due to several reasons, including that TIERv1.0
parameters were subjectively tuned for the published methodology. Also,
in-sample validation does not truly determine method performance, an out of
sample verification exercise and further evaluations should be undertaken.
The PRISM-similar method within the PRISM model performs extremely well and
may likely be more appropriate for higher elevations given the tendency for
these types of linear regression systems to underestimate precipitation
above the highest observation when using smoothed DEM values (see Sect. 4d.4 and parameter B1EX in Table 1 of D94).</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Model parameter experiments</title>
      <p id="d1e4791">Here, we explore the impact of model parameter changes on the output values
and their associated uncertainty estimates. We modify TIER model parameters
only (no pre-processing parameters) and make three parameter changes to
parameters focused on different parts of the interpolation model for
different variables in an effort to concisely highlight how model parameter
choices impact the final product. First, we modify the inverse distance
weighting exponent in the distance-dependent weighting function for
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (experiment 1), then we modify the coastal distance weighting
exponent for precipitation (experiment 2), and finally we modify the maximum
number of stations allowed for each grid point for precipitation (experiment
3).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T6" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Table 6</label><caption><p id="d1e4808">Calibration sample evaluation statistics for the three experiments.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Experiment 1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Experiment 2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Experiment 3</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Minimum temperature (K)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Precipitation (mm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Precipitation (mm)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Bias</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.19</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.26</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.13</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.2 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 1.3)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.2 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 1.7)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MAE</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.81 (0.77 to 0.86)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">12.5 (11.6 to 13.5)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">15.1 (14.1 to 16.1)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<?pagebreak page1838?><sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1.SSS1">
  <label>3.1.1</label><title>Experiment 1</title>
      <p id="d1e4948">In experiment 1, the parameter “distanceWeightExp” (Table 4), which is the
exponent in the distance-dependent weighting function (Eq. 5), is modified
from 2 (default) to 1.75 (modified) for a spatial simulation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.
This decreases the negative slope of the inverse distance weighting function
such that stations further from the considered grid point receive more
weight in the modified case than the default. The resulting <inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
distributions and difference field are given in Fig. 9. The spatial
distributions are very similar throughout most of the domain as the
observation network is relatively high density across most of the domain
(Fig. 6). Where the station density decreases along the eastern side of the
domain, differences increase in magnitude east of 119<inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W. Notably,
there are also pockets of differences outside of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C in
areas with high station density along the coast and between 40–42<inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N
and 121–123<inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W. These locations contain complex
terrain, specifically large elevation gradients, and the modified station
weights result in different estimated temperature lapse rates in addition to
changes in the base estimate, resulting in the different temperature
estimates. However, the calibration sample statistics are not significantly
different at the 90 % confidence level than the default parameter set
(Table 6), suggesting that the changes in the gridded field are not able to
be differentiated in a meaningful way.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F9"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e5022">Spatial distribution of minimum temperature (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mo>min⁡</mml:mo></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C) for model parameter sensitivity experiment 1. <bold>(a)</bold> Default
model parameters, <bold>(b)</bold> modified distance weighting exponent, and <bold>(c)</bold> the
difference field (default – modified).</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=184.942913pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f09.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1.SSS2">
  <label>3.1.2</label><title>Experiment 2</title>
      <p id="d1e5068">For experiment 2, we examine precipitation and modify the “coastalExp” (Table 4)
parameter from 0.75 to 1 to examine the influence of changes to the
coastal proximity weighting. Qualitatively, the two precipitation
distributions are identical to the overall precipitation pattern, remaining
essentially unchanged (Fig. 10a–b). The difference fields show that there
are shifts in the precipitation placement throughout the domain through the
alternating positive/negative difference patterns, particularly across the
complex terrain (Fig. 10b), but essentially there is no net precipitation change with
a total relative difference of 0.2 % between the two estimates. Absolute
differences can be as large as 46 mm in areas of large total accumulations;
however, the relative differences in those areas are generally less than
10 % (Fig. 10b). Correspondingly, dry areas have smaller absolute
differences but sometimes larger relative differences, as can be seen along
the eastern third of the domain (Fig. 10b). The mean absolute value of the
cell-to-cell precipitation gradient is 1.56 mm km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> versus 1.69 mm km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
(8.3 % increase) in the base and modified cases, respectively.
Increased station localization should be expected to increase high-frequency
variability and thus spatial gradients. The calibration sample statistics
are not significantly different at the 90 % confidence level from the
default parameter set (Table 6). However, in this case, the confidence bounds
are almost all non-overlapping, which may suggest increasing the coastal
exponent further would improve the model performance.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{pt}?><fig id="Ch1.F10"><?xmltex \currentcnt{10}?><label>Figure 10</label><caption><p id="d1e5097">Spatial distribution of <bold>(a)</bold> base precipitation (mm) for model
parameter sensitivity experiment 2, <bold>(b)</bold> default – modified precipitation
difference (mm), and <bold>(c)</bold> default – modified uncertainty difference (%).</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=184.942913pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f10.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d1e5115">The total uncertainty is generally increased by a few millimeters across the domain
(0.55 mm on average), with a corresponding relative increase in uncertainty
of around 5 %–10 % (Fig. 10c). This is due to the fact that increasing
this weight exponent decreases the weight of stations more dissimilar to the
current grid point, effectively increasing the localization of the weights
and increasing the variability of the leave-one-out estimates (Eq. 16).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1.SSS3">
  <label>3.1.3</label><title>Experiment 3</title>
      <p id="d1e5126">Finally, we change the “nMaxNear” parameter (Table 4) from 10 to 13, which
controls the maximum number of stations used for each grid point the
interpolation model. Again, the precipitation pattern is essentially
qualitatively unchanged between the two configurations with a 0.2 % domain
average change; also see Fig. 11a. However, the relative difference fields
highlight larger and more systematic changes to the precipitation
distribution than in experiment 2. Areas of the highest accumulation in the
base case have less precipitation in the modified case (compare Fig. 10a and
Fig. 11a) with 89 % (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">217</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">245</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) of the grid points having precipitation
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mm in the base case having less precipitation in the
modified case. Conversely, 57 % (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7686</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 430) of the grid points having
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mm in the base case have more precipitation in the modified
case. This is because generally more stations are included in the estimate
for each grid cell, which results in a smoother final estimate through
smoothed base and slope precipitation estimates in Eq. (15). The mean
absolute value of the cell-to-cell precipitation gradient is 1.56 mm km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
versus 1.48 mm km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (5.5 % decrease) in the base and
modified cases, respectively. The calibration sample statistics are
statistically equivalent to the base case, but the MAE in experiment 3 is
statistically significantly larger than that in experiment 2. This is an expected
result given that the final estimate is less localized for any specific
station.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F11"><?xmltex \currentcnt{11}?><label>Figure 11</label><caption><p id="d1e5200">Spatial distribution of differences for model parameter
sensitivity experiment 3, modified maximum number of stations parameter
(nMaxNear). <bold>(a)</bold> Precipitation differences (%), <bold>(b)</bold> total uncertainty
differences (%), and <bold>(c)</bold> uncertainty changes due to the slope term in the
regression.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=184.942913pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1827/2020/gmd-13-1827-2020-f11.png"/>

          </fig>

      <?pagebreak page1840?><p id="d1e5218">Increasing the number of stations considered reduces the estimated
uncertainty across nearly the entire domain (Fig. 11b–c). On average, there
is a 2.1 mm (16 %) reduction in the domain mean uncertainty, with some grid
cells having reductions <inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> %. The large decreases are
primarily in regions of complex terrain, and this is controlled by changes
in the slope uncertainty estimate, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false" mathvariant="normal">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">β</mml:mi><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. 11c).
This change in total uncertainty is slightly larger than but opposite in sign to
the parameter modification in experiment 2.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Summary and discussion</title>
      <p id="d1e5258">The Topographically InformEd Regression (TIER) software was developed for
several reasons. First, the systems for spatial modeling of meteorological
variables from in situ observations have matured to the point that they are complex
systems with many methodological choices and model parameters. TIERv1.0
provides an initial implementation of a knowledge-based statistical modeling
system based on D94, D02, D00, D07, and D08 with the capability to explore
different methodological choices in a systematic fashion. The system is
modular so that new knowledge-based ideas can be added to the regression
model through including new weighting terms. Model parameters are also
accessible to the user, allowing for parameter perturbation experiments. More
broadly, this should be viewed as a first step towards development of
flexible, open-source systems that include many of the commonly used spatial
interpolation models so the community can more fully understand
methodological choices in gridded meteorological product generation (e.g.,
Newman et al., 2019). Understanding how methods and model parameters interact
and modify the final output is key to improving these systems.</p>
      <?pagebreak page1841?><p id="d1e5261">The parameter experiments performed here provide three examples highlighting
how minor changes to one model parameter impact the final spatial
distribution. For example, modifying the coastal weight exponent results in
a shift in placement of precipitation across the domain (Fig. 10) and
systematic changes in the estimated uncertainty. Increasing the maximum
number of stations considered for the interpolation results in systematic
changes to the precipitation distribution and decreases the sharpness of the
final field (Fig. 11). Also, the spatial gradients of precipitation and
total uncertainty changes are of opposite sign for experiments 2 and 3. In
general, parameter changes that act to increase localization will enhance
gradients and uncertainty, while those that decrease localization or
increase sample sizes will decrease gradients and uncertainty. This
highlights that parameter interactions could play a role in the final result
through positive or negative feedbacks. Finally, experiments 2 and 3 result
in non-significant differences as compared to the base case, while the MAE
between the modified parameter sets in experiments 2 and 3 results in
statistically significant MAE differences.
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
Given the ability to perform parameter sensitivity experiments in TIER, we
reemphasize the need for novel evaluation methods including out-of-sample
station networks (e.g., Daly, 2006;
Daly et al., 2017; Newman et al., 2019) that
are as independent from the input networks as possible and integrated
validation methods using ancillary observations such as streamflow and other
modeling tools such as hydrologic models (Beck et al., 2017; Henn et al., 2018; Laiti et al., 2018).</p>
      <p id="d1e5266">Finally, TIER does not implement the exact system developed by Daly and
colleagues and will not produce the same climate fields even with the same
input data. TIER is not duplicating source code and every feature described
in D94, D00, D02, D07, and D08, as TIER was developed as a knowledge-based
system following these papers, not replicating them and other unpublished
details. Also, TIER version 1.0 does not contain station input data
pre-processing routines. Instead, example input data are provided in the
example cases' dataset (Sect. 5). Station pre-processing and quality control
can encompass a vast number of methods (e.g., Serreze et al., 1999; Eischeid
et al., 2000; Durre et al., 2008, 2010; Menne and Williams 2009). These
methods may be included in future releases or as separate community station
quality control tools.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="codeavailability"><title>Code availability</title>

      <p id="d1e5274">The TIERv1.0 code is available at
<ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3234938" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5281/zenodo.3234938</ext-link> (Newman, 2019a). The active development repository
of TIER is located at <uri>https://github.com/NCAR/TIER</uri> (Newman, 2019b).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e5286">The input data for the example domain used here are available
at <uri>https://ral.ucar.edu/solutions/products/the-topographically-informed-regression-tier-model</uri> (Newman, 2019c).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e5295">AJN and MPC developed the TIER model concept. AJN implemented the model and
developed the test case, model validation, and model sensitivity
experiments. AJN and MPC contributed to the manuscript.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e5301">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e5307">Color tables used here are provided by Wikipedia (precipitation), GMT
(difference plots), and the GRID-Arendal project (<uri>http://www.grida.no/</uri>, last access: 17 November 2019)
(temperature) via the NCAR NCL and cpt-city color table archives
(<uri>https://www.ncl.ucar.edu/Document/Graphics/color_table_gallery.shtml</uri>, last access: 7 June 2019,
<uri>http://soliton.vm.bytemark.co.uk/pub/cpt-city/</uri>, last access: 18 February 2017).</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e5321">This research has been supported by the National Center for
Atmospheric Research, which is a major facility sponsored by the National
Science Foundation under cooperative agreement no. 1852977, and the US Army
Corps of Engineers (USACE) Climate Preparedness and Resilience program.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e5327">This paper was edited by Richard Neale and reviewed by two anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>TIER version 1.0: an open-source Topographically InformEd Regression (TIER) model to estimate spatial meteorological fields</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>This paper introduces the  Topographically
InformEd  Regression (TIER) model, which uses
terrain attributes in a regression framework to distribute in situ observations of
precipitation and temperature to a grid. The framework enables our
understanding of complex atmospheric processes (e.g., orographic
precipitation) to be encoded into a statistical model in an easy-to-understand
manner. TIER is developed in a modular fashion with key model
parameters exposed to the user. This enables the user community to easily
explore the impacts of our methodological choices made to distribute sparse,
irregularly spaced observations to a grid in a systematic fashion. The
modular design allows incorporating new capabilities in TIER. Intermediate
processing variables are also output to provide a more complete
understanding of the algorithm and any algorithmic changes. The framework
also provides uncertainty estimates. This paper presents a brief model
evaluation and demonstrates that the TIER algorithm is functioning as
expected. Several variations in model parameters and changes in the
distributed variables are described. A key conclusion is that seemingly
small changes in a model parameter result in large changes to the final
distributed fields and their associated uncertainty estimates.</p></abstract-html>
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