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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">GMD</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Geoscientific Model Development</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">GMD</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Geosci. Model Dev.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1991-9603</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/gmd-11-2093-2018</article-id><title-group><article-title>Exploring coral reef responses to millennial-scale climatic forcings:
insights from the 1-D numerical tool pyReef-Core v1.0</article-title><alt-title>pyReef-Core: millennial responses of reefs to climatic forcings</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{pyReef-Core: millennial responses of reefs to climatic forcings}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{T. Salles et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Salles</surname><given-names>Tristan</given-names></name>
          <email>tristan.salles@sydney.edu.au</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6095-7689</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Pall</surname><given-names>Jodie</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Webster</surname><given-names>Jody M.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Dechnik</surname><given-names>Belinda</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Geocoastal Research Group, School of Geosciences, University of
Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Department of Oceanography and
Ecology, Federal University of Espirito Santo, Vitoria, ES CEP-29075-910,
Brazil</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Tristan Salles (tristan.salles@sydney.edu.au)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>8</day><month>June</month><year>2018</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>11</volume>
      <issue>6</issue>
      <fpage>2093</fpage><lpage>2110</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>5</day><month>February</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>6</day><month>March</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>3</day><month>May</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>14</day><month>May</month><year>2018</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        
        
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018.html">This article is available from https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract>
    <p id="d1e113">Assemblages of corals characterise specific reef biozones and
the environmental conditions that change spatially across a reef and with
depth. Drill cores through fossil reefs record the time and depth
distribution of assemblages, which captures a partial history of the vertical
growth response of reefs to changing palaeoenvironmental conditions. The
effects of environmental factors on reef growth are well understood on
ecological timescales but are poorly constrained at centennial to geological
timescales. pyReef-Core is a stratigraphic forward model designed
to solve the problem of unobservable environmental processes controlling
vertical reef development by simulating the physical, biological and
sedimentological processes that determine vertical assemblage changes in
drill cores. It models the stratigraphic development of coral reefs at
centennial to millennial timescales under environmental forcing conditions
including accommodation (relative sea-level upward growth), oceanic
variability (flow speed, nutrients, pH and temperature), sediment input and
tectonics. It also simulates competitive coral assemblage interactions using
the generalised Lotka–Volterra system of equations (GLVEs) and can be used
to infer the influence of environmental conditions on the zonation and
vertical accretion and stratigraphic succession of coral assemblages over
decadal timescales and greater. The tool can quantitatively test carbonate
platform development under the influence of ecological and environmental
processes and efficiently interpret vertical growth and karstification
patterns observed in drill cores. We provide two realistic case studies
illustrating the basic capabilities of the model and use it to reconstruct
(1) the Holocene history (from 8500 years to present) of coral community
responses to environmental changes and (2) the evolution of an idealised
coral reef core since the last interglacial (from 140 000 years to present)
under the influence of sea-level change, subsidence and karstification. We
find that the model reproduces the details of the formation of existing coral
reef stratigraphic sequences both in terms of assemblages succession,
accretion rates and depositional thicknesses. It can be applied to estimate
the impact of changing environmental conditions on growth rates and patterns
under many different settings and initial conditions.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e123">Ecologists and geologists tend to have different spatial and
temporal perspectives of coral reefs. This is because the methods and
observations which inform both fields differ. While ecologists can make
direct oceanographic and biological observations of coral reef ecosystems on
daily to decadal timescales, reef geologists must interpret assemblage
patterns from fossil outcrops and drill cores to infer persistent biological
or sedimentological processes on centennial to millennial timescales. This
results in both fields addressing differently the question of how coral reefs
respond to environmental conditions <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx93" id="paren.1"/>. Furthermore, as
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="text.2"/> argues, the most relevant spatial and temporal scales fall
in the gap between both fields; modelling predictions of climate change are
most relevant to society on regional to global scales over hundreds of years.</p>
      <p id="d1e132">Stratigraphic forward modelling (SFM) of carbonate systems offer a solution
by simulating sedimentary processes and carbonate production through time
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11" id="paren.3"/>. In this paper, we present a<?pagebreak page2094?> deterministic,
one-dimensional (1-D) numerical model, pyReef-Core, that simulates the
vertical coral growth patterns observed in a drill core, as well as the
physical and environmental processes that affect coral growth. The model is
capable of integrating ecological processes like coral community interactions
over centennial to millennial scales using predator–prey or generalised
Lotka–Volterra equations (GLVEs). pyReef-Core is the first of its kind to
incorporate coral community dynamics into reef growth modelling at reef-scale
resolution. We first describe the main model constitutive laws and forcing
parameters. Then we present two realistic case studies to illustrate the
model's capability. First, we simulate a Holocene shallowing-up fossil reef
sequence representing a “catch-up” growth strategy observed in the Great
Barrier Reef <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx27" id="paren.4"/> and estimate assemblage
compositions and changes. The second case study simulates the long-term
evolution (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 120 000 years) of an idealised reef sequence under the
influence of sea-level change and subsidence, commonly observed on passive
margins worldwide <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx67 bib1.bibx101 bib1.bibx38" id="paren.5"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>SFM of carbonate systems</title>
      <p id="d1e157">SFM has become a powerful tool used to predict stratigraphic architecture of
sedimentary systems <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx97" id="paren.6"/>. SFM involves simulating processes
acting over geological timescales and iteratively refining parameters to
improve the match between observed and predicted morphologies and
stratigraphies. Through this trial-and-error procedure, parameters such as
sedimentation and carbonate production rates can be evaluated and quantified,
where they ordinarily cannot be directly observed from the fossil record
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22 bib1.bibx97 bib1.bibx82 bib1.bibx88 bib1.bibx50" id="paren.7"/>. In that
sense, SFM addresses the shortcomings of qualitative investigation techniques
applied to carbonate systems
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13 bib1.bibx1 bib1.bibx26" id="paren.8"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. Several numerical models
have been developed since the 1960s to investigate the evolution of carbonate
systems; yet only recently have the complexity of biological interactions –
specific to reefs – started to be addressed
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4 bib1.bibx18" id="paren.9"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e174">Traditionally stratigraphic modelling of carbonate-siliciclastic systems has
been applied to locate oil and gas reservoirs
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57 bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx97 bib1.bibx46 bib1.bibx47" id="paren.10"/>. However, SFM
has become a popular heuristic tool to better understand and quantify
parameters regulating peritidal carbonates <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="paren.11"/>, the
development of coral reef environments
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx6 bib1.bibx18" id="paren.12"/> as well as microbial
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx72" id="paren.13"/> and coral reef growth
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx73 bib1.bibx6 bib1.bibx22" id="paren.14"/>. Early forward models were 1-D
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx87" id="paren.15"/> or 2-D in formulation
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx5 bib1.bibx57" id="paren.16"/>, but improvements in computing led to the
development of more complex, 3-D models (e.g. <sc>Dionisos</sc>,
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx39 bib1.bibx88" id="altparen.17"/> and <sc>Fuzzim</sc>,
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx70" id="altparen.18"/>).</p>
      <p id="d1e211">Most recently, three software packages have been developed that represent
important antecedents to the modelling effort described in this paper:
CARBONATE-3D (C3D) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx97" id="paren.19"/>, ReefSAM <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="paren.20"/>, and
SIMSAFADIM-CLASTIC <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="paren.21"/>. These models are 3-D and able
to simulate hydrodynamic processes, sediment transport and biological
production, but with varying degrees of realism. ReefSAM and C3D are both
reef-scale models; yet ReefSAM constitutes an improvement from C3D in
prediction of more realistic reef growth morphologies (i.e. lagoonal patch
reefs and mostly sand infilled lagoons) that depends on environmental factors
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="paren.22"/>. However, despite the added complexity, ReefSAM, like
C3D, was found to have overly simplistic hydrodynamic and sediment transport
models that were unable to simulate important, small-scale morphological
features and feedbacks <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="paren.23"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e229">The shortcomings of both ReefSAM and C3D are notable in their inability to
model bio-sedimentary facies in any complexity. Limited to basic sedimentary
facies only, they also fail to simulate how changing environmental conditions
influence the ecological requirements of different coral reef communities
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="paren.24"/>. SIMSAFADIM-CLASTIC offers the possibility to
investigate carbonate production as a biological function of species
interactions (based on the Lotka–Volterra equations) as well as
environmental parameters (i.e. light, hydrodynamic energy and slope)
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="paren.25"/>. However, it has only been applied to model
interactions between marine organisms and not between reef building corals.
Furthermore, while the approach is promising, SIMSAFADIM-CLASTIC is not
applicable at reef scales due to its coarse <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 100 m spatial resolution
and with a minimum time interval exceeding the lifespan of corals (500
years).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e248">Schematic figure of a hypothetical reef with transitions from deep
to shallow reef assemblages occurring up-core, illustrating a catch-up reef
growth response to environmental forcing including light, sea-level changes
(sl), hydrodynamic energy (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: wave conditions; <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: currents), tectonics
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mi>u</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: uplift; <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: subsidence), oceanic conditions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: temperature; nu:
nutrients; pH: acidification), karstification (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and sediment flux.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=412.564961pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018-f01.pdf"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e300">3-D SFM becomes necessary when accounting for the 3-D nature of
sediment-driven and hydrodynamic processes like lateral reef accretion and
fluid flow, establishing sediment budgets, or investigating problems such as
the influence of inherited topography <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx97" id="paren.26"/>. However, the
development of complex 3-D models has not necessarily improved the quality of
carbonate system modelling. In some cases lower-dimensional and
reduced-complexity models are easier to test and constrain <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx71" id="paren.27"/>.
Because 1-D forward modelling prioritises accommodation space as the
fundamental control over vertical sequences, it is a starting point to
understand and constrain other essential influences on reef growth before
adding greater complexity. Rationalised this way, pyReef-Core serves as a
basis for constraining the biological interactive aspect of carbonate
production and the<?pagebreak page2095?> effect of environmental influences. Once an understanding
of the complex influence of environmental conditions on vertical coral
accretion can be established, extending the model to 2-D and 3-D becomes a
less challenging task.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Environmental controls on reef development</title>
      <p id="d1e315">Coral framework production is linked, through complicated processes, to
biological activity, such that the evolution of reef systems is limited by
the growth potential of carbonate-producing organisms and their environmental
requirements <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx34" id="paren.28"/>. Environmental factors affecting growth have
been classified by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="normal.29"/> as latitude-correlated factors, and those
that are regional or local in character. Latitude-correlated factors include
sea surface temperatures (SSTs), solar radiation and water chemistry
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58" id="paren.30"/>. Regional and local environmental factors include wave
climate, salinity, water clarity, nutrient influx, sedimentation regime and
depth/composition of the initial substrate. These factors affect coral
species to different extents, controlling the distribution of coral
communities across a reef <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx43" id="paren.31"/>. Over longer timescales, they
also shape the rate of calcium-carbonate production, framework building by
corals and the accumulation of sedimentary deposits <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29" id="paren.32"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e333">Despite the significant, short-term impacts cyclonic storms and terrigenous
sediment input can have on reef systems <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx21" id="paren.33"/>, episodic
disturbances are smoothed out on geologic scales (10 000s years) where reef
systems are characterised by remarkable persistence and resilience
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx76" id="paren.34"/>. The persistent factors (e.g. sedimentation, wave climate
and accommodation) are those that exert a stronger effect on the distribution
of coral communities across a reef (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>). In the current
study, we focus on these three main controls; however, the model can simulate
the impact of other ocean forcings (temperature, nutrients and pH) on coral
reef development.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Accommodation</title>
      <p id="d1e349">The effect of accommodation on coral growth is governed by the relationship
between the rate of vertical reef accretion, sea-level rise, subsidence and
uplift <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx101" id="paren.35"/>. Accommodation affects coral growth in two ways
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx24 bib1.bibx7" id="paren.36"/>. Firstly, light attenuates with depth in
the ocean, and as corals are photosynthetic organisms, carbonate production
decreases exponentially with increasing water depth
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx69 bib1.bibx86" id="paren.37"/>. Secondly, wave energy and water flow also
decrease with depth, such that corals growing with reduced accommodation
(i.e. in shallow depth) experience increased hydrodynamic energy
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx67" id="paren.38"/>. The effect of light is assumed to dominate over the
effect of water movement in limiting carbonate production <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx30" id="paren.39"/>
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>); however, both effects play a role in determining
coral composition and, in turn, rates of vertical accretion
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13 bib1.bibx55" id="paren.40"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Hydrodynamic energy</title>
      <?pagebreak page2096?><p id="d1e379">Currents, water flow and oscillatory motion induced by waves are critical in
modulating physiological processes in coral and thus influencing coral growth
rates <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33 bib1.bibx64" id="paren.41"/>. High water flow increases rates of
photosynthesis by symbiotic algae <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx8" id="paren.42"/>, nutrient uptake by
corals <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx99" id="paren.43"/> and particle capture <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49" id="paren.44"/> and
facilitates sediment removal from coral surfaces <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx79" id="paren.45"/>, all of
which contribute to enhanced primary production. At the extremes, too little
flow can be lethal in corals by inducing anaerobiosis, whereas extreme wave
events cause mechanical destruction <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29" id="paren.46"/> and can lead to
long-term changes in community diversity and structure <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx65" id="paren.47"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e404">Wave energy is largely dissipated on shallow reefs from bottom friction and
wave breaking, with the former effect dominating the latter on reefs with
high surface rugosity of coral communities
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx42 bib1.bibx64 bib1.bibx80" id="paren.48"/>. Furthermore the geomorphology and
high rugosity of reefs cause wave refraction, such that wave energy is
highest on the ocean-facing margin (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>, exposed setting)
and lower in back-reef (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>, protected setting) lagoonal
and marginal environments that are protected from the prevailing winds and
wave energy <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx44 bib1.bibx45" id="paren.49"/>. As a result, wave-induced bottom
stress strongly influences coral cover and community composition, with a
clear zonation pattern from the reef crest to the reef slopes
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28 bib1.bibx59" id="paren.50"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <title>Sediment input</title>
      <p id="d1e427">High fluxes of both terrigenous and autochthonous sediments are widely identified to have both direct and indirect inhibitory effects on coral reef growth <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx61 bib1.bibx31 bib1.bibx85 bib1.bibx83" id="paren.51"/>. For instance, elevated turbidity on mid–outer platform reefs caused by the
suspension of sediment on the Pleistocene reef substrate during initial
flooding <inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 9 ka is hypothesised to be responsible for a delayed
initiation of coral growth in the southern Great Barrier Reef (GBR)
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26 bib1.bibx84" id="paren.52"/>.
Autochthonous carbonate gravels and sediments (i.e. aragonite, calcite and high-magnesium calcite), produced by the growth and mechanical destruction of reef organisms through physical, biochemical and bio-erosive processes, are important determinants of the spatial and temporal distribution of coral communities on long timescales <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15 bib1.bibx56" id="paren.53"/>. The spatial variation in suspended sediment loads is a critical environmental
factor influencing coral community distribution across the reef and with
depth <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx74" id="paren.54"/> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>). Turbid conditions are
inimical to certain communities such as shallow-water corals; yet some
species and communities are tolerant of elevated turbidity conditions on
leeward rims <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="paren.55"/> or species that thrive on reef slopes at
depth <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx75" id="paren.56"/>. Hence, the spatial variation in turbidity is
reflected in coral community distribution both across the reef and with
depth.</p>
      <p id="d1e458">Decades of experimentation carried out on the sensitivity of particular
species to sediment have informed a generic understanding of the threshold
levels of corals to the effect of natural sedimentation
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx51 bib1.bibx78 bib1.bibx92" id="paren.57"/>; however, these thresholds have
only been partially quantified in the literature, and tolerance at the
assemblage level is difficult to constrain due to site and within-species
variations <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="paren.58"/>. It has been shown that even under uniform
sediment input regimes, inter and intra-site variations in
sedimentation–resuspension regimes occur depending on water depth and
exposure to wave energy <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx100" id="paren.59"/>. Early measurements supported
that sedimentation rates exceeding 50 mg cm<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> day<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> produced lethal
effects <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx79" id="paren.60"/>. Yet each coral species has its own tolerance
threshold to sediment stress, beyond which sedimentation produces sublethal
to lethal effects <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="paren.61"/>.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>pyReef-Core model</title>
      <p id="d1e505">We present a 1-D deterministic, carbonate stratigraphic forward model called
pyReef-Core that simulates vertical reef sequences comparable to those found
in actual fossil reef drill cores. pyReef-Core is a tool to represent how
dynamic biological and physical processes interact to create predictable,
stratigraphic patterns. As shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>, the main steps in
our workflow are as follows: (i) using real geological, geophysical and
ecological data to establish environmental boundary conditions, vertical
accretion rates of coral assemblages and defining assemblage tolerance
thresholds to environmental factors and (ii) defining model input parameters
including Malthusian and assemblage interaction matrix parameters, simulation
time and those that define model resolution; before (iii) running the model
to create a vertical core sequence that records assemblage changes and growth
history.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <title>Vertical reef accretion module</title>
      <p id="d1e515">Carbonate production in a 1-D context, as represented by pyReef-Core, refers
to the thickness of calcium carbonate produced in a core due to vertical
framework accretion that is a result of vertical coral growth and sediment
supply <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx91" id="paren.62"/>. Hence, in this context carbonate production
corresponds to reef vertical accretion. The model does not consider the
destructional processes that occur on the reef due to physical, chemical and
biological erosion but does account for erosional process during phases of
subaerial exposure (referred as karstification in the model).</p>
      <p id="d1e521">In our model, carbonate production is calculated for each time step at a
user-defined resolution based on (i) the maximum vertical accretion rate for
each assemblage; (ii) GLVEs determining assemblage populations; and (iii) the
environmental conditions that define optimal growth for each assemblage.
During periods of subaerial exposure, karstification occurs at a uniform rate
independent of the type of<?pagebreak page2097?> assemblages and consists in eroding reef
stratigraphic top layers to the extent of the undergoing erosion.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e526">Illustration outlining pyReef-Core workflow <bold>(a)</bold> and of the
resulting simulated core <bold>(b)</bold>. First boundary conditions for sea
level, sediment input and flow velocity are set, which describes their
relationship to either depth or time. The boundary conditions are used to
establish the environment factor <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">env</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which describes the
proportion of the maximum growth rate that an assemblage can achieve,
depending on whether the environmental conditions exceed the optimal
conditions for growth. The environment factor is scaled by the Malthusian
parameter, which is in turn used as input in the GLVEs to determine
assemblage populations. Larger assemblage populations contribute to a faster
rate of vertical accretion (here referred to as carbonate production). At the
end of the time step, boundary conditions are updated and the process is
repeated.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018-f02.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e552">In palaeoenvironmental analysis of real drill cores, assemblages are defined
based on the relative abundance of coral species observable at certain
intervals <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="paren.63"/>. To reflect this in our code, each depth
interval in the modelled core records the assemblage that generated the
greatest proportion of calcium carbonate at each time step; otherwise, if
carbonate sedimentation (defined as a depth-dependent sediment input function
– Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>) dominates coral production, sediment characterises
the depth interval.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <title>Generalised Lotka–Volterra equations (GLVEs)</title>
      <p id="d1e566">The predator-prey ecological model by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx63" id="text.64"/> and
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx96" id="text.65"/> is a well-known and simple model of species population
dynamics. Its generalised formulation (GLVEs) allows for an unlimited number
of species and their pair-wise interactions and is included here to simulate
coral assemblage interaction dynamics. GLVEs applied to finding the evolution
of species populations typically focus on ecologically relevant periods
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5 years). The application of GLVEs for this problem is to simulate
changes in coral assemblages observed in drill cores, where population
dynamics are not the focus but only a means to estimate production rates over
geologically significant periods. This is based on the understanding that
internal ecosystem dynamics are partially responsible for the long-term
biozonation patterns preserved in fossil reef records
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx67" id="paren.66"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e585">Populations for each coral assemblage are determined by a logistic growth and
decay function and a matrix of pair-wise assemblage interactions
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>), formalised in the equation

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M14" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the population of coral assemblage <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> number of
assemblages, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the intrinsic rate of increase/decrease of
assemblage <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (also known as the Malthusian parameter) and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
represents the interaction coefficient among assemblages <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>.
Assemblage populations at time step <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are proportional to both
populations at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and to interaction coefficients
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="paren.67"/>. The equation requires an initial
population for each assemblage <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is usually set to zero for all
populations as the basement substrate is unpopulated at the beginning of reef
initiation simulations. Initialisation of any assemblage populations depends
on environmental conditions and is related to the “turn-on” criterion
presented in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS7"/>. Once these conditions are met for a
particular assemblage, its population number is set to 1 and will evolve
following the GLVEs defined above (Eq. <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>).</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Malthusian parameter ($\epsilon$)}?><title>Malthusian parameter (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)</title>
      <p id="d1e829">Assemblage populations are proportionate to a Malthusian parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
which takes values between 0 and 1 and reflects the intrinsic reproduction of
species through birth and mortality of corals in ecology (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>
– <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="altparen.68"/>). However, in the geologic context of
pyReef-Core, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> represents the tendency of corals to spatially
dominate under favourable environmental conditions.</p>
      <p id="d1e851"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="text.69"/> previously incorporated GLVEs to model the
geological evolution of large-scale carbonate platforms and assumed that
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is not meaningful when timescales are beyond the lifespan of an
organism and supposed that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="text.70"/> examine
carbonate production in 500-year intervals whereas pyReef-Core explores much
smaller intervals (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10 years), and as coral colonies may live for several
decades to centuries <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14 bib1.bibx41" id="paren.71"/>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is not assumed
to be 1. Even when assuming <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, pyReef-Core simulations produced
volatile population dynamics where assemblage populations grew exponentially
and were unable to replicate long-term ecosystem stability nor the thousands
of years of assemblage persistence observed on some reefs <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="paren.72"/>.
Hence, while values of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are not yet known at the decadal scale,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is an important parameter regarding spatial changes in assemblage
distributions that occur within centuries. Finally, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is scaled
according to the environmental factors to take into account the limiting
effect of inimical environmental forces on assemblage population growth
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS6"/>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS4">
  <title>Assemblage interaction matrix</title>
      <p id="d1e942">The pair-wise coefficients of interaction between assemblages can be
represented as elements <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in a square C-by-C matrix, where any
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is a special case of the effect of a change in assemblage
population <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on itself. Values of the coefficients describe the
beneficial, neutral or detrimental effects of one species on another
(Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>). As with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, values of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
cannot be inferred from previous ecological modelling studies
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="paren.73"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref> as the temporal scales of study are
irreconcilable. It is assumed, however, that competitive-to-neutral effects
control the spatial distribution and abundance of coral assemblages at
decadal timescales.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e1016">Interaction possibilities among coral assemblages and the associated
range of matrix coefficients, adapted from
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="text.74"/>.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Interactions</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Effect on <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> range</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Effect on <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> range</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Competition</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Detrimental</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Detrimental</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Neutralism</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Neutral</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Neutral</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e1212">Competitive interactions between corals have received considerable attention
in ecology <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx60" id="paren.75"/>, especially regarding their spatial distribution
outcomes. As assemblages occupy ecological niches, each will spatially
dominate at a location under specific environmental conditions, outcompeting
other assemblages for food, space and light <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="paren.76"/>. Hence,
competition is an important determinant of reef biozonation which persists
over centennial timescales given that coral growth is slow and colony
lifespans can be centuries long. Hence in<?pagebreak page2098?> pyReef-Core, the interaction matrix
is formed by competitive-to-neutral interaction coefficients between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>1 and
0 (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS5">
  <title>Computing carbonate production based on assemblage populations</title>
      <?pagebreak page2099?><p id="d1e1236">Solved GLVEs determine population growth/decline for each assemblage, and are
used to compute carbonate production (cm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) for each time step. The
amount of carbonate produced by each coral assemblage during each time step
is defined as

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M55" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where the carbonate production at every time step of each assemblage <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> number of assemblages is a product of the population distribution
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the maximum rate of vertical accretion <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in proportion to a
scalar <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. The scalar is introduced to the vertical growth equation in order
to minimise distortionary effects of exponential growth trends for each
population occurring in the absence of inter-assemblage competition (i.e. to
prevent unreasonably large population growth when only one assemblage can
exist under certain conditions). Total vertical reef growth <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mi>G</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> recorded in a
core is the sum of carbonate sediment deposited <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sed</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and all
calcium carbonate produced by each assemblage:

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M63" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>G</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sed</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS6">
  <title>Environmental factors</title>
      <p id="d1e1422">Sediment input, water flow and accommodation are the basic environmental
factors influencing coral growth in pyReef-Core. However, the model
architecture is such that in the future it is possible to simulate the effect
of other important environmental parameters such as ocean temperature, pH and
nutrient flux. Tolerance functions are defined for each environmental factor
as a set of four points that indicates both the range in which an assemblage
would reasonably exist based on published empirical data
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28 bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx25" id="paren.77"/> and the rate at which vertical
accretion reduces as the environmental conditions exceed upper or lower
threshold limits for each assemblage (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>). As such, they
define an “optimal growth window” for each assemblage. The threshold
functions for each assemblage to ambient environmental conditions are
combined into a single environmental parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">env</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> subject to
the minimum value rule:

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M65" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">env</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo movablelimits="false">min⁡</mml:mo><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">depth</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sed</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">temp</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">pH</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">nu</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">flow</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">depth</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sed</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, ... and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">flow</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
represent the threshold functions for each assemblage <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. Hence,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">env</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is seen as the combined effect of ambient environmental
conditions on optimal growth conditions (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>). Finally, the
Malthusian parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is scaled by the environmental factor such
that

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M72" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:msup><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">env</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

          which reflects the limiting effect on environmental factors on the growth potential of each assemblage.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS7">
  <title>Turn-on criterion</title>
      <p id="d1e1608">At the initialisation of the pyReef-Core simulations, assemblage populations
are usually set to zero. Population growth only occurs when the initial
criterion <inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">env</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">opt</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is met (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>). It
reflects the notion that reef turn-on events occur because of a confluence of
optimal conditions including a shallow substrate, favourable energy, light
and water temperature, pH, and nutrients conditions and relatively low
sediment supply <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx32 bib1.bibx26" id="paren.78"/>. In other
words, pyReef-Core only initiates growth when a degree of optimality in
growth conditions are met. By default, the value of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">opt</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is set
to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.5</mml:mn></mml:math></inline-formula> which means that the turn-on
criterion is met when environmental conditions enable at least 50 % of
the maximum vertical accretion. The parameter, however, can be adjusted
within the XML input file to reflect different assemblage population
sensitivities to environmental conditions.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <title>Examples of model application</title>
      <p id="d1e1660">Two case studies are presented here to assess the ability of pyReef-Core to
reproduce realistic sequences found in drill core. We simulate the
interactions between three assemblages which are estimated based on water
depth intervals (shallow, intermediate and deep). We also consider that coral
production in these experiments is primarily controlled by accommodation and
exposure to sedimentation <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16 bib1.bibx94" id="paren.79"/> and water flow
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35 bib1.bibx19" id="paren.80"/>.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1">
  <title>Experimental settings for model simulations</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1.SSS1">
  <title>Assemblage maximum vertical accretion rates</title>
      <p id="d1e1679">Maximum vertical accretion rates in the simulation are user-defined. For
shallow assemblages on exposed margins, maximum vertical accretion rates
(11 m/kyr) are chosen to reflect known average rates for robust branching
coral facies in high-energy environments established for the Indo-Pacific
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx67" id="paren.81"/>. Moderate–deep assemblages represent slightly higher
maximum accretion rates (15 m/kyr) with the lowest accretion rates
(9 m/kyr) for deep assemblages. These were chosen to reflect the average
accretion rates for Indo-Pacific tabular-branching and massive coral facies
found in high-energy conditions <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx67" id="paren.82"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1.SSS2">
  <title>Ecological dynamics</title>
      <p id="d1e1694">pyReef-Core requires knowledge of the intrinsic rate of assemblage population
growth/decline (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the matrix coefficients (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) of
interactions between distinct assemblages. However, inferring ecological
dynamics from ecological studies is challenging. Empirical studies of coral
competition and growth are often focused at the species rather than
assemblage level and explain competitive relationships qualitatively rather
than quantitatively <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="paren.83"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. Moreover, GLVEs have not
been used to model coral population dynamics at the temporal resolution
(centennial to millennial) we are interested in. Based on an initial
sensitivity analysis, we define a set of values for the Malthusian parameter
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and interaction coefficients among assemblages (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)
which are summarised in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/>. Chosen coefficients
define small competitive interactions between assemblages.</p>
      <p id="d1e1755">The coral assemblages defined in this study largely do not share the same
environmental setting and optimal growth conditions. Therefore, competitive
interactions are restricted to only those assemblages that may reasonably
co-exist due to overlapping depth, sediment flux or flow velocity thresholds.
This translates to an interaction matrix with values only along the main
diagonal and the super- and sub-diagonals. Everywhere else, interactions are
set to 0. Associated with these interactions, we define a series of critical
threshold response functions for each assemblages (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p id="d1e1762">Environmental threshold functions for shallow, moderate–deep and
deep assemblages characteristic of a synthetic exposed margin. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis
indicates the limitation on maximum vertical accretion for conditions outside
the optimal maximum vertical accretion rate.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018-f03.pdf"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<?pagebreak page2100?><sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1.SSS3">
  <title>Depth threshold functions</title>
      <p id="d1e1784">Based on a statistical analysis of the depth and environmental distribution
of modern coral communities at One Tree Reef (GBR), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27" id="text.84"/>
calibrated the palaeo-water depositional environments of six fossil coral
assemblages (three in protected and three in exposed environments). This
calibration was also based on quantitative measurements of crustose coralline
algae thickness and vermetid gastropod abundance which are reliable
palaeo-depth indicators, allowing for the depth intervals to be more
accurately constrained. These assemblages are broadly consistent with
shallow- and deep-water coral facies of the Indo-Pacific
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13 bib1.bibx15" id="paren.85"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e1793">Here, three assemblages typically occurring on exposed slopes are modelled
according to the estimated depth intervals defined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="text.86"/>
(Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/>) and represent shallow-water (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 6 m),
moderate-to-deep-water (6–20 m) and deep-water (20–30 m) assemblages.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1.SSS4">
  <title>Water flow</title>
      <p id="d1e1814">The water flow function is constructed according to the theoretical
relationship defined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16" id="text.87"/> whereby wave stress decreases
exponentially with depth (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>). Here, we rely on the
velocity–depth relationships on wave-exposed reef slopes from the field
study by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx89" id="text.88"/>. A maximum velocity of 25 cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> in region
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 m and an exponential decrease up to 25 m below which flow
velocity is set to 0. This is consistent with direct observations from
exposed algal flat <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23" id="paren.89"/> and maximum velocities
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 50 cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) beyond which branching corals are susceptible to
breakage <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx3" id="paren.90"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e1870">With specific data on the optimal flow environment for specific corals
lacking, assumptions about thresholds for distinct coral assemblages are
inferred from boundary conditions. That is, the water flow exposure threshold
range for each assemblage reflects the attenuation of water flow with depth
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><caption><p id="d1e1877">The curve in <bold>(a)</bold> shows the Holocene sea-level curve
estimated from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx90" id="text.91"/>. The graphs in <bold>(b)</bold> illustrate the
boundary conditions established for flow velocity and sediment input used in
the experimental simulations.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018-f04.pdf"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1.SSS5">
  <title>Sediment exposure</title>
      <p id="d1e1902">pyReef-Core can model the vertical sedimentation rate (m day<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) as a
function of either time or depth. When sediment flux is dependent on depth,
it implies that sediments are autochthonous (loose carbonate materials), in
contrast to terrigenous sediments transported from outside the reef system
(siliclastic materials), which may be represented by sediment flux varying
with time. In our case studies, we use a depth-dependent sedimentation rate
input curve to approximate the temporal variations in sediment accumulation
along the core (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>).</p>
      <p id="d1e1919">Sediment tolerance thresholds for each coral assemblage
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>) are informed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27" id="text.92"/> before receiving
maximum and minimum sedimentation rates corresponding to the sediment input
boundary condition (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>). The boundary condition provides
a broad indicator of the sediment load expected at certain depths and thus
what would be tolerated for each depth-specific assemblage. With alternate
sediment input boundary conditions, the upper and lower tolerance thresholds
can be adjusted to represent how coral communities respond differently to
site-specific suspended sediment levels.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e1932">Parameter values used in our two experiments. Estimates of maximum
production rates for assemblages were determined based on literature surveys
of maximum growth rates for coral facies of GBR <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23" id="paren.93"/> and
Indo-Pacific reefs <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx67" id="paren.94"/>.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="2">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Parameter</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Values</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Malthusian parameter</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.004</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry namest="col1" nameend="col2">Assemblage interaction matrix </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"> Main diagonal</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Detrimental - <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.0005</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"> Sub- and super-diagonal</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Detrimental - <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.0001</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry namest="col1" nameend="col2">Assemblage maximum growth rate  (m yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"> Shallow-water assemblage (0–6 m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.011</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"> Moderate–deep-water assemblage (6–20 m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.012</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"> Deep-water assemblage (20–30 m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.009</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry namest="col1" nameend="col2">Assemblage threshold tolerance variables </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"> Shallow-water assemblage (0–6 m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">  Absolute water flow threshold range</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.05</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">flow</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">  Absolute sediment input threshold range</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sed</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.003</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"> Moderate–deep-water assemblage (6–20 m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">  Absolute water flow threshold range</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">flow</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">  Absolute sediment input threshold range</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.0015</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sed</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.003</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"> Deep-water assemblage (20–30 m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">  Absolute water flow threshold range</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">flow</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.08</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">  Absolute sediment input threshold range</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.0023</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sed</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.0045</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page2101?><sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2">
  <title>Case 1: GBR idealised windward shallowing-upward Holocene reef sequence</title>
      <p id="d1e2295">Based on the afore-described experimental settings, we first simulate a
typical shallowing-up sequence of coral assemblages on the exposed rims of
several reef in the GBR, expressing a catch-up strategy of reef growth during
Holocene sea-level rise (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 9.4 ka to present).</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS1">
  <title>Initial parameters</title>
      <p id="d1e2310">Considering the simulated temporal scale, neither subsidence nor uplift are
considered to be important <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="paren.95"/> in this experiment. Instead,
accommodation is simulated as a function of Holocene sea-level changes and
vertical coral reef growth only. The Holocene relative sea-level (RSL) curve
from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx90" id="text.96"/> is used to represent sea-level change
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>). The data suggest a RSL history that is
characterised by a mid-Holocene highstand of 1.8 m at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 4 ka before
returning slowly to present sea level, matching other estimates of RSL
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17 bib1.bibx62" id="paren.97"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e2331">Simulation begins at 8.5 ka, which is within the take-off envelope for
Holocene growth of outer-platform GBR reefs <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="paren.98"/>. At 8.5 ka,
RSL is 15 m below sea level <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx90" id="paren.99"/> and substrate is at 20 m
depth in order to simulate a catch-up growth strategy from a deep substrate.
We compute the GLVEs at time intervals of 2.5 years and combine each
accumulated assemblage as a stratigraphic unit within the core for every 50
years.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2342"><bold>(a)</bold> Ideal shallowing-up fossil reef sequence representing a
catch-up growth strategy with associated assemblage compositions and changes,
adapted from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="text.100"/>; <bold>(b)</bold> model
output of produced pyReef-Core sequence representing a similar
shallowing-upward, catch-up phase.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018-f05.png"/>

          </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2362">Graphical output from pyReef-Core showing on panels <bold>(a, c)</bold>
the evolution of each community in the form of population number with time
and depth. As mentioned previously, population number here is a proxy for
carbonate production with larger assemblage population corresponding to
faster rate of vertical accretion. Panel <bold>(b)</bold> shows the evolution of
the accommodation space and core elevation through time in relation to
imposed sea-level curve. Panel <bold>(d)</bold> presents the temporal evolution
of the cumulative thickness as well as the total coral production rate for
the considered experiment.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=469.470472pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018-f06.pdf"/>

          </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2382">Similar to the previous case, these graphs shows in
panels <bold>(a, c)</bold> the evolution of each community in the form of
population number with time and depth. Panel <bold>(b)</bold> shows the evolution
of the accommodation space and core elevation through time in relation to the
imposed sea-level curve. Panel <bold>(d)</bold> presents the temporal evolution
of the cumulative thickness as well as the total coral production rate.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018-f07.pdf"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS2">
  <title>Communities evolution and synthetic core representation</title>
      <p id="d1e2406">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/> presents the GBR-representative assemblages summarised
by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="text.101"/> as well as the simulated core by pyReef-Core. The
modelled core is 35 m long and is composed of three assemblages
characteristic of an exposed margin and carbonate sediments. The simulation
portrays two distinct assemblage transitions from massive assemblages
representing deep (20–30 m), low-flow conditions to a faster-growing,
tabular-and-branching assemblage characteristic of the 6–20 m depth
interval, which is succeeded in shallow water (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 6 m) by a
robust-branching assemblage representing higher-energy conditions
(Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>).</p>
      <?pagebreak page2103?><p id="d1e2425">As sea level rises from 8.5 to 6.5 ka, the deeper assemblages have
sufficient accommodation space (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 20 m) and low-flow to thrive. However,
greater sediment input at depth is inhibitive in the early part of the
simulation at the base of the core (32–35 m) (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>). As sea
level begins to stabilise (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>b), accommodation space
decreases and moderate–deep assemblages start to dominate the sequence up to
4.7 ka (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>c). Following stabilisation from 4.7 to
3.2 ka, shallow assemblages develop as a result of the decreased
accommodation space (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 6 m at 4.7 ka), high-velocity hydrodynamic
conditions and reduced sediment input. Assemblage growth rates
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>d) show a pattern similar to the population number
curves with values lower than assemblage maximum production rates
(Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/>) indicative of the effects of environmental
factors (sediment input and flow velocity) on the growth of each assemblage.
The deeper assemblage is 15 m thick and is composed of 30–60 % loose
sediment and is succeeded by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 12 m of moderate–deep assemblages with
a lesser proportion of sediment (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>). The last 6–7 m of
core are predominantly formed by shallow assemblages with on average less
than 20 % of carbonate sediments (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>). The simulated
shallowing-up sequence accurately reflects expected shift from deep to
moderately deep assemblages at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 15–20 m depth and from moderately
deep to shallow assemblages at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 6 m depth proposed by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13" id="text.102"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="text.103"/>. The simulated sequence relates
well to the description proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="text.104"/> and reproduces the
distinct assemblages defined in the idealised reef sequences found on exposed
margin along the GBR (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>).</p>
      <p id="d1e2490">The modelled core reaches sea level at around 2.5 ka (Fig. 
<xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>) which also correlates well with values reported for
several reefs in the GBR <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23 bib1.bibx26 bib1.bibx81" id="paren.105"/>. Average
vertical accretion rate implied by the model is around 4.1 m kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>), again in the range of actual drill cores average
rates, which varies by around 3 to 5 m kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> on exposed reef margins
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23 bib1.bibx15 bib1.bibx26" id="paren.106"/>. It is also worth noting that coral
growth becomes predominant within the sequence at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 7.8 ka in the
modelled core, which coheres with the observed delay in reef initiation of
approximately 1 kyr <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="paren.107"/> after initial flooding of the
substrate during the Holocene transgression. We also notice that the
transitions between assemblages also correspond to periods where the
proportion of carbonate sediment deposited increases (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>).
It mimics a lag between optimal conditions from one assemblage to the other
and relates to the choice of environmental threshold functions that were
imposed in our simulation (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>). Overall, the model
reproduces the details of the formation of shallowing-upward sequences both
in terms of assemblages succession, accretion rates, deposited thicknesses
and timing of initiation. It can be applied to estimate the impact of
changing environmental conditions on growth rates and patterns under many
different settings and initial conditions.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3">
  <?xmltex \opttitle{Case 2: GBR idealised reef core reconstruction over the last 140\,kyr}?><title>Case 2: GBR idealised reef core reconstruction over the last 140 kyr</title>
      <p id="d1e2550">For the second study case, the experimental settings for threshold functions,
ecological dynamics, water flow and sediment exposure (presented in
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S5.SS1"/>) remain unchanged. The goal is not to match a
specific drill core but to illustrate the influence of forcing conditions on
the development of a coral reef sequence with our model.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3.SSS1">
  <title>Initial parameters</title>
      <p id="d1e2560">We reconstruct using pyReef-Core the evolution of an ideal coral reef
sequence since the last interglacial (LIG). LIG is represented by marine
isotope stage (MIS) 5e, which is a proxy record of low global ice volume and
high sea level <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40" id="paren.108"/>. It is arbitrarily set to begin at
approximately 130 ka before present and our simulation runs over 140 kyr.
The GLVEs which control the coral productions dynamic are updated every
25 years and stratigraphic layers are recorded at time interval of 100 years.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2104?><p id="d1e2566">Here we use the sea-level curve proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40" id="text.109"/>, who estimate
sea-level records based on the timing of past ice-volume changes, relative to
polar climate change. The relative sea-level change over the simulated period
has rates of rise reaching 12 cm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> during all major phases of
ice-volume reduction, with values below 7 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> when sea level
exceeded present mean sea level <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40" id="paren.110"/>. The applied sea-level
curve is shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>b.</p>
      <p id="d1e2601">The karstification of Pleistocene reef limestone has been identified as a
controlling factor on variations in antecedent topography, which in turn is
thought to influence the morphology of modern reefs <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx77" id="paren.111"/>. Rates
of karstification are a function of exposure time, rainfall, porosity and
original topography of exposed carbonate reefs. Summary of karstification
rates from both the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean shows values ranging from
0.01 m kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Barbados, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="altparen.112"/>) to 0.14 m kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
(mid–outer platform reefs, southern GBR; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="altparen.113"/>). Here we
impose a karstification rate of 0.07 m kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> consistent with estimates
from Ribbon Reef 5 and outer central GBR shelf <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx98" id="paren.114"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e2653">Over such a period of time, sea-level fluctuations are not the only factor
controlling the accommodation change and uplift–subsidence evolution has to
be considered <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx91" id="paren.115"/>. Based on a comprehensive study of GBR
reefs, Dechnik (personal communication, 2017) estimates that a subsidence
rate of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.083 to 0.13 m kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> is required to explain the
observed elevation of the upper surface of the LIG reef that provides the
antecedent topography of the modern mid–outer platform reefs in the GBR. The
proposed range is consistent with values found for other reefs along the GBR
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66 bib1.bibx98" id="paren.116"/>. In our model, we use a constant rate of
subsidence set to 0.1 m kyr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> that corresponds to 14 m of subsidence
over the duration of the simulation. In addition, the initial elevation is
set 20 m above sea-level position at the start of the simulation (140 ka),
corresponding to a depth of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 70 m below the current sea-level
position.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3.SSS2">
  <title>Communities evolution and synthetic core representation</title>
      <p id="d1e2707">Prior to 135 ka, the model shows a first stage of reef growth characterised
by shallow-water, high-energy coral community colonisation
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>a,c and Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>), following the
flooding of the antecedent platform. The cumulative thickness for this phase
is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10 m (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>d) and is compatible with values
estimated for Ribbon Reef 5 and Heron Island <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27" id="paren.117"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e2726">Following this initial phase, a deepening-upward sequence occurs up to
132 ka (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>). Again, this sequence has also been identified
in a similar time interval at One Tree Reef (southern GBR) and Stanley Reef
(central GBR) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27" id="paren.118"/>. A lack of significant reef framework
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 30 %) characterises the stratigraphic sequence during this
interval.</p>
      <p id="d1e2741">The rapid sea-level rise <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40" id="paren.119"/> during the end of the penultimate
deglaciation explains the drowning event observed in the core from 128 to
118 ka (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>c). During this period,
the accommodation increase is mainly driven by sea-level fluctuations and to
a small extent (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 m) by the imposed subsidence rate.</p>
      <p id="d1e2756">From 118 to 107 ka, during the first stage of the regression phase, a
shallowing-upward sequence (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 30 m thick) is identified with three
distinct community populations modelled over time
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>c). During this time interval, the maximum
population number for the moderate–deep assemblages is relative lower
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3) than for the two other assemblages (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 7). Consequently, the
percentage of accumulated thickness for this assemblage is below 7 %.
These assemblage transitions are primarily controlled by high-frequency
sea-level variations observed in the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40" id="text.120"/> curve
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>b). Minor events of karstification (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 cm of
erosion) are triggered by short episodes of subaerial exposure around
110 ka. From 107.5 to 104 ka, high-energy coral communities (shallow
assemblages) dominate the sequence with a maximum growth rate above
8 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>d).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2812">Simulated reef core reconstruction, showing the different stages of
last interglacial reef growth in relation to sea level, karstification and
subsidence.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=412.564961pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/11/2093/2018/gmd-11-2093-2018-f08.pdf"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d1e2821">The following stage from 107 to 12 ka is characterised by a period of
subaerial exposure due to sea-level fall (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>d). Both
subsidence and karstification occur and account for nearly 11 m of elevation
offset with about 1 m attributed to karstification processes
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>). Applied to a real case, pyReef-Core can be used to
test several scenarios with different rates of subsidence and karstification
in order to explain for example the discrepancy in age–elevation data of LIG
deposits observed in the GBR <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66 bib1.bibx27" id="paren.121"/>. It can also be
used to estimate the contribution of karst dissolution and subsidence
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx77" id="paren.122"/> with a more quantitive approach.</p>
      <p id="d1e2834">By 13 ka, sea level re-floods the LIG reef, and Holocene reef growth
initiates <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10.5 ka in the experiment (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>). The
lag (2.5 kyr) between flooding and reef growth initiation matches well with
observations for the GBR <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32 bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx15" id="paren.123"/>.
However, the timing of the initial flooding occurs 3 kyr earlier than what
is expected for the GBR. This temporal difference is related to both
sea-level variations <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40" id="paren.124"/> and chosen initial starting elevation
of the model. The Holocene reef sequence is around 46 m thick
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>), which is above most of the GBR reef maximum vertical
accretion thicknesses (usually <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 30 m) but correlates with thicknesses
found in reefs from Tahiti and Huon Peninsula <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx101" id="paren.125"/>. This
Holocene sequence is first composed of more than 30 m of moderate–deep
assemblage, which corresponds to the catch-up phase discussed in the first
study case and is associated with the rapid sea-level rise. The reef
accretion rate during this time interval is maximal and reaches values above
8.2 mm y<inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>d). The remaining <inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 15 m
of the uppermost sequence is built of shallow assemblages that become
predominant after 6 ka when sea-level rise decreases. It is also worth
noting the presence of short periods of subaerial exposure which coincide
with two small karstification events (karst dissolution <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 cm;
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>).</p>
      <?pagebreak page2105?><p id="d1e2896">The total simulated core has an overall thickness <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 86 m. A complete
sequence such as the one modelled here is unlikely to be found in a natural
reef complex mainly due to the 3-D nature of such a system
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx101" id="paren.126"/>. Nevertheless the predicted sequence represents in 1-D
the idealised succession of coral assemblages produced for a given set of
initial and forcing conditions. Therefore, it can be compared to series of
drill cores at different positions along a given region and used as a
quantitative approach to analyse stratigraphic responses of coral reefs to a
combination of physical, biological and sedimentological processes.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6">
  <title>Discussion</title>
      <p id="d1e2917">Relatively little is known about how coral reefs grow and respond to
environmental conditions at temporal scales exceeding what is measurable
(i.e. observational record over the last 100 years) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="paren.127"/>. It
has been a major challenge for both geological and ecological studies to
adequately capture coral reef ecological and environmental dynamics on
centennial to millennial temporal scales and at reef scales
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx93" id="paren.128"/>. Our new method, pyReef-Core,<?pagebreak page2106?> operates on these scales
and offers a coherent, fast and effective way to predict 1-D reef core
stratigraphies and assemblages changes. It can be used to improve our
understanding of coral reef response to climatic and environmental changes
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29 bib1.bibx44" id="paren.129"/>. The code is most useful in application to reef
researchers examining the vertical distribution of coral assemblages and
coral growth dynamics <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx67 bib1.bibx15 bib1.bibx25" id="paren.130"/> by
comparing outputs between modelling cores. This would enable the
extrapolation of knowledge gained from examining drill cores to areas of the
reef where data are scarce. It can also be used to understand environmental
histories of cores where dating or classification of assemblages is difficult
due to poor core recovery. Despite its 1-D limitation, the model can be
applied to gain a 3-D picture of the environmental, ecological and
geomorphological history of a specific reef. This can be achieved by defining
multiple biological and environmental initial conditions representing, for
example, the differences in assemblage types and hydrodynamic conditions
between the windward and leeward margins of the reef
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13 bib1.bibx26 bib1.bibx81" id="paren.131"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e2935">Necessarily, pyReef-Core is also a simplified representation of a coral reef
system and required a number of free parameters such as sediments, flow,
Malthusian parameter, and community matrix parameter which need to be defined
for modelling. The task of finding this set of parameters that best describes
a specific reef site and core data is challenging for several reasons.
Firstly, empirical estimates of environmental tolerance thresholds of given
assemblages are scarce in the scientific literature making their estimation
difficult <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15 bib1.bibx3 bib1.bibx27" id="paren.132"/>. Therefore, results
interpreted from the modelled environmental threshold represent hypotheses
that must be tested and validated against additional real, physical
measurements on reefs. Secondly, reefs experience a variety of natural
sedimentation regimes due to the variable morphologies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="paren.133"/> and
flow regimes due to the position of reefs in respect to the dominant swell
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="paren.134"/> and proximity to the coast <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx61" id="paren.135"/>.
Consequently, it is difficult to construct a model that fully represents
complex reef system dynamics simultaneously. Thirdly, the estimation of the
interaction matrix coefficients and Malthusian parameters remains difficult
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="paren.136"/>, specifically when considering coral assemblage
dynamics at the temporal scale (decadal to centennial) relevant to
pyReef-Core. Yet interpretations of these parameters from ecological
modelling studies provide a useful guide with regard to reef biozonation and
assemblage competition <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx60 bib1.bibx41 bib1.bibx20" id="paren.137"/>. Finally,
modelled vertical accretion or growth patterns in pyReef-Core are non-linear
reflecting the natural complexity of coral reef systems and the biological
and physical interactions occurring at reef scales. It poses the problems for
calibrations and the underlying uncertainties inherent in our simplified
approach <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11 bib1.bibx97 bib1.bibx18" id="paren.138"/>. Nevertheless,
our model represents a shift from the standard accommodation-forced
geometrical models <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22 bib1.bibx36 bib1.bibx12" id="paren.139"/> where coral reef
stratigraphy is controlled mainly by changes in sea level. Even if our
approach is a simplification of natural processes, the simulated
stratigraphic patterns are a sum of simultaneous, interacting tectonic,
biological, physical and sedimentological processes.</p>
      <p id="d1e2963">pyReef-Core can be described as a multidimensional (i.e. many parameters) and
multi-modal (i.e. non-unique solutions) forward model where numerous
combinations of interacting parameters could potentially produce identical
sequences <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx10" id="paren.140"/>. Given a specific reef core dataset
and pyReef-Core, the task of finding the model parameter space that best
describes the reef core data can be defined as the inverse modelling problem
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="paren.141"/>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx68" id="normal.142"/> highlighted the importance for
Monte Carlo methods in analysis of non-linear inverse problems where no
analytical expression for the forward relation between data and model
parameters is available. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods can
straightforwardly quantify uncertainty in model assumptions and parameters
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx2" id="paren.143"/>. This is particularly useful for SFM approaches
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx97" id="paren.144"/> that require optimisation techniques that lack
uncertainty quantification. However, Bayesian inference methods have rarely
been applied to reef modelling, despite evidence of their usefulness when
handling models with complex, interrelating parameters <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="paren.145"/>.
A useful application of such approach would involve the optimisation of
environmental threshold and ecological modelling parameters and then
parameterising the sediment input and fluid flow boundary conditions based on
empirical measurements.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S7" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e2991">Bridging the gap between ecologists' and geologists' views of
coral reef system dynamics is challenging. In this paper, we present
pyReef-Core, a 1-D deterministic, carbonate SFM that simulates vertical reef
sequences comparable to those found in actual drill cores. The model serves
as a basis for investigating the relationship between the key biological
processes (i.e. the function of coral assemblages interactions based on the
GLVEs) involved in coral reef growth and the influence of changing
environmental factors (e.g. sea level, tectonics, ocean temperature, pH and
nutrient). The significance of the approach lies in its ability to
incorporate coral community dynamics into reef growth modelling and
understand the responses of coral reefs to environmental disturbances on
centennial to millennial timescales at the reef scale. The exploration of
these intermediate scales is crucial to better understand the enduring growth
response of corals in the face of climatic and environmental changes that<?pagebreak page2107?> are
expected to have lasting impacts on reefs into the future. As shown in the
case studies, generated model predictions cohere well with data and provide a
means for explaining observed assemblage patterns. It can help to better
constrain the tolerance of shallow-water corals to long-term environmental
disturbance and to quantify the relative dominance of sea level, tectonics,
as well as hydrodynamic energy and sediment input on reef growth.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="codedataavailability">

      <p id="d1e2998">The source code (written in Python 2.7.6) with examples
(Jupyter Notebooks) is archived as a repository on
<ext-link xlink:href="https://github.com/pyReef-model/pyReefCore">Github</ext-link> and Zenodo
(<ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1080115" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5281/zenodo.1080115</ext-link>). The code is licensed under the GNU General
Public License v3.0. The easiest way to use pyReef-Core is via our
<ext-link xlink:href="https://hub.docker.com/r/pyreefmodel/pyreef-docker/">Docker</ext-link> container
(searching for <bold>pyreef-docker</bold> on Kitematic), which is shipped with
the complete list of dependencies and the case studies presented in this
paper.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests">

      <p id="d1e3016">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e3022">We would like to thank the anonymous reviewer and Jon Hill for their
insightful comments on the paper. Tristan Salles was supported by ARC
IH130200012, Jody M. Webster was supported by ARC DP120101793, and Tristan
Salles and Jody M. Webster were also supported by SREI2020 grants. This
research was undertaken with the assistance of resources from the National
Computational Infrastructure (NCI), which is supported by the Australian
Government and from Artemis HPC Grand Challenge supported by the University
of Sydney.<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: Guy Munhoven  <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Reviewed by: Jon Hill and one anonymous referee</p></ack><ref-list>
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<abstract-html><p>Assemblages of corals characterise specific reef biozones and
the environmental conditions that change spatially across a reef and with
depth. Drill cores through fossil reefs record the time and depth
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processes and efficiently interpret vertical growth and karstification
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(1) the Holocene history (from 8500 years to present) of coral community
responses to environmental changes and (2) the evolution of an idealised
coral reef core since the last interglacial (from 140&thinsp;000 years to present)
under the influence of sea-level change, subsidence and karstification. We
find that the model reproduces the details of the formation of existing coral
reef stratigraphic sequences both in terms of assemblages succession,
accretion rates and depositional thicknesses. It can be applied to estimate
the impact of changing environmental conditions on growth rates and patterns
under many different settings and initial conditions.</p></abstract-html>
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